{"status":true,"post":{"id":14321,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:36:30","created_at":"2016-07-31T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:36:30.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14321,"is_featured":0,"title":"Moody\u2019s ve Fitch\u2019den \u2018ters hareket\u2019 beklenmiyor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik ve siyasi istikrar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kertmeyi, toplumda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir moral \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00fcnya liginde adeta \u20184. lige\u2019 d\u00fc\u015fmesini hedefleyen FET\u00d6 darbe giri\u015fimi, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin k\u00fcresel anlamda alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yerle bir ederek, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi, halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya fakirle\u015fmesi ve onlarca y\u0131l ekonomide a\u00e7\u0131lacak yaralar\u0131n sar\u0131lamamas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyordu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">16 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan hain darbe giri\u015fiminin detaylar\u0131, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n s\u00fcreci y\u00f6netmedeki becerisi ve halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \u2018bir asra bedel\u2019 demokrasi m\u00fccadelesi ile durdurulan bu menfur olay\u0131n T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in en az 50 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir tahribat\u0131n da hedeflendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kendi halk\u0131na, Meclis\u2019ine, silah arkada\u015f\u0131na kur\u015fun s\u0131kabilecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde canile\u015fmi\u015f bir yap\u0131n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 baca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n olmamas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemez. Uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s\u2019in, olaydan sonraki ilk pazartesi, tam piyasalar toparlan\u0131rken, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin rating notu \u2018\u00e7\u00f6p\u2019 seviyesine inebilir\u201d y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ne kadar tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k ise ve bilhassa \u2018teknik\u2019 uzak bir davran\u0131\u015fsa, Standart&amp;Poors\u2019un <\/span><span class=\"large\">20 Temmuz\u2019da, bir anda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme notunu bir basamak daha indirmesi, \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u2018siyasi\u2019 ama\u00e7l\u0131, \u2018ekonomik darbe\u2019 ama\u00e7l\u0131 bir ad\u0131m izlenimi verdi. \u00d6zellikle, S&amp;P\u2019nin T\u00fcrk Hazinesi ile bir s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi olmamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, b\u00f6yle bir ad\u0131m atmas\u0131, her anlamda garip ve mide buland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir ad\u0131md\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>RATING KURULU\u015eLARI YAKIN MARKAJDA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S&amp;P\u2019nin \u2018teknik\u2019 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 hayli zor not indirimine i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinden ve siyasi \u00e7evrelerden gelen a\u011f\u0131r tepki, anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, Moody\u2019s\u2019i, 18 Temmuz, alelacele yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmeye zorlad\u0131. Nitekim, 25 Temmuz, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki finans kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n ve T\u00fcrkiye pazar\u0131nda i\u015flem yapan yabanc\u0131 finans kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n temsilcileri ile Moody\u2019s yetkililerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi telekonferansta, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi destekleyici de\u011ferlendirmelerin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Moodys\u2019in <\/span><span class=\"large\">5 A\u011fustos\u2019taki de\u011ferlendirme tarihini pas ge\u00e7erek, 90 g\u00fcn bekleyece\u011fi izlenimini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Keza, \u00f6nceki hafta ve bitirdi\u011fimiz hafta, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen hisse senedi ve tahvil yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neticilerinden, temsilcilerinden, Moody\u2019s\u2019e T\u00fcrk ekonomisine g\u00fcveni tescil eden, T\u00fcrk para ve sermaye piyasalar\u0131na destek anlam\u0131na gelecek pek \u00e7ok mesaj aktar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fuluyor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, h\u0131zla d\u00fczelen T\u00fcrkiye-Rusya ili\u015fkilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, Moskova\u2019da \u00f6nemli temaslar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in, Ankara\u2019ya d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 27 Temmuz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, Moody\u2019s yetkilileri ile bir araya gelmesi, son bir haftada Moody\u2019s\u2019in ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 onca telefon ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi destekleyici mesajla bir bak\u0131ma \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>FITCH\u2019\u0130N TAVRI DAHA \u2018OTURAKLI\u2019<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hain darbe giri\u015fiminin bertaraf edilmesinden bu yana ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre i\u00e7erisinde uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch\u2019in daha olgun ve sakin davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da \u2018\u015fu anda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin dura\u011fan olan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye gerek yok\u2019 ifadeleri de \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Fitch, 2 y\u0131ld\u0131r daha \u2018oturakl\u0131\u2019 ve daha tarafs\u0131z bir tav\u0131r i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrk ekonomisine yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Japon derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu JCR\u2019\u0131n da \u2018T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u015fu anda bir not de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi veya de\u011ferlendirmesine gerek yok\u2019 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 da anlaml\u0131 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hain darbe giri\u015fimi e\u011fer olmasayd\u0131, T\u00fcrk ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin hak etmedi\u011fi bir derecelendirme notu seviyesinde oldu\u011fumuz noktas\u0131nda, Moody\u2019s ve Fitch\u2019e yo\u011fun olarak bast\u0131rmaktayd\u0131. Bu noktada, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00fcresel alg\u0131s\u0131na do\u011frudan sald\u0131r\u0131 niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yan darbe te\u015febb\u00fcs\u00fc sonras\u0131nda, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin k\u00fcresel alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yeniden aya\u011fa kald\u0131r\u0131p, derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuraca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u00fcre\u00e7 1 y\u0131l att\u0131. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1 y\u0131l, alk\u0131\u015flanacak yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 h\u0131zla s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc de y\u00f6netilebilir hale getirip, yeni bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinin de temellerini atarak, derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Sadece, iki derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun T\u00fcrk ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u2018dura\u011fan\u2019 ve \u2018negatif\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u2018pozitif\u2019e \u00e7evirmek bile, i\u00e7eriye en az 20 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye giri\u015fini sa\u011flar. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00e7ok etkin de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"moodys-ve-fitchden-ters-hareket-beklenmiyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Moody\u2019s ve Fitch\u2019den \u2018ters hareket\u2019 beklenmiyor","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":88,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14420,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14321,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Moody\u2019s ve Fitch\u2019den \u2018ters hareket\u2019 beklenmiyor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ekonomik ve siyasi istikrar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6kertmeyi, toplumda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir moral \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00fcnya liginde adeta \u20184. lige\u2019 d\u00fc\u015fmesini hedefleyen FET\u00d6 darbe giri\u015fimi, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin k\u00fcresel anlamda alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yerle bir ederek, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi, halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya fakirle\u015fmesi ve onlarca y\u0131l ekonomide a\u00e7\u0131lacak yaralar\u0131n sar\u0131lamamas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyordu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">16 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan hain darbe giri\u015fiminin detaylar\u0131, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n s\u00fcreci y\u00f6netmedeki becerisi ve halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \u2018bir asra bedel\u2019 demokrasi m\u00fccadelesi ile durdurulan bu menfur olay\u0131n T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in en az 50 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir tahribat\u0131n da hedeflendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kendi halk\u0131na, Meclis\u2019ine, silah arkada\u015f\u0131na kur\u015fun s\u0131kabilecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde canile\u015fmi\u015f bir yap\u0131n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 baca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n olmamas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemez. Uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody\u2019s\u2019in, olaydan sonraki ilk pazartesi, tam piyasalar toparlan\u0131rken, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin rating notu \u2018\u00e7\u00f6p\u2019 seviyesine inebilir\u201d y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ne kadar tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k ise ve bilhassa \u2018teknik\u2019 uzak bir davran\u0131\u015fsa, Standart&amp;Poors\u2019un <\/span><span class=\"large\">20 Temmuz\u2019da, bir anda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme notunu bir basamak daha indirmesi, \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u2018siyasi\u2019 ama\u00e7l\u0131, \u2018ekonomik darbe\u2019 ama\u00e7l\u0131 bir ad\u0131m izlenimi verdi. \u00d6zellikle, S&amp;P\u2019nin T\u00fcrk Hazinesi ile bir s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi olmamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, b\u00f6yle bir ad\u0131m atmas\u0131, her anlamda garip ve mide buland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir ad\u0131md\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>RATING KURULU\u015eLARI YAKIN MARKAJDA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">S&amp;P\u2019nin \u2018teknik\u2019 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 hayli zor not indirimine i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinden ve siyasi \u00e7evrelerden gelen a\u011f\u0131r tepki, anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, Moody\u2019s\u2019i, 18 Temmuz, alelacele yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmeye zorlad\u0131. Nitekim, 25 Temmuz, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki finans kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n ve T\u00fcrkiye pazar\u0131nda i\u015flem yapan yabanc\u0131 finans kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n temsilcileri ile Moody\u2019s yetkililerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi telekonferansta, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi destekleyici de\u011ferlendirmelerin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Moodys\u2019in <\/span><span class=\"large\">5 A\u011fustos\u2019taki de\u011ferlendirme tarihini pas ge\u00e7erek, 90 g\u00fcn bekleyece\u011fi izlenimini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Keza, \u00f6nceki hafta ve bitirdi\u011fimiz hafta, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen hisse senedi ve tahvil yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6neticilerinden, temsilcilerinden, Moody\u2019s\u2019e T\u00fcrk ekonomisine g\u00fcveni tescil eden, T\u00fcrk para ve sermaye piyasalar\u0131na destek anlam\u0131na gelecek pek \u00e7ok mesaj aktar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fuluyor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, h\u0131zla d\u00fczelen T\u00fcrkiye-Rusya ili\u015fkilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, Moskova\u2019da \u00f6nemli temaslar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u015eim\u015fek\u2019in, Ankara\u2019ya d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 27 Temmuz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, Moody\u2019s yetkilileri ile bir araya gelmesi, son bir haftada Moody\u2019s\u2019in ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 onca telefon ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi destekleyici mesajla bir bak\u0131ma \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>FITCH\u2019\u0130N TAVRI DAHA \u2018OTURAKLI\u2019<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hain darbe giri\u015fiminin bertaraf edilmesinden bu yana ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre i\u00e7erisinde uluslararas\u0131 derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch\u2019in daha olgun ve sakin davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da \u2018\u015fu anda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin dura\u011fan olan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye gerek yok\u2019 ifadeleri de \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Fitch, 2 y\u0131ld\u0131r daha \u2018oturakl\u0131\u2019 ve daha tarafs\u0131z bir tav\u0131r i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrk ekonomisine yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Japon derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu JCR\u2019\u0131n da \u2018T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u015fu anda bir not de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi veya de\u011ferlendirmesine gerek yok\u2019 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 da anlaml\u0131 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Hain darbe giri\u015fimi e\u011fer olmasayd\u0131, T\u00fcrk ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin hak etmedi\u011fi bir derecelendirme notu seviyesinde oldu\u011fumuz noktas\u0131nda, Moody\u2019s ve Fitch\u2019e yo\u011fun olarak bast\u0131rmaktayd\u0131. Bu noktada, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00fcresel alg\u0131s\u0131na do\u011frudan sald\u0131r\u0131 niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yan darbe te\u015febb\u00fcs\u00fc sonras\u0131nda, T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin k\u00fcresel alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yeniden aya\u011fa kald\u0131r\u0131p, derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuraca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u00fcre\u00e7 1 y\u0131l att\u0131. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1 y\u0131l, alk\u0131\u015flanacak yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 h\u0131zla s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc de y\u00f6netilebilir hale getirip, yeni bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinin de temellerini atarak, derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Sadece, iki derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun T\u00fcrk ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u2018dura\u011fan\u2019 ve \u2018negatif\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u2018pozitif\u2019e \u00e7evirmek bile, i\u00e7eriye en az 20 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye giri\u015fini sa\u011flar. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1 y\u0131l\u0131 \u00e7ok etkin de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"moodys-ve-fitchden-ters-hareket-beklenmiyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Moody\u2019s ve Fitch\u2019den \u2018ters hareket\u2019 beklenmiyor","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":88,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}