{"status":true,"post":{"id":20817,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:56:53","created_at":"2019-08-22T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:56:53.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20817,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye f\u0131rsatlar","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Alman Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fc IFO\u2019nun son ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, 1 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den itibaren devreye girecek Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00c7in\u2019in ABD\u2019ye 300 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat\u0131na y\u00fczde 10 ek vergisinin, AB\u2019ye 1.5 milyar Euro, di\u011fer \u00fclkelere ise 3.8 milyar Euro ek ihracat geliri sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmekte. \u00c7in\u2019in ise bu ek vergilerle ABD\u2019ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihracatta 24.8 milyar Euro\u2019luk kay\u0131p ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 beklenmekte. Ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde, bu ek vergilerle, ABD\u2019nin 1.8 milyar Euro ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi geliri elde edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclse de ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019den iyi bir fiyata ithal etti\u011fi bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlere, \u2018Ticaret ve Kur Sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019 nedeniyle ek vergi uygulamas\u0131, bir ba\u015fka cepheden ABD i\u00e7in enflasyon riskini de beraberinde getirecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ayn\u0131 risk, \u2018Brexit\u2019 nedeniyle, AB\u2019den \u2018anla\u015fmas\u0131z\u2019 ayr\u0131l\u0131k noktas\u0131na gelmesi halinde, Britanya i\u00e7in de s\u00f6z konusu. Bu nedenle, ABD ile aras\u0131ndaki ticareti 100 milyar dolara y\u00fckseltmek ad\u0131na inisiyatif ortaya koyan ve \u2018Brexit\u2019 devreye girmeden Britanya ile olas\u0131 bir \u2018serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019 zemini i\u00e7in uzla\u015f\u0131 aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olan T\u00fcrkiye, gerek ABD\u2019ye, gerekse de Britanya\u2019ya, atacaklar\u0131 ad\u0131mlar nedeniyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak \u2018enflasyonist etki\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn T\u00fcrk ihra\u00e7 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinden ge\u00e7ti\u011fini hat\u0131rlatmal\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin rekabet edilebilir fiyatla ve y\u00fcksek kalitede d\u00fcnyaya ihra\u00e7 etti\u011fi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde, imalat sanayinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn ve g\u0131da ihracat\u0131nda da k\u00fcresel standartlar\u0131 yakalamas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131na ilk etapta 5 ile 10 milyar dolar ek gelir kazand\u0131r\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in ise \u2018kur manip\u00fclat\u00f6r\u00fc\u2019 olarak ilan edilmesinden duydu\u011fu rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok net ortaya koyarken, Trump y\u00f6netiminin 1 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den ge\u00e7erli ek vergilerine misilleme olarak, ABD \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00fczde 10 ek vergi uygulamas\u0131 halinde, \u00c7in\u2019in kayb\u0131 21.6 milyar Euro\u2019ya inebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, IFO\u2019nun raporu ABD\u2019nin 1.8 milyar ek gelirinin ise buhar olarak, 1.5 milyar zarara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi belirtmekte. T\u00fcm bu tablo, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin giderek \u2018sertle\u015fen\u2019 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131ndan ihracat hacmi i\u00e7in her t\u00fcrl\u00fc imkan\u0131 kullanabilece\u011fi bir ekosistem olu\u015ftu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, G\u00fcney Kore \u00f6rne\u011finden \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131 derslerle, serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 yap\u0131lan \u00fclkenin ihracat\u0131na yarayan de\u011fil, \u2018kazan-kazan\u2019a dayal\u0131 STA\u2019lara da yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131 gerekmekte.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, \u2018ekonomik istihbarat\u2019a dayal\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma birimleri olu\u015fturarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen g\u00fc\u00e7 merkezleri aras\u0131ndaki ticaret ve teknoloji sava\u015flar\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik f\u0131rsatlar\u0131, ihracat\u0131 katlayacak f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirecek raporlar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekecek. \u2018Stratejik Ak\u0131l\u2019a dayal\u0131 metodolojiyle, mal ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, hizmet ihracat\u0131yla da Avrasya\u2019y\u0131 etkili pazar haline getirirsek, 2030\u2019da 500 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131na imza atabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>K\u00dcRESEL EKONOM\u0130K \u0130KL\u0130M BOZULUYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Haz\u0131r (in addition to), merkezi M\u00fcnih\u2019te bulunan Alman Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc IFO\u2019nun ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131ndan s\u00f6z ederken, enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn 116 \u00fclkeden bin 173 uzman\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine ili\u015fkin D\u00fcnya Ekonomi Anketi\u2019nin (WES) sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na da de\u011finmemizde yarar var. Her \u00e7eyrek s\u00f6z konusu anketi d\u00fczenleyen enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn tespiti, 2019\u2019un ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde eksi 2.4 puan olan endeksin, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte 7.7 puan daha d\u00fc\u015ferek, eksi 10.1 puana geriledi\u011fi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">IFO, endeksteki bu gerilemeyi \u2018d\u00fcnya ekonomik iklimi bozuldu\u2019 olarak tan\u0131mlam\u0131\u015f. Ekonomik durum ve beklentiler endeksleri \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterirken, ticari ihtilaflar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 da d\u00fcnya ekonomisine \u00f6nemli derecede zarar vermekte. IFO Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Clemens Fuest, d\u00fcnya ekonomisine dair iklimin b\u00fct\u00fcn b\u00f6lgelerde bozuldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatarak, uzmanlar\u0131n geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelere, Asya\u2019n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan ve y\u00fckselen ekonomilerine y\u00f6nelik durum de\u011ferlendirmelerini ve hem de beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya do\u011fru revize ettiklerini vurguluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn anketine kat\u0131lan uzmanlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticarette \u00e7ok daha zay\u0131f bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklediklerini bildiren Fuest, ankete kat\u0131lan uzmanlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticarete y\u00f6nelik beklentilerini, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki ticaret \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indirdiklerine i\u015faret etmi\u015f. Uzmanlar, ayn\u0131 zamanda daha zay\u0131f \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131m, k\u0131sa ve uzun vadeli faiz oranlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklemekteler.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ticaret-savaslarinda-turkiyeye-firsatlar","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye f\u0131rsatlar","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":513,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":20916,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20817,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye f\u0131rsatlar","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Alman Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fc IFO\u2019nun son ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, 1 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den itibaren devreye girecek Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00c7in\u2019in ABD\u2019ye 300 milyar dolarl\u0131k ihracat\u0131na y\u00fczde 10 ek vergisinin, AB\u2019ye 1.5 milyar Euro, di\u011fer \u00fclkelere ise 3.8 milyar Euro ek ihracat geliri sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmekte. \u00c7in\u2019in ise bu ek vergilerle ABD\u2019ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihracatta 24.8 milyar Euro\u2019luk kay\u0131p ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 beklenmekte. Ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde, bu ek vergilerle, ABD\u2019nin 1.8 milyar Euro ilave g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi geliri elde edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclse de ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019den iyi bir fiyata ithal etti\u011fi bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlere, \u2018Ticaret ve Kur Sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019 nedeniyle ek vergi uygulamas\u0131, bir ba\u015fka cepheden ABD i\u00e7in enflasyon riskini de beraberinde getirecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ayn\u0131 risk, \u2018Brexit\u2019 nedeniyle, AB\u2019den \u2018anla\u015fmas\u0131z\u2019 ayr\u0131l\u0131k noktas\u0131na gelmesi halinde, Britanya i\u00e7in de s\u00f6z konusu. Bu nedenle, ABD ile aras\u0131ndaki ticareti 100 milyar dolara y\u00fckseltmek ad\u0131na inisiyatif ortaya koyan ve \u2018Brexit\u2019 devreye girmeden Britanya ile olas\u0131 bir \u2018serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019 zemini i\u00e7in uzla\u015f\u0131 aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olan T\u00fcrkiye, gerek ABD\u2019ye, gerekse de Britanya\u2019ya, atacaklar\u0131 ad\u0131mlar nedeniyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak \u2018enflasyonist etki\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn T\u00fcrk ihra\u00e7 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinden ge\u00e7ti\u011fini hat\u0131rlatmal\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin rekabet edilebilir fiyatla ve y\u00fcksek kalitede d\u00fcnyaya ihra\u00e7 etti\u011fi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde, imalat sanayinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn ve g\u0131da ihracat\u0131nda da k\u00fcresel standartlar\u0131 yakalamas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ihracat\u0131na ilk etapta 5 ile 10 milyar dolar ek gelir kazand\u0131r\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in ise \u2018kur manip\u00fclat\u00f6r\u00fc\u2019 olarak ilan edilmesinden duydu\u011fu rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok net ortaya koyarken, Trump y\u00f6netiminin 1 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den ge\u00e7erli ek vergilerine misilleme olarak, ABD \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00fczde 10 ek vergi uygulamas\u0131 halinde, \u00c7in\u2019in kayb\u0131 21.6 milyar Euro\u2019ya inebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, IFO\u2019nun raporu ABD\u2019nin 1.8 milyar ek gelirinin ise buhar olarak, 1.5 milyar zarara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi belirtmekte. T\u00fcm bu tablo, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin giderek \u2018sertle\u015fen\u2019 ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131ndan ihracat hacmi i\u00e7in her t\u00fcrl\u00fc imkan\u0131 kullanabilece\u011fi bir ekosistem olu\u015ftu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, G\u00fcney Kore \u00f6rne\u011finden \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131 derslerle, serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131 yap\u0131lan \u00fclkenin ihracat\u0131na yarayan de\u011fil, \u2018kazan-kazan\u2019a dayal\u0131 STA\u2019lara da yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131 gerekmekte.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, \u2018ekonomik istihbarat\u2019a dayal\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma birimleri olu\u015fturarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen g\u00fc\u00e7 merkezleri aras\u0131ndaki ticaret ve teknoloji sava\u015flar\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik f\u0131rsatlar\u0131, ihracat\u0131 katlayacak f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirecek raporlar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekecek. \u2018Stratejik Ak\u0131l\u2019a dayal\u0131 metodolojiyle, mal ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, hizmet ihracat\u0131yla da Avrasya\u2019y\u0131 etkili pazar haline getirirsek, 2030\u2019da 500 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131na imza atabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>K\u00dcRESEL EKONOM\u0130K \u0130KL\u0130M BOZULUYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Haz\u0131r (in addition to), merkezi M\u00fcnih\u2019te bulunan Alman Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc IFO\u2019nun ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131ndan s\u00f6z ederken, enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn 116 \u00fclkeden bin 173 uzman\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fine ili\u015fkin D\u00fcnya Ekonomi Anketi\u2019nin (WES) sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na da de\u011finmemizde yarar var. Her \u00e7eyrek s\u00f6z konusu anketi d\u00fczenleyen enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn tespiti, 2019\u2019un ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde eksi 2.4 puan olan endeksin, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte 7.7 puan daha d\u00fc\u015ferek, eksi 10.1 puana geriledi\u011fi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">IFO, endeksteki bu gerilemeyi \u2018d\u00fcnya ekonomik iklimi bozuldu\u2019 olarak tan\u0131mlam\u0131\u015f. Ekonomik durum ve beklentiler endeksleri \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterirken, ticari ihtilaflar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 da d\u00fcnya ekonomisine \u00f6nemli derecede zarar vermekte. IFO Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Clemens Fuest, d\u00fcnya ekonomisine dair iklimin b\u00fct\u00fcn b\u00f6lgelerde bozuldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatarak, uzmanlar\u0131n geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelere, Asya\u2019n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan ve y\u00fckselen ekonomilerine y\u00f6nelik durum de\u011ferlendirmelerini ve hem de beklentilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya do\u011fru revize ettiklerini vurguluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enstit\u00fcn\u00fcn anketine kat\u0131lan uzmanlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticarette \u00e7ok daha zay\u0131f bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklediklerini bildiren Fuest, ankete kat\u0131lan uzmanlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ticarete y\u00f6nelik beklentilerini, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki ticaret \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indirdiklerine i\u015faret etmi\u015f. Uzmanlar, ayn\u0131 zamanda daha zay\u0131f \u00f6zel t\u00fcketim, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck yat\u0131r\u0131m, k\u0131sa ve uzun vadeli faiz oranlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklemekteler.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ticaret-savaslarinda-turkiyeye-firsatlar","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye f\u0131rsatlar","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":513,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}