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hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 5 Temmuz 2023 g\u00fcn\u00fc iki \u00f6nemli veri birden a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bunlardan biri T\u00dcFE yani t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, di\u011feri ise \u00dcFE yani \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi. Bilindi\u011fi gibi haziran ay\u0131nda kurlarda \u00f6nemli oynakl\u0131klar oldu ve d\u00f6viz, TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 26 civar\u0131nda de\u011fer kazand\u0131. O y\u00fczden enflasyon verileri olduk\u00e7a fazla \u00f6nem arz ediyordu.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 haziran ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 3.92 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 38.21 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren 6 ayl\u0131k enflasyon y\u00fczde 19.77 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Bu \u015fekilde giderse y\u0131l sonu y\u00fczde 39-40 civar\u0131nda bir enflasyon olacak demektir.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> LOKANTA VE OTELLERDE CANLILIK<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Enflasyon verisinin detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda en y\u00fcksek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n lokanta ve oteller grubunda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Burada T\u00dcFE oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 67.22. Bunun arkas\u0131ndan ikincilik sa\u011fl\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde. Orada oran y\u00fczde 65.69; \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7ecekler alm\u0131\u015f. Orada y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 53.92. E\u011fitim 4. s\u0131rada ve oran y\u00fczde 50.71. Ev e\u015fyas\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 43.24.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere hayat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, sa\u011fl\u0131k ve ev e\u015fyas\u0131 gibi konularda enflasyon h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seyretmeye devam ediyor. Kur dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131n ise ne kadar etkileyece\u011fi yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde belli olacak. Ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimin detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fczde 11.13 ile rekorun alkoll\u00fc i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn grubunda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Akabinde ula\u015ft\u0131rma y\u00fczde 7.96 ile gelirken, lokanta ve oteller y\u00fczde 4.32 ile 3. s\u0131rada. \u00d6zellikle lokanta ve otellerdeki y\u00fcksek oran, sekt\u00f6rdeki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> KURUN EKONOM\u0130YE ETK\u0130S\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u015eimdi gelelim \u00dcFE verisine. Bu veri, gelecekte T\u00dcFE konusunda da baz\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verecektir. Yurt i\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 6.5, y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 40.42 artt\u0131. Ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015ftaki y\u00fckseklik kur y\u00fckseli\u015finin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahribat\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Gelecekte yeni maliyetler olu\u015ftuk\u00e7a fiyatlar\u0131 daha fazla yukar\u0131 itecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Kur hareketi olmasayd\u0131 enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekler bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc vard\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ilk 6 ay \u00dcFE y\u00fczde 14.82 artt\u0131. Sadece haziran art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 6.5. \u0130\u015fte kurun ekonomiye etkisi.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Biraz daha detaylara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda sadece y\u00fczde 3.29 artan enerji ile y\u00fczde 10.26 artan enerjiye ra\u011fmen oran\u0131n y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni dayan\u0131ks\u0131z mallarda y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00dcFE verisinin y\u00fczde 62, sermaye mal\u0131nda y\u00fczde 52.44, su temininde y\u00fczde 59.68 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesidir. Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131nda ise \u00dcFE y\u00fczde 47 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 temmuz ve a\u011fustos aylar\u0131nda T\u00dcFE verileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmi\u015fti. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise ayl\u0131k bazda oranlarda o derece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. Kald\u0131 ki, \u00dcFE verisi de enerjideki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck orana ra\u011fmen y\u00fcksek geldi ve gelecekte de T\u00dcFE bu geli\u015fmelerden dolay\u0131 olumsuz etkilenecektir. S\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 uygulamas\u0131 ve faizlerdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n firmalarda finansal maliyetleri de art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrsek, yaz aylar\u0131nda enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fckselme riski artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r diyebiliriz. Enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in d\u00f6vizde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 hayati \u00f6nemdedir. Bunun i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz giri\u015fi ile TL\u2019ye ge\u00e7i\u015f olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m kurulu\u015flar\u0131 TCMB politika faizinin 25-40 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerinden, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemlerde faizlerde yukar\u0131 hareketin devam\u0131n\u0131 beklemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r. Kurlarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trend olu\u015fabilirse, enflasyonun da iyice d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini rahatl\u0131kla s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"enflasyon-verileri-ne-sinyaller-veriyor","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1688936400EYmGZm5LMXK5wrf.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1444,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":41588,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":41462,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Enflasyon verileri ne sinyaller veriyor?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":" hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 5 Temmuz 2023 g\u00fcn\u00fc iki \u00f6nemli veri birden a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bunlardan biri T\u00dcFE yani t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, di\u011feri ise \u00dcFE yani \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi. Bilindi\u011fi gibi haziran ay\u0131nda kurlarda \u00f6nemli oynakl\u0131klar oldu ve d\u00f6viz, TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 26 civar\u0131nda de\u011fer kazand\u0131. O y\u00fczden enflasyon verileri olduk\u00e7a fazla \u00f6nem arz ediyordu.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 haziran ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 3.92 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 38.21 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren 6 ayl\u0131k enflasyon y\u00fczde 19.77 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Bu \u015fekilde giderse y\u0131l sonu y\u00fczde 39-40 civar\u0131nda bir enflasyon olacak demektir.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> LOKANTA VE OTELLERDE CANLILIK<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Enflasyon verisinin detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda en y\u00fcksek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n lokanta ve oteller grubunda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Burada T\u00dcFE oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 67.22. Bunun arkas\u0131ndan ikincilik sa\u011fl\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde. Orada oran y\u00fczde 65.69; \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7ecekler alm\u0131\u015f. Orada y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 53.92. E\u011fitim 4. s\u0131rada ve oran y\u00fczde 50.71. Ev e\u015fyas\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 43.24.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere hayat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, sa\u011fl\u0131k ve ev e\u015fyas\u0131 gibi konularda enflasyon h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seyretmeye devam ediyor. Kur dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131n ise ne kadar etkileyece\u011fi yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde belli olacak. Ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimin detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fczde 11.13 ile rekorun alkoll\u00fc i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn grubunda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Akabinde ula\u015ft\u0131rma y\u00fczde 7.96 ile gelirken, lokanta ve oteller y\u00fczde 4.32 ile 3. s\u0131rada. \u00d6zellikle lokanta ve otellerdeki y\u00fcksek oran, sekt\u00f6rdeki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p> KURUN EKONOM\u0130YE ETK\u0130S\u0130<\/span><\/strong><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> \u015eimdi gelelim \u00dcFE verisine. Bu veri, gelecekte T\u00dcFE konusunda da baz\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 verecektir. Yurt i\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 6.5, y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 40.42 artt\u0131. Ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015ftaki y\u00fckseklik kur y\u00fckseli\u015finin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahribat\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Gelecekte yeni maliyetler olu\u015ftuk\u00e7a fiyatlar\u0131 daha fazla yukar\u0131 itecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Kur hareketi olmasayd\u0131 enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekler bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc vard\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ilk 6 ay \u00dcFE y\u00fczde 14.82 artt\u0131. Sadece haziran art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 6.5. \u0130\u015fte kurun ekonomiye etkisi.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> Biraz daha detaylara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda sadece y\u00fczde 3.29 artan enerji ile y\u00fczde 10.26 artan enerjiye ra\u011fmen oran\u0131n y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131n\u0131n nedeni dayan\u0131ks\u0131z mallarda y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00dcFE verisinin y\u00fczde 62, sermaye mal\u0131nda y\u00fczde 52.44, su temininde y\u00fczde 59.68 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesidir. Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131nda ise \u00dcFE y\u00fczde 47 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p> \u00a0<\/span><\/p> 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 temmuz ve a\u011fustos aylar\u0131nda T\u00dcFE verileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmi\u015fti. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise ayl\u0131k bazda oranlarda o derece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. Kald\u0131 ki, \u00dcFE verisi de enerjideki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck orana ra\u011fmen y\u00fcksek geldi ve gelecekte de T\u00dcFE bu geli\u015fmelerden dolay\u0131 olumsuz etkilenecektir. S\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 uygulamas\u0131 ve faizlerdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n firmalarda finansal maliyetleri de art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrsek, yaz aylar\u0131nda enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fckselme riski artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r diyebiliriz. Enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in d\u00f6vizde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 hayati \u00f6nemdedir. Bunun i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz giri\u015fi ile TL\u2019ye ge\u00e7i\u015f olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m kurulu\u015flar\u0131 TCMB politika faizinin 25-40 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerinden, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemlerde faizlerde yukar\u0131 hareketin devam\u0131n\u0131 beklemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r. Kurlarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trend olu\u015fabilirse, enflasyonun da iyice d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini rahatl\u0131kla s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"enflasyon-verileri-ne-sinyaller-veriyor","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1688936400EYmGZm5LMXK5wrf.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1688936400EYmGZm5LMXK5wrf.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1444,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}
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