{"status":true,"post":{"id":81666,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":0,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2026-01-09 09:11:00","created_at":"2026-01-09T06:11:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2026-01-09T06:11:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2026-01-09 09:11:00","source_id":null,"post_id":81666,"is_featured":0,"title":"Jeopolitik risklerin g\u00f6lgesinde 2026\u2019ya giri\u015f","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":"Jeopolitik risklerin g\u00f6lgesinde 2026\u2019ya giri\u015f","sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"

21. y\u00fczy\u0131la girerken d\u00fcnya h\u0131zla k\u00fcreselle\u015fiyordu. AB\u2019ye yeni \u00fclkeler kat\u0131l\u0131yor, \u00c7in D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019ne d\u00e2hil oluyor, uluslararas\u0131 finans sermayesi geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere y\u00f6neliyor ve ABD, s\u00f6zde, \u2018d\u00fcnyaya demokrasiyi yaymaya\u2019 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu.\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Liberaller, d\u00fcnyaya toz pembe bir g\u00f6zl\u00fckle bakarak k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin her ko\u015fulda refah ve bar\u0131\u015f getirece\u011fini savunuyordu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, geli\u015fmeleri daha realist bir perspektiften de\u011ferlendirenler, k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131ya ka\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve mevcut k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klara kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler getirilmedi\u011fi takdirde, k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin vaat etti\u011fi faydalar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyordu.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

2008'deki krizin ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcreselle\u015fme b\u00fcy\u00fck bir duvara \u00e7arpt\u0131. Sonras\u0131nda da kendini toparlayamad\u0131. Kriz sonras\u0131 uygulanan yanl\u0131\u015f politikalar gelir ve servet e\u015fitsizli\u011fini art\u0131rd\u0131. Y\u00fckselen sosyal gerilim g\u00f6\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi ve pop\u00fclizmi k\u00f6r\u00fckledi. Bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine buzlu\u011fa kald\u0131r\u0131lan jeopolitik riskler yeniden ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>


<\/p>

ABD, mevcut k\u00fcresel sistemin art\u0131k kendisinden \u00e7ok \u00c7in\u2019e fayda sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle sistemi de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak eski sistemin yerine neyin ge\u00e7ece\u011fine ili\u015fkin ABD i\u00e7inde hen\u00fcz bir fikir birli\u011fi olu\u015fmu\u015f de\u011fil. Dahas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in bu denli g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde ABD, k\u00fcresel d\u00fczenin yeni kurallar\u0131n\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na belirleyebilecek bir konumda bulunmuyor.<\/p>


<\/p>

Bu ortamda ABD, uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar\u0131 ve yerle\u015fik kurallar\u0131 hi\u00e7e sayan ad\u0131mlar atmaktan geri durmuyor. T\u0131pk\u0131 Venezuela'da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi operasyonda oldu\u011fu gibi. ABD, \u00c7in'i k\u00fcresel hegemonyas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\u00a0<\/p>


<\/p>

Tek hedefinin ve oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in olmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. Bu y\u00fczden di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin ve b\u00f6lgesel meselelerin dikkat da\u011f\u0131tmas\u0131n\u0131 ya da ek riskler olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 istemiyor. Latin Amerika'daki rejimlerin Amerikan \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uygun hareket etmesini garantiye almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.\u00a0<\/p>


<\/p>

Trump y\u00f6netimi, AB'nin \u00c7in'e kar\u015f\u0131 daha sert davranmas\u0131n\u0131, askeri savunmada kendi ba\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7aresine bakmas\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya ile stratejik ortakl\u0131k kurmas\u0131n\u0131 sert bi\u00e7imde \u00f6\u011f\u00fctl\u00fcyor. Trump, maliyetlerin artmamas\u0131 ve dikkatlerin da\u011f\u0131lmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir an \u00f6nce sona ermesine \u00f6ncelik veriyor.<\/p>


<\/p>

Bu ortam\u0131n biriktirdi\u011fi belirsizlik bulutu, k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkiliyor. K\u00fcresel sistemin giderek daha anar\u015fik bir yap\u0131ya s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesi, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirli\u011fi azalt\u0131yor. Y\u00fcksek belirsizlik ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik aras\u0131ndaki bu kombinasyon, yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Mevcut yat\u0131r\u0131m planlar\u0131 daha k\u0131sa vadeli ve spek\u00fclatif k\u00e2r odakl\u0131 alanlara y\u00f6neliyor. Bu e\u011filim, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bereketli ve kapsay\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7iyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, 2026 jeopolitik riskler y\u00f6n\u00fcnden zorlu bir y\u0131l olacak. Rusya-Ukrayna aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fma umudu belirse, bu sefer Gr\u00f6nland meselesiyle ABD ile Avrupa aras\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran \u00fc\u00e7genindeki geli\u015fmeler de jeopolitik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiye yans\u0131mas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edilecek. Mevcut tahminlere g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel ekonomi 2026'da y\u00fczde 2.9-3.1 band\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. K\u00fcresel mal ticareti y\u00fczde 0.5, hizmet ihracat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 4.4 oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterecek. Ancak jeopolitik riskler 2026'n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi yo\u011fun ge\u00e7erse, bu rakamlar\u0131 tutturmak g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015febilir.<\/p>


<\/p>","slug":"jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris","tags":null,"meta_title":"Jeopolitik risklerin g\u00f6lgesinde 2026\u2019ya giri\u015f","meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1767906000EJTlzRAR4ov7e6m.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_1200x675_weQOh9escl.webp","user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":81798,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":81666,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Jeopolitik risklerin g\u00f6lgesinde 2026\u2019ya giri\u015f","home_title":"Jeopolitik risklerin g\u00f6lgesinde 2026\u2019ya giri\u015f","sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"

21. y\u00fczy\u0131la girerken d\u00fcnya h\u0131zla k\u00fcreselle\u015fiyordu. AB\u2019ye yeni \u00fclkeler kat\u0131l\u0131yor, \u00c7in D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc\u2019ne d\u00e2hil oluyor, uluslararas\u0131 finans sermayesi geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere y\u00f6neliyor ve ABD, s\u00f6zde, \u2018d\u00fcnyaya demokrasiyi yaymaya\u2019 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu.\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Liberaller, d\u00fcnyaya toz pembe bir g\u00f6zl\u00fckle bakarak k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin her ko\u015fulda refah ve bar\u0131\u015f getirece\u011fini savunuyordu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, geli\u015fmeleri daha realist bir perspektiften de\u011ferlendirenler, k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131ya ka\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve mevcut k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klara kal\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler getirilmedi\u011fi takdirde, k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin vaat etti\u011fi faydalar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyordu.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

2008'deki krizin ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcreselle\u015fme b\u00fcy\u00fck bir duvara \u00e7arpt\u0131. Sonras\u0131nda da kendini toparlayamad\u0131. Kriz sonras\u0131 uygulanan yanl\u0131\u015f politikalar gelir ve servet e\u015fitsizli\u011fini art\u0131rd\u0131. Y\u00fckselen sosyal gerilim g\u00f6\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi ve pop\u00fclizmi k\u00f6r\u00fckledi. Bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine buzlu\u011fa kald\u0131r\u0131lan jeopolitik riskler yeniden ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>


<\/p>

ABD, mevcut k\u00fcresel sistemin art\u0131k kendisinden \u00e7ok \u00c7in\u2019e fayda sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle sistemi de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak eski sistemin yerine neyin ge\u00e7ece\u011fine ili\u015fkin ABD i\u00e7inde hen\u00fcz bir fikir birli\u011fi olu\u015fmu\u015f de\u011fil. Dahas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in bu denli g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde ABD, k\u00fcresel d\u00fczenin yeni kurallar\u0131n\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na belirleyebilecek bir konumda bulunmuyor.<\/p>


<\/p>

Bu ortamda ABD, uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar\u0131 ve yerle\u015fik kurallar\u0131 hi\u00e7e sayan ad\u0131mlar atmaktan geri durmuyor. T\u0131pk\u0131 Venezuela'da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi operasyonda oldu\u011fu gibi. ABD, \u00c7in'i k\u00fcresel hegemonyas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir tehdit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.\u00a0<\/p>


<\/p>

Tek hedefinin ve oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in olmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. Bu y\u00fczden di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin ve b\u00f6lgesel meselelerin dikkat da\u011f\u0131tmas\u0131n\u0131 ya da ek riskler olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 istemiyor. Latin Amerika'daki rejimlerin Amerikan \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uygun hareket etmesini garantiye almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.\u00a0<\/p>


<\/p>

Trump y\u00f6netimi, AB'nin \u00c7in'e kar\u015f\u0131 daha sert davranmas\u0131n\u0131, askeri savunmada kendi ba\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7aresine bakmas\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya ile stratejik ortakl\u0131k kurmas\u0131n\u0131 sert bi\u00e7imde \u00f6\u011f\u00fctl\u00fcyor. Trump, maliyetlerin artmamas\u0131 ve dikkatlerin da\u011f\u0131lmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir an \u00f6nce sona ermesine \u00f6ncelik veriyor.<\/p>


<\/p>

Bu ortam\u0131n biriktirdi\u011fi belirsizlik bulutu, k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz etkiliyor. K\u00fcresel sistemin giderek daha anar\u015fik bir yap\u0131ya s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesi, \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirli\u011fi azalt\u0131yor. Y\u00fcksek belirsizlik ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik aras\u0131ndaki bu kombinasyon, yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Mevcut yat\u0131r\u0131m planlar\u0131 daha k\u0131sa vadeli ve spek\u00fclatif k\u00e2r odakl\u0131 alanlara y\u00f6neliyor. Bu e\u011filim, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bereketli ve kapsay\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7iyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

G\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki, 2026 jeopolitik riskler y\u00f6n\u00fcnden zorlu bir y\u0131l olacak. Rusya-Ukrayna aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fma umudu belirse, bu sefer Gr\u00f6nland meselesiyle ABD ile Avrupa aras\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD-\u0130srail-\u0130ran \u00fc\u00e7genindeki geli\u015fmeler de jeopolitik istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomiye yans\u0131mas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edilecek. Mevcut tahminlere g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel ekonomi 2026'da y\u00fczde 2.9-3.1 band\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. K\u00fcresel mal ticareti y\u00fczde 0.5, hizmet ihracat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 4.4 oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterecek. Ancak jeopolitik riskler 2026'n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi yo\u011fun ge\u00e7erse, bu rakamlar\u0131 tutturmak g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015febilir.<\/p>


<\/p>","slug":"jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1767906000EJTlzRAR4ov7e6m.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1767906000EJTlzRAR4ov7e6m.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/638x552\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_638x552_k6FpxgVibi.webp","cropped_310x208":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/310x208\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_310x208_CJ9tlFItvt.webp","cropped_416x247":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/416x247\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_416x247_7caRk9fMiF.webp","cropped_197x247":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/197x247\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_197x247_qlEfgPWzu9.webp","cropped_416x600":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/416x600\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_416x600_GjI1y5Ffd6.webp","cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_1200x675_weQOh9escl.webp","tags":null,"meta_title":"Jeopolitik risklerin g\u00f6lgesinde 2026\u2019ya giri\u015f","meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":0,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/358x214\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_358x214_BN1BSWqWGK.webp","cropped_842x474":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/842x474\/jeopolitik-risklerin-golgesinde-2026ya-giris_842x474_icGPCbSMcR.webp"}]}}