{"status":true,"post":{"id":20372,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:51:10","created_at":"2019-05-19T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:51:10.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20372,"is_featured":0,"title":"Tar\u0131mda hedef 70 milyar dolar","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda toplam n\u00fcfusu 62.5 milyon iken ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 milyon m\u00fclteci topraklar\u0131m\u0131zda ya\u015farken, 34 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde tar\u0131msal \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyor; 2 milyar dolar civar\u0131ndaki \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ihra\u00e7 ediyor, 1 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda da ithal ediyorduk. Toplamda 63.5 milyonluk n\u00fcfusu ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na 530 dolarl\u0131k bir tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131yla doyuruyorduk. 2005\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimi 46.3 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131; 69 milyon n\u00fcfusu ve 1.5 milyon m\u00fclteciyi ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na 630 dolarl\u0131k tar\u0131m arz\u0131 ile doyuruyorduk.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>N\u00dcFUS VE TUR\u0130ST SAYISI ARTTI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelen turist say\u0131s\u0131 da 12 milyondan 24 milyona ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2010 ile 2015 aras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimi ortalama 67 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde bir \u00e7\u0131taya oturdu; ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131 ise 810 dolara. Ancak 2015 ile 2018 aras\u0131 tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimimiz 57 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015ferken; esas ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131 640 dolara geriledi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015 ile 2018 aras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin n\u00fcfusu 82 milyona, m\u00fclteci say\u0131s\u0131 4.8 milyona, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelen turist say\u0131s\u0131 ise 46 milyona ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu tablonun t\u00fcm\u00fc \u015funa i\u015faret ediyor: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ya\u015fayan insan say\u0131s\u0131 2023\u2019e do\u011fru 90 milyona do\u011fru ilerlerken, gelen turist say\u0131s\u0131 60 milyonu ge\u00e7ecek gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcrken, tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimin de TL olarak 213.4 milyar TL\u2019den 400 milyar TL\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fcne, dolar cinsinden ise 70 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00dcRET\u0130M SEFERBERL\u0130\u011e\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bunun anlam\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131n\u0131n 800 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fart oldu\u011fu. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn ihracat\u0131 25 milyar dolara do\u011fru ko\u015farken, hem tar\u0131m ihracat\u0131m\u0131zda iddiam\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp hem de y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda \u2018tar\u0131m-g\u0131da enflasyonu\u2019nu y\u00fczde 2-4 band\u0131nda tutacak isek tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimimizi ikiye katlamam\u0131z gerekir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle, tar\u0131ma elveri\u015fli arazilerin korunmas\u0131 ve art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, tar\u0131mda kapal\u0131 sulama tekniklerine ge\u00e7ilmesi, verimlili\u011fi art\u0131racak her t\u00fcrl\u00fc teknolojik ve dijital imkan\u0131n seferber edilmesi, \u2018Sera A.\u015e.\u2019 projesi ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere tar\u0131msal \u00fcretime yeni bir \u00fcretim, paketleme, lojistik ve finansman modeli kazand\u0131racak her t\u00fcrl\u00fc ad\u0131m kritik \u00f6nemde. \u2018Tar\u0131mda \u00fcretim seferberli\u011fi\u2019, bilhassa 2030 sonras\u0131, k\u00fcresel tar\u0131m ve su arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin elini ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u0130CARET SAVA\u015eLARI \u2018KIRMIZI\u2019YA DAYANDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda, m\u00fczakereleri sert bir dille ve gerginli\u011fi t\u0131rmand\u0131rarak y\u00f6netmesi, Kanada ve Meksika ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin bekledi\u011fi tavizleri koparmas\u0131na imkan sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f olsa da ayn\u0131 metodolojinin \u00c7in ve AB kanad\u0131yla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen m\u00fczakerelerde ayn\u0131 sonucu vermedi\u011fi g\u00f6zleniyor. Bu da, \u015fu tehlikeyi beraberinde getiriyor: Trump y\u00f6netimi, \u00c7in\u2019e ve AB\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 mutlaka istedi\u011fi sonucu elde etmek i\u00e7in masada elini daha ne kadar sertle\u015ftirebilir? Uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar ve son 40 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcreci analiz etmi\u015f akademisyenler, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda ilk kez d\u00fcnya ekonomisine ve k\u00fcresel ticarete ciddi zarar verebilecek d\u00fczeyde \u2018k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi\u2019ye dayan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da daha da karma\u015f\u0131k hale getiren konu, m\u00fczakerenin sadece iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda \u00c7in lehine olan ticaret dengesizli\u011fini gidermeyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmamas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor. M\u00fczakerenin kritik \u00f6nemdeki bir noktas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in para birimi olan yuan\u0131 serbest dalgalanmaya b\u0131rakmas\u0131na; yani, de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na izin vermesine, bir di\u011fer ba\u015fl\u0131k olarak da \u00c7in\u2019in ABD devlet tahvillerine d\u00fczenli talep g\u00f6stermesine dayan\u0131yor. Oysa \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n rezervlerinde mart ay\u0131 sonu itibariyle 10 milyar dolar daha ABD tahvili azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 1980\u2019lerde, ABD ile Japonya m\u00fczakereleri y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, ABD temsilcisi Lighthizer\u2019\u0131n Japonya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nerilerinin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131 u\u00e7ak yap\u0131p, Japonlara geri u\u00e7urdu\u011fu rivayetleri yeniden hat\u0131rlan\u0131rken, \u00c7in\u2019in Japonya\u2019n\u0131n hatas\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlamayaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fuluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB kanad\u0131nda ise Merkel\u2019in hem \u00c7in\u2019e hem de ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 birlik \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 bir cephede; Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (Fed) faiz indirim \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 bir cephede, uluslararas\u0131 ekonomi ve finans \u00e7evrelerince \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc takip edilen bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019a tan\u0131k oluyoruz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tarimda-hedef-70-milyar-dolar","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Tar\u0131mda hedef 70 milyar dolar","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":347,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":20471,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20372,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Tar\u0131mda hedef 70 milyar dolar","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda toplam n\u00fcfusu 62.5 milyon iken ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 milyon m\u00fclteci topraklar\u0131m\u0131zda ya\u015farken, 34 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde tar\u0131msal \u00fcretim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyor; 2 milyar dolar civar\u0131ndaki \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ihra\u00e7 ediyor, 1 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda da ithal ediyorduk. Toplamda 63.5 milyonluk n\u00fcfusu ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na 530 dolarl\u0131k bir tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131yla doyuruyorduk. 2005\u2019de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimi 46.3 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131; 69 milyon n\u00fcfusu ve 1.5 milyon m\u00fclteciyi ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na 630 dolarl\u0131k tar\u0131m arz\u0131 ile doyuruyorduk.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>N\u00dcFUS VE TUR\u0130ST SAYISI ARTTI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelen turist say\u0131s\u0131 da 12 milyondan 24 milyona ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2010 ile 2015 aras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimi ortalama 67 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde bir \u00e7\u0131taya oturdu; ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131 ise 810 dolara. Ancak 2015 ile 2018 aras\u0131 tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimimiz 57 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015ferken; esas ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131 640 dolara geriledi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2015 ile 2018 aras\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin n\u00fcfusu 82 milyona, m\u00fclteci say\u0131s\u0131 4.8 milyona, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye gelen turist say\u0131s\u0131 ise 46 milyona ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu tablonun t\u00fcm\u00fc \u015funa i\u015faret ediyor: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ya\u015fayan insan say\u0131s\u0131 2023\u2019e do\u011fru 90 milyona do\u011fru ilerlerken, gelen turist say\u0131s\u0131 60 milyonu ge\u00e7ecek gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcrken, tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimin de TL olarak 213.4 milyar TL\u2019den 400 milyar TL\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fcne, dolar cinsinden ise 70 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u00dcRET\u0130M SEFERBERL\u0130\u011e\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bunun anlam\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn arz\u0131n\u0131n 800 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fart oldu\u011fu. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tar\u0131msal \u00fcr\u00fcn ihracat\u0131 25 milyar dolara do\u011fru ko\u015farken, hem tar\u0131m ihracat\u0131m\u0131zda iddiam\u0131z\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp hem de y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda \u2018tar\u0131m-g\u0131da enflasyonu\u2019nu y\u00fczde 2-4 band\u0131nda tutacak isek tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimimizi ikiye katlamam\u0131z gerekir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle, tar\u0131ma elveri\u015fli arazilerin korunmas\u0131 ve art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, tar\u0131mda kapal\u0131 sulama tekniklerine ge\u00e7ilmesi, verimlili\u011fi art\u0131racak her t\u00fcrl\u00fc teknolojik ve dijital imkan\u0131n seferber edilmesi, \u2018Sera A.\u015e.\u2019 projesi ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere tar\u0131msal \u00fcretime yeni bir \u00fcretim, paketleme, lojistik ve finansman modeli kazand\u0131racak her t\u00fcrl\u00fc ad\u0131m kritik \u00f6nemde. \u2018Tar\u0131mda \u00fcretim seferberli\u011fi\u2019, bilhassa 2030 sonras\u0131, k\u00fcresel tar\u0131m ve su arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin elini ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>T\u0130CARET SAVA\u015eLARI \u2018KIRMIZI\u2019YA DAYANDI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda, m\u00fczakereleri sert bir dille ve gerginli\u011fi t\u0131rmand\u0131rarak y\u00f6netmesi, Kanada ve Meksika ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin bekledi\u011fi tavizleri koparmas\u0131na imkan sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f olsa da ayn\u0131 metodolojinin \u00c7in ve AB kanad\u0131yla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen m\u00fczakerelerde ayn\u0131 sonucu vermedi\u011fi g\u00f6zleniyor. Bu da, \u015fu tehlikeyi beraberinde getiriyor: Trump y\u00f6netimi, \u00c7in\u2019e ve AB\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 mutlaka istedi\u011fi sonucu elde etmek i\u00e7in masada elini daha ne kadar sertle\u015ftirebilir? Uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar ve son 40 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcreci analiz etmi\u015f akademisyenler, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131nda ilk kez d\u00fcnya ekonomisine ve k\u00fcresel ticarete ciddi zarar verebilecek d\u00fczeyde \u2018k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi\u2019ye dayan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da daha da karma\u015f\u0131k hale getiren konu, m\u00fczakerenin sadece iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda \u00c7in lehine olan ticaret dengesizli\u011fini gidermeyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmamas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor. M\u00fczakerenin kritik \u00f6nemdeki bir noktas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in para birimi olan yuan\u0131 serbest dalgalanmaya b\u0131rakmas\u0131na; yani, de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na izin vermesine, bir di\u011fer ba\u015fl\u0131k olarak da \u00c7in\u2019in ABD devlet tahvillerine d\u00fczenli talep g\u00f6stermesine dayan\u0131yor. Oysa \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n rezervlerinde mart ay\u0131 sonu itibariyle 10 milyar dolar daha ABD tahvili azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 1980\u2019lerde, ABD ile Japonya m\u00fczakereleri y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, ABD temsilcisi Lighthizer\u2019\u0131n Japonya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nerilerinin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131 u\u00e7ak yap\u0131p, Japonlara geri u\u00e7urdu\u011fu rivayetleri yeniden hat\u0131rlan\u0131rken, \u00c7in\u2019in Japonya\u2019n\u0131n hatas\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlamayaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fuluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">AB kanad\u0131nda ise Merkel\u2019in hem \u00c7in\u2019e hem de ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 birlik \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 bir cephede; Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (Fed) faiz indirim \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 bir cephede, uluslararas\u0131 ekonomi ve finans \u00e7evrelerince \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc takip edilen bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019a tan\u0131k oluyoruz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"tarimda-hedef-70-milyar-dolar","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Tar\u0131mda hedef 70 milyar dolar","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":347,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}