{"status":true,"post":{"id":29230,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 15:58:21","created_at":"2021-10-28T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T12:58:21.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":29230,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u2018Emlak balonu\u2019 mu, talep patlamas\u0131 m\u0131?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sadece 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde bile \u2018uzaktan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma\u2019 format\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan oran\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte y\u00fczde 15\u2019ten, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkeler nezdinde y\u00fczde 25-30 band\u0131na y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. Bu durum, konuta olan talebi h\u0131zla artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ko\u015fullar\u0131na daha uygun \u00f6zellikleri olan ve\/veya daha geni\u015f balkon veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de olsa bah\u00e7esi olan konut modellerine olan ilgiyi de katlam\u0131\u015f durumda. Mevcut k\u00fcresel pandemi ko\u015fullar\u0131nda, ABD\u2019de 4 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fandan birinin, y\u00fczde 26\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n evinden uzaktan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma format\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ortamda, ABD istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip eden kurumlar, k\u00fcresel pandemi atlat\u0131lsa dahi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kesiminin en az y\u00fczde 22\u2019sinin, yani 36.2 milyon \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n 2025\u2019te evden uzaktan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma format\u0131yla mesaisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>7 TR\u0130LYON DOLARLIK TASARRUF<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durum, k\u00fcresel pandemi d\u00f6neminde, hane halk\u0131n\u0131n dayan\u0131ks\u0131z, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na ve turizm gibi hizmet alanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nlendiremedikleri, IMF\u2019nin tahminine g\u00f6re, bilhassa geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde olmak \u00fczere, 7 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bir harcama tasarrufunun s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funu ve biriken bu kayna\u011f\u0131n \u015fimdi gayrimenkule y\u00f6neldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte, bu y\u00f6nelme, ayn\u0131 zamanda baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde gayrimenkul fiyatlar\u0131nda da ciddi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetiklemi\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, sadece son 1 y\u0131lda, ABD\u2019de konut fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 19.8 artm\u0131\u015f ki; bu art\u0131\u015f t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ve, ipote\u011fe dayal\u0131 gayrimenkul kredileri ayn\u0131 tempoyla artmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) da her ay 40 milyar dolar mortgage ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131 almay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Fed\u2019in bilan\u00e7osundaki mortgage ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131 portf\u00f6y\u00fc 2.5 trilyon dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>25 \u015eEHR\u0130N KONUT F\u0130YATLARI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019nin d\u00fcnyaca me\u015fhur finans kurumu UBS\u2019in 5 Ekim tarihinde yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015f olan ve d\u00fcnyadaki 25 \u015fehrin konut fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alan \u2018Gayrimenkul Balon Endeksi 2021\u2019 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, Moskova, Stokholm, Sidney, Tokyo ve Kanada Vankuver\u2019de gayrimenkul fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ift haneli art\u0131\u015f yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Avrupa baz\u0131nda ise Frankfurt, M\u00fcnih, Amsterdam, Z\u00fcrih ve Paris \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Asya-Pasifik\u2019te fiyat balonu riskinde Tokyo orta derece riske gerilerken, iki haneli art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen Sidney\u2019in de orta risk ku\u015fa\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu bir noktada, Hong Kong\u2019un gayrimenkul fiyat\u0131nda y\u00fcksek balon riski ile \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 da ilgi \u00e7ekici. Oran olarak ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeyde artmasa da, Kanada\u2019da balon riski sinyali veren bir ba\u015fka \u015fehir de Toronto.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EN Y\u00dcKSEK F\u0130YAT ARTI\u015eI MOSKOVA\u2019DA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Moskova gerek enflasyon i\u00e7inde, gerekse de enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak en y\u00fcksek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olan \u015fehir konumunda. Y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerindeki fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen h\u00e2l\u00e2 fiyat balon riski d\u00fczeyi \u2018orta\u2019. Frankfurt ise s\u00f6z konusu 25 mega kent i\u00e7inde, son 5 y\u0131lda enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak, y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fczeyindeki fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile birincili\u011fe otururken, olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek bir balon riski ta\u015f\u0131yor. Son 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 performans\u0131 ile Frankfurt\u2019u Amsterdam ve Moskova takip ediyor. Son bir y\u0131ldaki fiyat gerilemesine ra\u011fmen son 5 y\u0131ldaki ortalama y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile Paris halen y\u00fcksek balon riski mega kent konumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, New York ve San Francisco\u2019nun gerek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda, gerekse de son 5 y\u0131l\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 olarak geride kalmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc. San Francisco son bir y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 5 fiyat gerilemesi ya\u015farken, en k\u00f6t\u00fc performansa sahip d\u00f6rt \u015fehir, son 5 y\u0131l\u0131n ortalamas\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 fiyat gerilemesi ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f olan Dubai ve y\u00fczde 1 ve alt\u0131nda fiyat gerilemesi ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f olan Londra, New York ve San Francisco.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"emlak-balonu-mu-talep-patlamasi-mi","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018Emlak balonu\u2019 mu, talep patlamas\u0131 m\u0131?","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1085,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":29329,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":29230,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u2018Emlak balonu\u2019 mu, talep patlamas\u0131 m\u0131?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sadece 2 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde bile \u2018uzaktan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma\u2019 format\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan oran\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte y\u00fczde 15\u2019ten, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkeler nezdinde y\u00fczde 25-30 band\u0131na y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda. Bu durum, konuta olan talebi h\u0131zla artt\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi evden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ko\u015fullar\u0131na daha uygun \u00f6zellikleri olan ve\/veya daha geni\u015f balkon veya k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de olsa bah\u00e7esi olan konut modellerine olan ilgiyi de katlam\u0131\u015f durumda. Mevcut k\u00fcresel pandemi ko\u015fullar\u0131nda, ABD\u2019de 4 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fandan birinin, y\u00fczde 26\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n evinden uzaktan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma format\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ortamda, ABD istihdam piyasas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip eden kurumlar, k\u00fcresel pandemi atlat\u0131lsa dahi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan kesiminin en az y\u00fczde 22\u2019sinin, yani 36.2 milyon \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n 2025\u2019te evden uzaktan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma format\u0131yla mesaisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>7 TR\u0130LYON DOLARLIK TASARRUF<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu durum, k\u00fcresel pandemi d\u00f6neminde, hane halk\u0131n\u0131n dayan\u0131ks\u0131z, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131na ve turizm gibi hizmet alanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nlendiremedikleri, IMF\u2019nin tahminine g\u00f6re, bilhassa geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde olmak \u00fczere, 7 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bir harcama tasarrufunun s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funu ve biriken bu kayna\u011f\u0131n \u015fimdi gayrimenkule y\u00f6neldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte, bu y\u00f6nelme, ayn\u0131 zamanda baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde gayrimenkul fiyatlar\u0131nda da ciddi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetiklemi\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, sadece son 1 y\u0131lda, ABD\u2019de konut fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fczde 19.8 artm\u0131\u015f ki; bu art\u0131\u015f t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda art\u0131\u015f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ve, ipote\u011fe dayal\u0131 gayrimenkul kredileri ayn\u0131 tempoyla artmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) da her ay 40 milyar dolar mortgage ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131 almay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Fed\u2019in bilan\u00e7osundaki mortgage ka\u011f\u0131d\u0131 portf\u00f6y\u00fc 2.5 trilyon dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>25 \u015eEHR\u0130N KONUT F\u0130YATLARI<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019nin d\u00fcnyaca me\u015fhur finans kurumu UBS\u2019in 5 Ekim tarihinde yay\u0131nlanm\u0131\u015f olan ve d\u00fcnyadaki 25 \u015fehrin konut fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alan \u2018Gayrimenkul Balon Endeksi 2021\u2019 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, Moskova, Stokholm, Sidney, Tokyo ve Kanada Vankuver\u2019de gayrimenkul fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ift haneli art\u0131\u015f yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Avrupa baz\u0131nda ise Frankfurt, M\u00fcnih, Amsterdam, Z\u00fcrih ve Paris \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Asya-Pasifik\u2019te fiyat balonu riskinde Tokyo orta derece riske gerilerken, iki haneli art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen Sidney\u2019in de orta risk ku\u015fa\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu bir noktada, Hong Kong\u2019un gayrimenkul fiyat\u0131nda y\u00fcksek balon riski ile \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 da ilgi \u00e7ekici. Oran olarak ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeyde artmasa da, Kanada\u2019da balon riski sinyali veren bir ba\u015fka \u015fehir de Toronto.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EN Y\u00dcKSEK F\u0130YAT ARTI\u015eI MOSKOVA\u2019DA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Moskova gerek enflasyon i\u00e7inde, gerekse de enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak en y\u00fcksek fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f olan \u015fehir konumunda. Y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerindeki fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen h\u00e2l\u00e2 fiyat balon riski d\u00fczeyi \u2018orta\u2019. Frankfurt ise s\u00f6z konusu 25 mega kent i\u00e7inde, son 5 y\u0131lda enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olarak, y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fczeyindeki fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile birincili\u011fe otururken, olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek bir balon riski ta\u015f\u0131yor. Son 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 performans\u0131 ile Frankfurt\u2019u Amsterdam ve Moskova takip ediyor. Son bir y\u0131ldaki fiyat gerilemesine ra\u011fmen son 5 y\u0131ldaki ortalama y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile Paris halen y\u00fcksek balon riski mega kent konumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, New York ve San Francisco\u2019nun gerek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda, gerekse de son 5 y\u0131l\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 olarak geride kalmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc. San Francisco son bir y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 5 fiyat gerilemesi ya\u015farken, en k\u00f6t\u00fc performansa sahip d\u00f6rt \u015fehir, son 5 y\u0131l\u0131n ortalamas\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 fiyat gerilemesi ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f olan Dubai ve y\u00fczde 1 ve alt\u0131nda fiyat gerilemesi ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f olan Londra, New York ve San Francisco.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"emlak-balonu-mu-talep-patlamasi-mi","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u2018Emlak balonu\u2019 mu, talep patlamas\u0131 m\u0131?","meta_description":"PROF. DR. 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