{"status":true,"post":{"id":15255,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:55:28","created_at":"2016-11-27T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:55:28.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":15255,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcketicinin piyasalara g\u00fcveni nas\u0131l?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli sinyaller verir. T\u00fcketicinin harcama konusunda kendini rahat hissetmesi i\u00e7in ekonomiye ve gelece\u011fe olan g\u00fcveninin y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik kayg\u0131s\u0131 olanlar, \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6remeyenler hemen harcama e\u011filimlerini azalt\u0131r ve tasarruf e\u011filimlerini art\u0131r\u0131rlar. O zaman piyasalarda durgunluk ba\u015f g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flar. B\u00f6ylece sat\u0131\u015flarda yava\u015flama kendini g\u00f6sterir. Daha sonra da yat\u0131r\u0131m iste\u011finin azalmas\u0131yla birlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda daralma ba\u015flar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu geli\u015fmeler nedeniyle t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenini takip etmek \u00f6nemli. Harcama iste\u011fi buradan net g\u00f6r\u00fcnece\u011finden gelecekte piyasalarda canl\u0131l\u0131k veya durgunluk beklendi\u011fine dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 buralarda bulmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u00dcKET\u0130M E\u011e\u0130L\u0130M\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ve T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen t\u00fcketici e\u011filim anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hesaplanan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi 22 Kas\u0131m 2016 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.9 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131; ekim ay\u0131nda 74.04 olan endeks de\u011feri kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 68.93 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu veri t\u00fcketicinin t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminde azalma olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. T\u00fcketici e\u011filimi 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rakamlar\u0131na yak\u0131n olsa da 2015 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re h\u00e2l\u00e2 iyi bir veri. Yani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00fcnyan\u0131n sonu de\u011fil. Burada daha fazla devam edip etmeyece\u011fi takip edilmeli. Her d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f talep e\u011filiminde daralma olabilme ihtimalinin artmas\u0131 demektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S\u0131rayla detaylara bakal\u0131m\u2026<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>GENEL EKONOM\u0130K DURUM<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hanenin maddi durum beklentisi endeksi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.4 oran\u0131nda azalarak kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 89.01 oldu. Bu azal\u0131\u015f, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanenin maddi durumunun daha iyi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekleyenlerin oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinden kaynakland\u0131. K\u0131sacas\u0131 biraz daha az kazanabiliriz demek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekim ay\u0131nda 101.62 olan genel ekonomik durum beklentisi endeksi y\u00fczde 6.5 oran\u0131nda azalarak, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 95.06 oldu. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde genel ekonomik durumun daha iyi olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde beklentisi olan t\u00fcketicilerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi endeksi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.6 oran\u0131nda azalarak, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 71.3 oldu. Bu azal\u0131\u015f, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleyenlerin azalmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TASARRUF \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tasarruf etme ihtimali endeksi y\u00fczde 12.7 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda 23.27 olan endeks, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 20.33 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, t\u00fcketicilerin gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde tasarruf etme ihtimallerinin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Bu veri \u015fu ana kadar olan verilerden \u00e7ok daha \u00f6nemli. Zira gelirde azalma, genel ekonomik ortamda daha karamsar olma ayr\u0131 bir \u015feydir. Tasarruf etme e\u011filiminin de bunlarla beraber azalmas\u0131 kazan\u0131lamayan paran\u0131n tasarrufu da olmaz demek. K\u0131sacas\u0131 daralma ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme demek. Bu psikolojik beklentileri bir an \u00f6nce d\u00fczeltecek tedbirler al\u0131nmal\u0131. Aksi halde 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 bizleri bir hayli terletebilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketicinin-piyasalara-guveni-nasil","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketicinin piyasalara g\u00fcveni nas\u0131l?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":206,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":15354,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":15255,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcketicinin piyasalara g\u00fcveni nas\u0131l?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli sinyaller verir. T\u00fcketicinin harcama konusunda kendini rahat hissetmesi i\u00e7in ekonomiye ve gelece\u011fe olan g\u00fcveninin y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik kayg\u0131s\u0131 olanlar, \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6remeyenler hemen harcama e\u011filimlerini azalt\u0131r ve tasarruf e\u011filimlerini art\u0131r\u0131rlar. O zaman piyasalarda durgunluk ba\u015f g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flar. B\u00f6ylece sat\u0131\u015flarda yava\u015flama kendini g\u00f6sterir. Daha sonra da yat\u0131r\u0131m iste\u011finin azalmas\u0131yla birlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda daralma ba\u015flar.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu geli\u015fmeler nedeniyle t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenini takip etmek \u00f6nemli. Harcama iste\u011fi buradan net g\u00f6r\u00fcnece\u011finden gelecekte piyasalarda canl\u0131l\u0131k veya durgunluk beklendi\u011fine dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 buralarda bulmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u00dcKET\u0130M E\u011e\u0130L\u0130M\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ve T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen t\u00fcketici e\u011filim anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hesaplanan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi 22 Kas\u0131m 2016 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.9 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131; ekim ay\u0131nda 74.04 olan endeks de\u011feri kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 68.93 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu veri t\u00fcketicinin t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminde azalma olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. T\u00fcketici e\u011filimi 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck rakamlar\u0131na yak\u0131n olsa da 2015 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re h\u00e2l\u00e2 iyi bir veri. Yani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00fcnyan\u0131n sonu de\u011fil. Burada daha fazla devam edip etmeyece\u011fi takip edilmeli. Her d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f talep e\u011filiminde daralma olabilme ihtimalinin artmas\u0131 demektir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S\u0131rayla detaylara bakal\u0131m\u2026<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>GENEL EKONOM\u0130K DURUM<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hanenin maddi durum beklentisi endeksi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.4 oran\u0131nda azalarak kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 89.01 oldu. Bu azal\u0131\u015f, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanenin maddi durumunun daha iyi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekleyenlerin oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinden kaynakland\u0131. K\u0131sacas\u0131 biraz daha az kazanabiliriz demek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ekim ay\u0131nda 101.62 olan genel ekonomik durum beklentisi endeksi y\u00fczde 6.5 oran\u0131nda azalarak, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 95.06 oldu. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde genel ekonomik durumun daha iyi olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde beklentisi olan t\u00fcketicilerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi endeksi bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.6 oran\u0131nda azalarak, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 71.3 oldu. Bu azal\u0131\u015f, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekleyenlerin azalmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TASARRUF \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tasarruf etme ihtimali endeksi y\u00fczde 12.7 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda 23.27 olan endeks, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 20.33 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, t\u00fcketicilerin gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde tasarruf etme ihtimallerinin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Bu veri \u015fu ana kadar olan verilerden \u00e7ok daha \u00f6nemli. Zira gelirde azalma, genel ekonomik ortamda daha karamsar olma ayr\u0131 bir \u015feydir. Tasarruf etme e\u011filiminin de bunlarla beraber azalmas\u0131 kazan\u0131lamayan paran\u0131n tasarrufu da olmaz demek. K\u0131sacas\u0131 daralma ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme demek. Bu psikolojik beklentileri bir an \u00f6nce d\u00fczeltecek tedbirler al\u0131nmal\u0131. Aksi halde 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 bizleri bir hayli terletebilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketicinin-piyasalara-guveni-nasil","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketicinin piyasalara g\u00fcveni nas\u0131l?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":206,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}