{"status":true,"post":{"id":33280,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 21:20:05","created_at":"2022-06-02T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T18:20:05.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":33280,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmede T\u00fcrkiye G20\u2019nin ilk \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnde","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini ayakta tutan sekt\u00f6rlerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fcretim ve ihracat becerisi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan istisnai, ayr\u0131cal\u0131kl\u0131 bir konumda tutmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. G20 \u00fclkelerinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerini dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, T\u00fcrkiye, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n y\u00fczde 9.6 ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n y\u00fczde 8.7\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi sonras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7.3 ile 3. s\u0131rada en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olan \u00fclke oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Hollanda y\u00fczde 7, \u0130spanya y\u00fczde 6.4, Fransa y\u00fczde 5.3, Euro B\u00f6lgesi y\u00fczde 5.1, Endonezya y\u00fczde 5, \u00c7in y\u00fczde 4.8, Fransa y\u00fczde 4.5, Almanya y\u00fczde 3.8, Singapur y\u00fczde 3.7, Rusya y\u00fczde 3.5, ABD y\u00fczde 3.5, G\u00fcney Kore y\u00fczde 3.1, Meksika y\u00fczde 1.6 ve Japonya y\u00fczde 0.2 ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi takip ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130HRACATIN G\u00dc\u00c7L\u00dc KATKISI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 7.34 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, en iyi senaryo tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 7.16 ile 9.31 aras\u0131nda kald\u0131. Zaten ekonomistlerin tahminleri de, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00fcretim ve katma de\u011fer performans\u0131yla yoluna devam etti\u011fini teyit ediyordu. Nitekim, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131 y\u00fczde 16.8 artarken, ithalat\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 2.3 artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, net ihracat\u0131n GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hayli g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. K\u00fcresel pandemiden daha yeni yeni \u00e7\u0131kmakta olan, daha \u2018Covid-19\u2019un sebep oldu\u011fu ana ve art\u00e7\u0131 \u015foklar\u0131 atlatamam\u0131\u015f bir d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 de\u011ferli bir sonu\u00e7.<\/span>
<\/span>
Bu tablo i\u00e7erisinde, yerle\u015fik hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 19.5 y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131, hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz ki, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde de halen k\u00fcresel pandeminin ekonomik yaralar\u0131n\u0131 kapatmaya devam etti\u011fimizi g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte, devletin nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 0.9 artmas\u0131 da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kamu mali disiplinindeki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi. \u0130ki siyah ku\u011fu, k\u00fcresel pandemi ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep olduklar\u0131 t\u00fcm k\u00fcresel, b\u00f6lgesel ve yerel belirsizliklere ra\u011fmen, gayrisafi sabit sermaye olu\u015fumu, yani \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamunun alt ve \u00fcst yap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n da reel olarak y\u00fczde 1.1 art\u0131\u015f kaydetmesi, k\u00fcresel rekabette T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi geri b\u0131rakmamak ad\u0131na, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n olabildi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
HARCAMA Y\u00d6NTEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Harcama y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re, harcama kalemlerinin ve ekonomik alanlar\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrekte reel GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131lar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131n\u0131n, \u2018Covid-19\u2019un d\u00fczeltmesi olarak, t\u00fcketimden geldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Hanehalk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 11.6 puan katk\u0131 sa\u011flarken, net ihracat\u0131n da y\u00fczde 7.3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 3.5 puan katk\u0131da bulunmu\u015f olmas\u0131, ard\u0131 ard\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lan ihracat rekorlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemini teyit ediyor. Kamu mali disiplininin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, kamu t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n reel GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 ise olmas\u0131 gereken bir sonu\u00e7. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u00fclke ekonomisinde stok de\u011fi\u015fiminin GSYH reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine negatif y\u00f6nde 8.2 puan katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. \u00dcretilen GSYH ve katma de\u011ferden \u00fcretim fakt\u00f6rlerinin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay boyutunda da i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demelerinin ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 59.7, net i\u015fletme art\u0131\u011f\u0131\/karma gelirinin ise y\u00fczde 88.1 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demelerinin cari fiyatlarla gayrisafi katma de\u011feri i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131 2021\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 35.5 iken, bu oran 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 31.5 olmu\u015f. Net i\u015fletme art\u0131\u011f\u0131\/karma gelirin pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 45.6 iken, y\u00fczde 47.6\u2019ya y\u00fckselmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ilk-ceyrek-buyumede-turkiye-g20nin-ilk-ucunde","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmede T\u00fcrkiye G20\u2019nin ilk \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnde","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1070,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":33379,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":33280,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmede T\u00fcrkiye G20\u2019nin ilk \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnde","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini ayakta tutan sekt\u00f6rlerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fcretim ve ihracat becerisi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan istisnai, ayr\u0131cal\u0131kl\u0131 bir konumda tutmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. G20 \u00fclkelerinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerini dikkate ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, T\u00fcrkiye, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n y\u00fczde 9.6 ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n y\u00fczde 8.7\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi sonras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7.3 ile 3. s\u0131rada en y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 olan \u00fclke oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Hollanda y\u00fczde 7, \u0130spanya y\u00fczde 6.4, Fransa y\u00fczde 5.3, Euro B\u00f6lgesi y\u00fczde 5.1, Endonezya y\u00fczde 5, \u00c7in y\u00fczde 4.8, Fransa y\u00fczde 4.5, Almanya y\u00fczde 3.8, Singapur y\u00fczde 3.7, Rusya y\u00fczde 3.5, ABD y\u00fczde 3.5, G\u00fcney Kore y\u00fczde 3.1, Meksika y\u00fczde 1.6 ve Japonya y\u00fczde 0.2 ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi takip ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130HRACATIN G\u00dc\u00c7L\u00dc KATKISI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 7.34 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrek GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, en iyi senaryo tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 7.16 ile 9.31 aras\u0131nda kald\u0131. Zaten ekonomistlerin tahminleri de, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00fcretim ve katma de\u011fer performans\u0131yla yoluna devam etti\u011fini teyit ediyordu. Nitekim, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde mal ve hizmet ihracat\u0131 y\u00fczde 16.8 artarken, ithalat\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 2.3 artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, net ihracat\u0131n GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hayli g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. K\u00fcresel pandemiden daha yeni yeni \u00e7\u0131kmakta olan, daha \u2018Covid-19\u2019un sebep oldu\u011fu ana ve art\u00e7\u0131 \u015foklar\u0131 atlatamam\u0131\u015f bir d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 de\u011ferli bir sonu\u00e7.<\/span>
<\/span>
Bu tablo i\u00e7erisinde, yerle\u015fik hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 19.5 y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131, hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphesiz ki, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde de halen k\u00fcresel pandeminin ekonomik yaralar\u0131n\u0131 kapatmaya devam etti\u011fimizi g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte, devletin nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n sadece y\u00fczde 0.9 artmas\u0131 da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kamu mali disiplinindeki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi. \u0130ki siyah ku\u011fu, k\u00fcresel pandemi ve Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep olduklar\u0131 t\u00fcm k\u00fcresel, b\u00f6lgesel ve yerel belirsizliklere ra\u011fmen, gayrisafi sabit sermaye olu\u015fumu, yani \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamunun alt ve \u00fcst yap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n da reel olarak y\u00fczde 1.1 art\u0131\u015f kaydetmesi, k\u00fcresel rekabette T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi geri b\u0131rakmamak ad\u0131na, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n olabildi\u011fi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span>
<\/span>
HARCAMA Y\u00d6NTEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
Harcama y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re, harcama kalemlerinin ve ekonomik alanlar\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrekte reel GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131lar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, en y\u00fcksek katk\u0131n\u0131n, \u2018Covid-19\u2019un d\u00fczeltmesi olarak, t\u00fcketimden geldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Hanehalk\u0131 t\u00fcketimi ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 11.6 puan katk\u0131 sa\u011flarken, net ihracat\u0131n da y\u00fczde 7.3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye 3.5 puan katk\u0131da bulunmu\u015f olmas\u0131, ard\u0131 ard\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lan ihracat rekorlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemini teyit ediyor. Kamu mali disiplininin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, kamu t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n reel GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 ise olmas\u0131 gereken bir sonu\u00e7. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u00fclke ekonomisinde stok de\u011fi\u015fiminin GSYH reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine negatif y\u00f6nde 8.2 puan katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. \u00dcretilen GSYH ve katma de\u011ferden \u00fcretim fakt\u00f6rlerinin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 pay boyutunda da i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demelerinin ilk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 59.7, net i\u015fletme art\u0131\u011f\u0131\/karma gelirinin ise y\u00fczde 88.1 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc \u00f6demelerinin cari fiyatlarla gayrisafi katma de\u011feri i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131 2021\u2019in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 35.5 iken, bu oran 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 31.5 olmu\u015f. Net i\u015fletme art\u0131\u011f\u0131\/karma gelirin pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 45.6 iken, y\u00fczde 47.6\u2019ya y\u00fckselmi\u015f.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ilk-ceyrek-buyumede-turkiye-g20nin-ilk-ucunde","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u0130lk \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmede T\u00fcrkiye G20\u2019nin ilk \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnde","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1070,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}