{"status":true,"post":{"id":34879,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 21:53:57","created_at":"2022-09-15T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T18:53:57.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":34879,"is_featured":0,"title":"Enerjide \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck 2024\u2019\u00fc \u2018kabus y\u0131l\u0131\u2019 yapabilir","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Avrupa\u2019da s\u00fcregelen enerji krizi, bu sonbahar ve k\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en zorlu s\u0131namalardan ge\u00e7ecek. Bu s\u0131namalardan elde edilecek sonu\u00e7lar, ya\u015fanacak dersler, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonbahar\u0131na kadarki bir y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde, tarihi tedbirleri ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm m\u00fccadelesini de beraberinde getirecek. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc enerji krizini tetikleyen mevcut ko\u015fullar, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar yeni \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler devreye al\u0131nmaz ise esas 2024 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n, Avrupa a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan krizin de \u00f6tesinde, adeta bir \u2018kabus d\u00f6nemi\u2019 olarak ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, enerjide en fazla bir y\u0131l ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131, ger\u00e7ek manada zamana kar\u015f\u0131 bir yar\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 patlak verdikten sonra Avrupa enerji pazar\u0131nda krizi tetikleyen ilk \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme, kombine \u00e7evrim gaz santrallerinden (CCGT) kaynakland\u0131. CCGT\u2019ler, Avrupa marjinal enerji fiyatlar\u0131na hakim bir alan. Geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 6 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde, sava\u015f\u0131n vadeli do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki katlay\u0131c\u0131 etkisi, elektrik fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ciddi manada tetikledi. Bu nedenle, AB Komisyonu\u2019nun g\u00fcndemindeki en \u00f6ncelikli konu, do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 ile elektrik fiyatlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi ortadan kald\u0131racak bir piyasa d\u00fczenlemesini bir an \u00f6nce hayata ge\u00e7irmek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>500 YILIN EN KURAK YAZI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bununla birlikte, Avrupa\u2019da son 500 y\u0131l\u0131n en kurak yaz\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, zaten var olan enerji ve elektrik krizinin derinle\u015fmesine de sebep olmu\u015f durumda. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz a\u011fustos ay\u0131ndan itibaren krizi derinle\u015ftiren geli\u015fmelerden ilki, \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Frans\u0131z \u2018n\u00fckleer\u2019 kullan\u0131m\u0131. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kamu enerji \u015firketi EDF, 2023 i\u00e7in n\u00fckleer enerji kullan\u0131m kapasitesini 300-330 TWh\u2019a indirdi. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 performans\u0131 da kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu \u2018so\u011futma\u2019 sorunlar\u0131 nedeniyle yine iyi gitmiyor. \u0130kinci \u00f6nemli sorun, yine tarihi kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle hidroelektrik santrallerdeki hayli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hidro stoku. \u0130skandinavya\u2019dan \u0130berya\u2019ya ciddi bir hidro g\u00fc\u00e7 sorunu s\u00f6z konusu. Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu lojistik sorunlardan biri de, Ren Nehri\u2019ndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck su seviyesi nedeniyle nehrin k\u00f6m\u00fcr santrallerine ikmal kapasitesinin y\u00fczde 25\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KAPAS\u0130TE AZALIMI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dcst\u00fcne ekonomik ve teknik \u00f6mr\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlamalar\u0131 nedeniyle kapat\u0131lan Avrupa\u2019daki termik, gaz ve n\u00fckleer santrallerden kaynaklanan kapasite azal\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 da ekleyin. Avrupa, enerji krizine hayli zor \u015fartlarda yakalanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Avrupa\u2019da son 10 y\u0131lda h\u0131zla artm\u0131\u015f olan r\u00fczgar, g\u00fcne\u015f ve jeotermal kapasitesi ise hen\u00fcz di\u011fer enerji t\u00fcrevlerinden kaynaklanan eksikli\u011fi giderebilecek d\u00fczeyde de\u011fil.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle, ABD ve farkl\u0131 tedarik\u00e7ilerden s\u0131v\u0131 do\u011falgaz (LNG) tedariki, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n pek \u00e7ok yerine yeni s\u0131v\u0131 do\u011falgaz terminalleri in\u015fa etmek ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere Avrupa, bilhassa 2024\u2019de daha da a\u011f\u0131r, k\u0131tadaki t\u00fcm g\u00fcnl\u00fck ya\u015fam\u0131 neredeyse durduracak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir enerji krizi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmamak ad\u0131na adeta zamana kar\u015f\u0131 yar\u0131\u015facak. AB Komisyonu\u2019nun enerji piyasas\u0131 oyuncular\u0131n\u0131n, t\u00fcm payda\u015flar\u0131n hareket alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan kat\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeleri bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine ciddi manada yumu\u015fatmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ad\u0131mlar\u0131 dahil, pek \u00e7ok konu masada. Kapsaml\u0131 tedbirler payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a, biz de aktarmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"enerjide-cozumsuzluk-2024u-kabus-yili-yapabilir","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Enerjide \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck 2024\u2019\u00fc \u2018kabus y\u0131l\u0131\u2019 yapabilir","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1259,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":34978,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":34879,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Enerjide \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck 2024\u2019\u00fc \u2018kabus y\u0131l\u0131\u2019 yapabilir","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Avrupa\u2019da s\u00fcregelen enerji krizi, bu sonbahar ve k\u0131\u015f d\u00f6nemi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en zorlu s\u0131namalardan ge\u00e7ecek. Bu s\u0131namalardan elde edilecek sonu\u00e7lar, ya\u015fanacak dersler, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonbahar\u0131na kadarki bir y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde, tarihi tedbirleri ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm m\u00fccadelesini de beraberinde getirecek. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc enerji krizini tetikleyen mevcut ko\u015fullar, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar yeni \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler devreye al\u0131nmaz ise esas 2024 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n, Avrupa a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan krizin de \u00f6tesinde, adeta bir \u2018kabus d\u00f6nemi\u2019 olarak ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, enerjide en fazla bir y\u0131l ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131, ger\u00e7ek manada zamana kar\u015f\u0131 bir yar\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 patlak verdikten sonra Avrupa enerji pazar\u0131nda krizi tetikleyen ilk \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme, kombine \u00e7evrim gaz santrallerinden (CCGT) kaynakland\u0131. CCGT\u2019ler, Avrupa marjinal enerji fiyatlar\u0131na hakim bir alan. Geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 6 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde, sava\u015f\u0131n vadeli do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki katlay\u0131c\u0131 etkisi, elektrik fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ciddi manada tetikledi. Bu nedenle, AB Komisyonu\u2019nun g\u00fcndemindeki en \u00f6ncelikli konu, do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 ile elektrik fiyatlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi ortadan kald\u0131racak bir piyasa d\u00fczenlemesini bir an \u00f6nce hayata ge\u00e7irmek.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>500 YILIN EN KURAK YAZI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bununla birlikte, Avrupa\u2019da son 500 y\u0131l\u0131n en kurak yaz\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, zaten var olan enerji ve elektrik krizinin derinle\u015fmesine de sebep olmu\u015f durumda. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz a\u011fustos ay\u0131ndan itibaren krizi derinle\u015ftiren geli\u015fmelerden ilki, \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Frans\u0131z \u2018n\u00fckleer\u2019 kullan\u0131m\u0131. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kamu enerji \u015firketi EDF, 2023 i\u00e7in n\u00fckleer enerji kullan\u0131m kapasitesini 300-330 TWh\u2019a indirdi. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 performans\u0131 da kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu \u2018so\u011futma\u2019 sorunlar\u0131 nedeniyle yine iyi gitmiyor. \u0130kinci \u00f6nemli sorun, yine tarihi kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle hidroelektrik santrallerdeki hayli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hidro stoku. \u0130skandinavya\u2019dan \u0130berya\u2019ya ciddi bir hidro g\u00fc\u00e7 sorunu s\u00f6z konusu. Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu lojistik sorunlardan biri de, Ren Nehri\u2019ndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck su seviyesi nedeniyle nehrin k\u00f6m\u00fcr santrallerine ikmal kapasitesinin y\u00fczde 25\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KAPAS\u0130TE AZALIMI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dcst\u00fcne ekonomik ve teknik \u00f6mr\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlamalar\u0131 nedeniyle kapat\u0131lan Avrupa\u2019daki termik, gaz ve n\u00fckleer santrallerden kaynaklanan kapasite azal\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 da ekleyin. Avrupa, enerji krizine hayli zor \u015fartlarda yakalanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Avrupa\u2019da son 10 y\u0131lda h\u0131zla artm\u0131\u015f olan r\u00fczgar, g\u00fcne\u015f ve jeotermal kapasitesi ise hen\u00fcz di\u011fer enerji t\u00fcrevlerinden kaynaklanan eksikli\u011fi giderebilecek d\u00fczeyde de\u011fil.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu nedenle, ABD ve farkl\u0131 tedarik\u00e7ilerden s\u0131v\u0131 do\u011falgaz (LNG) tedariki, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n pek \u00e7ok yerine yeni s\u0131v\u0131 do\u011falgaz terminalleri in\u015fa etmek ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere Avrupa, bilhassa 2024\u2019de daha da a\u011f\u0131r, k\u0131tadaki t\u00fcm g\u00fcnl\u00fck ya\u015fam\u0131 neredeyse durduracak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir enerji krizi ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmamak ad\u0131na adeta zamana kar\u015f\u0131 yar\u0131\u015facak. AB Komisyonu\u2019nun enerji piyasas\u0131 oyuncular\u0131n\u0131n, t\u00fcm payda\u015flar\u0131n hareket alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan kat\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeleri bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine ciddi manada yumu\u015fatmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ad\u0131mlar\u0131 dahil, pek \u00e7ok konu masada. Kapsaml\u0131 tedbirler payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k\u00e7a, biz de aktarmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"enerjide-cozumsuzluk-2024u-kabus-yili-yapabilir","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Enerjide \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck 2024\u2019\u00fc \u2018kabus y\u0131l\u0131\u2019 yapabilir","meta_description":"PROF. DR. 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