{"status":true,"post":{"id":66118,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":0,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2025-04-25 10:32:00","created_at":"2025-04-25T07:32:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2025-04-25T07:32:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2025-04-25 10:32:00","source_id":null,"post_id":66118,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonominin ger\u00e7ekleri ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":"Ekonominin ger\u00e7ekleri ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131","sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi son alt\u0131 haftad\u0131r zorlu bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7iyor. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n hen\u00fcz tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir kez daha \u015fahit olduk. \u0130\u00e7 siyasetteki geli\u015fmeler, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel belirsizliklerle birle\u015fince piyasalar sars\u0131ld\u0131. \u00a0Borsada y\u00fczde 10\u2019u a\u015fan kay\u0131plar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda ani dalgalanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 ise t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekorunu k\u0131rd\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>


<\/p>

Merkez Bankas\u0131 bu dalgay\u0131 durdurmak i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 50 milyar dolarl\u0131k rezerv kulland\u0131 ve gecelik faizleri art\u0131rd\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan, politika faizi olarak bilinen bir haftal\u0131k repo faizinde de art\u0131\u015fa gitti. Bu son ad\u0131m, zaten fiili olarak uygulanan fonlama maliyetini resmiyete d\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in piyasa faizleri \u00fczerinde ek bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe neden olmas\u0131 beklenmiyor. Ancak, politika faizindeki indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne ana planda olmayan bi\u00e7imde ara verilmi\u015f oldu. Bu hadiseler ya\u015fanmasayd\u0131 y\u00fczde 40\u2019a d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen politika faizi, \u015fimdi y\u00fczde 46 seviyesinde.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bir hafta \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla Merkez Bankas\u0131'n\u0131n ortalama fonlama faizinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik ya\u015fanmayacak olsa da alt\u0131 hafta \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re piyasa faizleri artt\u0131. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ticari kredi faizleri yakla\u015f\u0131k 5.5 puan y\u00fckseldi. Bu durum, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ertelemesine neden olabilir. Ekonomik faaliyetin yava\u015flama ihtimali, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini beraberinde getirebilir. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Yakla\u015f\u0131k iki y\u0131ld\u0131r devam eden ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirme ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n yeterli kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te bir kez daha g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olduk. Evet, para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve maliye politikas\u0131nda baz\u0131 tasarruf tedbirleri devreye al\u0131nd\u0131; ancak bunlar yeterli de\u011fil. T\u00fcrkiye'nin enflasyonu ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi yap\u0131sal politikalara da ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Piyasalarda adil rekabet ortam\u0131 sa\u011flamadan, tar\u0131mda \u00fcretim planlamas\u0131yla gen\u00e7lerin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde modern tar\u0131m tekniklerini etkin bi\u00e7imde b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015ftirmeden emek piyasas\u0131ndaki beceri uyumsuzlu\u011fu azaltmadan, y\u00fcksek teknolojili ihracat\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmadan, geleneksel sekt\u00f6rlerin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlamadan, finansal piyasalarda TL bazl\u0131 enstr\u00fcmanlar\u0131 cazip k\u0131lacak \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi ve likidite derinli\u011fi sa\u011flamadan, ticaret diplomasisine yeni boyutlar eklemeden ne makroekonomik istikrar\u0131 tesis etmek kolay olur ne de uzun erimli kalk\u0131nma hedeflerine ula\u015fmak. Ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda bu ba\u015fl\u0131klar yer almal\u0131. Para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 ise yard\u0131mc\u0131 akt\u00f6rler olmal\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bu alanlara y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 ad\u0131mlar at\u0131l\u0131yor elbette. \u00d6rne\u011fin, yerli ve milli teknoloji geli\u015fimini destekleyen HIT-30 te\u015fvikleri ya da KOSGEB\u2019in emek yo\u011fun sekt\u00f6rlere y\u00f6nelik destek programlar\u0131 gibi. Ancak bu politikalar, b\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl bir strateji ve kurumsal koordinasyon \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de\u011fil, par\u00e7al\u0131 bir yap\u0131da y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu da al\u0131nabilecek verimi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>","slug":"ekonominin-gercekleri-ve-ihtiyaclari","tags":null,"meta_title":"Ekonominin ger\u00e7ekleri ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131","meta_description":"T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi son alt\u0131 haftad\u0131r zorlu bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7iyor. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n hen\u00fcz tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir kez daha \u015fahit olduk. \u0130\u00e7 siyasetteki geli\u015fmeler, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel belirsizliklerle birle\u015fince piyasalar sars\u0131ld\u0131. Borsada y\u00fczde 10\u2019u a\u015fan kay\u0131plar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda ani dalgalanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 ise t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekorunu k\u0131rd\u0131.","meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1745528400dP9h7nOw2Q05W9J.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":0,"cropped_1200x675":"\/front\/uploads\/haber\/1200x675\/ekonominin-gercekleri-ve-ihtiyaclari_1200x675_cvoLfnByck.webp","user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":66251,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":66118,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonominin ger\u00e7ekleri ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131","home_title":"Ekonominin ger\u00e7ekleri ve ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131","sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi son alt\u0131 haftad\u0131r zorlu bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7iyor. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n hen\u00fcz tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir kez daha \u015fahit olduk. \u0130\u00e7 siyasetteki geli\u015fmeler, ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel belirsizliklerle birle\u015fince piyasalar sars\u0131ld\u0131. \u00a0Borsada y\u00fczde 10\u2019u a\u015fan kay\u0131plar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda ani dalgalanmalar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 ise t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n rekorunu k\u0131rd\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>


<\/p>

Merkez Bankas\u0131 bu dalgay\u0131 durdurmak i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 50 milyar dolarl\u0131k rezerv kulland\u0131 ve gecelik faizleri art\u0131rd\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan, politika faizi olarak bilinen bir haftal\u0131k repo faizinde de art\u0131\u015fa gitti. Bu son ad\u0131m, zaten fiili olarak uygulanan fonlama maliyetini resmiyete d\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in piyasa faizleri \u00fczerinde ek bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe neden olmas\u0131 beklenmiyor. Ancak, politika faizindeki indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne ana planda olmayan bi\u00e7imde ara verilmi\u015f oldu. Bu hadiseler ya\u015fanmasayd\u0131 y\u00fczde 40\u2019a d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen politika faizi, \u015fimdi y\u00fczde 46 seviyesinde.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bir hafta \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla Merkez Bankas\u0131'n\u0131n ortalama fonlama faizinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik ya\u015fanmayacak olsa da alt\u0131 hafta \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re piyasa faizleri artt\u0131. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ticari kredi faizleri yakla\u015f\u0131k 5.5 puan y\u00fckseldi. Bu durum, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ertelemesine neden olabilir. Ekonomik faaliyetin yava\u015flama ihtimali, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini beraberinde getirebilir. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Yakla\u015f\u0131k iki y\u0131ld\u0131r devam eden ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 normalle\u015ftirme ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n yeterli kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te bir kez daha g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olduk. Evet, para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve maliye politikas\u0131nda baz\u0131 tasarruf tedbirleri devreye al\u0131nd\u0131; ancak bunlar yeterli de\u011fil. T\u00fcrkiye'nin enflasyonu ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi yap\u0131sal politikalara da ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Piyasalarda adil rekabet ortam\u0131 sa\u011flamadan, tar\u0131mda \u00fcretim planlamas\u0131yla gen\u00e7lerin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde modern tar\u0131m tekniklerini etkin bi\u00e7imde b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015ftirmeden emek piyasas\u0131ndaki beceri uyumsuzlu\u011fu azaltmadan, y\u00fcksek teknolojili ihracat\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmadan, geleneksel sekt\u00f6rlerin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlamadan, finansal piyasalarda TL bazl\u0131 enstr\u00fcmanlar\u0131 cazip k\u0131lacak \u00fcr\u00fcn \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi ve likidite derinli\u011fi sa\u011flamadan, ticaret diplomasisine yeni boyutlar eklemeden ne makroekonomik istikrar\u0131 tesis etmek kolay olur ne de uzun erimli kalk\u0131nma hedeflerine ula\u015fmak. Ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda bu ba\u015fl\u0131klar yer almal\u0131. Para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 ise yard\u0131mc\u0131 akt\u00f6rler olmal\u0131.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bu alanlara y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 ad\u0131mlar at\u0131l\u0131yor elbette. \u00d6rne\u011fin, yerli ve milli teknoloji geli\u015fimini destekleyen HIT-30 te\u015fvikleri ya da KOSGEB\u2019in emek yo\u011fun sekt\u00f6rlere y\u00f6nelik destek programlar\u0131 gibi. Ancak bu politikalar, b\u00fct\u00fcnc\u00fcl bir strateji ve kurumsal koordinasyon \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de\u011fil, par\u00e7al\u0131 bir yap\u0131da y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu da al\u0131nabilecek verimi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>


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