{"status":true,"post":{"id":40706,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-06-12 08:37:00","created_at":"2023-06-12T05:37:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-06-12T05:37:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":40706,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f nas\u0131l olacak","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"

<\/strong>
<\/strong><\/p>

gurlesel@superonline.com<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 yeni d\u00f6nemde ekonomide politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi olacak. Yeni ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, bu politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini ekonomide rasyonel zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olarak tarif etti. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f nas\u0131l olacak ve i\u015flerimize etkileri neler olacak, de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

1. EKONOM\u0130DE RASYONEL ZEM\u0130NE D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren yeni bir ekonomi modeli uygulanmaya konmu\u015f ve ekonomide lirala\u015fma hedeflenmi\u015fti. Bu model i\u00e7inde faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde negatif alana \u00e7ekilmi\u015f, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda tutulmu\u015f, kredi ve d\u00f6viz i\u015flemlerinde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler ile k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar getirilmi\u015fti. Yeni modelin 1.5 y\u0131ll\u0131k uygulamas\u0131 sonucunda d\u0131\u015f denge ve d\u00f6viz dengesi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez bir noktaya gelmi\u015fti. Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervleri erimi\u015f ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanma olanaklar\u0131 da en aza inmi\u015fti.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Enflasyon y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, \u00e7oklu d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 olu\u015fmu\u015f ve d\u00f6viz talepleri de kar\u015f\u0131lanamaz hale gelmi\u015fti. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, bu modelin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyatlama dengesizliklerini ortadan kald\u0131rmaya ve uluslararas\u0131 iktisadi normlara geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f kademeli olarak sonu\u00e7 verebilecek.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

2. AC\u0130L \u00d6NCEL\u0130K D\u00d6V\u0130Z DENGES\u0130N\u0130N SA\u011eLANMASI<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn acil \u00f6nceli\u011fi d\u00f6viz dengesinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 olacak. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131k veriyor ve gelinen seviyede a\u00e7\u0131k s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n finansman\u0131nda da t\u0131kanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu nedenle ekonomide ilk \u00f6ncelik, d\u00f6viz dengesinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 olmal\u0131. D\u0131\u015f dengenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda temel ara\u00e7 ise TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 olacak. TL, lirala\u015fma modeli i\u00e7inde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kazand\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlarken, ithalat\u0131 \u00f6zendirdi. Bu nedenle TL \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 yaratan k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fczenlemelerin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve TL\u2019nin ger\u00e7ek de\u011ferine kavu\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin risk primini de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek ve b\u00f6ylece sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f finansman olanaklar\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flayacak. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

3. MERKEZ BANKASI FA\u0130Z VE KUR POL\u0130T\u0130KASI DE\u011e\u0130\u015eMEL\u0130<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ana politika arac\u0131, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz ve kur politikas\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim olmal\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizi en az\u0131ndan beklenen enflasyonu dikkate alan bir seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmal\u0131. Piyasa faizleri zaten b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde rasyonel seviyelere geldi. Merkez Bankas\u0131 da ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir reel faiz politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7meli. D\u00f6viz kuru politikas\u0131nda da Merkez Bankas\u0131, TL\u2019nin piyasalarda serbest\u00e7e belirlenmesine izin vermeli. Bunun ara\u00e7lar\u0131 da kur korumal\u0131 mevduat, \u015firketlerin ihracat gelirlerini bozdurma zorunlulu\u011fu, \u015firketlerin krediye eri\u015fiminde getirilen d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar\u0131n\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olmal\u0131. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

4. MERKEZ BANKASI D\u00d6V\u0130Z REZERVLER\u0130 ARTIRILMALI\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Merkez Bankas\u0131 net d\u00f6viz rezervleri, 2001 krizinden bu yana ilk kez negatif oldu ve ciddi bir d\u00f6viz krizi i\u015faretleri vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Lirala\u015fma politikas\u0131 ile TL\u2019nin de\u011ferinin korumas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik politika uygulamalar\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir erime ya\u015fatt\u0131. 26 May\u0131s haftas\u0131nda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kendine ait rezervleri yans\u0131tan net rezerv b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc -4.4 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yine Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n swap i\u015flemleri ile elde edilen d\u00f6viz y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri de \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda net rezervi -60.5 milyar dolard\u0131r. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir di\u011fer hedefi, Merkez Bankas\u0131 rezervlerinin h\u0131zla art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olmal\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemindeki d\u00f6viz tevdiat hesaplar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler kald\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. \u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

5. EKONOM\u0130 SO\u011eUTULACAK VE \u0130\u015eLER YAVA\u015eLAYACAK\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ana hedeflerinden biri de d\u0131\u015f dengenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ekonominin so\u011futulmas\u0131 olacak. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizler ve de\u011ferli TL, \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar, kredi politikas\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma, kamu harcamalar\u0131nda tasarruf ve TL\u2019nin ger\u00e7ek de\u011ferine ula\u015fmas\u0131 ile i\u00e7 talep s\u0131n\u0131rlanacak. \u0130\u00e7 talepteki s\u0131n\u0131rlama d\u0131\u015f dengeyi sa\u011flarken iktisadi faaliyetlerin de yava\u015flamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak. Ancak muhtemelen se\u00e7ici kredi politikas\u0131 devam edecek ve ihracat ile yat\u0131r\u0131mlar desteklenecek. Yeni d\u00f6nemde ekonomideki itici g\u00fc\u00e7 ihracat ve se\u00e7ici yat\u0131r\u0131mlar olacak.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

SON S\u00d6Z\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

Ekonomide yeni bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u015eirketler olarak ekonomide rasyonel zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yak\u0131ndan izlemeli ve uyum sa\u011flamal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>","slug":"ekonomide-rasyonel-zemine-donus-nasil-olacak","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1686517200bXYFZeQMjLZvlV2.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1601,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":40832,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":40706,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f nas\u0131l olacak","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"DR. CAN G\u00dcRLESEL","content":"

<\/strong>
<\/strong><\/p>

gurlesel@superonline.com<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131 yeni d\u00f6nemde ekonomide politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi olacak. Yeni ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, bu politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini ekonomide rasyonel zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olarak tarif etti. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f nas\u0131l olacak ve i\u015flerimize etkileri neler olacak, de\u011ferlendirelim.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

1. EKONOM\u0130DE RASYONEL ZEM\u0130NE D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren yeni bir ekonomi modeli uygulanmaya konmu\u015f ve ekonomide lirala\u015fma hedeflenmi\u015fti. Bu model i\u00e7inde faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde negatif alana \u00e7ekilmi\u015f, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda tutulmu\u015f, kredi ve d\u00f6viz i\u015flemlerinde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler ile k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar getirilmi\u015fti. Yeni modelin 1.5 y\u0131ll\u0131k uygulamas\u0131 sonucunda d\u0131\u015f denge ve d\u00f6viz dengesi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez bir noktaya gelmi\u015fti. Merkez Bankas\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervleri erimi\u015f ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanma olanaklar\u0131 da en aza inmi\u015fti.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Enflasyon y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rken, \u00e7oklu d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 olu\u015fmu\u015f ve d\u00f6viz talepleri de kar\u015f\u0131lanamaz hale gelmi\u015fti. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, bu modelin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyatlama dengesizliklerini ortadan kald\u0131rmaya ve uluslararas\u0131 iktisadi normlara geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f kademeli olarak sonu\u00e7 verebilecek.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

2. AC\u0130L \u00d6NCEL\u0130K D\u00d6V\u0130Z DENGES\u0130N\u0130N SA\u011eLANMASI<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn acil \u00f6nceli\u011fi d\u00f6viz dengesinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 olacak. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131k veriyor ve gelinen seviyede a\u00e7\u0131k s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n finansman\u0131nda da t\u0131kanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu nedenle ekonomide ilk \u00f6ncelik, d\u00f6viz dengesinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 olmal\u0131. D\u0131\u015f dengenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda temel ara\u00e7 ise TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 olacak. TL, lirala\u015fma modeli i\u00e7inde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kazand\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlarken, ithalat\u0131 \u00f6zendirdi. Bu nedenle TL \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 yaratan k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fczenlemelerin kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve TL\u2019nin ger\u00e7ek de\u011ferine kavu\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin risk primini de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek ve b\u00f6ylece sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f finansman olanaklar\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flayacak. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

3. MERKEZ BANKASI FA\u0130Z VE KUR POL\u0130T\u0130KASI DE\u011e\u0130\u015eMEL\u0130<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ana politika arac\u0131, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz ve kur politikas\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim olmal\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizi en az\u0131ndan beklenen enflasyonu dikkate alan bir seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmal\u0131. Piyasa faizleri zaten b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde rasyonel seviyelere geldi. Merkez Bankas\u0131 da ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir reel faiz politikas\u0131na ge\u00e7meli. D\u00f6viz kuru politikas\u0131nda da Merkez Bankas\u0131, TL\u2019nin piyasalarda serbest\u00e7e belirlenmesine izin vermeli. Bunun ara\u00e7lar\u0131 da kur korumal\u0131 mevduat, \u015firketlerin ihracat gelirlerini bozdurma zorunlulu\u011fu, \u015firketlerin krediye eri\u015fiminde getirilen d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar\u0131n\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olmal\u0131. \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

4. MERKEZ BANKASI D\u00d6V\u0130Z REZERVLER\u0130 ARTIRILMALI\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Merkez Bankas\u0131 net d\u00f6viz rezervleri, 2001 krizinden bu yana ilk kez negatif oldu ve ciddi bir d\u00f6viz krizi i\u015faretleri vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Lirala\u015fma politikas\u0131 ile TL\u2019nin de\u011ferinin korumas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik politika uygulamalar\u0131 d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir erime ya\u015fatt\u0131. 26 May\u0131s haftas\u0131nda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kendine ait rezervleri yans\u0131tan net rezerv b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc -4.4 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yine Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n swap i\u015flemleri ile elde edilen d\u00f6viz y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri de \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda net rezervi -60.5 milyar dolard\u0131r. Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir di\u011fer hedefi, Merkez Bankas\u0131 rezervlerinin h\u0131zla art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olmal\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede bankac\u0131l\u0131k sistemindeki d\u00f6viz tevdiat hesaplar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeler kald\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. \u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

5. EKONOM\u0130 SO\u011eUTULACAK VE \u0130\u015eLER YAVA\u015eLAYACAK\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Ekonomide rasyonel zemine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ana hedeflerinden biri de d\u0131\u015f dengenin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ekonominin so\u011futulmas\u0131 olacak. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizler ve de\u011ferli TL, \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Faiz oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flar, kredi politikas\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma, kamu harcamalar\u0131nda tasarruf ve TL\u2019nin ger\u00e7ek de\u011ferine ula\u015fmas\u0131 ile i\u00e7 talep s\u0131n\u0131rlanacak. \u0130\u00e7 talepteki s\u0131n\u0131rlama d\u0131\u015f dengeyi sa\u011flarken iktisadi faaliyetlerin de yava\u015flamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak. Ancak muhtemelen se\u00e7ici kredi politikas\u0131 devam edecek ve ihracat ile yat\u0131r\u0131mlar desteklenecek. Yeni d\u00f6nemde ekonomideki itici g\u00fc\u00e7 ihracat ve se\u00e7ici yat\u0131r\u0131mlar olacak.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

SON S\u00d6Z\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

Ekonomide yeni bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u015eirketler olarak ekonomide rasyonel zemine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yak\u0131ndan izlemeli ve uyum sa\u011flamal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>","slug":"ekonomide-rasyonel-zemine-donus-nasil-olacak","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1686517200bXYFZeQMjLZvlV2.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1686517200bXYFZeQMjLZvlV2.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1601,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}