{"status":true,"post":{"id":21028,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:59:39","created_at":"2019-10-24T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:59:39.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21028,"is_featured":0,"title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeks verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu sitesinde yay\u0131nlanan b\u00fcltene g\u00f6re; mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, ekim ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.1 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 55.8 olan endeks, ekim ay\u0131nda 57 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Grafikte de g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere 55 seviyelerini test eden t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi bir miktar yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak verdi\u011fi mesaj h\u00e2l\u00e2 ayn\u0131d\u0131r. T\u00fcketici h\u00e2l\u00e2 gelece\u011fe karamsar bak\u0131yor. Endeks verisi 10 ve \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda t\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flayacak. Ancak o zaman t\u00fcketici harcama e\u011filimi artabilecek. Bu endeks i\u00e7 piyasadaki durgunlu\u011fun da <\/span><span class=\"large\">bir yans\u0131mas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TASARRUF ETME \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130 ENDEKS\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelecek 12 ay i\u00e7in hane halk\u0131 maddi durum beklentisi Eyl\u00fcl 2019 ay\u0131nda 71 iken, Ekim 2019 ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.4 oran\u0131nda artarak 73.4 oldu. Burada h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir hava hakim olsa da beklentileri iyimserli\u011fe \u00e7evirme ihtimali daha kolay g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Burada \u00f6zellikle dikkatinizi tasarruf etme ihtimali endeksine \u00e7ekmek istiyoruz. Tasarruf etme ihtimali endeksi (gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin) eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 22.80 iken, ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.2 oran\u0131nda artarak 22.84 olabildi. Son derece karamsar bir endeks. Bu durum t\u00fcketici gelirinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde tasarruf edilebilir d\u00fczeyde olmayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu durum ya\u015fanan y\u00fcksek kur-y\u00fcksek enflasyon-y\u00fcksek faiz d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn bir sonucudur. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130 \u00d6NCE GEL\u0130RDE RAHATLAMALI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketici gelir seviyesindeki art\u0131\u015f, i\u015fsizlikte azalma sa\u011flanabildi\u011fi takdirde t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksleri de artmaya ba\u015flayacak. Burada kritik husus, insanlar\u0131n gelece\u011fe umutla bak\u0131p bakmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bize anlatan bu endeks, asl\u0131nda ki\u015filerin davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 bize g\u00f6steriyor. \u015eimdilik h\u00e2l\u00e2 t\u00fcketici risk alabilecek bir ruh durumu i\u00e7erisinde olmay\u0131p, harcama konusunda son derece isteksiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; piyasada canlanma, t\u00fcketicinin gelece\u011fe umutla bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 100 endeks ve \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. T\u00fcketici \u00f6nce gelirde rahatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeli. Daha sonra harcama konusunda daha rahat olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketici-guven-endeks-verilerinin-verdigi-mesajlar","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeks verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":591,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21127,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21028,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeks verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu sitesinde yay\u0131nlanan b\u00fcltene g\u00f6re; mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, ekim ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.1 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 55.8 olan endeks, ekim ay\u0131nda 57 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Grafikte de g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere 55 seviyelerini test eden t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi bir miktar yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak verdi\u011fi mesaj h\u00e2l\u00e2 ayn\u0131d\u0131r. T\u00fcketici h\u00e2l\u00e2 gelece\u011fe karamsar bak\u0131yor. Endeks verisi 10 ve \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda t\u00fcketici davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flayacak. Ancak o zaman t\u00fcketici harcama e\u011filimi artabilecek. Bu endeks i\u00e7 piyasadaki durgunlu\u011fun da <\/span><span class=\"large\">bir yans\u0131mas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>TASARRUF ETME \u0130HT\u0130MAL\u0130 ENDEKS\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelecek 12 ay i\u00e7in hane halk\u0131 maddi durum beklentisi Eyl\u00fcl 2019 ay\u0131nda 71 iken, Ekim 2019 ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.4 oran\u0131nda artarak 73.4 oldu. Burada h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir hava hakim olsa da beklentileri iyimserli\u011fe \u00e7evirme ihtimali daha kolay g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Burada \u00f6zellikle dikkatinizi tasarruf etme ihtimali endeksine \u00e7ekmek istiyoruz. Tasarruf etme ihtimali endeksi (gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin) eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 22.80 iken, ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.2 oran\u0131nda artarak 22.84 olabildi. Son derece karamsar bir endeks. Bu durum t\u00fcketici gelirinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde tasarruf edilebilir d\u00fczeyde olmayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu durum ya\u015fanan y\u00fcksek kur-y\u00fcksek enflasyon-y\u00fcksek faiz d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn bir sonucudur. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u00dcKET\u0130C\u0130 \u00d6NCE GEL\u0130RDE RAHATLAMALI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketici gelir seviyesindeki art\u0131\u015f, i\u015fsizlikte azalma sa\u011flanabildi\u011fi takdirde t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksleri de artmaya ba\u015flayacak. Burada kritik husus, insanlar\u0131n gelece\u011fe umutla bak\u0131p bakmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bize anlatan bu endeks, asl\u0131nda ki\u015filerin davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 bize g\u00f6steriyor. \u015eimdilik h\u00e2l\u00e2 t\u00fcketici risk alabilecek bir ruh durumu i\u00e7erisinde olmay\u0131p, harcama konusunda son derece isteksiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; piyasada canlanma, t\u00fcketicinin gelece\u011fe umutla bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 100 endeks ve \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. T\u00fcketici \u00f6nce gelirde rahatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmeli. Daha sonra harcama konusunda daha rahat olacak.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tuketici-guven-endeks-verilerinin-verdigi-mesajlar","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeks verilerinin verdi\u011fi mesajlar","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":591,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}