{"status":true,"post":{"id":17992,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:25:35","created_at":"2018-02-25T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:25:35.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17992,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin ekonomiye etkileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 20 \u015eubat 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu verilere g\u00f6re \u015fubat ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.1 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131. Ocak ay\u0131nda 72.33 olan endeks \u015fubat ay\u0131nda 72.25 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ocak ve \u015fubat aylar\u0131nda hemen hemen de\u011fi\u015fmemi\u015f durumda.<img style=\"\" src=\"\/Archive\/Content\/1220202212395263a1ad18c09f918091.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"\" height=\"\" class=\"contentImg\"><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Grafi\u011fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem verilerinin s\u0131ras\u0131yla 66.9 ve 65.7 oldu\u011funu ve 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda verilerin ge\u00e7en senenin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re daha da d\u00fczeldi\u011fini g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Bunun yan\u0131nda 2016 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde ise t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin s\u0131ras\u0131yla 66.9 ve 65.7 oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlarsak, gerek 2016 gerekse 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek bir t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi rakam\u0131 g\u00f6rmekteyiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hedefimiz s\u00f6z konusu rakamlar\u0131 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131r. Ancak o zaman pozitif ve dinamik bir piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131ndan bahsedebilece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S\u00f6z konusu endeks neden \u00f6nemli? Bu endeksle hangi beklentiler sorgulan\u0131yor?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ayl\u0131k T\u00fcketici E\u011filim Anketi ile t\u00fcketicilerin ki\u015fisel mali durumlar\u0131 ve genel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin mevcut durum de\u011ferlendirmeleri ve gelecek d\u00f6nem beklentileri ile yak\u0131n gelecekteki harcama ve tasarruf e\u011filimlerinin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi ama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevcut durum de\u011ferlendirmeleri, beklentiler ve e\u011filimler a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki konu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Ki\u015fisel mali durum:<\/strong><\/span> T\u00fcketicinin, ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanesine ait maddi durumu, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanesine ait maddi durumu ile ilgili beklentisi, hanesi i\u00e7in mali durum de\u011ferlendirmesi, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde bor\u00e7 kullanma ihtimali. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Genel ekonomi:<\/strong><\/span> T\u00fcketicinin ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin genel ekonomik durumuna ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin genel ekonomik durumuna ili\u015fkin beklentisi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi, mevcut d\u00f6nemin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in uygunlu\u011funa ili\u015fkin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, mevcut d\u00f6nemin tasarruf etmek i\u00e7in uygunlu\u011funa ili\u015fkin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimine ili\u015fkin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimine ili\u015fkin beklentisi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u00fccretlerin de\u011fi\u015fimine ili\u015fkin beklentisi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Harcama ve tasarruf e\u011filimleri:<\/strong> <\/span>T\u00fcketicinin, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde yar\u0131-dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik harcama yapma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik harcama yapma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde otomobil sat\u0131n alma ihtimali, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde konut sat\u0131n alma veya in\u015fa ettirme ihtimali, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde konut tamirat\u0131 i\u00e7in para harcama ihtimali ve gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nem i\u00e7erisinde tasarruf etme ihtimali.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki alt endekslerden hesaplanmaktad\u0131r:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanenin maddi durum beklentisi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde genel ekonomik durum beklentisi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi ve gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde tasarruf etme ihtimali.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere sadece bir endeks deyip ge\u00e7memek laz\u0131m. Arkas\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a fazla anlam y\u00fckl\u00fc rakamlar var ve bize bu rakamlar yukar\u0131da belirtti\u011fimiz ki\u015fisel mali durum, genel ekonomi ve harcama ve tasarruf e\u011filimleri konusunda t\u00fcketicilerin morali nas\u0131l onu g\u00f6steriyor. 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda karamsar beklentilerin hakim oldu\u011fu bir durumu yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, hedefi 100 rakam\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczeri olarak belirledik.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni e\u011fer 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilirse, o zaman ekonomisine g\u00fcvenen ve gelece\u011fe karamsar bakmayan bir t\u00fcketici grubundan bahsedebiliriz ki, b\u00f6yle durumlarda ekonominin de dinamizmi olduk\u00e7a h\u0131zlan\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketici-guveninin-ekonomiye-etkileri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin ekonomiye etkileri","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":91,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18091,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17992,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin ekonomiye etkileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 20 \u015eubat 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu verilere g\u00f6re \u015fubat ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0.1 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131. Ocak ay\u0131nda 72.33 olan endeks \u015fubat ay\u0131nda 72.25 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durumda t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni ocak ve \u015fubat aylar\u0131nda hemen hemen de\u011fi\u015fmemi\u015f durumda.<img style=\"\" src=\"\/Archive\/Content\/1220202212395263a1ad18c09f918091.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"\" height=\"\" class=\"contentImg\"><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Grafi\u011fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem verilerinin s\u0131ras\u0131yla 66.9 ve 65.7 oldu\u011funu ve 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda verilerin ge\u00e7en senenin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re daha da d\u00fczeldi\u011fini g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Bunun yan\u0131nda 2016 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde ise t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin s\u0131ras\u0131yla 66.9 ve 65.7 oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlarsak, gerek 2016 gerekse 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek bir t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi rakam\u0131 g\u00f6rmekteyiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hedefimiz s\u00f6z konusu rakamlar\u0131 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131r. Ancak o zaman pozitif ve dinamik bir piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131ndan bahsedebilece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S\u00f6z konusu endeks neden \u00f6nemli? Bu endeksle hangi beklentiler sorgulan\u0131yor?<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ayl\u0131k T\u00fcketici E\u011filim Anketi ile t\u00fcketicilerin ki\u015fisel mali durumlar\u0131 ve genel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin mevcut durum de\u011ferlendirmeleri ve gelecek d\u00f6nem beklentileri ile yak\u0131n gelecekteki harcama ve tasarruf e\u011filimlerinin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi ama\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevcut durum de\u011ferlendirmeleri, beklentiler ve e\u011filimler a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki konu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcyor:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Ki\u015fisel mali durum:<\/strong><\/span> T\u00fcketicinin, ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanesine ait maddi durumu, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanesine ait maddi durumu ile ilgili beklentisi, hanesi i\u00e7in mali durum de\u011ferlendirmesi, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde bor\u00e7 kullanma ihtimali. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Genel ekonomi:<\/strong><\/span> T\u00fcketicinin ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin genel ekonomik durumuna ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin genel ekonomik durumuna ili\u015fkin beklentisi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi, mevcut d\u00f6nemin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in uygunlu\u011funa ili\u015fkin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, mevcut d\u00f6nemin tasarruf etmek i\u00e7in uygunlu\u011funa ili\u015fkin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimine ili\u015fkin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fimine ili\u015fkin beklentisi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u00fccretlerin de\u011fi\u015fimine ili\u015fkin beklentisi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>Harcama ve tasarruf e\u011filimleri:<\/strong> <\/span>T\u00fcketicinin, gelecek 3 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde yar\u0131-dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik harcama yapma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik harcama yapma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde otomobil sat\u0131n alma ihtimali, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde konut sat\u0131n alma veya in\u015fa ettirme ihtimali, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde konut tamirat\u0131 i\u00e7in para harcama ihtimali ve gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nem i\u00e7erisinde tasarruf etme ihtimali.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki alt endekslerden hesaplanmaktad\u0131r:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde hanenin maddi durum beklentisi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde genel ekonomik durum beklentisi, gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi ve gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde tasarruf etme ihtimali.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere sadece bir endeks deyip ge\u00e7memek laz\u0131m. Arkas\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a fazla anlam y\u00fckl\u00fc rakamlar var ve bize bu rakamlar yukar\u0131da belirtti\u011fimiz ki\u015fisel mali durum, genel ekonomi ve harcama ve tasarruf e\u011filimleri konusunda t\u00fcketicilerin morali nas\u0131l onu g\u00f6steriyor. 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda karamsar beklentilerin hakim oldu\u011fu bir durumu yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, hedefi 100 rakam\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczeri olarak belirledik.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni e\u011fer 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilirse, o zaman ekonomisine g\u00fcvenen ve gelece\u011fe karamsar bakmayan bir t\u00fcketici grubundan bahsedebiliriz ki, b\u00f6yle durumlarda ekonominin de dinamizmi olduk\u00e7a h\u0131zlan\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketici-guveninin-ekonomiye-etkileri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin ekonomiye etkileri","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":91,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}