{"status":true,"post":{"id":20581,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:53:21","created_at":"2019-07-04T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:53:21.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20581,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Asya-Pasifik hamlesi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

K\u00fcresel g\u00fcndem ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren pek \u00e7ok ba\u015fl\u0131\u011fa y\u00f6nelik geli\u015fmeler Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019da ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n G20 Liderler Zirvesi kapsam\u0131nda Japonya\u2019n\u0131n Osaka kentinde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen liderleriyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi temaslar, Kyoto\u2019da \u2018Hazineler ve Osmanl\u0131 \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu\u2019nda lale gelene\u011fi\u2019 ile \u2018Ara G\u00fcler Sergisi\u2019 ve ard\u0131ndan Tokyo\u2019da Japon i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131, \u0130mparator Naruhito ve Ba\u015fbakan Abe g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri, T\u00fcrkiye-Japonya ili\u015fkilerini 21. y\u00fczy\u0131lda \u00e7ok daha zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f bir ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ili\u015fkisine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek ad\u0131na kritik \u00f6nemdeydi.<\/span><\/p>

STA ihtimali g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Tokyo\u2019daki izlenimlerimiz Japon i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n da T\u00fcrkiye merkezli olarak, Afrika, Orta Do\u011fu, K\u00f6rfez, Balkanlar ve T\u00fcrk Cumhuriyetleri\u2019nde T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131yla birlikte pek \u00e7ok f\u0131rsattan yararlan\u0131labilecek yat\u0131r\u0131m ve ticaret f\u0131rsatlar\u0131na haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Ba\u015fbakan Abe\u2019nin Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rlarken, konu\u015fmas\u0131nda \u2018T\u00fcrkiye ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki stratejik ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131karmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklar\u0131\u2019ndan s\u00f6z etmesi, Japonya temaslar\u0131n\u0131n adeta \u00f6zeti gibiydi. Ekim ay\u0131nda \u0130mparator Naruhito\u2019nun tahta \u00e7\u0131kma t\u00f6reni vesilesiyle T\u00fcrkiye ile Japonya aras\u0131nda ticaret ve bilhassa do\u011frudan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 daha iddial\u0131 seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131yacak bir Serbest Ticaret Anla\u015fmas\u0131 (STA) imzalanmas\u0131 ihtimali hayli g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

24 trilyon dolarl\u0131k sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Pekin\u2019de ise Pekin Expo i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareketlilik s\u00f6z konusu. \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6nemli yay\u0131n kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan \u2018Global Times\u2019da Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yay\u0131nlanan makalesi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den ba\u015flay\u0131p demiryolu ile G\u00fcrcistan\u2019dan Azerbaycan\u2019a, buradan da Hazar Denizi\u2019ni a\u015farak T\u00fcrkmenistan ve Kazakistan\u2019\u0131 takiben \u00c7in\u2019e ula\u015fan Orta Koridor\u2019un, Ku\u015fak ve Yol projesinin en \u00f6nemli bile\u015fenlerinden birini olu\u015fturdu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyordu. Mevsimsel nedenlerle 12 ay \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilen bu koridor, \u00c7in i\u00e7in de hayati \u00f6nem arz ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

Halen tek kutuplu bir d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fan\u0131yormu\u015f gibi bir yanl\u0131\u015f anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc olan k\u00fcresel tehditlerin, d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131 da zedelemekte oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z, T\u00fcrkiye olarak d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131, g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n te\u015fvik edilmesi ve serbest ticaretin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gibi alanlarda \u00c7in ile ayn\u0131 vizyonu payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da bilhassa vurgulad\u0131. \u00c7in i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yapacaklar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n 82 milyonluk gen\u00e7 ve dinamik n\u00fcfusu ile d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 16. b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine yapacaklar\u0131 bir yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hinterland\u0131nda bulunan 1.6 milyarl\u0131k bir n\u00fcfusa ve 24 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bir sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcne de yat\u0131r\u0131m anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Asya-Pasifik hamlesinin yank\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de g\u00f6rmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u2018Normalizasyon\u2019 sinyali g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ekonomi alan\u0131nda al\u0131nan tedbirlerin etkisi zaman al\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131 sonundan a\u011fustos ay\u0131 ortas\u0131na kadar ki zaman diliminde \u2018d\u00f6viz kuru\u2019 operasyonuyla a\u00e7\u0131ktan bir \u2018ekonomik sald\u0131r\u0131\u2019yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131nca, TL\u2019nin sert de\u011fer yitirmesinin, yeni deval\u00fcasyonun enflasyona ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011finin etkisi de katmerli oldu. Bu nedenle, Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Albayrak\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi \u2018neo-liberal\u2019 anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n unutturdu\u011fu \u2018direkt kontrol politikalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 devreye alarak, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz sonbahardan bu yana bir dizi tedbir ve d\u00fczenlemeyi ard\u0131 ard\u0131na hayata ge\u00e7irdi.<\/span><\/p>

Ama\u00e7, kurlardaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 durdurmak ve ekonomide bozulma e\u011filimi g\u00f6steren \u2018fiyatland\u0131rma al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmekti. Ekonomi alan\u0131nda, bu t\u00fcr tedbirlerin 3 ile 6 ay aras\u0131ndaki uygulama s\u00fcrecinin etkileri, literat\u00fcrde de g\u00f6zlenece\u011fi \u00fczere, iki kat\u0131 bir s\u00fcre ge\u00e7tikten sonra, yani ilk etapta, en erken 6 ay, sonras\u0131nda 9 ay ama en etkili \u015fekilde 12 ay sonra hissedilir. <\/span>
Bu nedenle, 2019 yaz aylar\u0131na gelen \u20189. ay\u2019da, enflasyonda \u2018yap\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131k etkisi\u2019nin zay\u0131flama emarelerini g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flad\u0131k. E\u015f zamanl\u0131, reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi ve genel manada ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksindeki toparlanma da \u20189. ay\u2019da daha kuvvetli hissedilen \u2018normalizasyon\u2019 s\u00fcrecini teyit ediyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"turkiyeden-asya-pasifik-hamlesi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Asya-Pasifik hamlesi","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":412,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":20680,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20581,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Asya-Pasifik hamlesi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

K\u00fcresel g\u00fcndem ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren pek \u00e7ok ba\u015fl\u0131\u011fa y\u00f6nelik geli\u015fmeler Uzak Do\u011fu\u2019da ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n G20 Liderler Zirvesi kapsam\u0131nda Japonya\u2019n\u0131n Osaka kentinde d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen liderleriyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi temaslar, Kyoto\u2019da \u2018Hazineler ve Osmanl\u0131 \u0130mparatorlu\u011fu\u2019nda lale gelene\u011fi\u2019 ile \u2018Ara G\u00fcler Sergisi\u2019 ve ard\u0131ndan Tokyo\u2019da Japon i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131, \u0130mparator Naruhito ve Ba\u015fbakan Abe g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri, T\u00fcrkiye-Japonya ili\u015fkilerini 21. y\u00fczy\u0131lda \u00e7ok daha zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f bir ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ili\u015fkisine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek ad\u0131na kritik \u00f6nemdeydi.<\/span><\/p>

STA ihtimali g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Tokyo\u2019daki izlenimlerimiz Japon i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n da T\u00fcrkiye merkezli olarak, Afrika, Orta Do\u011fu, K\u00f6rfez, Balkanlar ve T\u00fcrk Cumhuriyetleri\u2019nde T\u00fcrk i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131yla birlikte pek \u00e7ok f\u0131rsattan yararlan\u0131labilecek yat\u0131r\u0131m ve ticaret f\u0131rsatlar\u0131na haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Ba\u015fbakan Abe\u2019nin Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rlarken, konu\u015fmas\u0131nda \u2018T\u00fcrkiye ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki stratejik ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131karmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklar\u0131\u2019ndan s\u00f6z etmesi, Japonya temaslar\u0131n\u0131n adeta \u00f6zeti gibiydi. Ekim ay\u0131nda \u0130mparator Naruhito\u2019nun tahta \u00e7\u0131kma t\u00f6reni vesilesiyle T\u00fcrkiye ile Japonya aras\u0131nda ticaret ve bilhassa do\u011frudan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 daha iddial\u0131 seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131yacak bir Serbest Ticaret Anla\u015fmas\u0131 (STA) imzalanmas\u0131 ihtimali hayli g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

24 trilyon dolarl\u0131k sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Pekin\u2019de ise Pekin Expo i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareketlilik s\u00f6z konusu. \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6nemli yay\u0131n kurulu\u015flar\u0131ndan \u2018Global Times\u2019da Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yay\u0131nlanan makalesi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den ba\u015flay\u0131p demiryolu ile G\u00fcrcistan\u2019dan Azerbaycan\u2019a, buradan da Hazar Denizi\u2019ni a\u015farak T\u00fcrkmenistan ve Kazakistan\u2019\u0131 takiben \u00c7in\u2019e ula\u015fan Orta Koridor\u2019un, Ku\u015fak ve Yol projesinin en \u00f6nemli bile\u015fenlerinden birini olu\u015fturdu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyordu. Mevsimsel nedenlerle 12 ay \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilen bu koridor, \u00c7in i\u00e7in de hayati \u00f6nem arz ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

Halen tek kutuplu bir d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fan\u0131yormu\u015f gibi bir yanl\u0131\u015f anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc olan k\u00fcresel tehditlerin, d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131 da zedelemekte oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z, T\u00fcrkiye olarak d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131, g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve istikrar\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n te\u015fvik edilmesi ve serbest ticaretin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gibi alanlarda \u00c7in ile ayn\u0131 vizyonu payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da bilhassa vurgulad\u0131. \u00c7in i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131na da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yapacaklar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n 82 milyonluk gen\u00e7 ve dinamik n\u00fcfusu ile d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 16. b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine yapacaklar\u0131 bir yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hinterland\u0131nda bulunan 1.6 milyarl\u0131k bir n\u00fcfusa ve 24 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bir sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcne de yat\u0131r\u0131m anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Asya-Pasifik hamlesinin yank\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de g\u00f6rmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u2018Normalizasyon\u2019 sinyali g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Ekonomi alan\u0131nda al\u0131nan tedbirlerin etkisi zaman al\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131 sonundan a\u011fustos ay\u0131 ortas\u0131na kadar ki zaman diliminde \u2018d\u00f6viz kuru\u2019 operasyonuyla a\u00e7\u0131ktan bir \u2018ekonomik sald\u0131r\u0131\u2019yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131nca, TL\u2019nin sert de\u011fer yitirmesinin, yeni deval\u00fcasyonun enflasyona ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011finin etkisi de katmerli oldu. Bu nedenle, Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Albayrak\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011finde, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi \u2018neo-liberal\u2019 anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n unutturdu\u011fu \u2018direkt kontrol politikalar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 devreye alarak, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz sonbahardan bu yana bir dizi tedbir ve d\u00fczenlemeyi ard\u0131 ard\u0131na hayata ge\u00e7irdi.<\/span><\/p>

Ama\u00e7, kurlardaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 durdurmak ve ekonomide bozulma e\u011filimi g\u00f6steren \u2018fiyatland\u0131rma al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirmekti. Ekonomi alan\u0131nda, bu t\u00fcr tedbirlerin 3 ile 6 ay aras\u0131ndaki uygulama s\u00fcrecinin etkileri, literat\u00fcrde de g\u00f6zlenece\u011fi \u00fczere, iki kat\u0131 bir s\u00fcre ge\u00e7tikten sonra, yani ilk etapta, en erken 6 ay, sonras\u0131nda 9 ay ama en etkili \u015fekilde 12 ay sonra hissedilir. <\/span>
Bu nedenle, 2019 yaz aylar\u0131na gelen \u20189. ay\u2019da, enflasyonda \u2018yap\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131k etkisi\u2019nin zay\u0131flama emarelerini g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flad\u0131k. E\u015f zamanl\u0131, reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi ve genel manada ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksindeki toparlanma da \u20189. ay\u2019da daha kuvvetli hissedilen \u2018normalizasyon\u2019 s\u00fcrecini teyit ediyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"turkiyeden-asya-pasifik-hamlesi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Asya-Pasifik hamlesi","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":412,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}