{"status":true,"post":{"id":38812,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-04-10 08:18:00","created_at":"2023-04-10T05:18:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-04-10T05:18:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":38812,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomilerde denge aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p id=\"isPasted\" style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style=\"background-color: transparent; font-family: Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: var(--bs-body-font-weight); letter-spacing: 0.01rem;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde y\u00fcksek enflasyon devam ederken, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n sorgulanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7maya ba\u015flad\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan resesyon beklentileri azal\u0131rken, bankac\u0131l\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 toparlanman\u0131n uzamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de depremin \u015foku atlat\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi destekler ve geni\u015fletici \u00f6nlemler artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u015eirketler i\u00e7in ise bu ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde risk y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6nceli\u011fi art\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>1. Para politikalar\u0131 fiyat ve finansal istikrar\u0131 birlikte hedefleyecek<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli hedefi, y\u00fcksek enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almak, kademeli olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ve y\u00fczde 2 hedef seviyelerine getirmek olmaya devam ediyor. Merkez bankalar\u0131 bu ama\u00e7la faiz art\u0131r\u0131yor ve bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclt\u00fcyor. Ancak hen\u00fcz enflasyonda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Ayn\u0131 anda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6rlerinde de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Finansal istikrar da \u00f6nemli hale geldi. Merkez bankalar\u0131 finansal sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik likidite ve denetimleri art\u0131rarak finansal istikrar\u0131 da g\u00f6zetirken s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na devam edecek. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2. K\u00fcresel toparlanmada farkl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Uygulanan s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131 nedeniyle yeni y\u0131la resesyon endi\u015feleri ile girildi, ancak ocak ve \u015fubat aylar\u0131nda dipten d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f i\u015faretleri geldi. Mart ay\u0131nda ise sanayi ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6rlerinde b\u00f6lge ve \u00fclkelerde farkl\u0131 veriler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fayan ABD\u2019de sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zland\u0131. Tam a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ge\u00e7en \u00c7in de ise sanayide daralma ya\u015fand\u0131. ASEAN b\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, Japonya\u2019da daralma azald\u0131. Hindistan\u2019da h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fand\u0131. Almanya\u2019da yeniden yava\u015flama oldu. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerde kal\u0131c\u0131 ve istikrarl\u0131 bir toparlanma hen\u00fcz ba\u015flamad\u0131. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>3. OPEC s\u00fcrprizi, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f, enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleyi zorla\u015ft\u0131racak<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Enerji ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 k\u00fcresel enflasyon ile m\u00fccadelede \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge olmaya devam ediyor. Enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme ve istikrar ihtiyac\u0131 bulunuyor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131, mart ay\u0131ndaki bankac\u0131l\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ve toparlanman\u0131n zamana yay\u0131lacak olmas\u0131 beklentileriyle \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geriledi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Ancak ay sonunda OPEC+ \u00fclkeleri, Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde \u00fcretimi k\u0131sma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 da yeniden y\u00fckseldi. OPEC+ \u00fclkelerinin karar\u0131, en \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek enflasyon ile m\u00fccadele eden ABD ve Avrupa \u00fclkelerini zorlayacak. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>4. Depremin ekonomik etkileri netle\u015fti\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>T.C. Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapor ile deprem afetinin ekonomiye olan maliyetini 103.9 milyar dolar olarak hesaplad\u0131. Bu maliyet i\u00e7inde fiziki kay\u0131plar, \u00fcretim kay\u0131plar\u0131 ve yeniden imar harcamalar\u0131 bulunuyor. Deprem maliyetlerinin kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 kamu \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli bir ilave y\u00fck getirdi. Kamuya ilave y\u00fck 1.3 trilyon TL olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fck\u00fcn kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131nda esas etki, se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclecek. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir ilave b\u00fct\u00e7eye ihtiya\u00e7 duyulurken, y\u00fcksek yeni kaynak ve finansman ihtiyac\u0131 da kamu bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak ve ilave harcamalar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde enflasyonu da y\u00fckseltecek. \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>5. Se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi d\u00fczenlemeler art\u0131yor\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>14 May\u0131s\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck d\u00fczenlemeler h\u0131z kazand\u0131. Emeklilikte ya\u015fa tak\u0131lanlar d\u00fczenlemesi en kapsaml\u0131 hali ile yasala\u015ft\u0131. En d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck emeklilik maa\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fckseltildi. Muhtemelen di\u011fer emekli maa\u015flar\u0131 da art\u0131r\u0131lacak. Ta\u015feronlara kadrolar verildi. Kamu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 ile yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde y\u00fcksek bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu olacak. Temmuz ay\u0131nda asgari \u00fccrete yeni bir art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lacak. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fanlara ve emeklilere y\u00f6nelik \u00fccret iyile\u015ftirmeleri refah a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan uygun, ancak art\u0131\u015flar kamuya giderek artan y\u00fckler getirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Se\u00e7imden sonra kamu maliyesinde radikal iyile\u015ftirme ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 olacak. \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>6. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda kontroll\u00fc art\u0131\u015flar\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Ekonomi modelindeki lirala\u015fma hedefi ile uygulanan \u00e7ok say\u0131da d\u00fczenleme sonucu d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 veya T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri kontroll\u00fc olarak belirlenir hale geldi. TL\u2019nin de\u011feri piyasalarda ger\u00e7ek arz ve talebe g\u00f6re belirlenmiyor. Son d\u00f6nemde kamu eliyle kurlarda kontroll\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f sa\u011flan\u0131yor. Se\u00e7imlere kadar kurlarda s\u0131\u00e7rama engellenirken, de\u011ferli TL bask\u0131s\u0131 da hafifletilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Ancak TL\u2019nin adil de\u011ferine ili\u015fkin tahminler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisi var ve kontroll\u00fc kur art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da bunu engelleyemeyecek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>SON S\u00d6Z:<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0D\u0131\u015far\u0131da ve i\u00e7eride ya\u015fanan ekonomik geli\u015fmeler \u015firketler i\u00e7in likidite, fiyat, kur, faiz riskleri y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6nemini daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ekonomilerde-denge-arayislari-suruyor","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1346,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":38938,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":38812,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomilerde denge aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"<p id=\"isPasted\" style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style=\"background-color: transparent; font-family: Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: var(--bs-body-font-weight); letter-spacing: 0.01rem;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde y\u00fcksek enflasyon devam ederken, bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131n\u0131n sorgulanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7maya ba\u015flad\u0131. Di\u011fer yandan resesyon beklentileri azal\u0131rken, bankac\u0131l\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 toparlanman\u0131n uzamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de depremin \u015foku atlat\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi destekler ve geni\u015fletici \u00f6nlemler artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u015eirketler i\u00e7in ise bu ko\u015fullar i\u00e7inde risk y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6nceli\u011fi art\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>1. Para politikalar\u0131 fiyat ve finansal istikrar\u0131 birlikte hedefleyecek<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda en \u00f6nemli hedefi, y\u00fcksek enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almak, kademeli olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ve y\u00fczde 2 hedef seviyelerine getirmek olmaya devam ediyor. Merkez bankalar\u0131 bu ama\u00e7la faiz art\u0131r\u0131yor ve bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclt\u00fcyor. Ancak hen\u00fcz enflasyonda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Ayn\u0131 anda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ile bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6rlerinde de s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Finansal istikrar da \u00f6nemli hale geldi. Merkez bankalar\u0131 finansal sekt\u00f6re y\u00f6nelik likidite ve denetimleri art\u0131rarak finansal istikrar\u0131 da g\u00f6zetirken s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ve faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na devam edecek. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>2. K\u00fcresel toparlanmada farkl\u0131 geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Uygulanan s\u0131k\u0131 para politikalar\u0131 nedeniyle yeni y\u0131la resesyon endi\u015feleri ile girildi, ancak ocak ve \u015fubat aylar\u0131nda dipten d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f i\u015faretleri geldi. Mart ay\u0131nda ise sanayi ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6rlerinde b\u00f6lge ve \u00fclkelerde farkl\u0131 veriler ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fayan ABD\u2019de sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zland\u0131. Tam a\u00e7\u0131lmaya ge\u00e7en \u00c7in de ise sanayide daralma ya\u015fand\u0131. ASEAN b\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcrken, Japonya\u2019da daralma azald\u0131. Hindistan\u2019da h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fand\u0131. Almanya\u2019da yeniden yava\u015flama oldu. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u0130ktisadi faaliyetlerde kal\u0131c\u0131 ve istikrarl\u0131 bir toparlanma hen\u00fcz ba\u015flamad\u0131. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>3. OPEC s\u00fcrprizi, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f, enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleyi zorla\u015ft\u0131racak<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Enerji ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 k\u00fcresel enflasyon ile m\u00fccadelede \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6sterge olmaya devam ediyor. Enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme ve istikrar ihtiyac\u0131 bulunuyor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131, mart ay\u0131ndaki bankac\u0131l\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ve toparlanman\u0131n zamana yay\u0131lacak olmas\u0131 beklentileriyle \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geriledi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Ancak ay sonunda OPEC+ \u00fclkeleri, Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde \u00fcretimi k\u0131sma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 da yeniden y\u00fckseldi. OPEC+ \u00fclkelerinin karar\u0131, en \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek enflasyon ile m\u00fccadele eden ABD ve Avrupa \u00fclkelerini zorlayacak. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>4. Depremin ekonomik etkileri netle\u015fti\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>T.C. Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Strateji ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapor ile deprem afetinin ekonomiye olan maliyetini 103.9 milyar dolar olarak hesaplad\u0131. Bu maliyet i\u00e7inde fiziki kay\u0131plar, \u00fcretim kay\u0131plar\u0131 ve yeniden imar harcamalar\u0131 bulunuyor. Deprem maliyetlerinin kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 kamu \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli bir ilave y\u00fck getirdi. Kamuya ilave y\u00fck 1.3 trilyon TL olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fck\u00fcn kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131nda esas etki, se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclecek. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir ilave b\u00fct\u00e7eye ihtiya\u00e7 duyulurken, y\u00fcksek yeni kaynak ve finansman ihtiyac\u0131 da kamu bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak ve ilave harcamalar b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde enflasyonu da y\u00fckseltecek. \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>5. Se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesi d\u00fczenlemeler art\u0131yor\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>14 May\u0131s\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde ekonomiye d\u00f6n\u00fck d\u00fczenlemeler h\u0131z kazand\u0131. Emeklilikte ya\u015fa tak\u0131lanlar d\u00fczenlemesi en kapsaml\u0131 hali ile yasala\u015ft\u0131. En d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck emeklilik maa\u015flar\u0131 y\u00fckseltildi. Muhtemelen di\u011fer emekli maa\u015flar\u0131 da art\u0131r\u0131lacak. Ta\u015feronlara kadrolar verildi. Kamu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 ile yap\u0131lan s\u00f6zle\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde y\u00fcksek bir art\u0131\u015f s\u00f6z konusu olacak. Temmuz ay\u0131nda asgari \u00fccrete yeni bir art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lacak. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fanlara ve emeklilere y\u00f6nelik \u00fccret iyile\u015ftirmeleri refah a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan uygun, ancak art\u0131\u015flar kamuya giderek artan y\u00fckler getirmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Se\u00e7imden sonra kamu maliyesinde radikal iyile\u015ftirme ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 olacak. \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>6. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda kontroll\u00fc art\u0131\u015flar\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>Ekonomi modelindeki lirala\u015fma hedefi ile uygulanan \u00e7ok say\u0131da d\u00fczenleme sonucu d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 veya T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011feri kontroll\u00fc olarak belirlenir hale geldi. TL\u2019nin de\u011feri piyasalarda ger\u00e7ek arz ve talebe g\u00f6re belirlenmiyor. Son d\u00f6nemde kamu eliyle kurlarda kontroll\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f sa\u011flan\u0131yor. Se\u00e7imlere kadar kurlarda s\u0131\u00e7rama engellenirken, de\u011ferli TL bask\u0131s\u0131 da hafifletilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Ancak TL\u2019nin adil de\u011ferine ili\u015fkin tahminler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisi var ve kontroll\u00fc kur art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da bunu engelleyemeyecek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:.0001pt;margin-left:0cm;line-height:normal;font-size:15px;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;'><strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>SON S\u00d6Z:<\/span><\/strong><span style='font-size:16px;font-family:\"Helvetica\",sans-serif;'>\u00a0D\u0131\u015far\u0131da ve i\u00e7eride ya\u015fanan ekonomik geli\u015fmeler \u015firketler i\u00e7in likidite, fiyat, kur, faiz riskleri y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6nemini daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"ekonomilerde-denge-arayislari-suruyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1346,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}