{"status":true,"post":{"id":35225,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 22:00:49","created_at":"2022-10-06T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T19:00:49.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":35225,"is_featured":0,"title":"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda dolar r\u00fczgar\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Amerikan dolar\u0131, bir-iki istisna d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde de\u011fer kazan\u0131yor. Dolar endeksi bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 22 yukar\u0131da. <\/span>
<\/span>
Euro\/dolar paritesi 1\u2019in alt\u0131na indi. \u0130ngiliz sterlini, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda tarihin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Ye\u015fil banknotun bu denli istikrarl\u0131 ve genele yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bi\u00e7imde de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na neden olan \u00e7ok fazla fakt\u00f6r var. <\/span>
<\/span>
Nedenlerden ilki, Fed\u2019in di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131na k\u0131yasla para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB), Fed\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na yeterince kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k veremiyor. ABD ve Avrupa aras\u0131ndaki faiz makas\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 dolara y\u00f6nlendiriyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
AVRUPA\u2019DA RESESYON BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
AB, ayn\u0131 anda \u00e7ok fazla sorunla m\u00fccadele etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgali sonras\u0131 iyice ayyuka \u00e7\u0131kan enerji krizi, Avrupa ekonomisi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit unsuru. Enerjiye eri\u015fimin zorla\u015fmas\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede \u00fc\u00e7 kat artmas\u0131 neticesinde Avrupa ekonomisinin resesyona girmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz gibi. ABD, enerji arz\u0131 noktas\u0131nda daha korunakl\u0131 bir noktada. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 Amerikan ekonomisini \u0131s\u0131rsa da enerjiye eri\u015fimde Kuzey Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir problem ya\u015famas\u0131 beklenmiyor. Merkel sonras\u0131nda Almanya\u2019n\u0131n siyaseten t\u00f6kezlemeye devam etmesi, \u0130talya\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi, AB\u2019nin i\u015fini iyice zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Risklerin ve belirsizli\u011fin bu denli y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin lider ve siyasi istikrar sorunu ya\u015famalar\u0131, do\u011fru kararlar\u0131n zaman\u0131nda al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 engelliyor. Avrupa ekonomisinin gelece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen beklentiler euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de de durum farkl\u0131 de\u011fil. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00e7i\u00e7e\u011fi burnunda Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Liz Truss, hen\u00fcz piyasalara g\u00fcven verebilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mali politikalar, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve hazinenin bor\u00e7lanma gereksinimini art\u0131racak cinsten. Piyasalar\u0131 endi\u015felendiren bu geli\u015fmenin ard\u0131ndan sterlin adeta bir geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimi gibi h\u0131zla de\u011fer kaybetti. <\/span>
<\/span>
GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELERDEK\u0130 ATMOSFER<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler evreninde de durumlar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. K\u00fcresel likiditenin suyunu \u00e7ekmesi ve faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve(ya) bor\u00e7 y\u00fcklerine dair endi\u015felerin artmas\u0131na sebep oluyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck pazarlarda iktisadi faaliyetin yava\u015flamas\u0131, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin ihracat gelirlerini olumsuz etkileyecek. S\u0131f\u0131r vaka politikas\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7meyen \u00c7in\u2019de ya\u015fanan arz kesintileri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi iyice frenlemi\u015f durumda. 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 8.2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00c7in ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor. \u00d6zetle, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerdeki ekonomik atmosfer de dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/span>
<\/span>
Amerikan ekonomisinin onlarca problemine ra\u011fmen dolar \u015fu anda k\u00f6t\u00fcn\u00fcn iyisi olarak kabul ediliyor ve g\u00fcvenli liman olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. K\u0131sa vadede dolar\u0131n seyrinin tersine d\u00f6nmesi beklenmiyor. \u015eu anda k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 alarm seviyesinde de\u011filiz. Ancak, \u00f6zellikle euro ve sterlin i\u00e7in i\u015fler daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fecek olursa, k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131na kontroll\u00fc bir ince ayar \u00e7ekmek gerekebilir. T\u0131pk\u0131 1980\u2019lerin ortas\u0131ndaki Plaza Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda oldu\u011fu gibi.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-piyasalarda-dolar-ruzgari","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda dolar r\u00fczgar\u0131","meta_description":"PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1157,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":35324,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":35225,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda dolar r\u00fczgar\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Amerikan dolar\u0131, bir-iki istisna d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde de\u011fer kazan\u0131yor. Dolar endeksi bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 22 yukar\u0131da. <\/span>
<\/span>
Euro\/dolar paritesi 1\u2019in alt\u0131na indi. \u0130ngiliz sterlini, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda tarihin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Ye\u015fil banknotun bu denli istikrarl\u0131 ve genele yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bi\u00e7imde de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na neden olan \u00e7ok fazla fakt\u00f6r var. <\/span>
<\/span>
Nedenlerden ilki, Fed\u2019in di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131na k\u0131yasla para politikas\u0131n\u0131 daha sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB), Fed\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na yeterince kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k veremiyor. ABD ve Avrupa aras\u0131ndaki faiz makas\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 dolara y\u00f6nlendiriyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
AVRUPA\u2019DA RESESYON BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
AB, ayn\u0131 anda \u00e7ok fazla sorunla m\u00fccadele etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgali sonras\u0131 iyice ayyuka \u00e7\u0131kan enerji krizi, Avrupa ekonomisi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit unsuru. Enerjiye eri\u015fimin zorla\u015fmas\u0131 ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede \u00fc\u00e7 kat artmas\u0131 neticesinde Avrupa ekonomisinin resesyona girmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz gibi. ABD, enerji arz\u0131 noktas\u0131nda daha korunakl\u0131 bir noktada. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 Amerikan ekonomisini \u0131s\u0131rsa da enerjiye eri\u015fimde Kuzey Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir problem ya\u015famas\u0131 beklenmiyor. Merkel sonras\u0131nda Almanya\u2019n\u0131n siyaseten t\u00f6kezlemeye devam etmesi, \u0130talya\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi, AB\u2019nin i\u015fini iyice zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Risklerin ve belirsizli\u011fin bu denli y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin lider ve siyasi istikrar sorunu ya\u015famalar\u0131, do\u011fru kararlar\u0131n zaman\u0131nda al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 engelliyor. Avrupa ekonomisinin gelece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen beklentiler euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de de durum farkl\u0131 de\u011fil. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00e7i\u00e7e\u011fi burnunda Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Liz Truss, hen\u00fcz piyasalara g\u00fcven verebilmi\u015f de\u011fil. Yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mali politikalar, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve hazinenin bor\u00e7lanma gereksinimini art\u0131racak cinsten. Piyasalar\u0131 endi\u015felendiren bu geli\u015fmenin ard\u0131ndan sterlin adeta bir geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimi gibi h\u0131zla de\u011fer kaybetti. <\/span>
<\/span>
GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELERDEK\u0130 ATMOSFER<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler evreninde de durumlar kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. K\u00fcresel likiditenin suyunu \u00e7ekmesi ve faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde cari a\u00e7\u0131k ve(ya) bor\u00e7 y\u00fcklerine dair endi\u015felerin artmas\u0131na sebep oluyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck pazarlarda iktisadi faaliyetin yava\u015flamas\u0131, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin ihracat gelirlerini olumsuz etkileyecek. S\u0131f\u0131r vaka politikas\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7meyen \u00c7in\u2019de ya\u015fanan arz kesintileri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi iyice frenlemi\u015f durumda. 2021\u2019de y\u00fczde 8.2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen \u00c7in ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2.8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor. \u00d6zetle, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerdeki ekonomik atmosfer de dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/span>
<\/span>
Amerikan ekonomisinin onlarca problemine ra\u011fmen dolar \u015fu anda k\u00f6t\u00fcn\u00fcn iyisi olarak kabul ediliyor ve g\u00fcvenli liman olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. K\u0131sa vadede dolar\u0131n seyrinin tersine d\u00f6nmesi beklenmiyor. \u015eu anda k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 alarm seviyesinde de\u011filiz. Ancak, \u00f6zellikle euro ve sterlin i\u00e7in i\u015fler daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fecek olursa, k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131na kontroll\u00fc bir ince ayar \u00e7ekmek gerekebilir. T\u0131pk\u0131 1980\u2019lerin ortas\u0131ndaki Plaza Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda oldu\u011fu gibi.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-piyasalarda-dolar-ruzgari","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel piyasalarda dolar r\u00fczgar\u0131","meta_description":"PROF. DR. NURULLAH G\u00dcR","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1157,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}