{"status":true,"post":{"id":13513,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:29:14","created_at":"2016-04-17T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:29:14.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":13513,"is_featured":0,"title":"Konumuz IMF","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7en hafta IMF hem global ekonomi hem de T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili bir dizi a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">IMF, D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporunda 2016 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in 2016 beklentisini Ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlere g\u00f6re a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 3.2 olarak belirlerken, 2017 ve sonras\u0131nda toparlanma i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi art\u0131racak ve k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 y\u00f6netecek geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 bir politika yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131n acil ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu bildirdi. Bu arada 2017 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini de y\u00fczde 3.6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 3.5\u2019e revize etti.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamayla IMF\u2019nin global ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik tedirginli\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6rebiliyoruz. Beklentilerin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmesi umutlar\u0131n\u0131n suya d\u00fc\u015fme\u011fe ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Global toparlanman\u0131n finansal piyasalarda artan karga\u015fan\u0131n etkisiyle 2015 sonundan itibaren zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten IMF, geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde ekonomik aktivite yatayla\u015f\u0131rken, b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan piyasa ekonomilerinde ise stresin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faret olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. Bu ters r\u00fczgarlara, \u00c7in ekonomisinin daha dengeli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye do\u011fru d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn eklendi\u011fine de dikkat \u00e7eken IMF, ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn risk alg\u0131lamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve politikada hareket alan\u0131 yoklu\u011fu, riskli varl\u0131k de\u011ferlemelerinin gerilemesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Geli\u015fmekte olan ve kalk\u0131nmakta olan piyasalarda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2016 i\u00e7in global olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u00e2l\u00e2 aslan pay\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ifade eden IMF, bununla birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmlerin ini\u015fli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 ve son 20 y\u0131ldan daha zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi IMF global ekonomi i\u00e7in pek de olumlu bir tablo sunmuyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelelim T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in ne s\u00f6yledi\u011fine; b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in son 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden bahsetmesi olduk\u00e7a dikkat \u00e7ekici. Bizce en \u00f6nemli saptamas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 finansman\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131na g\u00f6re rezervlerin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin daha fazla rezerve ihtiyac\u0131 olabilirmi\u015f. K\u0131sacas\u0131 bol bol dolar ve Euro ta\u015f\u0131rsak daha sempatik gelecekmi\u015fiz. K\u0131sa vadeli fon eksi\u011fini bor\u00e7lanmak i\u00e7in ortam\u0131n son derece m\u00fcsait oldu\u011funu, k\u0131sacas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir bir \u00fclkenin uygun faizle istedi\u011fi fonlamay\u0131 \u2018negatif\u2019 faizli ve \u2018likit\u2019 bir ortamda rahatl\u0131kla yapabilece\u011fini yani k\u0131sacas\u0131 global konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc dikkate alarak yorumlamay\u0131 her nedense ak\u0131l edememi\u015f. G\u00f6ren de T\u00fcrkiye k\u0131sa vadede bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemeyebilir kanaatine kap\u0131lacak. \u00c7ok komik. San\u0131r\u0131m Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin mali durumuna baka baka T\u00fcrkiye ile kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015flar. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada onlara mesaj\u0131m\u0131z T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bor\u00e7 yap\u0131s\u0131ndaki tarihsel geli\u015fimi dikkate alarak yorum yaps\u0131nlar. O zaman belki do\u011fruyu g\u00f6rebilirler. Son zamanlarda daha kaliteli bor\u00e7lanma kendili\u011finden olu\u015fmuyor en az\u0131ndan bunu g\u00f6rebilirlerdi. Bu t\u00fcr kurumlar\u0131n global soygunculara kar\u015f\u0131 tedbir al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izene kadar, onlara karlar\u0131n\u0131 realize etmelerini sa\u011flayacak bir rezervi olu\u015fturun demesi trajikomik bir analizdir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; global iyile\u015fme beklentileri azal\u0131rken tedbirleri art\u0131ral\u0131m. O zaman krizi f\u0131rsata \u00e7evirebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"konumuz-imf","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Konumuz IMF","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":219,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":13612,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":13513,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Konumuz IMF","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Ge\u00e7en hafta IMF hem global ekonomi hem de T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili bir dizi a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">IMF, D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporunda 2016 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in 2016 beklentisini Ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlere g\u00f6re a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 3.2 olarak belirlerken, 2017 ve sonras\u0131nda toparlanma i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi art\u0131racak ve k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 y\u00f6netecek geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 bir politika yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131n acil ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu bildirdi. Bu arada 2017 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini de y\u00fczde 3.6\u2019dan y\u00fczde 3.5\u2019e revize etti.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamayla IMF\u2019nin global ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik tedirginli\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6rebiliyoruz. Beklentilerin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmesi umutlar\u0131n\u0131n suya d\u00fc\u015fme\u011fe ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Global toparlanman\u0131n finansal piyasalarda artan karga\u015fan\u0131n etkisiyle 2015 sonundan itibaren zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten IMF, geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde ekonomik aktivite yatayla\u015f\u0131rken, b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan piyasa ekonomilerinde ise stresin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faret olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. Bu ters r\u00fczgarlara, \u00c7in ekonomisinin daha dengeli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye do\u011fru d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn eklendi\u011fine de dikkat \u00e7eken IMF, ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn risk alg\u0131lamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve politikada hareket alan\u0131 yoklu\u011fu, riskli varl\u0131k de\u011ferlemelerinin gerilemesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Geli\u015fmekte olan ve kalk\u0131nmakta olan piyasalarda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2016 i\u00e7in global olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u00e2l\u00e2 aslan pay\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ifade eden IMF, bununla birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmlerin ini\u015fli \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fl\u0131 ve son 20 y\u0131ldan daha zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi IMF global ekonomi i\u00e7in pek de olumlu bir tablo sunmuyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Gelelim T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in ne s\u00f6yledi\u011fine; b\u00fcy\u00fck geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in son 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden bahsetmesi olduk\u00e7a dikkat \u00e7ekici. Bizce en \u00f6nemli saptamas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 finansman\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131na g\u00f6re rezervlerin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin daha fazla rezerve ihtiyac\u0131 olabilirmi\u015f. K\u0131sacas\u0131 bol bol dolar ve Euro ta\u015f\u0131rsak daha sempatik gelecekmi\u015fiz. K\u0131sa vadeli fon eksi\u011fini bor\u00e7lanmak i\u00e7in ortam\u0131n son derece m\u00fcsait oldu\u011funu, k\u0131sacas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir bir \u00fclkenin uygun faizle istedi\u011fi fonlamay\u0131 \u2018negatif\u2019 faizli ve \u2018likit\u2019 bir ortamda rahatl\u0131kla yapabilece\u011fini yani k\u0131sacas\u0131 global konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc dikkate alarak yorumlamay\u0131 her nedense ak\u0131l edememi\u015f. G\u00f6ren de T\u00fcrkiye k\u0131sa vadede bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemeyebilir kanaatine kap\u0131lacak. \u00c7ok komik. San\u0131r\u0131m Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin mali durumuna baka baka T\u00fcrkiye ile kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015flar. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada onlara mesaj\u0131m\u0131z T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bor\u00e7 yap\u0131s\u0131ndaki tarihsel geli\u015fimi dikkate alarak yorum yaps\u0131nlar. O zaman belki do\u011fruyu g\u00f6rebilirler. Son zamanlarda daha kaliteli bor\u00e7lanma kendili\u011finden olu\u015fmuyor en az\u0131ndan bunu g\u00f6rebilirlerdi. Bu t\u00fcr kurumlar\u0131n global soygunculara kar\u015f\u0131 tedbir al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izene kadar, onlara karlar\u0131n\u0131 realize etmelerini sa\u011flayacak bir rezervi olu\u015fturun demesi trajikomik bir analizdir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; global iyile\u015fme beklentileri azal\u0131rken tedbirleri art\u0131ral\u0131m. O zaman krizi f\u0131rsata \u00e7evirebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"konumuz-imf","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Konumuz IMF","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":219,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}