{"status":true,"post":{"id":51500,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2024-05-06 10:11:00","created_at":"2024-05-06T07:11:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-05-06T07:11:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":51500,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomiye g\u00fcven art\u0131yor mu, azal\u0131yor mu?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":"

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, nisan ay\u0131 ekonomik g\u00fcven endeks verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re; 2024 Mart ay\u0131nda 100 olan ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksi, nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1 oran\u0131nda azalarak 99\u2019a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

100 seviyesi son derece kritik bir seviyedir ve endeks 0-200 aras\u0131 de\u011fer alabilir. Endeks de\u011ferinin 100\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck olmas\u0131 genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin iyimserli\u011fi, 100\u2019den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olmas\u0131 genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin k\u00f6t\u00fcmserli\u011fi g\u00f6sterir. Bu durumda ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksinin 100\u2019den 99\u2019a d\u00fc\u015fmesi iyimserlikten karamsarl\u0131\u011fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f sinyali ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Peki, neden iyimserlikten karamsarl\u0131\u011fa bir ge\u00e7i\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131? Detaylara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksinin 120.4\u2019ten 117.1\u2019e, y\u00fczde 2.8 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fmesinin bu sonuca yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise farkl\u0131 sinyallerin geldi\u011fini g\u00f6zlemliyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YATIRIM \u0130\u015eTAHI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi 79.4\u2019ten 80.5 seviyesine y\u00fckselmekle beraber h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar b\u00f6lgededir. Reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi 103.5 seviyesinde de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermemi\u015f ve iyimser b\u00f6lgededir. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksinin karamsar b\u00f6lgeye ge\u00e7mesine neden olmakla beraber 120.4 seviyesinden 117.1 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 iyimser seviyededir. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi 113.3\u2019ten 115.5 seviyesine y\u00fckselerek iyimserli\u011fini peki\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi ise genelde oldu\u011fu gibi 88.6 seviyesinde de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalm\u0131\u015f ve karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ekonomiye g\u00fcven, gelecekte piyasan\u0131n daha da iyi olaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. Aksi halde yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yava\u015flar ve istenen b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flanamaz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Jeopolitik riskler nedeniyle global ekonomi h\u00e2l\u00e2 verimli bir serbest piyasa ekonomisine sahip de\u011fil. Bir taraftan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, di\u011fer taraftan jeopolitik risklerin devam etmesi hem istenilen ticaretin yap\u0131lmas\u0131na engel oluyor hem de maliyetlerin y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6NG\u00d6R\u00dcLEB\u0130L\u0130RL\u0130K VE \u0130ST\u0130KRAR<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ekonomiye g\u00fcvenin artmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik ve istikrar \u015fart. Ancak o zaman g\u00fcven endeksleri y\u00fckselebilir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131 artar. Gerek yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ilgisi gerekse rating kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131, gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik olumlu beklentileri a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ifade ediyor. Bu durum, ekonomiye g\u00fcveni olumlu etkileyen bir unsur.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6zellikle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda pozisyon al\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tavsiyeler olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli. Bu tavsiyelerle yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 giri\u015fi d\u00f6viz arz\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak ve kurlarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fabilecek. Bu durum hem kredi i\u00e7in kaynak giri\u015fini hem de birincil piyasada hisse senedi halka arzlar\u0131na talep gelmesini sa\u011flayacak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalara nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fu d\u00f6nemlerde b\u00f6yle bir beklentinin olu\u015fmas\u0131 bile son derece \u00f6nemli. Rakamlar yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n ufak ufak pozisyon ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden gelecekte ilginin devam edece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacak. Hele b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde revize edilirken.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ekonomiye-guven-artiyor-mu-azaliyor-mu","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1714942800GyiRyWeHADi8irL.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":5018,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":51626,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":51500,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomiye g\u00fcven art\u0131yor mu, azal\u0131yor mu?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"H\u0130KMET BAYDAR","content":"

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, nisan ay\u0131 ekonomik g\u00fcven endeks verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re; 2024 Mart ay\u0131nda 100 olan ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksi, nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1 oran\u0131nda azalarak 99\u2019a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

100 seviyesi son derece kritik bir seviyedir ve endeks 0-200 aras\u0131 de\u011fer alabilir. Endeks de\u011ferinin 100\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck olmas\u0131 genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin iyimserli\u011fi, 100\u2019den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olmas\u0131 genel ekonomik duruma ili\u015fkin k\u00f6t\u00fcmserli\u011fi g\u00f6sterir. Bu durumda ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksinin 100\u2019den 99\u2019a d\u00fc\u015fmesi iyimserlikten karamsarl\u0131\u011fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f sinyali ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Peki, neden iyimserlikten karamsarl\u0131\u011fa bir ge\u00e7i\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131? Detaylara bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksinin 120.4\u2019ten 117.1\u2019e, y\u00fczde 2.8 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fmesinin bu sonuca yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ise farkl\u0131 sinyallerin geldi\u011fini g\u00f6zlemliyoruz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

YATIRIM \u0130\u015eTAHI<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi 79.4\u2019ten 80.5 seviyesine y\u00fckselmekle beraber h\u00e2l\u00e2 karamsar b\u00f6lgededir. Reel kesim g\u00fcven endeksi 103.5 seviyesinde de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermemi\u015f ve iyimser b\u00f6lgededir. Hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, ekonomik g\u00fcven endeksinin karamsar b\u00f6lgeye ge\u00e7mesine neden olmakla beraber 120.4 seviyesinden 117.1 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f, ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 iyimser seviyededir. Perakende ticaret sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi 113.3\u2019ten 115.5 seviyesine y\u00fckselerek iyimserli\u011fini peki\u015ftirmi\u015ftir. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcven endeksi ise genelde oldu\u011fu gibi 88.6 seviyesinde de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalm\u0131\u015f ve karamsarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ekonomiye g\u00fcven, gelecekte piyasan\u0131n daha da iyi olaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. Aksi halde yat\u0131r\u0131mlar yava\u015flar ve istenen b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flanamaz.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Jeopolitik riskler nedeniyle global ekonomi h\u00e2l\u00e2 verimli bir serbest piyasa ekonomisine sahip de\u011fil. Bir taraftan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, di\u011fer taraftan jeopolitik risklerin devam etmesi hem istenilen ticaretin yap\u0131lmas\u0131na engel oluyor hem de maliyetlerin y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6NG\u00d6R\u00dcLEB\u0130L\u0130RL\u0130K VE \u0130ST\u0130KRAR<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Ekonomiye g\u00fcvenin artmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik ve istikrar \u015fart. Ancak o zaman g\u00fcven endeksleri y\u00fckselebilir ve yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131 artar. Gerek yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ilgisi gerekse rating kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131, gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik olumlu beklentileri a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ifade ediyor. Bu durum, ekonomiye g\u00fcveni olumlu etkileyen bir unsur.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6zellikle T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda pozisyon al\u0131nmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tavsiyeler olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli. Bu tavsiyelerle yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 giri\u015fi d\u00f6viz arz\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak ve kurlarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fabilecek. Bu durum hem kredi i\u00e7in kaynak giri\u015fini hem de birincil piyasada hisse senedi halka arzlar\u0131na talep gelmesini sa\u011flayacak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalara nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fu d\u00f6nemlerde b\u00f6yle bir beklentinin olu\u015fmas\u0131 bile son derece \u00f6nemli. Rakamlar yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n ufak ufak pozisyon ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden gelecekte ilginin devam edece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek pek de yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacak. Hele b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde revize edilirken.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ekonomiye-guven-artiyor-mu-azaliyor-mu","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1714942800GyiRyWeHADi8irL.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1714942800GyiRyWeHADi8irL.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":5018,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}