{"status":true,"post":{"id":19096,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:26:52","created_at":"2018-10-07T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:26:52.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19096,"is_featured":0,"title":"Maliyet enflasyonunun nedeni ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">\u0130malat sanayinde maliyet kalemlerinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f olan TCMB, hammadde ve malzeme maliyetlerinin toplam maliyetlerdeki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 85.2, enerji ve su maliyetlerinin toplamdaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3.9 ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da y\u00fczde 10.9 olarak tespit edildi\u011fi bir anketli ara\u015ft\u0131rma ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f. TCMB\u2019nin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 10 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine dayan\u0131yor. TCMB\u2019nin 2006-2011 d\u00f6nemini inceleyen daha yeni bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda imalat sanayinde i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetleri y\u00fczde 16, hammadde maliyetleri y\u00fczde 58.9, enerji maliyetleri y\u00fczde 4.9, finansman giderleri y\u00fczde 2.5, kira-finansal kiralama maliyetleri y\u00fczde 1.5, faaliyetle ilgili di\u011fer giderler ise y\u00fczde 16.4 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>HAMMADDEN\u0130N Y\u00dcZDE 72\u2019S\u0130 \u0130THAL <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">M\u00dcS\u0130AD\u2019\u0131n yeni bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ise hammadde ve malzeme maliyetinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 72\u2019ye geldi\u011fini; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, enerji ve suyun maliyetinin y\u00fczde 8\u2019e, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerinin y\u00fczde 19\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin t\u00fcm\u00fcnde hammadde maliyeti y\u00fczde 41.5, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetleri y\u00fczde 23.6, enerji maliyetleri y\u00fczde 5.6, finansman maliyetleri y\u00fczde 3.6 olarak \u015fekillenmi\u015f. O halde, diyelim ki, T\u00fcrk imalat sanayi y\u00fczde 72 ithal hammadde ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu durumda, imalat sanayinde ithal hammaddenin toplam maliyetlerdeki pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 51.84 ile 42.4 aras\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Demek ki, imalat sanayinde ortalama olarak maliyetleri y\u00fczde 47.1 oran\u0131nda etkileyen ithal hammaddede, son bir y\u0131lda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 80 artm\u0131\u015fsa, sadece kur s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131n imalat sanayine maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 37.7.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURLARI \u0130ST\u0130KRARA KAVU\u015eTURULMALI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Daha bunda enerji, madencilik, tar\u0131m, in\u015faat ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yok; enerji maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yok; i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yok. Bu durumda, maliyet enflasyonunun g\u00f6stergesi olan yurti\u00e7i \u00dcFE art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda y\u00fczde 46\u2019ya gelmesine neden \u015fa\u015f\u0131r\u0131yoruz ki? 2005\u2019ten bu yana, enflasyon hedeflemesi modeli a\u015fk\u0131na, TL\u2019nin uzunca bir d\u00f6nem a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenmesine izin verip, sekt\u00f6rlerimizi bu kadar ithal hammadde, ara mamul, malzeme ve te\u00e7hizata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirdi\u011fimizde, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyona d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc de bu \u015fekilde oluyor. O halde, maliyet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadelede en \u00f6nemli \u00f6ncelik, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n istikrara kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Faiz giderleri mi, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u0131 dedi\u011fimizde, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleye daha fazla zarar verdi\u011fi a\u015fikar. Maliyet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadelede, Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n maliye politikas\u0131, Ticaret ve Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ise direkt kontrol politikalar\u0131 ve yo\u011fun saha denetimleriyle ancak maliyet enflasyonunu yenebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>MCKINSEY HEZEYANI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen onlarca \u00fclkesinin kamu y\u00f6netimi, bu \u00fclkelerdeki on binlerce firma, \u00e7e\u015fitli d\u00f6nemlerde yeniden yap\u0131lanmalar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecekler ise yeni bir birim veya ofis kuracaklar ise bu kurulacak yeni birim veya kurumun d\u00fcnyada \u00f6rnekleri var m\u0131d\u0131r; ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6rnekler ne \u00f6zellikler ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r, ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z \u00f6rnekler olmu\u015f ise nerede hata yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r boyutunda, uluslararas\u0131 y\u00f6netim dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketlerinden k\u00fcresel \u00f6rnekleri de i\u00e7eren dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k hizmeti al\u0131rlar. McKinsey\u2019den al\u0131nacak hizmet, \u2018Kamu Maliyesi D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve De\u011fi\u015fim Ofisi\u2019nin organizasyonel yap\u0131s\u0131na, d\u00fcnyada varsa \u00f6rneklerinin nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve bu ofiste \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak ekibin performans\u0131n\u0131 en \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde tutacak performans kriterleri nedir, ofisin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak k\u00fcresel kurumsal y\u00f6netim ilkeleri ne olmal\u0131d\u0131r; bu konuda bir dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k hizmetidir. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin kamu maliyesinin y\u00f6netimini uluslararas\u0131 bir dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketine devretmek de\u011fildir. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n sayg\u0131n \u00fclke ve \u015firketlerinin ba\u015fvurduklar\u0131 standart bir dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k hizmetine y\u00f6nelik \u2018hezeyan\u2019lara kap\u0131lmak, sadece bizleri g\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00e7 duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"maliyet-enflasyonunun-nedeni-ve-cozumu","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Maliyet enflasyonunun nedeni ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":273,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19195,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19096,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Maliyet enflasyonunun nedeni ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">\u0130malat sanayinde maliyet kalemlerinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f olan TCMB, hammadde ve malzeme maliyetlerinin toplam maliyetlerdeki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 85.2, enerji ve su maliyetlerinin toplamdaki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3.9 ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da y\u00fczde 10.9 olarak tespit edildi\u011fi bir anketli ara\u015ft\u0131rma ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f. TCMB\u2019nin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 10 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine dayan\u0131yor. TCMB\u2019nin 2006-2011 d\u00f6nemini inceleyen daha yeni bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda imalat sanayinde i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetleri y\u00fczde 16, hammadde maliyetleri y\u00fczde 58.9, enerji maliyetleri y\u00fczde 4.9, finansman giderleri y\u00fczde 2.5, kira-finansal kiralama maliyetleri y\u00fczde 1.5, faaliyetle ilgili di\u011fer giderler ise y\u00fczde 16.4 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>HAMMADDEN\u0130N Y\u00dcZDE 72\u2019S\u0130 \u0130THAL <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">M\u00dcS\u0130AD\u2019\u0131n yeni bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ise hammadde ve malzeme maliyetinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 72\u2019ye geldi\u011fini; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, enerji ve suyun maliyetinin y\u00fczde 8\u2019e, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerinin y\u00fczde 19\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin t\u00fcm\u00fcnde hammadde maliyeti y\u00fczde 41.5, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetleri y\u00fczde 23.6, enerji maliyetleri y\u00fczde 5.6, finansman maliyetleri y\u00fczde 3.6 olarak \u015fekillenmi\u015f. O halde, diyelim ki, T\u00fcrk imalat sanayi y\u00fczde 72 ithal hammadde ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu durumda, imalat sanayinde ithal hammaddenin toplam maliyetlerdeki pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 51.84 ile 42.4 aras\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Demek ki, imalat sanayinde ortalama olarak maliyetleri y\u00fczde 47.1 oran\u0131nda etkileyen ithal hammaddede, son bir y\u0131lda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 80 artm\u0131\u015fsa, sadece kur s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131n imalat sanayine maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 37.7.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURLARI \u0130ST\u0130KRARA KAVU\u015eTURULMALI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Daha bunda enerji, madencilik, tar\u0131m, in\u015faat ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yok; enerji maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yok; i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yok. Bu durumda, maliyet enflasyonunun g\u00f6stergesi olan yurti\u00e7i \u00dcFE art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda y\u00fczde 46\u2019ya gelmesine neden \u015fa\u015f\u0131r\u0131yoruz ki? 2005\u2019ten bu yana, enflasyon hedeflemesi modeli a\u015fk\u0131na, TL\u2019nin uzunca bir d\u00f6nem a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenmesine izin verip, sekt\u00f6rlerimizi bu kadar ithal hammadde, ara mamul, malzeme ve te\u00e7hizata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirdi\u011fimizde, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyona d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc de bu \u015fekilde oluyor. O halde, maliyet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadelede en \u00f6nemli \u00f6ncelik, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n istikrara kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Faiz giderleri mi, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u0131 dedi\u011fimizde, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleye daha fazla zarar verdi\u011fi a\u015fikar. Maliyet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadelede, Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n maliye politikas\u0131, Ticaret ve Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ise direkt kontrol politikalar\u0131 ve yo\u011fun saha denetimleriyle ancak maliyet enflasyonunu yenebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>MCKINSEY HEZEYANI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen onlarca \u00fclkesinin kamu y\u00f6netimi, bu \u00fclkelerdeki on binlerce firma, \u00e7e\u015fitli d\u00f6nemlerde yeniden yap\u0131lanmalar ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecekler ise yeni bir birim veya ofis kuracaklar ise bu kurulacak yeni birim veya kurumun d\u00fcnyada \u00f6rnekleri var m\u0131d\u0131r; ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6rnekler ne \u00f6zellikler ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r, ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z \u00f6rnekler olmu\u015f ise nerede hata yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r boyutunda, uluslararas\u0131 y\u00f6netim dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketlerinden k\u00fcresel \u00f6rnekleri de i\u00e7eren dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k hizmeti al\u0131rlar. McKinsey\u2019den al\u0131nacak hizmet, \u2018Kamu Maliyesi D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve De\u011fi\u015fim Ofisi\u2019nin organizasyonel yap\u0131s\u0131na, d\u00fcnyada varsa \u00f6rneklerinin nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve bu ofiste \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak ekibin performans\u0131n\u0131 en \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde tutacak performans kriterleri nedir, ofisin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak k\u00fcresel kurumsal y\u00f6netim ilkeleri ne olmal\u0131d\u0131r; bu konuda bir dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k hizmetidir. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin kamu maliyesinin y\u00f6netimini uluslararas\u0131 bir dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketine devretmek de\u011fildir. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n sayg\u0131n \u00fclke ve \u015firketlerinin ba\u015fvurduklar\u0131 standart bir dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k hizmetine y\u00f6nelik \u2018hezeyan\u2019lara kap\u0131lmak, sadece bizleri g\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00e7 duruma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"maliyet-enflasyonunun-nedeni-ve-cozumu","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Maliyet enflasyonunun nedeni ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":273,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}