{"status":true,"post":{"id":14320,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:36:30","created_at":"2016-07-31T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:36:30.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14320,"is_featured":0,"title":"Kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir badire atlatt\u0131. \u015eimdi de bunun art\u00e7\u0131 etkilerini ve risklerini ortadan kald\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu d\u00f6nemde demokrasiye ba\u011fl\u0131 kalarak \u00f6ncelikle uyan\u0131k olmal\u0131, sonras\u0131nda da i\u015flerimize kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam etmeliyiz. Bu nedenle yaz\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam\u2019 oldu. Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z travma ve kay\u0131plar sonras\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi, Brexit, petrol fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 yazmak \u00e7ok anlams\u0131z kalabilir. Ancak hayat devam ediyor ve i\u015flerimize yeniden geri d\u00f6nebilmeliyiz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NDE ZAYIF B\u00dcY\u00dcME, D\u00dcNYA MAL T\u0130CARET\u0130NDE K\u00dc\u00c7\u00dcLME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016\u2019da d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi s\u00fcrmektedir. B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019den ayr\u0131lma karar\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ve ticaretinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin olumsuz etkilenmesi beklenmektedir. Etki 2016\u2019da daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilecektir. Ancak 2017\u2019de etkinin daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Brexit sonras\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2016 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2.5\u2019dir. \u0130ngiltere, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ve AB\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 1.8\u2019e inmi\u015ftir. ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmi\u015ftir. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de\u011fi\u015fmemi\u015f ve y\u00fczde 4.1 olarak kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. BDT \u00fclkelerinde ve Latin Amerika\u2019da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme beklentisi azal\u0131rken, Sahra Afrika b\u00f6lgesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in ise artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme 2016\u2019da da s\u00fcrmektedir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 8-9 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oran\u0131 giderek azalmaktad\u0131r. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f de\u011fer baz\u0131ndaki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya mal ticareti de\u011fer olarak ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.1 azalarak 8.23 trilyon dolardan 7.80 trilyon dolara inmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><strong style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">2. MB, S\u00dcREC\u0130 \u0130Y\u0130 Y\u00d6NET\u0130YOR ANCAK KRED\u0130 NOTUMUZ KIRILIRSA SIKINTI OLUR<\/strong><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Merkez Bankas\u0131 ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler ard\u0131ndan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ile finansal piyasalar\u0131n ve \u00f6deme sisteminin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ard\u0131ndan faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki indirimi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek olduk\u00e7a cesur davranm\u0131\u015f ve piyasalara her e\u015feye hakimiz mesaj\u0131 vermi\u015ftir. Son olarak da yeni bir ileti\u015fim politikas\u0131 ba\u015flatarak ekonomideki t\u00fcm akt\u00f6rler ile daha d\u00fczenli ileti\u015fim i\u00e7inde olma karar\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcm bu kararlar olduk\u00e7a olumludur ve OHAL d\u00f6neminde finansal istikrar\u0131 koruyacakt\u0131r. Bu d\u00f6nemde en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Moodys muhtemelen A\u011fustos ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacakt\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notumuzun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131, g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><strong style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">3. F\u0130RMALARA \u00d6NER\u0130LER<\/strong><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00d6nerileri yerine getirmek elbette \u00e7ok kolay olmayacakt\u0131r ancak yine de b\u00f6yle bir d\u00f6nemde firmalara a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dakileri \u00f6neriyorum: \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f taahh\u00fctleri m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca yerine getirme. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f m\u00fc\u015fteriler ve tedarik\u00e7iler ile yak\u0131n ili\u015fki ve kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 bilgilendirme. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f m\u00fc\u015fterilere kolayl\u0131klar. Harcama disiplini. \u0130lave maliyet kontrol\u00fc. Kredi ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00fcncelleme. Daha y\u00fcksek kurlara kar\u015f\u0131 vadeli i\u015flemler. Gereksiz ve acil olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar i\u00e7in \u00f6teleme. Gereksiz varl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile ilave kaynak. Yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirme d\u00fczenlemelerinden yararlanma. Kamu i\u00e7in \u00f6nerimiz de OHAL d\u00f6neminin \u00f6zel ko\u015fullar\u0131 nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girebilecek firmalar i\u00e7in \u00f6zel bir program ve destek uygulanmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> \u0130htiyatl\u0131 olmaya devam<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kaldigimiz-yerden-devam","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":178,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14419,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14320,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir badire atlatt\u0131. \u015eimdi de bunun art\u00e7\u0131 etkilerini ve risklerini ortadan kald\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu d\u00f6nemde demokrasiye ba\u011fl\u0131 kalarak \u00f6ncelikle uyan\u0131k olmal\u0131, sonras\u0131nda da i\u015flerimize kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam etmeliyiz. Bu nedenle yaz\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam\u2019 oldu. Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z travma ve kay\u0131plar sonras\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi, Brexit, petrol fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 yazmak \u00e7ok anlams\u0131z kalabilir. Ancak hayat devam ediyor ve i\u015flerimize yeniden geri d\u00f6nebilmeliyiz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>1. D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130NDE ZAYIF B\u00dcY\u00dcME, D\u00dcNYA MAL T\u0130CARET\u0130NDE K\u00dc\u00c7\u00dcLME<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">2016\u2019da d\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi s\u00fcrmektedir. B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019n\u0131n AB\u2019den ayr\u0131lma karar\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde ve ticaretinde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin olumsuz etkilenmesi beklenmektedir. Etki 2016\u2019da daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilecektir. Ancak 2017\u2019de etkinin daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Brexit sonras\u0131 d\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2016 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2.5\u2019dir. \u0130ngiltere, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ve AB\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 1.8\u2019e inmi\u015ftir. ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmi\u015ftir. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de\u011fi\u015fmemi\u015f ve y\u00fczde 4.1 olarak kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. BDT \u00fclkelerinde ve Latin Amerika\u2019da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme beklentisi azal\u0131rken, Sahra Afrika b\u00f6lgesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in ise artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme 2016\u2019da da s\u00fcrmektedir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 8-9 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme oran\u0131 giderek azalmaktad\u0131r. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f de\u011fer baz\u0131ndaki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya mal ticareti de\u011fer olarak ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.1 azalarak 8.23 trilyon dolardan 7.80 trilyon dolara inmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><strong style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">2. MB, S\u00dcREC\u0130 \u0130Y\u0130 Y\u00d6NET\u0130YOR ANCAK KRED\u0130 NOTUMUZ KIRILIRSA SIKINTI OLUR<\/strong><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Merkez Bankas\u0131 ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler ard\u0131ndan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nlemler ile finansal piyasalar\u0131n ve \u00f6deme sisteminin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ard\u0131ndan faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki indirimi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek olduk\u00e7a cesur davranm\u0131\u015f ve piyasalara her e\u015feye hakimiz mesaj\u0131 vermi\u015ftir. Son olarak da yeni bir ileti\u015fim politikas\u0131 ba\u015flatarak ekonomideki t\u00fcm akt\u00f6rler ile daha d\u00fczenli ileti\u015fim i\u00e7inde olma karar\u0131 alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u00fcm bu kararlar olduk\u00e7a olumludur ve OHAL d\u00f6neminde finansal istikrar\u0131 koruyacakt\u0131r. Bu d\u00f6nemde en b\u00fcy\u00fck risk T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notunun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Moodys muhtemelen A\u011fustos ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacakt\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir kredi notumuzun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131, g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><strong style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">3. F\u0130RMALARA \u00d6NER\u0130LER<\/strong><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00d6nerileri yerine getirmek elbette \u00e7ok kolay olmayacakt\u0131r ancak yine de b\u00f6yle bir d\u00f6nemde firmalara a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dakileri \u00f6neriyorum: \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f taahh\u00fctleri m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca yerine getirme. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f m\u00fc\u015fteriler ve tedarik\u00e7iler ile yak\u0131n ili\u015fki ve kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 bilgilendirme. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f m\u00fc\u015fterilere kolayl\u0131klar. Harcama disiplini. \u0130lave maliyet kontrol\u00fc. Kredi ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00fcncelleme. Daha y\u00fcksek kurlara kar\u015f\u0131 vadeli i\u015flemler. Gereksiz ve acil olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar i\u00e7in \u00f6teleme. Gereksiz varl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile ilave kaynak. Yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirme d\u00fczenlemelerinden yararlanma. Kamu i\u00e7in \u00f6nerimiz de OHAL d\u00f6neminin \u00f6zel ko\u015fullar\u0131 nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya girebilecek firmalar i\u00e7in \u00f6zel bir program ve destek uygulanmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> \u0130htiyatl\u0131 olmaya devam<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"kaldigimiz-yerden-devam","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Kald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yerden devam","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":178,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}