{"status":true,"post":{"id":35230,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 22:00:50","created_at":"2022-10-06T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T19:00:50.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":35230,"is_featured":0,"title":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide ender geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

K\u00fcresel ekonomide 1970\u2019li y\u0131llardan bu yana ender olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin tamam\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi ve yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumsuz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 y\u00f6netmek kolay olmayacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. PANDEM\u0130N\u0130N ART\u00c7I ETK\u0130LER\u0130 S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
2020\u2019de ba\u015flayan pandemi, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geride kalm\u0131\u015f olmakla birlikte ekonomide yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir\u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fim kal\u0131c\u0131 hale geldi. <\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte tedarik zincirlerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lma ve tedarik g\u00fcvenli\u011finin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 sonucu tedarik ve arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 artarak devam ediyor. Tedarik ve arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 enflasyonu da besliyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. AVRUPA\u2019DA SAVA\u015e<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya genelinde son on y\u0131llarda bir\u00e7ok sava\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Ancak Rusya gibi s\u00fcper bir g\u00fcc\u00fcn do\u011frudan a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir sava\u015f olmad\u0131. <\/span>
<\/span>
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgali ile ba\u015flayan ve d\u00f6rt b\u00f6lgenin ilhak edilmesi a\u015famas\u0131na gelen sava\u015f\u0131n nas\u0131l sona erece\u011fi bilinmiyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
Sava\u015f ile Bat\u0131 ve Rusya aras\u0131nda keskin bir kopma oldu. Ayr\u0131ca Rusya hem seferberlik ile Ukrayna\u2019daki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor hem de n\u00fckleer silah kullanma tehdidinde bulunuyor. Sava\u015f ile d\u00fcnya, enerji ve g\u0131da krizi riskleri ile de kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131. <\/span>
<\/span>
3. K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Pandeminin tetikledi\u011fi ve sava\u015f\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte 1970\u2019lerden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00e7ok uzun y\u0131llar b\u00f6ylesine bir enflasyon ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmad\u0131. Enflasyon hem kat\u0131la\u015ft\u0131 hem de yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131. Y\u00fcksek enflasyon geni\u015f hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n \u2018ya\u015fam maliyeti krizi\u2019 ile de kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. K\u00fcresel enflasyonun ne zaman normalle\u015fece\u011fi belirsiz.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. \u00c7OK SIKI PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI VE ARTAN FA\u0130ZLER<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ya\u015fanan krizler sonucu 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren s\u00fcrekli olarak geni\u015fletici para politikalar\u0131 uyguland\u0131. <\/span>
<\/span>
Piyasalarda bol d\u00f6viz likiditesi ve s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n faizler oldu. Ekonomiler, sekt\u00f6rler, firmalar ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bol ve \u00e7ok ucuz likiditeden fazlas\u0131 ile yararland\u0131. Ancak y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda art\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131na ge\u00e7iliyor. Ge\u00e7i\u015f, beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ve kuvvetli olacak. D\u00f6viz likiditesi geri \u00e7ekiliyor ve faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131yor. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 devam edecek. Firmalar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 ortama uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 kolay olmayacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
5. RESESYON VE T\u0130CARETTE DARALMA BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda uygulad\u0131klar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131nda \u00e7ok kararl\u0131. Ekonomilerdeki yava\u015flama riskine ra\u011fmen enflasyon ile m\u00fccadeleden geri ad\u0131m olmayacak. Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel ekonomide yava\u015flama \u00f6tesinde durgunluk ve hatta resesyon beklentileri art\u0131yor. 2022\u2019nin son \u00e7eyre\u011fi ve 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde resesyon ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00fcnya mal ve hizmet ticareti de ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde daralacak. K\u00fcresel ekonomideki bu beklentiler, enflasyon ve para politikalar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelere g\u00f6re \u015fekillenecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
6. \u0130KL\u0130M DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M\u0130-S\u00dcRD\u00dcR\u00dcLEB\u0130L\u0130RL\u0130K VE D\u0130J\u0130TALLE\u015eME<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ekonominin ne olursa olsun de\u011fi\u015fmeyen g\u00fcndemi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ve dijitalle\u015fme olmaya devam edecek. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik amac\u0131yla ekonomilerde, sekt\u00f6rlerde ve firmalarda yo\u011fun bir ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Buna dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm de eklendi. Ekonomilerdeki enflasyona ve daralma endi\u015felerine ra\u011fmen s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ile ilgili ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 h\u0131z kesmeden devam edecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
7. ENERJ\u0130 VE GIDA KR\u0130Z\u0130 R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Pandemi ve daha \u00e7ok sava\u015f\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak enerji ve g\u0131da tedariki ile ilgili kriz riski ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Her iki alanda da tedarik ak\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fiyor, fiyatlar art\u0131yor ve tedarik k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ekonominin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ve risklerine \u00f6zellikle bu k\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek enerji ve g\u0131da krizleri riskleri eklendi.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ekonomide uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fme ya\u015fanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Bu ortamda firmalarda kontroll\u00fc bir yava\u015flama politikas\u0131 izlemek en do\u011frusu olacak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-ekonomide-ender-gelismeler-yasaniyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide ender geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1113,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":35329,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":35230,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide ender geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

K\u00fcresel ekonomide 1970\u2019li y\u0131llardan bu yana ender olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin tamam\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi ve yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 olumsuz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 y\u00f6netmek kolay olmayacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
1. PANDEM\u0130N\u0130N ART\u00c7I ETK\u0130LER\u0130 S\u00dcR\u00dcYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
2020\u2019de ba\u015flayan pandemi, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geride kalm\u0131\u015f olmakla birlikte ekonomide yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir\u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fim kal\u0131c\u0131 hale geldi. <\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte tedarik zincirlerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lma ve tedarik g\u00fcvenli\u011finin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 sonucu tedarik ve arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 artarak devam ediyor. Tedarik ve arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 enflasyonu da besliyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
2. AVRUPA\u2019DA SAVA\u015e<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya genelinde son on y\u0131llarda bir\u00e7ok sava\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Ancak Rusya gibi s\u00fcper bir g\u00fcc\u00fcn do\u011frudan a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir sava\u015f olmad\u0131. <\/span>
<\/span>
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgali ile ba\u015flayan ve d\u00f6rt b\u00f6lgenin ilhak edilmesi a\u015famas\u0131na gelen sava\u015f\u0131n nas\u0131l sona erece\u011fi bilinmiyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
Sava\u015f ile Bat\u0131 ve Rusya aras\u0131nda keskin bir kopma oldu. Ayr\u0131ca Rusya hem seferberlik ile Ukrayna\u2019daki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor hem de n\u00fckleer silah kullanma tehdidinde bulunuyor. Sava\u015f ile d\u00fcnya, enerji ve g\u0131da krizi riskleri ile de kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131. <\/span>
<\/span>
3. K\u00dcRESEL ENFLASYON<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Pandeminin tetikledi\u011fi ve sava\u015f\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte 1970\u2019lerden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131. K\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00e7ok uzun y\u0131llar b\u00f6ylesine bir enflasyon ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmad\u0131. Enflasyon hem kat\u0131la\u015ft\u0131 hem de yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131. Y\u00fcksek enflasyon geni\u015f hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n \u2018ya\u015fam maliyeti krizi\u2019 ile de kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. K\u00fcresel enflasyonun ne zaman normalle\u015fece\u011fi belirsiz.<\/span>
<\/span>
4. \u00c7OK SIKI PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI VE ARTAN FA\u0130ZLER<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ya\u015fanan krizler sonucu 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren s\u00fcrekli olarak geni\u015fletici para politikalar\u0131 uyguland\u0131. <\/span>
<\/span>
Piyasalarda bol d\u00f6viz likiditesi ve s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n faizler oldu. Ekonomiler, sekt\u00f6rler, firmalar ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bol ve \u00e7ok ucuz likiditeden fazlas\u0131 ile yararland\u0131. Ancak y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda art\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131na ge\u00e7iliyor. Ge\u00e7i\u015f, beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ve kuvvetli olacak. D\u00f6viz likiditesi geri \u00e7ekiliyor ve faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131yor. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 devam edecek. Firmalar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 ortama uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131 kolay olmayacak.<\/span>
<\/span>
5. RESESYON VE T\u0130CARETTE DARALMA BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Merkez bankalar\u0131 enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda uygulad\u0131klar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131nda \u00e7ok kararl\u0131. Ekonomilerdeki yava\u015flama riskine ra\u011fmen enflasyon ile m\u00fccadeleden geri ad\u0131m olmayacak. Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel ekonomide yava\u015flama \u00f6tesinde durgunluk ve hatta resesyon beklentileri art\u0131yor. 2022\u2019nin son \u00e7eyre\u011fi ve 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde resesyon ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak d\u00fcnya mal ve hizmet ticareti de ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde daralacak. K\u00fcresel ekonomideki bu beklentiler, enflasyon ve para politikalar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelere g\u00f6re \u015fekillenecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
6. \u0130KL\u0130M DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M\u0130-S\u00dcRD\u00dcR\u00dcLEB\u0130L\u0130RL\u0130K VE D\u0130J\u0130TALLE\u015eME<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ekonominin ne olursa olsun de\u011fi\u015fmeyen g\u00fcndemi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ve dijitalle\u015fme olmaya devam edecek. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik amac\u0131yla ekonomilerde, sekt\u00f6rlerde ve firmalarda yo\u011fun bir ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Buna dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm de eklendi. Ekonomilerdeki enflasyona ve daralma endi\u015felerine ra\u011fmen s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ile ilgili ye\u015fil d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 h\u0131z kesmeden devam edecek.<\/span>
<\/span>
7. ENERJ\u0130 VE GIDA KR\u0130Z\u0130 R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Pandemi ve daha \u00e7ok sava\u015f\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak enerji ve g\u0131da tedariki ile ilgili kriz riski ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Her iki alanda da tedarik ak\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fiyor, fiyatlar art\u0131yor ve tedarik k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ekonominin s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ve risklerine \u00f6zellikle bu k\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek enerji ve g\u0131da krizleri riskleri eklendi.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
SON S\u00d6Z <\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
K\u00fcresel ekonomide uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fme ya\u015fanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Bu ortamda firmalarda kontroll\u00fc bir yava\u015flama politikas\u0131 izlemek en do\u011frusu olacak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"kuresel-ekonomide-ender-gelismeler-yasaniyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"K\u00fcresel ekonomide ender geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1113,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}