{"status":true,"post":{"id":23850,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 14:33:56","created_at":"2020-12-10T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T11:33:56.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":23850,"is_featured":0,"title":"Enflasyon verileri ne mesajlar veriyor?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, enflasyonla ilgili iki \u00f6nemli veriyi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Birincisi kas\u0131m ay\u0131 t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, di\u011feri de yurt i\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi. Bu verileri birlikte inceledi\u011fimizde gelecek d\u00f6nem fiyatlamalar\u0131 ile ilgili \u00f6nemli sinyaller veriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdi t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksiyle ba\u015flayal\u0131m. T\u00dcFE\u2019de (2003=100) baz y\u0131l olarak al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.30, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 13.19, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 14.03 ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 12.04 art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ekim 2020\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda T\u00dcFE y\u00fczde 11.89 iken, bir ay sonra bu veri 14.03 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Kas\u0131m 2018\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 21.62, Kas\u0131m 2019\u2019da y\u00fczde 10.56 ve son olarak da Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 14.03 olan enflasyon oran\u0131, son 3 y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 53.33 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Pandemi nedeniyle ya\u015fanan talep daralmas\u0131 emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 vurmasayd\u0131 bu oran \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek olacakt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Pandemi nedeniyle daralan talep ba\u015fta petrol olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok girdide fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu enflasyon, yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine ra\u011fmen ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda enflasyona bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise g\u0131da enflasyonunun y\u00fczde 21 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YURT \u0130\u00c7\u0130 \u00dcRET\u0130C\u0130 F\u0130YAT ENDEKS\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdi gelelim di\u011fer bir enflasyona. Yurt \u0130\u00e7i \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (Y\u0130-\u00dcFE), belirli bir referans d\u00f6neminde \u00fclke ekonomisinde \u00fcretimi yap\u0131lan ve yurt i\u00e7ine sat\u0131\u015fa konu olan \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 zaman i\u00e7inde kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimlerini \u00f6l\u00e7en fiyat endeksidir. K\u0131sacas\u0131, yurt i\u00e7i t\u00fcketime konu yerli \u00fcretim diyebiliriz. Bu veri vatanda\u015f\u0131n enflasyonu nas\u0131l hissetti\u011finin de \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6stergesidir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0130-\u00dcFE (2003=100) 2020 Kas\u0131m\u2019da bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4.08, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 22.26, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 23.11 ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 10.69 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son 3 y\u0131la bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; Kas\u0131m 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 38.54, Kas\u0131m 2019\u2019da y\u00fczde 04.26 ve Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 23.11 y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda art\u0131\u015flar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla son 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k Y\u0130-\u00dcFE toplam\u0131 y\u00fczde 77.82 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Yurt i\u00e7erisinde de hissedilen enflasyon da budur.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>L\u0130K\u0130D\u0130TE Y\u00d6NET\u0130M\u0130N\u0130N \u00d6NEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sebep olarak neler var diye bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, maliyetler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck talep nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, enerji ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 global anlamda d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, ancak kurlar ciddi ataklar g\u00f6stererek T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 de\u011fersizle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. \u015eimdi dolar 2 TL iken m\u00fc\u015fterilere \u00e7ekilen dolar bazl\u0131 fiyat\u0131 \u00e7ekmek h\u00e2l\u00e2 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc? Gayrimenkullerde bile d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 ciddi indirimler gelmi\u015f. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Genel olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda kurlar\u0131n ekonomiye ne kadar zarar verdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu durum tamamen kurdan kaynaklanan maliyet enflasyonudur. Kurlar y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e hem enflasyonu desteklemi\u015f hem de sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc yitirmemize sebep olmu\u015f. Son 3 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde gelirini y\u00fczde 78\u2019den fazla art\u0131ramayan herkes 2017 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha az kazan\u0131yor diyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; talep daralmas\u0131 ve gelen y\u00fcksek maliyet ile fiyatlara kar\u015f\u0131 senaryosunu iyi haz\u0131rlayamayanlar ve tedbirini almayanlar, gelecekte ciddi sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalabilirler. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 likidite y\u00f6netiminin en \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu y\u0131l olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"enflasyon-verileri-ne-mesajlar-veriyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Enflasyon verileri ne mesajlar veriyor?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1075,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":23949,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":23850,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Enflasyon verileri ne mesajlar veriyor?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Hikmet Baydar<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, enflasyonla ilgili iki \u00f6nemli veriyi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Birincisi kas\u0131m ay\u0131 t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, di\u011feri de yurt i\u00e7i \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi. Bu verileri birlikte inceledi\u011fimizde gelecek d\u00f6nem fiyatlamalar\u0131 ile ilgili \u00f6nemli sinyaller veriyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdi t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksiyle ba\u015flayal\u0131m. T\u00dcFE\u2019de (2003=100) baz y\u0131l olarak al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2.30, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 13.19, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 14.03 ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 12.04 art\u0131\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ekim 2020\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda T\u00dcFE y\u00fczde 11.89 iken, bir ay sonra bu veri 14.03 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Kas\u0131m 2018\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 21.62, Kas\u0131m 2019\u2019da y\u00fczde 10.56 ve son olarak da Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 14.03 olan enflasyon oran\u0131, son 3 y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 53.33 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. Pandemi nedeniyle ya\u015fanan talep daralmas\u0131 emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 vurmasayd\u0131 bu oran \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek olacakt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Pandemi nedeniyle daralan talep ba\u015fta petrol olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok girdide fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu enflasyon, yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine ra\u011fmen ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda enflasyona bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise g\u0131da enflasyonunun y\u00fczde 21 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YURT \u0130\u00c7\u0130 \u00dcRET\u0130C\u0130 F\u0130YAT ENDEKS\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u015eimdi gelelim di\u011fer bir enflasyona. Yurt \u0130\u00e7i \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (Y\u0130-\u00dcFE), belirli bir referans d\u00f6neminde \u00fclke ekonomisinde \u00fcretimi yap\u0131lan ve yurt i\u00e7ine sat\u0131\u015fa konu olan \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 zaman i\u00e7inde kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rarak fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimlerini \u00f6l\u00e7en fiyat endeksidir. K\u0131sacas\u0131, yurt i\u00e7i t\u00fcketime konu yerli \u00fcretim diyebiliriz. Bu veri vatanda\u015f\u0131n enflasyonu nas\u0131l hissetti\u011finin de \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6stergesidir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0130-\u00dcFE (2003=100) 2020 Kas\u0131m\u2019da bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4.08, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 22.26, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 23.11 ve 12 ayl\u0131k ortalamalara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 10.69 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son 3 y\u0131la bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; Kas\u0131m 2018\u2019de y\u00fczde 38.54, Kas\u0131m 2019\u2019da y\u00fczde 04.26 ve Kas\u0131m 2020\u2019de y\u00fczde 23.11 y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda art\u0131\u015flar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla son 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k Y\u0130-\u00dcFE toplam\u0131 y\u00fczde 77.82 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Yurt i\u00e7erisinde de hissedilen enflasyon da budur.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>L\u0130K\u0130D\u0130TE Y\u00d6NET\u0130M\u0130N\u0130N \u00d6NEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sebep olarak neler var diye bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, maliyetler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck talep nedeniyle d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, enerji ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 global anlamda d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, ancak kurlar ciddi ataklar g\u00f6stererek T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131 de\u011fersizle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. \u015eimdi dolar 2 TL iken m\u00fc\u015fterilere \u00e7ekilen dolar bazl\u0131 fiyat\u0131 \u00e7ekmek h\u00e2l\u00e2 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc? Gayrimenkullerde bile d\u00f6viz bazl\u0131 ciddi indirimler gelmi\u015f. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Genel olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda kurlar\u0131n ekonomiye ne kadar zarar verdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu durum tamamen kurdan kaynaklanan maliyet enflasyonudur. Kurlar y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e hem enflasyonu desteklemi\u015f hem de sat\u0131nalma g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc yitirmemize sebep olmu\u015f. Son 3 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde gelirini y\u00fczde 78\u2019den fazla art\u0131ramayan herkes 2017 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re daha az kazan\u0131yor diyebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Son s\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcz; talep daralmas\u0131 ve gelen y\u00fcksek maliyet ile fiyatlara kar\u015f\u0131 senaryosunu iyi haz\u0131rlayamayanlar ve tedbirini almayanlar, gelecekte ciddi sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalabilirler. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 likidite y\u00f6netiminin en \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu y\u0131l olacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"enflasyon-verileri-ne-mesajlar-veriyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Enflasyon verileri ne mesajlar veriyor?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1075,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}