{"status":true,"post":{"id":19363,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:35:36","created_at":"2018-11-11T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:35:36.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19363,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130ran ambargosunun k\u00fcresel etkileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin sayg\u0131n ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015flar\u0131, ABD se\u00e7meninin y\u00fczde 68\u2019inin benzin fiyat\u0131na hayli hassas oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, bilhassa Ba\u015fkan Trump ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, k\u0131sa ve orta vadede benzinin galon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 3 dolar e\u015fi\u011fini ge\u00e7meyece\u011fi konusunda ABD se\u00e7menine teminat verilmesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik kapsaml\u0131 ve sert bir ambargo paketini olu\u015fturduklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtmekle birlikte, k\u00fcresel ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bilhassa y\u00fckselmemesi ad\u0131na, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimini t\u00fcm\u00fcyle s\u0131f\u0131rlayacak bir ambargodan bilhassa ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesi hayli anlaml\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc 2016 ba\u015f\u0131nda 38 dolar\u0131n bile alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olan ham petrol fiyat\u0131, ABD\u2019de benzinin galon fiyat\u0131n\u0131 1.75 dolara kadar indirmi\u015fti. Oysa, nisan 2017\u2019den ekim 2018\u2019e, ABD halk\u0131n\u0131n ayda benzine harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131 para 4.4 milyar dolar artt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Washington\u2019a 30 y\u0131ld\u0131r \u00e7\u00f6reklenmi\u015f \u2018k\u00fcreselci\u2019 yap\u0131, ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri-Pentagon-CIA-ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6rtl\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fczerinden d\u00fcnyan\u0131n istedi\u011fi noktas\u0131na siyasi-askeri operasyon d\u00fczenleme hakk\u0131n\u0131 kendinde g\u00f6rse de, Beyaz Saray ve iktidardaki parti benzin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fsizli\u011fi y\u00f6netemedi\u011fi anda se\u00e7imleri kaybeder. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de aralar\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 8 \u00fclke, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmemesi ad\u0131na, ambargodan 6 ayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na muaf tutuldular. Fransa ve Almanya ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere, \u00f6nemli AB \u00fclkeleri ise ambargo kapsam\u0131ndalar ve uymayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Gerek Rahip Branson, gerekse de Ka\u015f\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 cinayetini uluslararas\u0131 diplomasi boyutunda da, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc liderli\u011fiyle, m\u00fckemmel y\u00f6netmi\u015f olan T\u00fcrkiye, dirayetli ve kararl\u0131 duru\u015funun sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmekte.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u015fkan Trump, tetikledi\u011fi k\u00fcresel ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 enflasyon riskinin ve bu riskin ABD ekonomisine olas\u0131 yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131n ve FED\u2019i de yeni faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na zorlayabilece\u011finin fark\u0131nda. Bu nedenle, ABD ekonomisinde enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmamas\u0131 ad\u0131na da \u0130ran ambargosunun k\u0131sa ve orta vadede k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltecek bir s\u00fcrece d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmemesi istenecek. OPEC \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerin alaca\u011f\u0131 tavr\u0131 ise g\u00f6zlemleyece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>PETROLDE 2019 BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 75 DOLAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Haz\u0131r, \u0130ran ambargosu ve k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n seyrine y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fma ve de\u011ferlendirmeler tazeli\u011fini korurken, bilhassa 2019\u2019a y\u00f6nelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri aktaral\u0131m. 20 Eyl\u00fcl 2018\u2019de ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n OPEC\u2019e sert tepkisi sonras\u0131nda, sadece ekim ay\u0131nda bile petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 geriledi. Trump, son bir y\u0131ld\u0131r t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle, k\u00fcresel enflasyonun y\u00fckselece\u011finin fark\u0131nda. Bu nedenle, ABD\u2019nin ithalat\u0131na getirilen ek vergiler do\u011fal olarak bir enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturacak ise, Trump bu bask\u0131y\u0131 k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015feterek ve Amerikan halk\u0131na makul fiyattan akaryak\u0131t sat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayarak dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin 8 \u00fclkenin \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan belirli bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in muaf tutulaca\u011f\u0131 noktas\u0131ndaki karar\u0131n\u0131 da bu kapsamda de\u011ferlendirmemiz gerekiyor. \u0130ran\u2019dan petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f; yani ABD\u2019nin beklentilerine hassasiyet g\u00f6stermi\u015f olan \u00fclkeleri, ABD bir s\u00fcre daha \u0130ran\u2019dan petrol ithal etmeleri konusunda rahat b\u0131rakarak, k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran ambargosuyla y\u00fckselmesini \u015fimdilik engellemi\u015f oldu. Bu arada, ABD\u2019nin, 8 \u00fclkeye tan\u0131nan ge\u00e7ici muafiyetle, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ambargoyu yumu\u015fak ge\u00e7i\u015fle kurgulamas\u0131n\u0131n bir ba\u015fka nedeninin de, Ka\u015f\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 cinayetinin sebep oldu\u011fu \u2018k\u00fcresel pervas\u0131zl\u0131k\u2019 skandal\u0131yla sars\u0131lan Suudi Arabistan\u2019a \u2018daha fazla petrol \u00fcrettirerek\u2019, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapatt\u0131rmak olabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2018 i\u00e7in ortalama k\u00fcresel petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131 74 dolar, 2019 i\u00e7in ise 75 dolar olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Daha 20 Ocak 2016\u2019da, son 13 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olarak, petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 26.55 dolar\u0131 test ettikten sonra, fiyat\u0131n bug\u00fcnlere geldi\u011fini de unutmayal\u0131m. Emtia uzmanlar\u0131 2019\u2019da petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 56 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi ile 85 dolar\u0131 yeniden g\u00f6rebilece\u011fi noktas\u0131nda adeta ikiye b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumdalar.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"iran-ambargosunun-kuresel-etkileri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130ran ambargosunun k\u00fcresel etkileri","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":207,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19462,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19363,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130ran ambargosunun k\u00fcresel etkileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin sayg\u0131n ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015flar\u0131, ABD se\u00e7meninin y\u00fczde 68\u2019inin benzin fiyat\u0131na hayli hassas oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, bilhassa Ba\u015fkan Trump ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, k\u0131sa ve orta vadede benzinin galon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 3 dolar e\u015fi\u011fini ge\u00e7meyece\u011fi konusunda ABD se\u00e7menine teminat verilmesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik kapsaml\u0131 ve sert bir ambargo paketini olu\u015fturduklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtmekle birlikte, k\u00fcresel ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bilhassa y\u00fckselmemesi ad\u0131na, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimini t\u00fcm\u00fcyle s\u0131f\u0131rlayacak bir ambargodan bilhassa ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesi hayli anlaml\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc 2016 ba\u015f\u0131nda 38 dolar\u0131n bile alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olan ham petrol fiyat\u0131, ABD\u2019de benzinin galon fiyat\u0131n\u0131 1.75 dolara kadar indirmi\u015fti. Oysa, nisan 2017\u2019den ekim 2018\u2019e, ABD halk\u0131n\u0131n ayda benzine harcad\u0131\u011f\u0131 para 4.4 milyar dolar artt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Washington\u2019a 30 y\u0131ld\u0131r \u00e7\u00f6reklenmi\u015f \u2018k\u00fcreselci\u2019 yap\u0131, ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri-Pentagon-CIA-ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6rtl\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fczerinden d\u00fcnyan\u0131n istedi\u011fi noktas\u0131na siyasi-askeri operasyon d\u00fczenleme hakk\u0131n\u0131 kendinde g\u00f6rse de, Beyaz Saray ve iktidardaki parti benzin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fsizli\u011fi y\u00f6netemedi\u011fi anda se\u00e7imleri kaybeder. Bu nedenle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de aralar\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 8 \u00fclke, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmemesi ad\u0131na, ambargodan 6 ayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na muaf tutuldular. Fransa ve Almanya ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere, \u00f6nemli AB \u00fclkeleri ise ambargo kapsam\u0131ndalar ve uymayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Gerek Rahip Branson, gerekse de Ka\u015f\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 cinayetini uluslararas\u0131 diplomasi boyutunda da, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc liderli\u011fiyle, m\u00fckemmel y\u00f6netmi\u015f olan T\u00fcrkiye, dirayetli ve kararl\u0131 duru\u015funun sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmekte.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ba\u015fkan Trump, tetikledi\u011fi k\u00fcresel ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 enflasyon riskinin ve bu riskin ABD ekonomisine olas\u0131 yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131n ve FED\u2019i de yeni faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na zorlayabilece\u011finin fark\u0131nda. Bu nedenle, ABD ekonomisinde enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmamas\u0131 ad\u0131na da \u0130ran ambargosunun k\u0131sa ve orta vadede k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltecek bir s\u00fcrece d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmemesi istenecek. OPEC \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerin alaca\u011f\u0131 tavr\u0131 ise g\u00f6zlemleyece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>PETROLDE 2019 BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 75 DOLAR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Haz\u0131r, \u0130ran ambargosu ve k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n seyrine y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fma ve de\u011ferlendirmeler tazeli\u011fini korurken, bilhassa 2019\u2019a y\u00f6nelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri aktaral\u0131m. 20 Eyl\u00fcl 2018\u2019de ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n OPEC\u2019e sert tepkisi sonras\u0131nda, sadece ekim ay\u0131nda bile petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 10 geriledi. Trump, son bir y\u0131ld\u0131r t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle, k\u00fcresel enflasyonun y\u00fckselece\u011finin fark\u0131nda. Bu nedenle, ABD\u2019nin ithalat\u0131na getirilen ek vergiler do\u011fal olarak bir enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturacak ise, Trump bu bask\u0131y\u0131 k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015feterek ve Amerikan halk\u0131na makul fiyattan akaryak\u0131t sat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayarak dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD\u2019nin 8 \u00fclkenin \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan belirli bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in muaf tutulaca\u011f\u0131 noktas\u0131ndaki karar\u0131n\u0131 da bu kapsamda de\u011ferlendirmemiz gerekiyor. \u0130ran\u2019dan petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f; yani ABD\u2019nin beklentilerine hassasiyet g\u00f6stermi\u015f olan \u00fclkeleri, ABD bir s\u00fcre daha \u0130ran\u2019dan petrol ithal etmeleri konusunda rahat b\u0131rakarak, k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran ambargosuyla y\u00fckselmesini \u015fimdilik engellemi\u015f oldu. Bu arada, ABD\u2019nin, 8 \u00fclkeye tan\u0131nan ge\u00e7ici muafiyetle, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ambargoyu yumu\u015fak ge\u00e7i\u015fle kurgulamas\u0131n\u0131n bir ba\u015fka nedeninin de, Ka\u015f\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 cinayetinin sebep oldu\u011fu \u2018k\u00fcresel pervas\u0131zl\u0131k\u2019 skandal\u0131yla sars\u0131lan Suudi Arabistan\u2019a \u2018daha fazla petrol \u00fcrettirerek\u2019, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sebep olaca\u011f\u0131 arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapatt\u0131rmak olabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">ABD Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2018 i\u00e7in ortalama k\u00fcresel petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131 74 dolar, 2019 i\u00e7in ise 75 dolar olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Daha 20 Ocak 2016\u2019da, son 13 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olarak, petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 26.55 dolar\u0131 test ettikten sonra, fiyat\u0131n bug\u00fcnlere geldi\u011fini de unutmayal\u0131m. Emtia uzmanlar\u0131 2019\u2019da petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 56 dolara kadar d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi ile 85 dolar\u0131 yeniden g\u00f6rebilece\u011fi noktas\u0131nda adeta ikiye b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumdalar.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"iran-ambargosunun-kuresel-etkileri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130ran ambargosunun k\u00fcresel etkileri","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":207,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}