{"status":true,"post":{"id":23182,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:25:51","created_at":"2020-10-08T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:25:51.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23182,"is_featured":0,"title":"Yeni ekonomi program\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefliyor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Dr. Can G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir yol g\u00f6sterici olan 3 y\u0131l vadeli Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Covid-19 salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinin devam etti\u011fi bir ortamda ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin tercihleri ve 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 hedefleri merakla bekleniyordu. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 hedeflerini de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>1 - 2021\u2019DE Y\u00dcZDE 5.8 B\u00dcY\u00dcME HEDEFLEN\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131\u2019nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye yeniden h\u0131z kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi konulmu\u015f. Ancak ekonomide dengelenme ihtiyac\u0131 ve hedefi ile bu h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi tam uyu\u015fmuyor. 2021\u2019de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda da \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi baz etkisi ile 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4-5 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flayabilecek. Ancak daha y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme enflasyon ve cari dengeyi olumsuz etkileyebilecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>2 - T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI DOLAR KURU VARSAYIMLARI DE\u011eERLENME \u00d6NG\u00d6R\u00dcYOR <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 seviyesi yine \u00f6zellikle b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge. Bu nedenle Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz kuru varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 yine yol g\u00f6sterici oluyor. Yeni program, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in ortalama 7.68 TL kurunu varsaym\u0131\u015f. 2022 ve 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 ise 7.88 TL ve 8.02 TL\u2019dir. Bu varsay\u0131mlara g\u00f6re T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n reel olarak de\u011ferlenmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak bir yandan h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi ve di\u011fer yandan devam eden finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar nedeniyle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n reel olarak de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda \u00e7ok zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda muhtemelen program varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeler olacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>3 - 2020 YILSONUNDA T\u00dcFE BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 Y\u00dcZDE 10.5 <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Enflasyon, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir sorun olmaya devam ediyor. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc enflasyon yaratmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, T\u00fcrkiye enflasyonu halen kontrol alt\u0131na alabilmi\u015f de\u011fil. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde enflasyon yeniden \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. Enflasyon ile m\u00fccadele \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek kararl\u0131l\u0131k gerektiriyor. Yeni program, 2020 y\u0131lsonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 10.5 enflasyon hedefi koymu\u015f. Ancak \u00f6zellikle d\u00f6viz kuru art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE y\u00fczde 13-14 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Programdaki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve y\u00fcksek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 da enflasyon ile m\u00fccadeleyi zorla\u015ft\u0131racak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>4 - Y\u00dcKSEK B\u00dcT\u00c7E A\u00c7IKLARI DEVAM EDECEK <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131 al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler ve destekler ile kamu b\u00fct\u00e7esi bozuldu. Ancak bu, t\u00fcm ekonomilerde ya\u015fanan ve gerekli olan bir geli\u015fmedir. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda GSY\u0130H oran\u0131 itibariyle y\u00fczde 4.9 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve y\u00fczde 6.1 kamu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 makul ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme beklentileri olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak 2021-2023 d\u00f6neminde de y\u00fcksek kamu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 devam ediyor. Y\u00fcksek kamu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 hem enflasyonu hem de bor\u00e7lanma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>5 - 2021 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u0130HRACATTA Y\u00dcZDE 10.9 ARTI\u015e HEDEF\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131ran en \u00f6nemli unsur, d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu nedenle ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ok kritik bir hedef oluyor. 2021\u2019de ihracatta y\u00fczde 10.9 art\u0131\u015f hedefi bulunuyor. 2020\u2019de ihracat 165.9 milyar dolar olduktan sonra, 2021\u2019de 184 milyar dolara y\u00fckselecek. Sert bir ikinci Covid-19 dalgas\u0131 ya\u015fanmaz ise ihracat hedefine ula\u015f\u0131lacak. 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 5.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi ile 13.9 milyar dolar cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefi ise tam \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fm\u00fcyor. Muhtemelen ithalat kaynakl\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015facak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu nedenle ihracata daha \u00e7ok destek verilmesi gerekiyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131, ekonomide dengelenme ile h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme aras\u0131nda tam bir tercih yapamam\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. H\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme taraf\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazan\u0131rsa finansal istikrar daha da bozulabilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"yeni-ekonomi-programi-hizli-buyume-hedefliyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Yeni ekonomi program\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefliyor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1112,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23281,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23182,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Yeni ekonomi program\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefliyor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Dr. Can G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir yol g\u00f6sterici olan 3 y\u0131l vadeli Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Covid-19 salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinin devam etti\u011fi bir ortamda ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin tercihleri ve 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 hedefleri merakla bekleniyordu. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 hedeflerini de\u011ferlendirelim. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>1 - 2021\u2019DE Y\u00dcZDE 5.8 B\u00dcY\u00dcME HEDEFLEN\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131\u2019nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye yeniden h\u0131z kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi konulmu\u015f. Ancak ekonomide dengelenme ihtiyac\u0131 ve hedefi ile bu h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi tam uyu\u015fmuyor. 2021\u2019de \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda da \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi baz etkisi ile 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4-5 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flayabilecek. Ancak daha y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme enflasyon ve cari dengeyi olumsuz etkileyebilecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>2 - T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI DOLAR KURU VARSAYIMLARI DE\u011eERLENME \u00d6NG\u00d6R\u00dcYOR <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> \u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 seviyesi yine \u00f6zellikle b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge. Bu nedenle Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz kuru varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 yine yol g\u00f6sterici oluyor. Yeni program, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in ortalama 7.68 TL kurunu varsaym\u0131\u015f. 2022 ve 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 ise 7.88 TL ve 8.02 TL\u2019dir. Bu varsay\u0131mlara g\u00f6re T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n reel olarak de\u011ferlenmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak bir yandan h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi ve di\u011fer yandan devam eden finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar nedeniyle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n reel olarak de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda \u00e7ok zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda muhtemelen program varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeler olacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>3 - 2020 YILSONUNDA T\u00dcFE BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 Y\u00dcZDE 10.5 <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Enflasyon, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir sorun olmaya devam ediyor. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc enflasyon yaratmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, T\u00fcrkiye enflasyonu halen kontrol alt\u0131na alabilmi\u015f de\u011fil. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde enflasyon yeniden \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6steriyor. Enflasyon ile m\u00fccadele \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek kararl\u0131l\u0131k gerektiriyor. Yeni program, 2020 y\u0131lsonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 10.5 enflasyon hedefi koymu\u015f. Ancak \u00f6zellikle d\u00f6viz kuru art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u0131l sonu T\u00dcFE y\u00fczde 13-14 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Programdaki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve y\u00fcksek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 da enflasyon ile m\u00fccadeleyi zorla\u015ft\u0131racak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>4 - Y\u00dcKSEK B\u00dcT\u00c7E A\u00c7IKLARI DEVAM EDECEK <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 sonras\u0131 al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler ve destekler ile kamu b\u00fct\u00e7esi bozuldu. Ancak bu, t\u00fcm ekonomilerde ya\u015fanan ve gerekli olan bir geli\u015fmedir. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda GSY\u0130H oran\u0131 itibariyle y\u00fczde 4.9 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve y\u00fczde 6.1 kamu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 makul ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme beklentileri olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ancak 2021-2023 d\u00f6neminde de y\u00fcksek kamu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 devam ediyor. Y\u00fcksek kamu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 hem enflasyonu hem de bor\u00e7lanma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltecek. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>5 - 2021 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u0130HRACATTA Y\u00dcZDE 10.9 ARTI\u015e HEDEF\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de finansal k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131ran en \u00f6nemli unsur, d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu nedenle ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ok kritik bir hedef oluyor. 2021\u2019de ihracatta y\u00fczde 10.9 art\u0131\u015f hedefi bulunuyor. 2020\u2019de ihracat 165.9 milyar dolar olduktan sonra, 2021\u2019de 184 milyar dolara y\u00fckselecek. Sert bir ikinci Covid-19 dalgas\u0131 ya\u015fanmaz ise ihracat hedefine ula\u015f\u0131lacak. 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 5.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi ile 13.9 milyar dolar cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefi ise tam \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fm\u00fcyor. Muhtemelen ithalat kaynakl\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015facak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Bu nedenle ihracata daha \u00e7ok destek verilmesi gerekiyor. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Yeni Ekonomi Program\u0131, ekonomide dengelenme ile h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme aras\u0131nda tam bir tercih yapamam\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. H\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme taraf\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazan\u0131rsa finansal istikrar daha da bozulabilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"yeni-ekonomi-programi-hizli-buyume-hedefliyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Yeni ekonomi program\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefliyor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1112,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}