{"status":true,"post":{"id":29544,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 16:04:17","created_at":"2021-11-18T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T13:04:17.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":29544,"is_featured":0,"title":"K\u00fcresel enflasyon ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na yans\u0131malar\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Pandemi sonras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan k\u00fcresel enflasyondaki geli\u015fmeler, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ana \u015fekillendirici unsur olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00dclkelerin politika \u00f6ncelikleri pandemi desteklerinden giderek artan enflasyonun kontrol alt\u0131nda tutulmas\u0131na y\u00f6neliyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede k\u00fcresel enflasyon geli\u015fmelerini ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na olas\u0131 yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span>
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1. K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON \u00d6NCELER\u0130 D\u0130KKATE ALINMADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya genelinde son 15 y\u0131ld\u0131r enflasyon neredeyse unutulmu\u015f gibiydi. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc parasal geni\u015flemelere ra\u011fmen hedeflenen y\u00fczde 2 enflasyon dahi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmiyordu. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda pandemi sonras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren biriken enflasyon kendini yaz aylar\u0131nda g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Ancak bu enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131, pandemi sonras\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor ve ge\u00e7icidir denilerek \u00e7ok da dikkate al\u0131nmad\u0131. Fed ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131 da enflasyonu ge\u00e7ici g\u00f6rd\u00fcler ve y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde enflasyonda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu nedenle geni\u015flemeci politikalar\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 verdiler.<\/span>
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2. ENFLASYON HIZLANDI VE KALICI OLMAYA BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131 eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda h\u0131zland\u0131 ve giderek kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. K\u00fcresel enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ana nedenleri, k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirlerindeki bozulma ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan arz ve tedarik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131d\u0131r. Yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015f ile do\u011falgaz ve elektrik ile akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile hammadde ve girdi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Bozulan ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k zincirleri ile y\u00fckselen navlun fiyatlar\u0131 ve iklim krizinin yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 kurakl\u0131\u011fa ve ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc hava \u015fartlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131d\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca \u00fccretlerde de \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu etkenlerin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc kal\u0131c\u0131, bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde ise normalle\u015fme zaman alacak. Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel enflasyon 2022\u2019nin de b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. <\/span>
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3. MERKEZ BANKALARI SIKILA\u015eMAYA BA\u015eLIYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel enflasyonun y\u00fckselmesi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda pandemi sonras\u0131 ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc geni\u015fletici para politikalar\u0131 uygulayan merkez bankalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 haz\u0131rlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed, parasal geni\u015flemeyi sona erdirme karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Kanada merkez bankas\u0131 da ayn\u0131 karar\u0131 verdi. \u0130ngiltere merkez bankas\u0131 da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ba\u015flayacak. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise hen\u00fcz s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma taraf\u0131nda de\u011fil. 2022\u2019de muhtemelen merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na da ge\u00e7ecek. 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada daha y\u00fcksek faizler olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flayacak. Geli\u015fen \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131 da benzer \u015fekilde faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na giderek finansal istikrar\u0131 korumay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/span>
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4. Y\u00dcZDE 6.2 ENFLASYON MAL\u0130 P\u0130YASALARI \u015eOK ETT\u0130 <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma i\u015faretleri vermelerine ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n buna ili\u015fkin bir takvim a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen uluslararas\u0131 finansal piyasalar halen geni\u015flemeci politikalar devam eder beklentisi ile fiyatlamalar yap\u0131yordu. Ancak ABD\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 6.2\u2019ye y\u00fckselen ekim ay\u0131 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu, t\u00fcm finansal piyasalarda \u015fok etkisi yaratt\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 finansal piyasalar, enflasyonu ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 ana senaryo olarak kabullendiler ve fiyatlamalar\u0131 da buna g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar. \u00d6zellikle tahvil faizlerinde art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde d\u00fczeltmeler ya\u015fand\u0131. Daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir fiyatlamaya ge\u00e7ilmi\u015f oldu.<\/span>
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5. 2022\u2019DE PARASAL SIKILA\u015eMALAR GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELER\u0130 ZORLAYACAK2022\u2019DE D\u00dcNYA GENEL\u0130NDE ENFLASYON OLDUK\u00c7A Y\u00dcKSEK KALMAYA DEVAM<\/strong> EDECEK. <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Bu nedenle merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131 da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacak. Para politikalar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma, geli\u015fen \u00fclkeleri de olumsuz etkileyecek. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ve para birimlerinde de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fayacak. Bu nedenle <\/span>
2022\u2019de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri yine g\u00fcndemde olacak. <\/span>
<\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
2022\u2019de k\u00fcresel alanda parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. T\u00fcrkiye, uygun politikalar izlemez ise fiyat \u00ad\u00adve finansal istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamada zorlan\u0131r.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-enflasyon-ve-turk-lirasina-yansimalari","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel enflasyon ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na yans\u0131malar\u0131","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1100,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":29643,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":29544,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"K\u00fcresel enflasyon ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na yans\u0131malar\u0131","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Pandemi sonras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan k\u00fcresel enflasyondaki geli\u015fmeler, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda ana \u015fekillendirici unsur olacak gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00dclkelerin politika \u00f6ncelikleri pandemi desteklerinden giderek artan enflasyonun kontrol alt\u0131nda tutulmas\u0131na y\u00f6neliyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede k\u00fcresel enflasyon geli\u015fmelerini ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na olas\u0131 yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON \u00d6NCELER\u0130 D\u0130KKATE ALINMADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya genelinde son 15 y\u0131ld\u0131r enflasyon neredeyse unutulmu\u015f gibiydi. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc parasal geni\u015flemelere ra\u011fmen hedeflenen y\u00fczde 2 enflasyon dahi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmiyordu. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda pandemi sonras\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te 2021 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren biriken enflasyon kendini yaz aylar\u0131nda g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Ancak bu enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131, pandemi sonras\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor ve ge\u00e7icidir denilerek \u00e7ok da dikkate al\u0131nmad\u0131. Fed ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131 da enflasyonu ge\u00e7ici g\u00f6rd\u00fcler ve y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde enflasyonda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu nedenle geni\u015flemeci politikalar\u0131n s\u00fcrece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 verdiler.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. ENFLASYON HIZLANDI VE KALICI OLMAYA BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131 eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda h\u0131zland\u0131 ve giderek kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. K\u00fcresel enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ana nedenleri, k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirlerindeki bozulma ile ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan arz ve tedarik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131d\u0131r. Yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015f ile do\u011falgaz ve elektrik ile akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar ile hammadde ve girdi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Bozulan ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k zincirleri ile y\u00fckselen navlun fiyatlar\u0131 ve iklim krizinin yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 kurakl\u0131\u011fa ve ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc hava \u015fartlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131d\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca \u00fccretlerde de \u00f6nemli art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu etkenlerin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc kal\u0131c\u0131, bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde ise normalle\u015fme zaman alacak. Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel enflasyon 2022\u2019nin de b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde y\u00fcksek ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. <\/span>
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3. MERKEZ BANKALARI SIKILA\u015eMAYA BA\u015eLIYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel enflasyonun y\u00fckselmesi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda pandemi sonras\u0131 ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc geni\u015fletici para politikalar\u0131 uygulayan merkez bankalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 haz\u0131rlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6ncelikle ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed, parasal geni\u015flemeyi sona erdirme karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Kanada merkez bankas\u0131 da ayn\u0131 karar\u0131 verdi. \u0130ngiltere merkez bankas\u0131 da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ba\u015flayacak. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise hen\u00fcz s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma taraf\u0131nda de\u011fil. 2022\u2019de muhtemelen merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na da ge\u00e7ecek. 2022\u2019nin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada daha y\u00fcksek faizler olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flayacak. Geli\u015fen \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131 da benzer \u015fekilde faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na giderek finansal istikrar\u0131 korumay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. Y\u00dcZDE 6.2 ENFLASYON MAL\u0130 P\u0130YASALARI \u015eOK ETT\u0130 <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma i\u015faretleri vermelerine ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n buna ili\u015fkin bir takvim a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen uluslararas\u0131 finansal piyasalar halen geni\u015flemeci politikalar devam eder beklentisi ile fiyatlamalar yap\u0131yordu. Ancak ABD\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 6.2\u2019ye y\u00fckselen ekim ay\u0131 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu, t\u00fcm finansal piyasalarda \u015fok etkisi yaratt\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 finansal piyasalar, enflasyonu ve merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 ana senaryo olarak kabullendiler ve fiyatlamalar\u0131 da buna g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar. \u00d6zellikle tahvil faizlerinde art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde d\u00fczeltmeler ya\u015fand\u0131. Daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir fiyatlamaya ge\u00e7ilmi\u015f oldu.<\/span>
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5. 2022\u2019DE PARASAL SIKILA\u015eMALAR GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELER\u0130 ZORLAYACAK2022\u2019DE D\u00dcNYA GENEL\u0130NDE ENFLASYON OLDUK\u00c7A Y\u00dcKSEK KALMAYA DEVAM<\/strong> EDECEK. <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Bu nedenle merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131 da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olacak. Para politikalar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma, geli\u015fen \u00fclkeleri de olumsuz etkileyecek. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ve para birimlerinde de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fayacak. Bu nedenle <\/span>
2022\u2019de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri yine g\u00fcndemde olacak. <\/span>
<\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
2022\u2019de k\u00fcresel alanda parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. T\u00fcrkiye, uygun politikalar izlemez ise fiyat \u00ad\u00adve finansal istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamada zorlan\u0131r.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-enflasyon-ve-turk-lirasina-yansimalari","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel enflasyon ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019na yans\u0131malar\u0131","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1100,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}