{"status":true,"post":{"id":17723,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:22:42","created_at":"2018-01-01T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:22:42.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":17723,"is_featured":0,"title":"Son makro veriler reel sekt\u00f6re ne mesajlar veriyor?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Gerek TCMB, gerekse T\u00dc\u0130K bir dizi veriler a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu veriler bizlere ne mesajlar veriyor, s\u0131ras\u0131yla bakal\u0131m:<\/span><\/p>

T\u00dc\u0130K T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nden ba\u015flayal\u0131m: 21 Aral\u0131k 2017 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi Aral\u0131k 2017 ay\u0131nda 65.1 oran\u0131na gev\u015fedi. S\u00f6z konusu oran 2017 i\u00e7inde ya\u015fanan en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oran. Bir \u00f6nceki ay 65.2 idi ve hemen hemen ayn\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

Gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde genel ekonomik durumun daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde beklentisi olan t\u00fcketicilerin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azalmas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 genel ekonomik durum beklentisi endeksi ise aksine kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 87.1 iken, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.5 oran\u0131nda artarak 87.5 de\u011ferine y\u00fckseldi. Zay\u0131f da olsa 2018\u2019e ili\u015fkin bir olumlu beklenti var. <\/span><\/p>

Ancak yine de t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekemedi\u011fimiz s\u00fcrece i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 canland\u0131rma \u00e7abalar\u0131m\u0131z sonu\u00e7suz kalabilir.<\/span><\/p>

Sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endekslerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksini teyit eden geli\u015fmeleri g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 99.7 iken, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.5 oran\u0131nda azalarak 96.2 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksindeki bu azal\u0131\u015f, son \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u2018i\u015f durumunun\u2019 iyile\u015fti\u011fini, \u2018hizmetlere olan talebin\u2019 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiren ve gelecek \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u2018hizmetlere olan talebin\u2019 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekleyen giri\u015fim y\u00f6neticisi say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. K\u0131sacas\u0131 karamsarlar biraz daha artm\u0131\u015f.<\/span><\/p>

Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden sonra in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi bir \u00f6nceki ayda 82.4 iken, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1 oran\u0131nda azalarak 81.6 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksindeki bu azal\u0131\u015f, bu sekt\u00f6rde de karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise biraz daha iyi. Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.7 oran\u0131nda artarak 100.6 de\u011ferine y\u00fckseldi. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131 karamsar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi i\u00e7in olumlu.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak genel olarak g\u00fcven endeksleri pek de i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/span><\/p>

Kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise biraz daha farkl\u0131 bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130malat sanayi aral\u0131k 2017 kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 79 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu veri 2007\u2019den beri aral\u0131k aylar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde en y\u00fcksek veri. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na g\u00f6re bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olsa da di\u011fer aral\u0131k aylar\u0131na g\u00f6re bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda pozitif bir veri. Kald\u0131 ki, y\u00fczde 79 kendi ba\u015f\u0131na da olumsuz bir veri de\u011fil. Yeter ki, firmalar k\u00e2r marjlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyarak bu \u00fcretimi yapabilsinler.<\/span><\/p>

Bu verilerle i\u00e7 talepte canlanma beklemek zor olsa da ihracat i\u00e7in ciddi f\u0131rsatlar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde duruyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"son-makro-veriler-reel-sektore-ne-mesajlar-veriyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Son makro veriler reel sekt\u00f6re ne mesajlar veriyor?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":93,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":17822,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":17723,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Son makro veriler reel sekt\u00f6re ne mesajlar veriyor?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Gerek TCMB, gerekse T\u00dc\u0130K bir dizi veriler a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu veriler bizlere ne mesajlar veriyor, s\u0131ras\u0131yla bakal\u0131m:<\/span><\/p>

T\u00dc\u0130K T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nden ba\u015flayal\u0131m: 21 Aral\u0131k 2017 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi Aral\u0131k 2017 ay\u0131nda 65.1 oran\u0131na gev\u015fedi. S\u00f6z konusu oran 2017 i\u00e7inde ya\u015fanan en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oran. Bir \u00f6nceki ay 65.2 idi ve hemen hemen ayn\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

Gelecek 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde genel ekonomik durumun daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde beklentisi olan t\u00fcketicilerin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azalmas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 genel ekonomik durum beklentisi endeksi ise aksine kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 87.1 iken, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.5 oran\u0131nda artarak 87.5 de\u011ferine y\u00fckseldi. Zay\u0131f da olsa 2018\u2019e ili\u015fkin bir olumlu beklenti var. <\/span><\/p>

Ancak yine de t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekemedi\u011fimiz s\u00fcrece i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 canland\u0131rma \u00e7abalar\u0131m\u0131z sonu\u00e7suz kalabilir.<\/span><\/p>

Sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endekslerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksini teyit eden geli\u015fmeleri g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 99.7 iken, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3.5 oran\u0131nda azalarak 96.2 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksindeki bu azal\u0131\u015f, son \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u2018i\u015f durumunun\u2019 iyile\u015fti\u011fini, \u2018hizmetlere olan talebin\u2019 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiren ve gelecek \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde \u2018hizmetlere olan talebin\u2019 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekleyen giri\u015fim y\u00f6neticisi say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. K\u0131sacas\u0131 karamsarlar biraz daha artm\u0131\u015f.<\/span><\/p>

Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden sonra in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi bir \u00f6nceki ayda 82.4 iken, aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1 oran\u0131nda azalarak 81.6 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksindeki bu azal\u0131\u015f, bu sekt\u00f6rde de karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ise biraz daha iyi. Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.7 oran\u0131nda artarak 100.6 de\u011ferine y\u00fckseldi. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde olmas\u0131 karamsar olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi i\u00e7in olumlu.<\/span><\/p>

Ancak genel olarak g\u00fcven endeksleri pek de i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/span><\/p>

Kapasite kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise biraz daha farkl\u0131 bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130malat sanayi aral\u0131k 2017 kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 79 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu veri 2007\u2019den beri aral\u0131k aylar\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde en y\u00fcksek veri. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na g\u00f6re bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olsa da di\u011fer aral\u0131k aylar\u0131na g\u00f6re bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda pozitif bir veri. Kald\u0131 ki, y\u00fczde 79 kendi ba\u015f\u0131na da olumsuz bir veri de\u011fil. Yeter ki, firmalar k\u00e2r marjlar\u0131n\u0131 koruyarak bu \u00fcretimi yapabilsinler.<\/span><\/p>

Bu verilerle i\u00e7 talepte canlanma beklemek zor olsa da ihracat i\u00e7in ciddi f\u0131rsatlar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde duruyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"son-makro-veriler-reel-sektore-ne-mesajlar-veriyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Son makro veriler reel sekt\u00f6re ne mesajlar veriyor?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":93,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}