{"status":true,"post":{"id":30332,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 16:30:58","created_at":"2021-12-30T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T13:30:58.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":30332,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir y\u0131l\u0131 daha geride b\u0131rak\u0131rken yeni bir y\u0131la haz\u0131rlan\u0131yoruz. Geleneksel oldu\u011fu \u00fczere y\u0131l\u0131n son yaz\u0131lar\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentilerimizi payla\u015f\u0131yoruz. Y\u0131l\u0131n son yaz\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2022 beklentilerimizi payla\u015fal\u0131m. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>1. 2021\u2019DE \u00dc\u00c7 AYRI D\u00d6NEM YA\u015eADIK<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ayr\u0131 d\u00f6nem ya\u015fad\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda salg\u0131n\u0131n yeni dalgas\u0131 kapatmalar\u0131 da beraberinde getirdi. \u0130lkbahar aylar\u0131ndan itibaren ise tam a\u00e7\u0131lmalar ba\u015flad\u0131, iktisadi ve sosyal hayatta geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak iktisadi faaliyetlerde ve ekonomide h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma ya\u015fand\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda da \u00f6nce para politikas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimi ve daha sonra ekonomi modeli de\u011fi\u015fimi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimlerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dalgalanmalar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131l genelindeki bu farkl\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00f6nemin bile\u015fiminde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2021\u2019i y\u00fczde 10 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapat\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle ihracat ile ihracat\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fi sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve yat\u0131r\u0131m art\u0131\u015f\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 10\u2019lara ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>2. 2022\u2019DE \u0130HRACAT Y\u0130NE BEL\u0130RLEY\u0130C\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde 2022\u2019de ana belirleyici yine ihracat olacak. Son y\u0131llarda ekonomide \u00e7\u0131palar yer ald\u0131. Enflasyon hedeflemesi ve mali disiplin, iki \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u0131pa olarak uzun s\u00fcre kullan\u0131ld\u0131. 2021\u2019den itibaren ekonominin ana \u00e7\u0131pas\u0131 giderek ihracat haline gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131n bu konumu 2022\u2019de daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lenecek. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde fiyat istikrar\u0131 ve finansal istikrar, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferine daha ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geldi. T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda istikrar ise ihracattaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile \u015fekillenecek. Bu nedenle 2022\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki ana belirleyici ihracat olacak.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>3. PANDEM\u0130 VE K\u00dcRESEL EKONOM\u0130K KO\u015eULLAR \u0130HRACAT \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u00d6NEML\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2022\u2019yi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yine pandemi \u015fekillendirecek. E\u011fer yeni varyantlar\u0131n etkileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r, yeni a\u015f\u0131lar geli\u015ftirilir, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015f\u0131lamalar yap\u0131l\u0131r ve geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde de a\u015f\u0131lamada ilerleme sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olursa 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde yine h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fanabilecek. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde zorlu k\u0131\u015f ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve pandemi belirsizli\u011fi ile yava\u015flama olacak. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekten itibaren b\u00fcy\u00fcme yeniden ivme kazanacak. K\u00fcresel enflasyon da bir di\u011fer tehdit olacak. Daha sert parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmalar olursa bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi olumsuz etkileyebilecek. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2022\u2019de en \u00f6nemli iktisadi faaliyet yine ihracat olacak. Olumlu k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar senaryosu i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik ilave talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 hem artacak hem de kal\u0131c\u0131 olacak. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve onun destekledi\u011fi sanayi \u00fcretimi ile b\u00fcy\u00fcme olacak. T\u00fcrkiye, 2022\u2019de ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u00fczde 4-5 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flayacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>4. EKONOM\u0130 POL\u0130T\u0130KALARININ 2022 \u00d6NCEL\u0130\u011e\u0130 ENFLASYON OLACAK<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, 2021\u2019in son aylar\u0131nda ekonomide model aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7inde oldu. Eyl\u00fclde Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimi ile ba\u015flayan bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00f6nce rekabet\u00e7i kur politikas\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, sonra \u00c7in modeli tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131, ard\u0131ndan da T\u00fcrkiye ekonomi politikas\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile yeni model tarif edildi. Y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan model de\u011fi\u015fimi ve ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tart\u0131\u015fmalar, ekonomide \u00f6nemli dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetti, enflasyonda da \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu nedenle 2022\u2019de ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceli\u011fi enflasyon olacak. Ancak muhtemelen enflasyon 2021\u2019de sarkan etkilerle 2022\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde yine y\u00fcksek kalacak. Ayr\u0131ca enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz politikas\u0131 da tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya devam edecek.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>5. T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASINDA \u0130ST\u0130KRAR ARAYI\u015eI S\u00dcRECEK <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2021\u2019in son aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler sonucu T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda \u00f6nce y\u00fcksek bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131, ard\u0131ndan yeni \u00f6nlemlerle T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde telafi etti. Ancak yeni y\u0131la girerken T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda oynakl\u0131k ve belirsizlikler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk liras\u0131, 2022 boyunca istikrar aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131, 2022\u2019de ihracat performans\u0131 ve yeni ekonomi modelinin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 \u015fekillendirecek. T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda de\u011ferlenme s\u00fcrerse bu kez de ihracat zora girecek.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ikiye ayr\u0131lacak; ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay yeni ekonomi modelinin uygulama sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olursa y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda ko\u015fullar i\u015fler i\u00e7in daha uygun olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"turkiye-ekonomisi-2022-yili-beklentileri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentileri","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1102,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":30431,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":30332,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir y\u0131l\u0131 daha geride b\u0131rak\u0131rken yeni bir y\u0131la haz\u0131rlan\u0131yoruz. Geleneksel oldu\u011fu \u00fczere y\u0131l\u0131n son yaz\u0131lar\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentilerimizi payla\u015f\u0131yoruz. Y\u0131l\u0131n son yaz\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2022 beklentilerimizi payla\u015fal\u0131m. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>1. 2021\u2019DE \u00dc\u00c7 AYRI D\u00d6NEM YA\u015eADIK<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ayr\u0131 d\u00f6nem ya\u015fad\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda salg\u0131n\u0131n yeni dalgas\u0131 kapatmalar\u0131 da beraberinde getirdi. \u0130lkbahar aylar\u0131ndan itibaren ise tam a\u00e7\u0131lmalar ba\u015flad\u0131, iktisadi ve sosyal hayatta geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak iktisadi faaliyetlerde ve ekonomide h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma ya\u015fand\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda da \u00f6nce para politikas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimi ve daha sonra ekonomi modeli de\u011fi\u015fimi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimlerin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dalgalanmalar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u0131l genelindeki bu farkl\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 d\u00f6nemin bile\u015fiminde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2021\u2019i y\u00fczde 10 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile kapat\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle ihracat ile ihracat\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fi sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve yat\u0131r\u0131m art\u0131\u015f\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 10\u2019lara ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>2. 2022\u2019DE \u0130HRACAT Y\u0130NE BEL\u0130RLEY\u0130C\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde 2022\u2019de ana belirleyici yine ihracat olacak. Son y\u0131llarda ekonomide \u00e7\u0131palar yer ald\u0131. Enflasyon hedeflemesi ve mali disiplin, iki \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u0131pa olarak uzun s\u00fcre kullan\u0131ld\u0131. 2021\u2019den itibaren ekonominin ana \u00e7\u0131pas\u0131 giderek ihracat haline gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131n bu konumu 2022\u2019de daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lenecek. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde fiyat istikrar\u0131 ve finansal istikrar, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferine daha ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale geldi. T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda istikrar ise ihracattaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile \u015fekillenecek. Bu nedenle 2022\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki ana belirleyici ihracat olacak.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>3. PANDEM\u0130 VE K\u00dcRESEL EKONOM\u0130K KO\u015eULLAR \u0130HRACAT \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u00d6NEML\u0130<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2022\u2019yi b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yine pandemi \u015fekillendirecek. E\u011fer yeni varyantlar\u0131n etkileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r, yeni a\u015f\u0131lar geli\u015ftirilir, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc a\u015f\u0131lamalar yap\u0131l\u0131r ve geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde de a\u015f\u0131lamada ilerleme sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olursa 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde yine h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fanabilecek. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde zorlu k\u0131\u015f ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve pandemi belirsizli\u011fi ile yava\u015flama olacak. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekten itibaren b\u00fcy\u00fcme yeniden ivme kazanacak. K\u00fcresel enflasyon da bir di\u011fer tehdit olacak. Daha sert parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmalar olursa bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi olumsuz etkileyebilecek. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2022\u2019de en \u00f6nemli iktisadi faaliyet yine ihracat olacak. Olumlu k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar senaryosu i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik ilave talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 hem artacak hem de kal\u0131c\u0131 olacak. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve onun destekledi\u011fi sanayi \u00fcretimi ile b\u00fcy\u00fcme olacak. T\u00fcrkiye, 2022\u2019de ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u00fczde 4-5 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flayacak. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>4. EKONOM\u0130 POL\u0130T\u0130KALARININ 2022 \u00d6NCEL\u0130\u011e\u0130 ENFLASYON OLACAK<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> T\u00fcrkiye, 2021\u2019in son aylar\u0131nda ekonomide model aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7inde oldu. Eyl\u00fclde Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimi ile ba\u015flayan bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00f6nce rekabet\u00e7i kur politikas\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, sonra \u00c7in modeli tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131, ard\u0131ndan da T\u00fcrkiye ekonomi politikas\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile yeni model tarif edildi. Y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan model de\u011fi\u015fimi ve ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan tart\u0131\u015fmalar, ekonomide \u00f6nemli dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetti, enflasyonda da \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu nedenle 2022\u2019de ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceli\u011fi enflasyon olacak. Ancak muhtemelen enflasyon 2021\u2019de sarkan etkilerle 2022\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde yine y\u00fcksek kalacak. Ayr\u0131ca enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz politikas\u0131 da tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya devam edecek.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>5. T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASINDA \u0130ST\u0130KRAR ARAYI\u015eI S\u00dcRECEK <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2021\u2019in son aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler sonucu T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda \u00f6nce y\u00fcksek bir de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131, ard\u0131ndan yeni \u00f6nlemlerle T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde telafi etti. Ancak yeni y\u0131la girerken T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda oynakl\u0131k ve belirsizlikler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk liras\u0131, 2022 boyunca istikrar aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131, 2022\u2019de ihracat performans\u0131 ve yeni ekonomi modelinin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 \u015fekillendirecek. T\u00fcrk liras\u0131nda de\u011ferlenme s\u00fcrerse bu kez de ihracat zora girecek.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong>SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ikiye ayr\u0131lacak; ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay yeni ekonomi modelinin uygulama sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olursa y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda ko\u015fullar i\u015fler i\u00e7in daha uygun olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"turkiye-ekonomisi-2022-yili-beklentileri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentileri","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1102,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}