{"status":true,"post":{"id":15868,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:01:58","created_at":"2017-02-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:01:58.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":15868,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00d6nemli ekonomik geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Yeni y\u0131l ile birlikte i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da ekonomide \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu hafta yurti\u00e7i geli\u015fmeleri de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE YATIRIM YAPILAB\u0130L\u0130R KRED\u0130 NOTUNU KAYBETT\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye 2013\u2019te, 19 y\u0131l aradan sonra kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden kaybetti. 2016 Temmuz ay\u0131nda ya\u015fanan darbe giri\u015fimi ve ard\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde Moody\u2019s yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunu indirmi\u015fti. 2017 Ocak ay\u0131nda ise bu kez Fitch T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunu indirdi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 tamamen kaybetmesi sermaye giri\u015flerini ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7lanma olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkileyecek. Bankalar\u0131n kredi notlar\u0131 da \u00fclke notuna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclecek. 2017\u2019de bankalar\u0131n ve firmalar\u0131n yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7lanma olanaklar\u0131 daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve maliyetli olacak. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 artacak. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizler de y\u00fckselecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. MERKEZ BANKASI L\u0130K\u0130D\u0130TEY\u0130 AZALTIYOR, YEN\u0130 FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eLARI GELEB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Merkez Bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizlerdeki art\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yerine piyasaya verdi\u011fi TL likiditesini azaltmay\u0131 ve verdi\u011fi likiditenin maliyetlerini art\u0131rmay\u0131 tercih ediyor. Bunun i\u00e7in d\u00fczenli olarak kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k repo piyasas\u0131ndan kaynak kulland\u0131rm\u0131yor. Likiditeyi daha pahal\u0131 kanallardan sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Merkez Bankas\u0131, TL likiditesini azaltarak piyasada d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca yeni a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 TL kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6viz depo i\u015flemleri ile de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na istikrar kazand\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu politikalar\u0131n sonucu T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ortadan kalkmad\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam ediyor. Buna ilave olarak Merkez Bankas\u0131 kendi politika faizini art\u0131rmam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n piyasa faizleri y\u00fckseliyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n likiditeyi s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda zaten nakit ve \u00f6deme s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya\u015fanan piyasalarda ko\u015fullar\u0131 daha da zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Merkez Bankas\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda politika faizlerinde y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015flar yapmak zorunda kalabilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NDA SEPET KUR \u0130LK KEZ 4.00 TL\u2019Y\u0130 A\u015eTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 sepet kur, darbe giri\u015fimi ard\u0131ndan olu\u015fan ko\u015fullar ve geli\u015fmeler ile 2016 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 sonunda 3.26\u2019ya kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde de devam etmi\u015f ve sepet kur 2016\u2019y\u0131 3.60 seviyesinde kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yeni y\u0131l ile birlikte T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 sepet kurda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131. Sepet kur siyasi belirsizliklerden de beslenmeye devam ediyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131 para politikas\u0131 da etkisiz kalm\u0131yor. Son olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 tamamen kaybetmi\u015f olmas\u0131 ile sepet kur 4.0 TL seviyesini de a\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 daha zay\u0131f bir de\u011fer aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na gerilerken de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. ANAYASA REFERANDUMU YILIN \u0130LK \u00c7EYRE\u011e\u0130NDE S\u0130YASET\u0130 \u00d6NE \u00c7IKARACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini i\u00e7eren teklif, T\u00fcrkiye B\u00fcy\u00fck Millet Meclisi\u2019nde 339 oy ile kabul edildi. 330-367 aras\u0131nda kabul oyu ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi referanduma sunulacak. Y\u00fcksek Se\u00e7im Kurulu referandum tarihini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Muhtemelen nisan ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda referandum yap\u0131lacak. Referanduma kadar olan d\u00f6nemde yo\u011fun bir siyasi kampanya d\u00f6nemi ya\u015fanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomide ve piyasalarda yeni bir bekle-g\u00f6r d\u00f6nemi olu\u015fmas\u0131 muhtemel. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131 mevsimsel olarak zaten zay\u0131f ge\u00e7iyor. Referandum beklentisi ile birlikte iktisadi faaliyetlerde yava\u015flama daha da hissedilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde riskleri iyi y\u00f6netirsek, sonraki \u00e7eyreklerde \u00e7\u0131kacak f\u0131rsatlardan yararlanabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"onemli-ekonomik-gelismeler-yasaniyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00d6nemli ekonomik geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":147,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":15967,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":15868,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00d6nemli ekonomik geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Yeni y\u0131l ile birlikte i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da ekonomide \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu hafta yurti\u00e7i geli\u015fmeleri de\u011ferlendirelim:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. T\u00dcRK\u0130YE YATIRIM YAPILAB\u0130L\u0130R KRED\u0130 NOTUNU KAYBETT\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye 2013\u2019te, 19 y\u0131l aradan sonra kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden kaybetti. 2016 Temmuz ay\u0131nda ya\u015fanan darbe giri\u015fimi ve ard\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde Moody\u2019s yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunu indirmi\u015fti. 2017 Ocak ay\u0131nda ise bu kez Fitch T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notunu indirdi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 tamamen kaybetmesi sermaye giri\u015flerini ve yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7lanma olanaklar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkileyecek. Bankalar\u0131n kredi notlar\u0131 da \u00fclke notuna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclecek. 2017\u2019de bankalar\u0131n ve firmalar\u0131n yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7lanma olanaklar\u0131 daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve maliyetli olacak. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 artacak. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizler de y\u00fckselecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. MERKEZ BANKASI L\u0130K\u0130D\u0130TEY\u0130 AZALTIYOR, YEN\u0130 FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eLARI GELEB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Merkez Bankas\u0131, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ile T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faizlerdeki art\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yerine piyasaya verdi\u011fi TL likiditesini azaltmay\u0131 ve verdi\u011fi likiditenin maliyetlerini art\u0131rmay\u0131 tercih ediyor. Bunun i\u00e7in d\u00fczenli olarak kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k repo piyasas\u0131ndan kaynak kulland\u0131rm\u0131yor. Likiditeyi daha pahal\u0131 kanallardan sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Merkez Bankas\u0131, TL likiditesini azaltarak piyasada d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca yeni a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 TL kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6viz depo i\u015flemleri ile de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na istikrar kazand\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefliyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu politikalar\u0131n sonucu T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ortadan kalkmad\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011fer kaybetmeye devam ediyor. Buna ilave olarak Merkez Bankas\u0131 kendi politika faizini art\u0131rmam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n piyasa faizleri y\u00fckseliyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n likiditeyi s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda zaten nakit ve \u00f6deme s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya\u015fanan piyasalarda ko\u015fullar\u0131 daha da zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Merkez Bankas\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda politika faizlerinde y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015flar yapmak zorunda kalabilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>3. T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NDA SEPET KUR \u0130LK KEZ 4.00 TL\u2019Y\u0130 A\u015eTI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 sepet kur, darbe giri\u015fimi ard\u0131ndan olu\u015fan ko\u015fullar ve geli\u015fmeler ile 2016 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 sonunda 3.26\u2019ya kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde de devam etmi\u015f ve sepet kur 2016\u2019y\u0131 3.60 seviyesinde kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yeni y\u0131l ile birlikte T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 sepet kurda de\u011fer kayb\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131. Sepet kur siyasi belirsizliklerden de beslenmeye devam ediyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131 para politikas\u0131 da etkisiz kalm\u0131yor. Son olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 tamamen kaybetmi\u015f olmas\u0131 ile sepet kur 4.0 TL seviyesini de a\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 daha zay\u0131f bir de\u011fer aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na gerilerken de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>4. ANAYASA REFERANDUMU YILIN \u0130LK \u00c7EYRE\u011e\u0130NDE S\u0130YASET\u0130 \u00d6NE \u00c7IKARACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini i\u00e7eren teklif, T\u00fcrkiye B\u00fcy\u00fck Millet Meclisi\u2019nde 339 oy ile kabul edildi. 330-367 aras\u0131nda kabul oyu ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi referanduma sunulacak. Y\u00fcksek Se\u00e7im Kurulu referandum tarihini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Muhtemelen nisan ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda referandum yap\u0131lacak. Referanduma kadar olan d\u00f6nemde yo\u011fun bir siyasi kampanya d\u00f6nemi ya\u015fanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonomide ve piyasalarda yeni bir bekle-g\u00f6r d\u00f6nemi olu\u015fmas\u0131 muhtemel. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131 mevsimsel olarak zaten zay\u0131f ge\u00e7iyor. Referandum beklentisi ile birlikte iktisadi faaliyetlerde yava\u015flama daha da hissedilecek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde riskleri iyi y\u00f6netirsek, sonraki \u00e7eyreklerde \u00e7\u0131kacak f\u0131rsatlardan yararlanabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"onemli-ekonomik-gelismeler-yasaniyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00d6nemli ekonomik geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":147,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}