{"status":true,"post":{"id":19411,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:36:05","created_at":"2018-11-18T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:36:05.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19411,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130stihdam verileri \u00fczerinden reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye bak\u0131\u015f","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Bir i\u015fyerinin ger\u00e7ekten b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcp b\u00fcy\u00fcmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steren en \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerden biri istihdamdaki de\u011fi\u015fimdir. E\u011fer istihdamda art\u0131\u015f varsa, i\u015fletmenin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, e\u011fer istihdamda azalma varsa, i\u015fletmenin daralma ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. Bunun tek istisnas\u0131 teknoloji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla emek yo\u011fun bir yap\u0131dan teknoloji yo\u011fun bir yap\u0131 haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmektir.<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 15 Kas\u0131m 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc A\u011fustos 2018 ay\u0131 i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istatistik verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re; T\u00fcrkiye genelinde 15 ve daha yukar\u0131 ya\u015ftakilerde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 266 bin ki\u015fi artarak 3 milyon 670 bin ki\u015fi oldu. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 0.5 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 11.1 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 0.4 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 13.2 olarak tahmin edildi. Gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusta (15-24 ya\u015f) i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 0.2 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 20.8 olurken, 15-64 ya\u015f grubunda bu oran 0.6 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 11.4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. <\/span><\/p>

K\u0130\u015e\u0130 BAZINDA ARTTI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

S\u00f6z konusu verilere g\u00f6re i\u015fsizlik ki\u015fi baz\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu art\u0131\u015f ekonomik daralmadan m\u0131 kaynaklan\u0131yor, ona bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130stihdam edilenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 490 bin ki\u015fi artarak 29 milyon 318 bin ki\u015fi, istihdam oran\u0131 ise 0.3 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 48.3 oldu. Yani istihdamda art\u0131\u015f var. B\u00f6ylece genel olarak bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeden bahsedemeyiz.<\/span><\/p>

Bu d\u00f6nemde, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 256 bin ki\u015fi azal\u0131rken, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 745 bin ki\u015fi artt\u0131. \u0130stihdam edilenlerin y\u00fczde 19.4\u2019\u00fc tar\u0131m, y\u00fczde 19.5\u2019i sanayi, y\u00fczde 7.1\u2019i in\u015faat, y\u00fczde 54\u2019\u00fc ise hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yer ald\u0131. \u00d6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn istihdam edilenler i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 1.3 puan, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131 0.8 puan azal\u0131rken, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131 0.6 puan, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131 1.4 puan artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

TARIMDAN KAYMA VAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yukar\u0131daki veriler bize tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden di\u011fer sekt\u00f6re bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc arz\u0131 kay\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Di\u011fer i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kayb\u0131 ya\u015fayan sekt\u00f6r in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

Yukar\u0131daki verileri \u00f6zetlersek:<\/span><\/p>

N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 kadar istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f. \u0130stihdamda genel ekonomi anlam\u0131nda bir daralma s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. Sekt\u00f6rel bazda tar\u0131m ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlere i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kaymas\u0131 oluyor. <\/span><\/p>

Tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde makinala\u015fma d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda istihdam daralmas\u0131 varsa, konu acilen masaya yat\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu sekt\u00f6rde para kazan\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fccret verilemedi\u011fi sonucu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar ki, bu durumda gelecekte tar\u0131msal arzda s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fanma ihtimali artar. <\/span><\/p>

KAYIT DI\u015eI \u0130ST\u0130HDAM<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde uzun zamand\u0131r dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz olumsuz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm h\u00e2l\u00e2 devam ediyor. \u0130stihdam daralmas\u0131 sekt\u00f6rdeki daralman\u0131n bir ipucudur. Sanayi ve \u00f6zellikle hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015fsizli\u011fin daha da artmas\u0131n\u0131 engelledi.<\/span><\/p>

Bir di\u011fer kanayan yaram\u0131z kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam. Bu durum hem \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n gelece\u011fini riske at\u0131yor ve yasal hakk\u0131n\u0131n verilmemesine neden oluyor hem de haks\u0131z rekabete yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca vergi kayb\u0131 da cabas\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00fcltene g\u00f6re; A\u011fustos 2018 d\u00f6neminde herhangi bir sosyal g\u00fcvenlik kurulu\u015funa ba\u011fl\u0131 olmadan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n oran\u0131, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 1.1 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 34 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rde kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 ise bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 0.1 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 22.1 oldu. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n neredeyse 1\/4\u2019\u00fc sosyal g\u00fcvence hakk\u0131na sahip de\u011fil. Bu konuyu bir tasarruf olarak g\u00f6renler, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyet avantaj\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri bu konuyu fiyat rekabeti yaparak ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu arada \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan hakk\u0131n\u0131 tam olarak veren kurumlar\u0131 da \u00e7al\u0131\u015famaz hale getiriyorlar.<\/span><\/p>

EKONOM\u0130YE G\u00dcVEN\u0130 ARTIRACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekilmesi toplumun ekonomiye olan g\u00fcvenini art\u0131racak, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi de pozitif y\u00f6nde etkilenecek. Asl\u0131nda kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 eleman \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131ranlar, zincirleme bir reaksiyonla kendilerine zarar veriyorlar. Bunun yan\u0131nda kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n oldu\u011funu da unutmamak laz\u0131m.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"istihdam-verileri-uzerinden-reel-buyumeye-bakis","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130stihdam verileri \u00fczerinden reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye bak\u0131\u015f","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":174,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19510,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19411,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130stihdam verileri \u00fczerinden reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye bak\u0131\u015f","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Bir i\u015fyerinin ger\u00e7ekten b\u00fcy\u00fcy\u00fcp b\u00fcy\u00fcmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steren en \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerden biri istihdamdaki de\u011fi\u015fimdir. E\u011fer istihdamda art\u0131\u015f varsa, i\u015fletmenin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, e\u011fer istihdamda azalma varsa, i\u015fletmenin daralma ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz. Bunun tek istisnas\u0131 teknoloji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla emek yo\u011fun bir yap\u0131dan teknoloji yo\u011fun bir yap\u0131 haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmektir.<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 15 Kas\u0131m 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc A\u011fustos 2018 ay\u0131 i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istatistik verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re; T\u00fcrkiye genelinde 15 ve daha yukar\u0131 ya\u015ftakilerde i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 266 bin ki\u015fi artarak 3 milyon 670 bin ki\u015fi oldu. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 0.5 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 11.1 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 0.4 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 13.2 olarak tahmin edildi. Gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusta (15-24 ya\u015f) i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 0.2 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 20.8 olurken, 15-64 ya\u015f grubunda bu oran 0.6 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 11.4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. <\/span><\/p>

K\u0130\u015e\u0130 BAZINDA ARTTI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

S\u00f6z konusu verilere g\u00f6re i\u015fsizlik ki\u015fi baz\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu art\u0131\u015f ekonomik daralmadan m\u0131 kaynaklan\u0131yor, ona bakal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130stihdam edilenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 490 bin ki\u015fi artarak 29 milyon 318 bin ki\u015fi, istihdam oran\u0131 ise 0.3 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ile y\u00fczde 48.3 oldu. Yani istihdamda art\u0131\u015f var. B\u00f6ylece genel olarak bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeden bahsedemeyiz.<\/span><\/p>

Bu d\u00f6nemde, tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 256 bin ki\u015fi azal\u0131rken, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 745 bin ki\u015fi artt\u0131. \u0130stihdam edilenlerin y\u00fczde 19.4\u2019\u00fc tar\u0131m, y\u00fczde 19.5\u2019i sanayi, y\u00fczde 7.1\u2019i in\u015faat, y\u00fczde 54\u2019\u00fc ise hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde yer ald\u0131. \u00d6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn istihdam edilenler i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 1.3 puan, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131 0.8 puan azal\u0131rken, sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131 0.6 puan, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn pay\u0131 1.4 puan artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

TARIMDAN KAYMA VAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yukar\u0131daki veriler bize tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden di\u011fer sekt\u00f6re bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc arz\u0131 kay\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Di\u011fer i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kayb\u0131 ya\u015fayan sekt\u00f6r in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

Yukar\u0131daki verileri \u00f6zetlersek:<\/span><\/p>

N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 kadar istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flanamad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f. \u0130stihdamda genel ekonomi anlam\u0131nda bir daralma s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. Sekt\u00f6rel bazda tar\u0131m ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlere i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kaymas\u0131 oluyor. <\/span><\/p>

Tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde makinala\u015fma d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda istihdam daralmas\u0131 varsa, konu acilen masaya yat\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu sekt\u00f6rde para kazan\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fccret verilemedi\u011fi sonucu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar ki, bu durumda gelecekte tar\u0131msal arzda s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fanma ihtimali artar. <\/span><\/p>

KAYIT DI\u015eI \u0130ST\u0130HDAM<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde uzun zamand\u0131r dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz olumsuz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm h\u00e2l\u00e2 devam ediyor. \u0130stihdam daralmas\u0131 sekt\u00f6rdeki daralman\u0131n bir ipucudur. Sanayi ve \u00f6zellikle hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015fsizli\u011fin daha da artmas\u0131n\u0131 engelledi.<\/span><\/p>

Bir di\u011fer kanayan yaram\u0131z kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam. Bu durum hem \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n gelece\u011fini riske at\u0131yor ve yasal hakk\u0131n\u0131n verilmemesine neden oluyor hem de haks\u0131z rekabete yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca vergi kayb\u0131 da cabas\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00fcltene g\u00f6re; A\u011fustos 2018 d\u00f6neminde herhangi bir sosyal g\u00fcvenlik kurulu\u015funa ba\u011fl\u0131 olmadan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n oran\u0131, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 1.1 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 34 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rde kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 ise bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 0.1 puan azalarak y\u00fczde 22.1 oldu. G\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n neredeyse 1\/4\u2019\u00fc sosyal g\u00fcvence hakk\u0131na sahip de\u011fil. Bu konuyu bir tasarruf olarak g\u00f6renler, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyet avantaj\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri bu konuyu fiyat rekabeti yaparak ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu arada \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan hakk\u0131n\u0131 tam olarak veren kurumlar\u0131 da \u00e7al\u0131\u015famaz hale getiriyorlar.<\/span><\/p>

EKONOM\u0130YE G\u00dcVEN\u0130 ARTIRACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekilmesi toplumun ekonomiye olan g\u00fcvenini art\u0131racak, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi de pozitif y\u00f6nde etkilenecek. Asl\u0131nda kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 eleman \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131ranlar, zincirleme bir reaksiyonla kendilerine zarar veriyorlar. Bunun yan\u0131nda kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda yabanc\u0131lar\u0131n oldu\u011funu da unutmamak laz\u0131m.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"istihdam-verileri-uzerinden-reel-buyumeye-bakis","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130stihdam verileri \u00fczerinden reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye bak\u0131\u015f","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":174,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}