{"status":true,"post":{"id":20932,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:58:17","created_at":"2019-09-26T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:58:17.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20932,"is_featured":0,"title":"Hizmet, perakende ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r g\u00fcven endeksinde son durum","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong><span class=\"large\">Hikmet Baydar<\/span><\/strong><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Piyasa dinamiklerini canl\u0131 tutan ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak yat\u0131r\u0131m e\u011filimini art\u0131ran en \u00f6nemli unsur, reel sekt\u00f6r kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulunduklar\u0131 ekonomiye olan g\u00fcvenleridir. Bir firma i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu \u00fclke ekonomisine, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ve piyasas\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fine inan\u0131yor ve g\u00fcveniyorsa yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparak b\u00fcy\u00fcr ve \u00fcretimini, sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece \u00fclke ve ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcr.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu konuda e\u011filimleri g\u00f6rmemizi sa\u011flayan \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerden biri de T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endeksleridir. \u015eimdi gelelim sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda son geli\u015fmelere...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>H\u0130ZMET SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 89.1 iken, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.2 oran\u0131nda artarak 89.3 oldu. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; i\u015f durumu ve hizmetlere olan talep endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1.9 ve y\u00fczde 1 artarak 87 ve 85.4 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131. Hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi endeksi ise y\u00fczde 2.2 azalarak 95.4 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi endeksi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda daha da azalm\u0131\u015f. Bu durum gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha da artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik yat\u0131r\u0131m e\u011filimi azalabilir. Sekt\u00f6rde gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik olumlu beklentilerin tam anlam\u0131yla varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hissettirebilmesi i\u00e7in endeks rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>PERAKENDE T\u0130CARET SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.7 oran\u0131nda artarak 97.6 oldu. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; i\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar, mevcut mal stok seviyesi ve i\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar beklentisi endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4.1, y\u00fczde 1 ve y\u00fczde 3.4 artarak 89, 105.8 ve 98.1 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir miktar azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemliyoruz. Bu sekt\u00f6rde i\u015f hacmi ve sat\u0131\u015f beklentisi endeksinin 98.1 seviyesine y\u00fczde 3.4 art\u0131\u015fla gelmesi olumludur. 100 seviyeleri ge\u00e7ildi\u011finde ise pozitif beklentilerden bahsetmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u015eimdilik sadece karamsarl\u0131k bitmek \u00fczere diyebiliyoruz. Mevcut mal stok seviyesi endeksinin 105.8 olmas\u0131 pozitif y\u00f6nde ilk sinyaller diyebiliriz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc stok azal\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u0130N\u015eAAT SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi bir \u00f6nceki ayda 55.5 iken, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 8.3 oran\u0131nda artarak 60.1 oldu. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin mevcut d\u00fczeyi ve toplam \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 6.6 ve y\u00fczde 9.4 artarak 44.4 ve 75.9 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu sekt\u00f6r g\u00fcven endeksi verilerinde ciddi de\u011fi\u015fiklikler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. H\u0131zla olumluya do\u011fru giden bir durum s\u00f6z konusu. Ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7ok karamsar bir yap\u0131 var. 60.1 endeks verisi h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceyi ifade ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in verileri genel durumu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor. 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 genel olarak h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hakim oldu\u011funu, bu nedenle de yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fini bize s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. B\u00f6yle ortamlarda k\u0131sa vadeli veya pe\u015fin \u00f6demelerle ciddi stok tutman\u0131n riski daha y\u00fcksektir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z; her \u015feyin temeli g\u00fcvendir. G\u00fcven artt\u0131k\u00e7a, yat\u0131r\u0131m da artar, istihdam da.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"hizmet-perakende-ve-insaat-sektor-guven-endeksinde-son-durum","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Hizmet, perakende ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r g\u00fcven endeksinde son durum","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":483,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":21031,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20932,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Hizmet, perakende ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r g\u00fcven endeksinde son durum","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong><span class=\"large\">Hikmet Baydar<\/span><\/strong><br><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Piyasa dinamiklerini canl\u0131 tutan ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak yat\u0131r\u0131m e\u011filimini art\u0131ran en \u00f6nemli unsur, reel sekt\u00f6r kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulunduklar\u0131 ekonomiye olan g\u00fcvenleridir. Bir firma i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu \u00fclke ekonomisine, sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ve piyasas\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fine inan\u0131yor ve g\u00fcveniyorsa yat\u0131r\u0131m yaparak b\u00fcy\u00fcr ve \u00fcretimini, sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece \u00fclke ve ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcr.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu konuda e\u011filimleri g\u00f6rmemizi sa\u011flayan \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergelerden biri de T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan sekt\u00f6rel g\u00fcven endeksleridir. \u015eimdi gelelim sekt\u00f6r baz\u0131nda son geli\u015fmelere...<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>H\u0130ZMET SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 89.1 iken, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0.2 oran\u0131nda artarak 89.3 oldu. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; i\u015f durumu ve hizmetlere olan talep endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1.9 ve y\u00fczde 1 artarak 87 ve 85.4 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131. Hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi endeksi ise y\u00fczde 2.2 azalarak 95.4 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere hizmetlere olan talep beklentisi endeksi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda daha da azalm\u0131\u015f. Bu durum gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha da artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik yat\u0131r\u0131m e\u011filimi azalabilir. Sekt\u00f6rde gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik olumlu beklentilerin tam anlam\u0131yla varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hissettirebilmesi i\u00e7in endeks rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>PERAKENDE T\u0130CARET SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.7 oran\u0131nda artarak 97.6 oldu. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; i\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar, mevcut mal stok seviyesi ve i\u015f hacmi-sat\u0131\u015flar beklentisi endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4.1, y\u00fczde 1 ve y\u00fczde 3.4 artarak 89, 105.8 ve 98.1 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Perakende sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bir miktar azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemliyoruz. Bu sekt\u00f6rde i\u015f hacmi ve sat\u0131\u015f beklentisi endeksinin 98.1 seviyesine y\u00fczde 3.4 art\u0131\u015fla gelmesi olumludur. 100 seviyeleri ge\u00e7ildi\u011finde ise pozitif beklentilerden bahsetmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u015eimdilik sadece karamsarl\u0131k bitmek \u00fczere diyebiliyoruz. Mevcut mal stok seviyesi endeksinin 105.8 olmas\u0131 pozitif y\u00f6nde ilk sinyaller diyebiliriz. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc stok azal\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>\u0130N\u015eAAT SEKT\u00d6R\u00dc<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi bir \u00f6nceki ayda 55.5 iken, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 8.3 oran\u0131nda artarak 60.1 oldu. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re; al\u0131nan kay\u0131tl\u0131 sipari\u015flerin mevcut d\u00fczeyi ve toplam \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131 beklentisi endeksleri s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 6.6 ve y\u00fczde 9.4 artarak 44.4 ve 75.9 de\u011ferlerini ald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu sekt\u00f6r g\u00fcven endeksi verilerinde ciddi de\u011fi\u015fiklikler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. H\u0131zla olumluya do\u011fru giden bir durum s\u00f6z konusu. Ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7ok karamsar bir yap\u0131 var. 60.1 endeks verisi h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnceyi ifade ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in verileri genel durumu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor. 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 genel olarak h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n hakim oldu\u011funu, bu nedenle de yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fini bize s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. B\u00f6yle ortamlarda k\u0131sa vadeli veya pe\u015fin \u00f6demelerle ciddi stok tutman\u0131n riski daha y\u00fcksektir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z; her \u015feyin temeli g\u00fcvendir. G\u00fcven artt\u0131k\u00e7a, yat\u0131r\u0131m da artar, istihdam da.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"hizmet-perakende-ve-insaat-sektor-guven-endeksinde-son-durum","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Hizmet, perakende ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r g\u00fcven endeksinde son durum","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":483,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}