{"status":true,"post":{"id":33561,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 21:25:25","created_at":"2022-06-16T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T18:25:25.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":33561,"is_featured":0,"title":"Makroekonomik politikalar\u0131n sanayi \u00fcretimine etkisi","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

H\u0130KMET BAYDAR<\/strong><\/span>
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Ekonominin sanayi kesiminde meydana gelen geli\u015fmelerin ve uygulanan ekonomik politikalar\u0131n, k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde olumlu veya olumsuz etkilerinin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in \u2018Sanayi \u00dcretim Endeksi\u2019 hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu veriler, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan ayl\u0131k bazda bir b\u00fcltenle yay\u0131nlan\u0131yor.<\/span>
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\u015eimdi bu \u00e7er\u00e7eveden bakarak, Nisan 2022 itibariyle (2015 y\u0131l\u0131 100 kabul edilerek) haz\u0131rlanan sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi verilerini inceleyelim. <\/span>
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ENERJ\u0130 F\u0130YATLARINDAK\u0130 ARTI\u015e<\/strong><\/span>
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2022 Nisan ay\u0131nda madencilik ve ta\u015f ocak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.4 ve imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi y\u00fczde 11.9 artarken, elektrik, gaz, buhar ve iklimlendirme \u00fcretimi ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi y\u00fczde 0.4 azalm\u0131\u015f. Bu veri bize y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda imalat sanayinde \u00fcretimin artmaya devam etti\u011fini, ancak enerji \u00fcretimi ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n buna ayak uyduramad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Gerek enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131klar, gerekse hem kur hem de global fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle yurti\u00e7i enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki ciddi y\u00fckseli\u015fler, kullan\u0131m konusunda tasarrufu \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bunu en basit \u015fekilde perakende sat\u0131\u015f verilerinde de g\u00f6rebiliyoruz. Mart 2022 itibariyle otomotiv yak\u0131t sat\u0131\u015f hacmi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 12.4 azalm\u0131\u015f. E\u011fer akaryak\u0131t zamm\u0131 olmasayd\u0131 orada da y\u00fczde 10\u2019un \u00fczerinde bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olacakt\u0131k. Kald\u0131 ki, sadece Mart 2022\u2019de otomotiv yak\u0131t sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fczde 5.1 azalm\u0131\u015f. Demek ki, akaryak\u0131t fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 akaryak\u0131t sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Ancak buna ra\u011fmen, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fcksek lojistik fiyatlar\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 enflasyonu olumsuz etkilemeye devam ediyor, \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fcreticiden t\u00fcketiciye ula\u015fmas\u0131nda ciddi farklara neden oluyor.<\/span>
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Enerji olmadan sanayide \u00fcretimin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n astronomik seviyelere gelmesi, \u00fcretim maliyetlerinde art\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na geldi\u011finden fiyat ayarlamalar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyuluyor. Bu durumda maliyet k\u00f6kenli enflasyon ya\u015fanmas\u0131 da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oluyor. Karadeniz gaz\u0131n\u0131n sanayinin hizmetine sunulmas\u0131 d\u00f6viz \u00f6demelerini azalt\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nemli etki yapaca\u011f\u0131ndan, makroekonomik verilerde \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimleri g\u00f6zlemleyece\u011fiz.<\/span>
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\u0130\u00c7 P\u0130YASA CANLANDIRILMALI<\/strong><\/span>
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TCMB taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, \u00f6zellikle ara mal\u0131nda kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 80 seviyelerinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Kur ve global fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 etkisiyle ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 pahal\u0131la\u015f\u0131nca i\u00e7 piyasada ara mal\u0131 \u00fcretiminde kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131ra yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Uygulanan politikalar ithal ikame \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin desteklenmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olunca, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde ara mal\u0131 \u00fcretiminde daha da fazla art\u0131\u015f beklemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacak. <\/span>
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Global resesyon, hatta Almanya Maliye Bakan\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re stagflasyon risklerinin konu\u015fuldu\u011fu, b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 revize edildi\u011fi \u015fu d\u00f6nemde, i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na biraz daha odaklanmakta fayda var. Global durgunlu\u011fu ancak canl\u0131 bir i\u00e7 piyasa ile a\u015fabiliriz.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"makroekonomik-politikalarin-sanayi-uretimine-etkisi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Makroekonomik politikalar\u0131n sanayi \u00fcretimine etkisi","meta_description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1090,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":33660,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":33561,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Makroekonomik politikalar\u0131n sanayi \u00fcretimine etkisi","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

H\u0130KMET BAYDAR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Ekonominin sanayi kesiminde meydana gelen geli\u015fmelerin ve uygulanan ekonomik politikalar\u0131n, k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde olumlu veya olumsuz etkilerinin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in \u2018Sanayi \u00dcretim Endeksi\u2019 hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu veriler, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan ayl\u0131k bazda bir b\u00fcltenle yay\u0131nlan\u0131yor.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u015eimdi bu \u00e7er\u00e7eveden bakarak, Nisan 2022 itibariyle (2015 y\u0131l\u0131 100 kabul edilerek) haz\u0131rlanan sanayi \u00fcretim endeksi verilerini inceleyelim. <\/span>
<\/span>
ENERJ\u0130 F\u0130YATLARINDAK\u0130 ARTI\u015e<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
2022 Nisan ay\u0131nda madencilik ve ta\u015f ocak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 7.4 ve imalat sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi y\u00fczde 11.9 artarken, elektrik, gaz, buhar ve iklimlendirme \u00fcretimi ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131 sekt\u00f6r\u00fc endeksi y\u00fczde 0.4 azalm\u0131\u015f. Bu veri bize y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda imalat sanayinde \u00fcretimin artmaya devam etti\u011fini, ancak enerji \u00fcretimi ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n buna ayak uyduramad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Gerek enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki oynakl\u0131klar, gerekse hem kur hem de global fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle yurti\u00e7i enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki ciddi y\u00fckseli\u015fler, kullan\u0131m konusunda tasarrufu \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bunu en basit \u015fekilde perakende sat\u0131\u015f verilerinde de g\u00f6rebiliyoruz. Mart 2022 itibariyle otomotiv yak\u0131t sat\u0131\u015f hacmi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 12.4 azalm\u0131\u015f. E\u011fer akaryak\u0131t zamm\u0131 olmasayd\u0131 orada da y\u00fczde 10\u2019un \u00fczerinde bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olacakt\u0131k. Kald\u0131 ki, sadece Mart 2022\u2019de otomotiv yak\u0131t sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fczde 5.1 azalm\u0131\u015f. Demek ki, akaryak\u0131t fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 akaryak\u0131t sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Ancak buna ra\u011fmen, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fcksek lojistik fiyatlar\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 enflasyonu olumsuz etkilemeye devam ediyor, \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fcreticiden t\u00fcketiciye ula\u015fmas\u0131nda ciddi farklara neden oluyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
Enerji olmadan sanayide \u00fcretimin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n astronomik seviyelere gelmesi, \u00fcretim maliyetlerinde art\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na geldi\u011finden fiyat ayarlamalar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyuluyor. Bu durumda maliyet k\u00f6kenli enflasyon ya\u015fanmas\u0131 da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oluyor. Karadeniz gaz\u0131n\u0131n sanayinin hizmetine sunulmas\u0131 d\u00f6viz \u00f6demelerini azalt\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nemli etki yapaca\u011f\u0131ndan, makroekonomik verilerde \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fimleri g\u00f6zlemleyece\u011fiz.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130\u00c7 P\u0130YASA CANLANDIRILMALI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
TCMB taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, \u00f6zellikle ara mal\u0131nda kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 80 seviyelerinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Kur ve global fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 etkisiyle ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 pahal\u0131la\u015f\u0131nca i\u00e7 piyasada ara mal\u0131 \u00fcretiminde kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131 \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131ra yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Uygulanan politikalar ithal ikame \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin desteklenmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olunca, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde ara mal\u0131 \u00fcretiminde daha da fazla art\u0131\u015f beklemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacak. <\/span>
<\/span>
Global resesyon, hatta Almanya Maliye Bakan\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re stagflasyon risklerinin konu\u015fuldu\u011fu, b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 revize edildi\u011fi \u015fu d\u00f6nemde, i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na biraz daha odaklanmakta fayda var. Global durgunlu\u011fu ancak canl\u0131 bir i\u00e7 piyasa ile a\u015fabiliriz.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"makroekonomik-politikalarin-sanayi-uretimine-etkisi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Makroekonomik politikalar\u0131n sanayi \u00fcretimine etkisi","meta_description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1090,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}