{"status":true,"post":{"id":35695,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-11-02 17:48:24","created_at":"2022-11-02T17:48:24.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-11-02T17:48:24.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":35695,"is_featured":0,"title":"Enerjide \u2018Esas Kriz\u2019 2023\u2019te","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ya\u015fanan \u2018Enerji Krizi\u2019ni, 1970\u2019lerin petrol krizlerinden b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ay\u0131ran, modern d\u00fcnyan\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018en tehlikeli\u2019 enerji krizine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcren birka\u00e7 kritik detay var. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce, bu defa ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel enerji krizi denkleminin i\u00e7erisinde sadece petrol de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda do\u011falgaz da var. \u00dcst\u00fcne k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve n\u00fckleeri de eklemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u0130kinci detay, bu seferki enerji krizinin ayn\u0131 zamanda bir \u2018enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019 krizi de olmas\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u00fcresel enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi \u2018y\u00fcksek enflasyon\u2019 s\u00fcrecini, y\u00fcksek merkez bankas\u0131 politika faizi ile \u00e7\u00f6zmekte \u0131srarc\u0131 olan \u00fclkeler, kredi maliyetlerinde de ciddi art\u0131\u015flara sebep oldular. Bu nedenle, g\u00fcne\u015f, r\u00fczgar, jeotermal ve hidro gibi \u00f6nemli yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n maliyetleri de artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">YE\u015e\u0130L ENERJ\u0130 D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM\u00dc<\/strong><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Oysa, ya\u015fanmakta olan k\u00fcresel enerji krizi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerinin yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015flerini h\u0131zland\u0131rmalar\u0131n\u0131n, \u2018Ye\u015fil Enerji D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu bir kez daha teyit ediyor.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Ne yaz\u0131k ki, neoliberal ortodoks politikalarda \u0131srarc\u0131 olan iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar ve onlardan destek alan merkez bankalar\u0131 ile ekonomi y\u00f6netimleri nedeniyle \u2018ye\u015fil enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019 de k\u00fcresel \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma\u2019 hedefleri de risk alt\u0131nda. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc detay ise 1970\u2019lerin petrol krizinin bir \u2018fiyat krizi\u2019 oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlayarak, bu defa ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel enerji krizinin \u2018fiyat\u2019\u0131n da \u00f6tesinde, bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel \u2018tedarik\u2019 krizi oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fi. Nitekim Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n derinle\u015ftirdi\u011fi tedarik krizi, petrol, do\u011falgaz, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum \u00e7ubuklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretimini ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 iyice kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k hale getirmi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><strong style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">H\u0130DRO ENERJ\u0130 R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Hemen hemen t\u00fcm k\u0131talar i\u00e7in bir ba\u015fka riskli konu ise hidro. K\u00fcresel iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve La Nina nedeniyle etkisini daha da art\u0131ran kurakl\u0131k sorunu, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz yaz ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n hidro enerji kapasitesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, hatta n\u00fckleer enerji santrallerinin so\u011futulmas\u0131 ad\u0131na da \u00f6nemli bir risk olu\u015fturuyor. Bu nedenle do\u011falgaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde, hidroelektrik ve n\u00fckleer enerji santrallerinin kapasitelerinin de dalgalanma g\u00f6stermesi, OECD nezdindeki Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IEA) \u0130cra Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Dr. Fatih Birol\u2019un da ifade etti\u011fi gibi d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ilk ger\u00e7ek enerji kriziyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f durumda. Dr. Birol, k\u00fcresel s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz (LNG) piyasalar\u0131nda arz\u0131n talebi kar\u015f\u0131layamayaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesi ve ba\u015fl\u0131ca petrol \u00fcreticilerinin \u00fcretimi k\u0131smas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fanan \u2018\u0130lk Ger\u00e7ek Enerji Krizi\u2019ni tetikledi\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Fatih Birol, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, bir tarafta Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n LNG ithalat\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, di\u011fer tarafta, bilhassa 2023\u2019ten itibaren \u00c7in\u2019de yak\u0131t talebinin artma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, k\u00fcresel LNG piyasas\u0131nda 2023 i\u00e7in yaln\u0131zca 20 milyar metrek\u00fcpl\u00fck LNG kapasitesi olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k ge\u00e7ece\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor. Bu nedenle uzmanlar, bir \u015fekilde 2022 sonbahar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6netilece\u011fini; esas krizin 2023 sonbahar\u0131, 2024 k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Beklenen s\u0131cak seyreden sonbahar zamana yay\u0131l\u0131r ise bu durum Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan bu k\u0131\u015f\u0131 az hasarla atlatabilmesi ad\u0131na de\u011ferli olacak. Ancak, 2023 ilkbahar sonu itibariyle y\u00fczde 25-35 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015fmesi, beklenen do\u011falgaz depolar\u0131n\u0131n tekrar doldurulmas\u0131 \u00e7ok zahmetli olacak. \u00dcst\u00fcne, OPEC\u2019in 2 milyon varil \u00fcretimi k\u0131sma karar\u0131 da kal\u0131c\u0131 olur ise enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n hem \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi (maliyet enflasyonu) hem de t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi (talep enflasyonu) \u00fczerindeki kal\u0131c\u0131 etkisini takip etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"enerjide-esas-kriz-2023te","tags":"K\u00fcresel Kriz,Enerji,K\u00fcresel Enerji","meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1667336400R7cpFAgDJK3omId.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1552,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":35821,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":35695,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Enerjide \u2018Esas Kriz\u2019 2023\u2019te","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"<p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">K\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte ya\u015fanan \u2018Enerji Krizi\u2019ni, 1970\u2019lerin petrol krizlerinden b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle ay\u0131ran, modern d\u00fcnyan\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018en tehlikeli\u2019 enerji krizine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcren birka\u00e7 kritik detay var. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce, bu defa ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel enerji krizi denkleminin i\u00e7erisinde sadece petrol de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda do\u011falgaz da var. \u00dcst\u00fcne k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve n\u00fckleeri de eklemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. \u0130kinci detay, bu seferki enerji krizinin ayn\u0131 zamanda bir \u2018enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019 krizi de olmas\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u00fcresel enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi \u2018y\u00fcksek enflasyon\u2019 s\u00fcrecini, y\u00fcksek merkez bankas\u0131 politika faizi ile \u00e7\u00f6zmekte \u0131srarc\u0131 olan \u00fclkeler, kredi maliyetlerinde de ciddi art\u0131\u015flara sebep oldular. Bu nedenle, g\u00fcne\u015f, r\u00fczgar, jeotermal ve hidro gibi \u00f6nemli yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n maliyetleri de artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p><p><br><\/p><p><strong style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">YE\u015e\u0130L ENERJ\u0130 D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM\u00dc<\/strong><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Oysa, ya\u015fanmakta olan k\u00fcresel enerji krizi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerinin yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015flerini h\u0131zland\u0131rmalar\u0131n\u0131n, \u2018Ye\u015fil Enerji D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu bir kez daha teyit ediyor.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Ne yaz\u0131k ki, neoliberal ortodoks politikalarda \u0131srarc\u0131 olan iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar ve onlardan destek alan merkez bankalar\u0131 ile ekonomi y\u00f6netimleri nedeniyle \u2018ye\u015fil enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019 de k\u00fcresel \u2018s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kalk\u0131nma\u2019 hedefleri de risk alt\u0131nda. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc detay ise 1970\u2019lerin petrol krizinin bir \u2018fiyat krizi\u2019 oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlayarak, bu defa ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel enerji krizinin \u2018fiyat\u2019\u0131n da \u00f6tesinde, bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel \u2018tedarik\u2019 krizi oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fi. Nitekim Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n derinle\u015ftirdi\u011fi tedarik krizi, petrol, do\u011falgaz, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum \u00e7ubuklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretimini ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 iyice kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k hale getirmi\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><strong style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">H\u0130DRO ENERJ\u0130 R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Hemen hemen t\u00fcm k\u0131talar i\u00e7in bir ba\u015fka riskli konu ise hidro. K\u00fcresel iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve La Nina nedeniyle etkisini daha da art\u0131ran kurakl\u0131k sorunu, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz yaz ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n hidro enerji kapasitesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, hatta n\u00fckleer enerji santrallerinin so\u011futulmas\u0131 ad\u0131na da \u00f6nemli bir risk olu\u015fturuyor. Bu nedenle do\u011falgaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde, hidroelektrik ve n\u00fckleer enerji santrallerinin kapasitelerinin de dalgalanma g\u00f6stermesi, OECD nezdindeki Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IEA) \u0130cra Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Dr. Fatih Birol\u2019un da ifade etti\u011fi gibi d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ilk ger\u00e7ek enerji kriziyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f durumda. Dr. Birol, k\u00fcresel s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz (LNG) piyasalar\u0131nda arz\u0131n talebi kar\u015f\u0131layamayaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesi ve ba\u015fl\u0131ca petrol \u00fcreticilerinin \u00fcretimi k\u0131smas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fanan \u2018\u0130lk Ger\u00e7ek Enerji Krizi\u2019ni tetikledi\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Fatih Birol, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, bir tarafta Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n LNG ithalat\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, di\u011fer tarafta, bilhassa 2023\u2019ten itibaren \u00c7in\u2019de yak\u0131t talebinin artma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, k\u00fcresel LNG piyasas\u0131nda 2023 i\u00e7in yaln\u0131zca 20 milyar metrek\u00fcpl\u00fck LNG kapasitesi olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k ge\u00e7ece\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor. Bu nedenle uzmanlar, bir \u015fekilde 2022 sonbahar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6netilece\u011fini; esas krizin 2023 sonbahar\u0131, 2024 k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Beklenen s\u0131cak seyreden sonbahar zamana yay\u0131l\u0131r ise bu durum Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan bu k\u0131\u015f\u0131 az hasarla atlatabilmesi ad\u0131na de\u011ferli olacak. Ancak, 2023 ilkbahar sonu itibariyle y\u00fczde 25-35 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015fmesi, beklenen do\u011falgaz depolar\u0131n\u0131n tekrar doldurulmas\u0131 \u00e7ok zahmetli olacak. \u00dcst\u00fcne, OPEC\u2019in 2 milyon varil \u00fcretimi k\u0131sma karar\u0131 da kal\u0131c\u0131 olur ise enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n hem \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi (maliyet enflasyonu) hem de t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 endeksi (talep enflasyonu) \u00fczerindeki kal\u0131c\u0131 etkisini takip etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"enerjide-esas-kriz-2023te","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1667336400R7cpFAgDJK3omId.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1667336400R7cpFAgDJK3omId.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00fcresel Kriz,Enerji,K\u00fcresel Enerji","meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1552,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}