{"status":true,"post":{"id":24882,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:54:29","created_at":"2021-02-11T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:54:29.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":24882,"is_featured":0,"title":"Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ve ihracat","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ekonominin \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6nceli\u011fi enflasyonla m\u00fccadele olacak. Yeni y\u0131l\u0131n hemen ilk aylar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen enflasyonda y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sa\u011flanmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kararl\u0131 bir duru\u015fu oldu\u011fu da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu kararl\u0131 duru\u015f, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda da y\u00fcksek de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131smen telafi edilmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Ancak TL\u2019de h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenme, di\u011fer yandan d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengemizin yine a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na ve TL\u2019de tekrar de\u011fer kayb\u0131 potansiyeline yol a\u00e7abilecek. <\/span>
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Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferinde sa\u011flanacak denge kritik \u00f6nemde olacak.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
1 - ENFLASYONLA M\u00dcCADELEDE T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NIN KONUMU <\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
Enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede ve fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri \u00f6nemli bir konumda bulunuyor. \u00d6zellikle 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131 itibariyle y\u00fczde 26\u2019y\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan \u00fcretici fiyat endeksinde ana belirleyici T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131d\u0131r. En son a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon raporunda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n \u00dcFE i\u00e7inde 10 puan etki yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya konuldu. \u0130thalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131m, ara mal\u0131 ve t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferine y\u00fcksek bir ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor ve bu da t\u00fcketici enflasyonunu etkiliyor. <\/span>
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Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011ferlenmeden azami \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yarar g\u00f6recek. <\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
2 - ENFLASYONLA M\u00dcCADELEDE YAPISAL \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eMELERE \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 BULUNUYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
Enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferlenmesine do\u011fal olarak y\u00fcksek bir ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve beklenti atfediliyor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenmenin ekonomide yaratabilece\u011fi yan etkiler de ilk a\u015famada g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenme d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinde bozulmay\u0131 beraberinde getirecek. Bu da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda yeni de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131 i\u00e7in potansiyel yaratacak. <\/span>
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Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri kadar enflasyona yol a\u00e7an di\u011fer sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in yap\u0131sal reformlara ve iyile\u015ftirmelere ihtiya\u00e7 bulunuyor. D\u00fcnya y\u0131llard\u0131r enflasyon yaratamaz iken ve bize benzer \u00e7ok say\u0131da geli\u015fen \u00fclkede t\u00fcketici enflasyonu y\u00fczde 4-5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda istikrar kazanm\u0131\u015f iken enflasyon yaratan yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131m\u0131za daha \u00e7ok e\u011filmeliyiz. \u00d6rne\u011fin, b\u00fcy\u00fck sorun haline gelen g\u0131da enflasyonu i\u00e7in tar\u0131mdan ba\u015flayacak bir dizi yap\u0131sal reforma ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda iyile\u015fme y\u00fcksek faiz ile de\u011fil, yap\u0131sal reformlar ile sa\u011flanabilecek. <\/span>
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3 - T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NDA HIZLI DE\u011eERLENME \u0130HRACATI \u015e\u0130MD\u0130DEN ZORLAMAYA BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span>
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\u0130stikrarl\u0131 bir T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiyat istikrar\u0131 i\u00e7in ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oldu\u011fu tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z bir ger\u00e7ektir. Ancak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri \u00fczerinde orta uzun vadede esas belirleyici olan d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011feri belirleyicidir. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 son iki ayd\u0131r h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 telafi ediyor ve bu olumludur. Ancak telafi seviyesi veya T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn gelmi\u015f oldu\u011fu seviyeler, ihracat\u0131 \u015fimdiden zorlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Nitekim ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n artan maliyetleri geri gelmiyor. Ancak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ya\u015fanan sert de\u011ferlenme, ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n fiyat rekabetini ve k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalt\u0131yor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri ihracatta rekabetin korunmas\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f dengenin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ama\u00e7lar\u0131yla da g\u00f6zetilmeli.<\/span>
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4 - MERKEZ BANKASI D\u00d6V\u0130Z ALIM \u0130HALELER\u0130NE BA\u015eLAMALI<\/strong><\/span>
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T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferinin d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan g\u00f6zetilmesi i\u015flevini de T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 sa\u011flayabilecek. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131na kadar ya\u015fanan sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda banka faiz politikas\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fime gitti ve yeniden reel faiz uygulayarak TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 frenledi. Reel faiz uygulamas\u0131, yabanc\u0131 portf\u00f6y giri\u015flerini de ba\u015flatt\u0131. Ancak portf\u00f6y giri\u015fleri k\u0131sa vadeli ve k\u00e2r odakl\u0131d\u0131r. K\u0131sa s\u00fcrede geri \u00e7\u0131kabilecek. Ayr\u0131ca k\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullar da olduk\u00e7a kaygan bir zeminde ve varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131klar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye, orta vadede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferini portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na de\u011fil, ihracat ile elde edilecek d\u00f6viz gelirlerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirmeli. T.C Merkez Bankas\u0131 bu ama\u00e7la T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zendiren de\u011fer kayb\u0131na engel olmal\u0131 ve bu ama\u00e7la d\u00f6viz al\u0131m ihalelerine ba\u015flamal\u0131. <\/span>
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SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span>
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S\u0131cak paray\u0131 ihracat gelirlerine tercih eden T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 politikas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayacak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"enflasyonla-mucadele-turk-lirasi-ve-ihracat","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ve ihracat","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1131,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":24981,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":24882,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ve ihracat","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ekonominin \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6nceli\u011fi enflasyonla m\u00fccadele olacak. Yeni y\u0131l\u0131n hemen ilk aylar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen enflasyonda y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sa\u011flanmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kararl\u0131 bir duru\u015fu oldu\u011fu da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu kararl\u0131 duru\u015f, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda da y\u00fcksek de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131smen telafi edilmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Ancak TL\u2019de h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenme, di\u011fer yandan d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengemizin yine a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na ve TL\u2019de tekrar de\u011fer kayb\u0131 potansiyeline yol a\u00e7abilecek. <\/span>
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Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferinde sa\u011flanacak denge kritik \u00f6nemde olacak.<\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
1 - ENFLASYONLA M\u00dcCADELEDE T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NIN KONUMU <\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
Enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede ve fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri \u00f6nemli bir konumda bulunuyor. \u00d6zellikle 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131 itibariyle y\u00fczde 26\u2019y\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan \u00fcretici fiyat endeksinde ana belirleyici T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131d\u0131r. En son a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon raporunda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n \u00dcFE i\u00e7inde 10 puan etki yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya konuldu. \u0130thalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131m, ara mal\u0131 ve t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferine y\u00fcksek bir ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor ve bu da t\u00fcketici enflasyonunu etkiliyor. <\/span>
<\/span>
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki de\u011ferlenmeden azami \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yarar g\u00f6recek. <\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
2 - ENFLASYONLA M\u00dcCADELEDE YAPISAL \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eMELERE \u0130HT\u0130YA\u00c7 BULUNUYOR<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
Enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferlenmesine do\u011fal olarak y\u00fcksek bir ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve beklenti atfediliyor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019ndaki h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenmenin ekonomide yaratabilece\u011fi yan etkiler de ilk a\u015famada g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmeye ba\u015flanm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011ferlenme d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinde bozulmay\u0131 beraberinde getirecek. Bu da T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda yeni de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131 i\u00e7in potansiyel yaratacak. <\/span>
<\/span>
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri kadar enflasyona yol a\u00e7an di\u011fer sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in yap\u0131sal reformlara ve iyile\u015ftirmelere ihtiya\u00e7 bulunuyor. D\u00fcnya y\u0131llard\u0131r enflasyon yaratamaz iken ve bize benzer \u00e7ok say\u0131da geli\u015fen \u00fclkede t\u00fcketici enflasyonu y\u00fczde 4-5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda istikrar kazanm\u0131\u015f iken enflasyon yaratan yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131m\u0131za daha \u00e7ok e\u011filmeliyiz. \u00d6rne\u011fin, b\u00fcy\u00fck sorun haline gelen g\u0131da enflasyonu i\u00e7in tar\u0131mdan ba\u015flayacak bir dizi yap\u0131sal reforma ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda iyile\u015fme y\u00fcksek faiz ile de\u011fil, yap\u0131sal reformlar ile sa\u011flanabilecek. <\/span>
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3 - T\u00dcRK L\u0130RASI\u2019NDA HIZLI DE\u011eERLENME \u0130HRACATI \u015e\u0130MD\u0130DEN ZORLAMAYA BA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/span>
<\/span>
\u0130stikrarl\u0131 bir T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiyat istikrar\u0131 i\u00e7in ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oldu\u011fu tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z bir ger\u00e7ektir. Ancak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri \u00fczerinde orta uzun vadede esas belirleyici olan d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 de\u011feri belirleyicidir. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 son iki ayd\u0131r h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 telafi ediyor ve bu olumludur. Ancak telafi seviyesi veya T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn gelmi\u015f oldu\u011fu seviyeler, ihracat\u0131 \u015fimdiden zorlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Nitekim ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n artan maliyetleri geri gelmiyor. Ancak T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ya\u015fanan sert de\u011ferlenme, ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n fiyat rekabetini ve k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalt\u0131yor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri ihracatta rekabetin korunmas\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f dengenin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir ama\u00e7lar\u0131yla da g\u00f6zetilmeli.<\/span>
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4 - MERKEZ BANKASI D\u00d6V\u0130Z ALIM \u0130HALELER\u0130NE BA\u015eLAMALI<\/strong><\/span>
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T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferinin d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan g\u00f6zetilmesi i\u015flevini de T.C. Merkez Bankas\u0131 sa\u011flayabilecek. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131na kadar ya\u015fanan sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda banka faiz politikas\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fime gitti ve yeniden reel faiz uygulayarak TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 frenledi. Reel faiz uygulamas\u0131, yabanc\u0131 portf\u00f6y giri\u015flerini de ba\u015flatt\u0131. Ancak portf\u00f6y giri\u015fleri k\u0131sa vadeli ve k\u00e2r odakl\u0131d\u0131r. K\u0131sa s\u00fcrede geri \u00e7\u0131kabilecek. Ayr\u0131ca k\u00fcresel mali ko\u015fullar da olduk\u00e7a kaygan bir zeminde ve varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131klar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye, orta vadede T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011ferini portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na de\u011fil, ihracat ile elde edilecek d\u00f6viz gelirlerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale getirmeli. T.C Merkez Bankas\u0131 bu ama\u00e7la T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zendiren de\u011fer kayb\u0131na engel olmal\u0131 ve bu ama\u00e7la d\u00f6viz al\u0131m ihalelerine ba\u015flamal\u0131. <\/span>
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SON S\u00d6Z<\/strong><\/span>
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S\u0131cak paray\u0131 ihracat gelirlerine tercih eden T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 politikas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayacak.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"enflasyonla-mucadele-turk-lirasi-ve-ihracat","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Enflasyonla m\u00fccadele, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 ve ihracat","meta_description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1131,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}