{"status":true,"post":{"id":21150,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:04:20","created_at":"2019-11-28T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:04:20.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":21150,"is_featured":0,"title":"Sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endeksleri ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, kas\u0131m ay\u0131 g\u00fcven endeksleri ile t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi verilerini yay\u0131nlad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu b\u00fcltenlere g\u00f6re; mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi ekim ay\u0131nda 90.7 iken, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.7 oran\u0131nda artarak 91.3 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re i\u015f durumu ve hizmetlere olan talep endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 2.9 ve y\u00fczde 2.7 artarak 89.3 ve 87.6 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131. Hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi endeksi ise y\u00fczde 2.9 azalarak 97.1 oldu. Burada endeks de\u011feri 100 kritik seviyesine yava\u015f yava\u015f da olsa yakla\u015f\u0131yor. 100 seviyesinin \u00fczeri pozitif bir beklentiyi yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan son derece \u00f6nemli. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdilik, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn gelece\u011fe pozitif bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kabul edilen 100 seviyesine olduk\u00e7a yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik beklentilerde hafif bozulma oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemekle yetinelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.1 oran\u0131nda azalarak 101.2 oldu. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re mevcut mal stok seviyesi ve i\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar beklentisi endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 2.2 ve y\u00fczde 2.5 azalarak 105.6 ve 103.1 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar endeksi ise y\u00fczde 1.8 artarak 95 oldu. 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde olan rakamlar, perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde olumlu bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hakim oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu veri, i\u00e7 piyasadaki durgunlu\u011fun bitmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilk sinyalleri olabilir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi, bir \u00f6nceki ayda 65.1 iken, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.9 oran\u0131nda azalarak 63.9 oldu. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin mevcut d\u00fczeyi endeksi y\u00fczde 8.1 azalarak 44.5 de\u011ferini ald\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Toplam \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi endeksi ise y\u00fczde 1.7 artarak 83.3 oldu. Daha \u00f6nce 50 seviyelerine kadar d\u00fc\u015fen in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi, nispeten toparlansa da h\u00e2l\u00e2 gelece\u011fe umutla bakaca\u011f\u0131 seviyeden \u00e7ok uzak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Buna ra\u011fmen bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azalmas\u0131 ve al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin d\u00fczeyi endeksinin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azalarak 44.5 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015fmesi ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Sekt\u00f6rel bazda g\u00fcven endekslerinde hal b\u00f6yle iken t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi ne durumda ona bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ve T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen t\u00fcketici e\u011filim anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hesaplanan mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.2 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda 57 olan endeks, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 59.9 oldu. Yani h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir yap\u0131 var. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fckselen, hatta y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek ikinci de\u011ferine ula\u015fan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. 2019 en y\u00fcksek endeks de\u011feri nisan ay\u0131nda 63.5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. Ancak 2018\u2019de en y\u00fcksek de\u011fer 72.7 idi. 100 seviyesi a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman i\u00e7 piyasada ciddi bir hareketlilik olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. \u015eimdilik toparlanma devam ediyor <\/span><span class=\"large\">demekle yetinece\u011fiz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z; piyasalarda g\u00fcven \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6rd\u00fcr. G\u00fcven art\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomide canlanma e\u011filimi artar.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"sektorel-guven-endeksleri-ve-tuketici-guveni","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endeksleri ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":691,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21249,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":21150,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endeksleri ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, kas\u0131m ay\u0131 g\u00fcven endeksleri ile t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi verilerini yay\u0131nlad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu b\u00fcltenlere g\u00f6re; mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi ekim ay\u0131nda 90.7 iken, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.7 oran\u0131nda artarak 91.3 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re i\u015f durumu ve hizmetlere olan talep endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 2.9 ve y\u00fczde 2.7 artarak 89.3 ve 87.6 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131. Hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi endeksi ise y\u00fczde 2.9 azalarak 97.1 oldu. Burada endeks de\u011feri 100 kritik seviyesine yava\u015f yava\u015f da olsa yakla\u015f\u0131yor. 100 seviyesinin \u00fczeri pozitif bir beklentiyi yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan son derece \u00f6nemli. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdilik, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn gelece\u011fe pozitif bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kabul edilen 100 seviyesine olduk\u00e7a yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik beklentilerde hafif bozulma oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemekle yetinelim.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.1 oran\u0131nda azalarak 101.2 oldu. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re mevcut mal stok seviyesi ve i\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar beklentisi endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 2.2 ve y\u00fczde 2.5 azalarak 105.6 ve 103.1 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar endeksi ise y\u00fczde 1.8 artarak 95 oldu. 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde olan rakamlar, perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde olumlu bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hakim oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu veri, i\u00e7 piyasadaki durgunlu\u011fun bitmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilk sinyalleri olabilir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi, bir \u00f6nceki ayda 65.1 iken, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1.9 oran\u0131nda azalarak 63.9 oldu. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin mevcut d\u00fczeyi endeksi y\u00fczde 8.1 azalarak 44.5 de\u011ferini ald\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Toplam \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi endeksi ise y\u00fczde 1.7 artarak 83.3 oldu. Daha \u00f6nce 50 seviyelerine kadar d\u00fc\u015fen in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi, nispeten toparlansa da h\u00e2l\u00e2 gelece\u011fe umutla bakaca\u011f\u0131 seviyeden \u00e7ok uzak. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Buna ra\u011fmen bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azalmas\u0131 ve al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin d\u00fczeyi endeksinin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re azalarak 44.5 de\u011ferine d\u00fc\u015fmesi ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc.<\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Sekt\u00f6rel bazda g\u00fcven endekslerinde hal b\u00f6yle iken t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi ne durumda ona bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ve T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi ile y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen t\u00fcketici e\u011filim anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan hesaplanan mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.2 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131nda 57 olan endeks, kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 59.9 oldu. Yani h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir yap\u0131 var. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fckselen, hatta y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek ikinci de\u011ferine ula\u015fan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. 2019 en y\u00fcksek endeks de\u011feri nisan ay\u0131nda 63.5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. Ancak 2018\u2019de en y\u00fcksek de\u011fer 72.7 idi. 100 seviyesi a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman i\u00e7 piyasada ciddi bir hareketlilik olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. \u015eimdilik toparlanma devam ediyor <\/span><span class=\"large\">demekle yetinece\u011fiz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z; piyasalarda g\u00fcven \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6rd\u00fcr. G\u00fcven art\u0131k\u00e7a ekonomide canlanma e\u011filimi artar.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"sektorel-guven-endeksleri-ve-tuketici-guveni","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endeksleri ve t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":691,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}