{"status":true,"post":{"id":50146,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-03-25 08:00:00","created_at":"2024-03-25T05:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-03-25T05:00:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":50146,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u0130lave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemlerine ihtiya\u00e7 var m\u0131?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p><br><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>2023 haziran ay\u0131ndan itibaren uygulamaya konulan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri ile enflasyonun kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, TL\u2019ye yeniden g\u00fcven ve istikrar kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Bu hedeflere d\u00f6n\u00fck uygulanan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma politikalar\u0131 2023 sonuna kadar k\u0131smen ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmu\u015fken, yeni y\u0131lda \u00f6zellikle enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri ihtiyac\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. \u0130lave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ihtiya\u00e7 var m\u0131, varsa hangi yeni \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nabilir ve olas\u0131 yeni s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri i\u015flerimizi nas\u0131l etkiler de\u011ferlendirelim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>1.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>\u0130LAVE SIKILA\u015eMA \u00d6NLEMLER\u0130NE \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 ORTAYA \u00c7IKTI\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>S\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma politikalar\u0131n\u0131n temel \u00f6nceli\u011fi olan enflasyonda art\u0131\u015f, yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 2 ay\u0131nda beklentilerin de \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve enflasyon beklentileri yeniden bozuldu. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, y\u00f6nlendirilen kamu fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015flar, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar ve d\u00f6viz kuru art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, maliyetleri ve \u00fcretici enflasyonunu art\u0131r\u0131yor. \u0130\u00e7 talep halen canl\u0131 ve \u00f6ne \u00e7ekilen bir talep olu\u015fmu\u015f bulunuyor. T\u00fcketici kredilerindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme de h\u0131zland\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan, d\u00f6vizde se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 yeni bir s\u0131\u00e7rama olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile TL\u2019den ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ve TL\u2019de h\u0131zlanan de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda TL mevduat faizleri de cazibesini kaybediyor. T\u00fcm bu nedenlerle ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ihtiya\u00e7 bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>2.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>EKONOM\u0130DE FARKLI BEKLENT\u0130LER \u00c7OK GER\u00c7EK\u00c7\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Ekonomide uygulanan programa ilave \u00f6nlemlerle destek sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ancak ekonomide se\u00e7im atmosferi i\u00e7inde farkl\u0131 beklentiler de dillendiriliyor. Yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 ekonomide bir kriz veya IMF ile bir anla\u015fma beklentileri \u00e7ok ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011fil. Yine ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fi beklentileri var. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131kta T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ciddi bir d\u00f6viz krizi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilecek. Bu senaryo da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kt\u0131r. Yine ekonomide yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 ac\u0131 re\u00e7ete uygulanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi de olu\u015ftu. Mevcut programa ilave \u00f6nlemler eklenecek, ancak bu ac\u0131 bir re\u00e7ete sonucu do\u011furmayacak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>3.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURLARINDA YEN\u0130 B\u0130R SI\u00c7RAMA BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 DE GER\u00c7EK\u00c7\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda yeni bir s\u0131\u00e7rama olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. 2023 May\u0131s se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 TL\u2019de bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. TL\u2019nin yine se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi tutuldu\u011fu ve se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 TL\u2019de yeni bir d\u00fczeltme daha olaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ihracat\u00e7\u0131 kesimde TL\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011fu da ayr\u0131ca s\u00f6yleniyor. Yerel se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ne olursa olsun ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve program\u0131n\u0131n aynen s\u00fcrmesi ve yeni s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nmas\u0131 halinde TL\u2019de yeni bir d\u00fczeltme veya d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda s\u0131\u00e7rama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda bir s\u0131\u00e7rama, mevcut ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesi ve eskiye geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f halinde olabilecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>4.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>MERKEZ BANKASI\u2019NDAN YEN\u0130 FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eLARI GELEB\u0130L\u0130R \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Yeni ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6ncelikle para politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131nda at\u0131lacak. Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizi y\u00fczde 45\u2019tir. Ancak politika faizinin bu seviyesi TL\u2019ye olan ge\u00e7i\u015fte etkisini kaybediyor. Son 1.5 ayd\u0131r d\u00f6vize y\u00fcksek bir talep olu\u015ftu. Kur korumal\u0131 mevduatlar TL yerine yeniden d\u00f6vize d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. \u0130\u00e7 talep de halen hareketli. Bu nedenle MB, muhtemelen politika faizini y\u00fczde 50\u2019ye y\u00fckseltebilecek. Nisan ay\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k. Bu faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse mevduat ve kredi faizlerinde de benzer art\u0131\u015flar beklenmeli. Para politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131nda en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan \u00f6nlemlerden bir di\u011feri kredi kartlar\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak limit, taksit say\u0131s\u0131, asgari \u00f6deme tutar\u0131 vb. d\u00fczenlemeler olacak. Di\u011fer yandan, vergi alan\u0131nda da d\u00fczenlemeler bekleniyor. KDV\u2019de asgari oranlarda ve \u00d6TV\u2019de art\u0131\u015flar planlan\u0131yor. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda da nisan ve temmuz aylar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>5.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>YEN\u0130 \u0130LAVE \u00d6NLEMLER \u0130\u015eLERDE YAVA\u015eLAMAYA YOL A\u00c7ACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>2023\u2019\u00fcn ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ve yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. T\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 ilk 2 ayda y\u00fczde 11 artt\u0131. Bu nedenle yeni \u00f6nlemler \u00f6ncelikle i\u00e7 talepte daha yayg\u0131n bir yava\u015flamay\u0131 hedefleyecek ve sa\u011flayacak. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde i\u015fler \u00fczerinde yava\u015flama etkisi hissedilecek. \u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131 alternatif olacak. Enflasyonda hedeflenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flan\u0131r ve faiz indirimleri g\u00fcndeme gelirse i\u00e7 talepte g\u00f6rece toparlanma y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde olabilecek. Ancak yaz aylar\u0131nda \u00e7ok iyi ge\u00e7mesi beklenen turizm sezonu nedeniyle belirgin bir canl\u0131l\u0131k da g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Son S\u00f6z<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>E<\/span><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>nflasyon ne kadar \u00e7abuk d\u00fc\u015ferse i\u015flerde kal\u0131c\u0131 iyile\u015fme o kadar erken ba\u015flar. bu nedenle ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri al\u0131nmal\u0131 ve beklentiler iyile\u015ftirilmeli.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ilave-sikilasma-onlemlerine-ihtiyac-var-mi","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1711314000DavTmq5yzswlwKH.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":7920,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":50272,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":50146,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u0130lave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemlerine ihtiya\u00e7 var m\u0131?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p><br><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>2023 haziran ay\u0131ndan itibaren uygulamaya konulan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri ile enflasyonun kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131, cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, TL\u2019ye yeniden g\u00fcven ve istikrar kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Bu hedeflere d\u00f6n\u00fck uygulanan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma politikalar\u0131 2023 sonuna kadar k\u0131smen ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmu\u015fken, yeni y\u0131lda \u00f6zellikle enflasyondaki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri ihtiyac\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. \u0130lave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ihtiya\u00e7 var m\u0131, varsa hangi yeni \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nabilir ve olas\u0131 yeni s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri i\u015flerimizi nas\u0131l etkiler de\u011ferlendirelim.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>1.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>\u0130LAVE SIKILA\u015eMA \u00d6NLEMLER\u0130NE \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 ORTAYA \u00c7IKTI\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>S\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma politikalar\u0131n\u0131n temel \u00f6nceli\u011fi olan enflasyonda art\u0131\u015f, yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 2 ay\u0131nda beklentilerin de \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve enflasyon beklentileri yeniden bozuldu. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, y\u00f6nlendirilen kamu fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015flar, akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar ve d\u00f6viz kuru art\u0131\u015flar\u0131, maliyetleri ve \u00fcretici enflasyonunu art\u0131r\u0131yor. \u0130\u00e7 talep halen canl\u0131 ve \u00f6ne \u00e7ekilen bir talep olu\u015fmu\u015f bulunuyor. T\u00fcketici kredilerindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme de h\u0131zland\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan, d\u00f6vizde se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 yeni bir s\u0131\u00e7rama olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi ile TL\u2019den ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ve TL\u2019de h\u0131zlanan de\u011fer kayb\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Y\u00fcksek enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda TL mevduat faizleri de cazibesini kaybediyor. T\u00fcm bu nedenlerle ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ihtiya\u00e7 bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>2.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>EKONOM\u0130DE FARKLI BEKLENT\u0130LER \u00c7OK GER\u00c7EK\u00c7\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Ekonomide uygulanan programa ilave \u00f6nlemlerle destek sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ancak ekonomide se\u00e7im atmosferi i\u00e7inde farkl\u0131 beklentiler de dillendiriliyor. Yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 ekonomide bir kriz veya IMF ile bir anla\u015fma beklentileri \u00e7ok ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011fil. Yine ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fi beklentileri var. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131kta T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ciddi bir d\u00f6viz krizi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilecek. Bu senaryo da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kt\u0131r. Yine ekonomide yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 ac\u0131 re\u00e7ete uygulanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi de olu\u015ftu. Mevcut programa ilave \u00f6nlemler eklenecek, ancak bu ac\u0131 bir re\u00e7ete sonucu do\u011furmayacak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>3.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>D\u00d6V\u0130Z KURLARINDA YEN\u0130 B\u0130R SI\u00c7RAMA BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 DE GER\u00c7EK\u00c7\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda yeni bir s\u0131\u00e7rama olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. 2023 May\u0131s se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131 TL\u2019de bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. TL\u2019nin yine se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi tutuldu\u011fu ve se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 TL\u2019de yeni bir d\u00fczeltme daha olaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6zellikle ihracat\u00e7\u0131 kesimde TL\u2019de \u00f6nemli bir art\u0131\u015f ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011fu da ayr\u0131ca s\u00f6yleniyor. Yerel se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ne olursa olsun ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve program\u0131n\u0131n aynen s\u00fcrmesi ve yeni s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nmas\u0131 halinde TL\u2019de yeni bir d\u00fczeltme veya d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda s\u0131\u00e7rama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda bir s\u0131\u00e7rama, mevcut ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesi ve eskiye geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f halinde olabilecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>4.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>MERKEZ BANKASI\u2019NDAN YEN\u0130 FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eLARI GELEB\u0130L\u0130R \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Yeni ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00f6ncelikle para politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131nda at\u0131lacak. Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizi y\u00fczde 45\u2019tir. Ancak politika faizinin bu seviyesi TL\u2019ye olan ge\u00e7i\u015fte etkisini kaybediyor. Son 1.5 ayd\u0131r d\u00f6vize y\u00fcksek bir talep olu\u015ftu. Kur korumal\u0131 mevduatlar TL yerine yeniden d\u00f6vize d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. \u0130\u00e7 talep de halen hareketli. Bu nedenle MB, muhtemelen politika faizini y\u00fczde 50\u2019ye y\u00fckseltebilecek. Nisan ay\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k. Bu faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse mevduat ve kredi faizlerinde de benzer art\u0131\u015flar beklenmeli. Para politikas\u0131 taraf\u0131nda en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan \u00f6nlemlerden bir di\u011feri kredi kartlar\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak limit, taksit say\u0131s\u0131, asgari \u00f6deme tutar\u0131 vb. d\u00fczenlemeler olacak. Di\u011fer yandan, vergi alan\u0131nda da d\u00fczenlemeler bekleniyor. KDV\u2019de asgari oranlarda ve \u00d6TV\u2019de art\u0131\u015flar planlan\u0131yor. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda da nisan ve temmuz aylar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>5.<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<strong>YEN\u0130 \u0130LAVE \u00d6NLEMLER \u0130\u015eLERDE YAVA\u015eLAMAYA YOL A\u00c7ACAK<\/strong><\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>2023\u2019\u00fcn ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ve yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmeler ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. T\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 ilk 2 ayda y\u00fczde 11 artt\u0131. Bu nedenle yeni \u00f6nlemler \u00f6ncelikle i\u00e7 talepte daha yayg\u0131n bir yava\u015flamay\u0131 hedefleyecek ve sa\u011flayacak. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde i\u015fler \u00fczerinde yava\u015flama etkisi hissedilecek. \u0130hracat pazarlar\u0131 alternatif olacak. Enflasyonda hedeflenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flan\u0131r ve faiz indirimleri g\u00fcndeme gelirse i\u00e7 talepte g\u00f6rece toparlanma y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde olabilecek. Ancak yaz aylar\u0131nda \u00e7ok iyi ge\u00e7mesi beklenen turizm sezonu nedeniyle belirgin bir canl\u0131l\u0131k da g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>Son S\u00f6z<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Aptos\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>E<\/span><span style='font-size:13px;font-family:\"Courier New\";'>nflasyon ne kadar \u00e7abuk d\u00fc\u015ferse i\u015flerde kal\u0131c\u0131 iyile\u015fme o kadar erken ba\u015flar. bu nedenle ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00f6nlemleri al\u0131nmal\u0131 ve beklentiler iyile\u015ftirilmeli.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ilave-sikilasma-onlemlerine-ihtiyac-var-mi","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1711314000DavTmq5yzswlwKH.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1711314000DavTmq5yzswlwKH.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":7920,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}