{"status":true,"post":{"id":16810,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:12:23","created_at":"2017-07-02T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:12:23.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":16810,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011feri ve pahal\u0131l\u0131k ili\u015fkisi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Bildi\u011finiz gibi, 2016\u2019da dolar\/TL paritesi 2.82-3.04 band\u0131nda hareket etmi\u015fti. 2017\u2019nin ilk 6 ay\u0131nda ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 3.48-3.85 band\u0131nda daha \u00e7ok a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filimli olarak hareket etti. EUR\/TL ise 2016\u2019da 3.25 seviyelerinde, 2017 ilk 6 ay\u0131nda da 3.95 civar\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Genelde kurlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu zaman \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re pahal\u0131 oldu\u011fu senaryolar\u0131 yaz\u0131l\u0131r, \u00e7izilir. Rekabet\u00e7i olmak i\u00e7in kurlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi gereklili\u011fi s\u00fcrekli i\u015flenir. Kurlar y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e bu senaryo tekrar tekrar oynan\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Peki bu ne kadar ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7mi\u015fi \u015f\u00f6yle bir hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m; 2005\u2019te dolar\/TL 1.59 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. <\/span><span class=\"large\">O zaman kurlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi gereklili\u011finin alt\u0131 \u00e7iziliyordu; sebep ihracatta fiyat rekabeti yakalamakt\u0131. 2011\u2019e kadar dolar\/TL 2.59\u2019lara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Ayn\u0131 sesler doymad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in h\u00e2l\u00e2 bu yetmez dediler. 2013\u2019te 3 seviyesinin \u00fczeri denendi. Yine yetmedi ve 2016\u2019da 3.83 ve 2017 ilk 6 ay\u0131nda da en y\u00fcksek 4.1803 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Peki, \u015fimdi rekabet\u00e7i olduk mu ger\u00e7ekten? Kurlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 itip T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 de\u011fersiz yapmak ihracat avantaj\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131 m\u0131? <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bence hay\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc h\u00e2l\u00e2 ciddi fiyat rekabetinin yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Demek ki bu safsatalarla kurun yukar\u0131 itilmesi bahanesi samimi de\u011fil. Kur her yukar\u0131 itildi\u011finde bizler fakirle\u015fiyoruz. Mal\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n d\u00f6viz baz\u0131nda de\u011feri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bunun yan\u0131nda as\u0131l problem, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f borcunun TL kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fclkeler paras\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fersizle\u015ftirerek kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc elde edemez. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc girdileri tamamen d\u00f6vize endeksli. Bir yandan enerji di\u011fer yandan hammadde fiyatlar\u0131, kur nedeniyle artar. B\u00f6ylece y\u00fckselen maliyetler nedeniyle fiyatlar y\u00fckselir ancak k\u00e2r y\u00fckselmez. Aksine k\u00e2r marj\u0131 piyasadaki durgunlu\u011fun da etkisiyle d\u00fc\u015fer. Kurlar y\u00fckselirken artan maliyet nedeniyle fiyat rekabeti yap\u0131lamaz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada sorun verimlilik ve \u00f6l\u00e7ek sorunu. Sabit maliyetleri optimize edecek b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn yakalanmas\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 her de\u011fer kaybetti\u011finde daha fazla g\u00fcven kaybedecek ve kimse T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 tutmak istemeyecek. O zaman herkes dolarize olacak, ekonomi dolara duyarl\u0131 olacak. Oyunun arka y\u00fcz\u00fc tamamen budur. Kurlarla enflasyon ve ekonomiye do\u011frudan etki edilebilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu d\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi verilerini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. Fiyat d\u00fczeyi endeksi, \u00fclkelerin ulusal para birimlerinin kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmal\u0131 olarak d\u00f6viz kuruna g\u00f6re al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00f6stergesidir. Bir \u00fclkenin fiyat d\u00fczeyi endeksi, 100\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck ise bu \u00fclke kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke grubu ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re \u2018pahal\u0131\u2019, 100\u2019den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ise bu \u00fclke kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke grubu ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re \u2018ucuz\u2019 olarak ifade ediliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">En son 15 Haziran 2017 verilerine g\u00f6re; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2016 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketim mal ve hizmetlerine ili\u015fkin fiyat d\u00fczeyi endeksi 60 oldu. Bu de\u011fer, 28 Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) \u00fclkesi genelinde 100 Euro kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131nan ayn\u0131 mal ve hizmet sepetinin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 60 Euro kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ile sat\u0131n al\u0131nabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Burada 2016 kur seviyelerini tekrar hat\u0131rlamakta fayda var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalarda, 28 AB \u00fcyesi \u00fclke, 3 Avrupa Serbest Ticaret Birli\u011fi (EFTA) \u00fclkesi (\u0130svi\u00e7re, \u0130zlanda ve Norve\u00e7), 5 aday \u00fclke (T\u00fcrkiye, Makedonya, Karada\u011f, S\u0131rbistan ve Arnavutluk) ve 1 potansiyel aday \u00fclke (Bosna-Hersek) kapsand\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yukar\u0131daki veriler ortada. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fersizle\u015ftirilmi\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, Avrupa\u2019da 100 Euro\u2019ya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 burada 60 Euro\u2019ya alabiliyorsunuz. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 bu kadar ucuz olmamal\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun bedeli devletimizin y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 tutar\u0131 \u00f6demesi ve akabinde y\u00fcksek vergidir. Kurlar d\u00fc\u015ferken d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fen maliyetlerle birlikte enflasyon da d\u00fc\u015febilecek.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"turk-lirasi-degeri-ve-pahalilik-iliskisi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011feri ve pahal\u0131l\u0131k ili\u015fkisi","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":159,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":16909,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":16810,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011feri ve pahal\u0131l\u0131k ili\u015fkisi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Bildi\u011finiz gibi, 2016\u2019da dolar\/TL paritesi 2.82-3.04 band\u0131nda hareket etmi\u015fti. 2017\u2019nin ilk 6 ay\u0131nda ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 3.48-3.85 band\u0131nda daha \u00e7ok a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filimli olarak hareket etti. EUR\/TL ise 2016\u2019da 3.25 seviyelerinde, 2017 ilk 6 ay\u0131nda da 3.95 civar\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Genelde kurlar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu zaman \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re pahal\u0131 oldu\u011fu senaryolar\u0131 yaz\u0131l\u0131r, \u00e7izilir. Rekabet\u00e7i olmak i\u00e7in kurlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi gereklili\u011fi s\u00fcrekli i\u015flenir. Kurlar y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e bu senaryo tekrar tekrar oynan\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Peki bu ne kadar ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7mi\u015fi \u015f\u00f6yle bir hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m; 2005\u2019te dolar\/TL 1.59 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. <\/span><span class=\"large\">O zaman kurlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi gereklili\u011finin alt\u0131 \u00e7iziliyordu; sebep ihracatta fiyat rekabeti yakalamakt\u0131. 2011\u2019e kadar dolar\/TL 2.59\u2019lara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Ayn\u0131 sesler doymad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in h\u00e2l\u00e2 bu yetmez dediler. 2013\u2019te 3 seviyesinin \u00fczeri denendi. Yine yetmedi ve 2016\u2019da 3.83 ve 2017 ilk 6 ay\u0131nda da en y\u00fcksek 4.1803 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Peki, \u015fimdi rekabet\u00e7i olduk mu ger\u00e7ekten? Kurlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 itip T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 de\u011fersiz yapmak ihracat avantaj\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131 m\u0131? <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bence hay\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc h\u00e2l\u00e2 ciddi fiyat rekabetinin yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Demek ki bu safsatalarla kurun yukar\u0131 itilmesi bahanesi samimi de\u011fil. Kur her yukar\u0131 itildi\u011finde bizler fakirle\u015fiyoruz. Mal\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n d\u00f6viz baz\u0131nda de\u011feri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bunun yan\u0131nda as\u0131l problem, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f borcunun TL kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fclkeler paras\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fersizle\u015ftirerek kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc elde edemez. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc girdileri tamamen d\u00f6vize endeksli. Bir yandan enerji di\u011fer yandan hammadde fiyatlar\u0131, kur nedeniyle artar. B\u00f6ylece y\u00fckselen maliyetler nedeniyle fiyatlar y\u00fckselir ancak k\u00e2r y\u00fckselmez. Aksine k\u00e2r marj\u0131 piyasadaki durgunlu\u011fun da etkisiyle d\u00fc\u015fer. Kurlar y\u00fckselirken artan maliyet nedeniyle fiyat rekabeti yap\u0131lamaz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada sorun verimlilik ve \u00f6l\u00e7ek sorunu. Sabit maliyetleri optimize edecek b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn yakalanmas\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 her de\u011fer kaybetti\u011finde daha fazla g\u00fcven kaybedecek ve kimse T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 tutmak istemeyecek. O zaman herkes dolarize olacak, ekonomi dolara duyarl\u0131 olacak. Oyunun arka y\u00fcz\u00fc tamamen budur. Kurlarla enflasyon ve ekonomiye do\u011frudan etki edilebilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu d\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fc paritesi verilerini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. Fiyat d\u00fczeyi endeksi, \u00fclkelerin ulusal para birimlerinin kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmal\u0131 olarak d\u00f6viz kuruna g\u00f6re al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00f6stergesidir. Bir \u00fclkenin fiyat d\u00fczeyi endeksi, 100\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck ise bu \u00fclke kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke grubu ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re \u2018pahal\u0131\u2019, 100\u2019den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ise bu \u00fclke kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke grubu ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re \u2018ucuz\u2019 olarak ifade ediliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">En son 15 Haziran 2017 verilerine g\u00f6re; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2016 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re t\u00fcketim mal ve hizmetlerine ili\u015fkin fiyat d\u00fczeyi endeksi 60 oldu. Bu de\u011fer, 28 Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) \u00fclkesi genelinde 100 Euro kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131nan ayn\u0131 mal ve hizmet sepetinin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 60 Euro kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ile sat\u0131n al\u0131nabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Burada 2016 kur seviyelerini tekrar hat\u0131rlamakta fayda var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalarda, 28 AB \u00fcyesi \u00fclke, 3 Avrupa Serbest Ticaret Birli\u011fi (EFTA) \u00fclkesi (\u0130svi\u00e7re, \u0130zlanda ve Norve\u00e7), 5 aday \u00fclke (T\u00fcrkiye, Makedonya, Karada\u011f, S\u0131rbistan ve Arnavutluk) ve 1 potansiyel aday \u00fclke (Bosna-Hersek) kapsand\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Yukar\u0131daki veriler ortada. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fersizle\u015ftirilmi\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, Avrupa\u2019da 100 Euro\u2019ya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 burada 60 Euro\u2019ya alabiliyorsunuz. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 bu kadar ucuz olmamal\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun bedeli devletimizin y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 tutar\u0131 \u00f6demesi ve akabinde y\u00fcksek vergidir. Kurlar d\u00fc\u015ferken d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fen maliyetlerle birlikte enflasyon da d\u00fc\u015febilecek.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"turk-lirasi-degeri-ve-pahalilik-iliskisi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011feri ve pahal\u0131l\u0131k ili\u015fkisi","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":159,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}