{"status":true,"post":{"id":16055,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 10:03:42","created_at":"2017-03-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T07:03:42.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":16055,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomide geli\u015fmeler ve beklentiler","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

D\u00fcnyada ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulamalar\u0131 izlenirken T\u00fcrkiye de giderek referandum s\u00fcrecine giriyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede en son ekonomik geli\u015fmeleri ve de\u011ferlendirmeleri payla\u015fal\u0131m\u2026 <\/span><\/p>

1. D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 VE T\u0130CARET\u0130NDE GEL\u0130\u015eMELER; 2017 YILI \u0130Y\u0130 BA\u015eLADI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2015 ve 2016 y\u0131llar\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flam\u0131\u015f, d\u00fcnya ticareti gerilemi\u015fti. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticaret taraf\u0131 daha iyi ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi i\u015faret ediyor. Sanayi ve hizmet PMI\u2019lar\u0131 son y\u0131llar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinde de ihracat sipari\u015fleri ve konteyner \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 art\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

2. ABD VE D\u00dcNYA TRUMP POL\u0130T\u0130KALARINI END\u0130\u015eE \u0130LE \u0130ZL\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019de yeni y\u00f6netimin politikalar\u0131 hem ABD\u2019de hem de d\u00fcnyada endi\u015fe ile izleniyor. Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6zellikle d\u0131\u015f politika ve ticaret politikalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olu\u015fturabilecek. Vergi reformu da merakla bekleniyor. Bununla birlikte ABD\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi halen korunuyor. Ancak vergi reformu beklentileri kar\u015f\u0131lamazsa s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olabilir.<\/span><\/p>

3. ABD MERKEZ BANKASI FED MART AYINDA FA\u0130Z ARTIRAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump politikalar\u0131 ve riskleri bir yana ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in izledi\u011fi g\u00f6stergelerdeki geli\u015fmeler faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131yor. \u0130stihdam, konut ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, perakende sat\u0131\u015flar, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon verilerindeki ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeler Fed hedeflerine ula\u015f\u0131yor. Bu nedenle Fed mart ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rabilecek. Faiz art\u0131\u015f beklentisi ile dolar di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc konumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>

4. AVRUPA B\u0130RL\u0130\u011e\u0130 KR\u0130T\u0130K B\u0130R MART AYI GE\u00c7\u0130RECEK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Avrupa Birli\u011fi kurulu\u015funun 60. y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 kutlayaca\u011f\u0131 24 Mart tarihinde Roma\u2019da h\u00fck\u00fcmetler aras\u0131 zirvede bir araya gelecek. Zirvede AB\u2019nin gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin haz\u0131rlanan \u201cWhite Paper\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Ayn\u0131 zamanda B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f y\u00f6ntemi de sunulacak. Mart ay\u0131nda Hollanda\u2019da yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da Birlik i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olacak. 23 Nisan Fransa se\u00e7imleri de b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede AB, gelece\u011fini \u015fekillendirece\u011fi \u00f6nemli bir aya giriyor. <\/span><\/p>

5. GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELER \u00dcZER\u0130NDE K\u00dcRESEL MAL\u0130 BASKILAR AZALDI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2015 ve 2016 y\u0131llar\u0131nda geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler \u00fczerinde k\u00fcresel mali piyasalardan yo\u011fun bir bask\u0131 ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve para birimlerinde de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131 olu\u015fmu\u015ftu. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler i\u00e7inde \u00f6zellikle enerji ve emtia ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in beklentiler iyile\u015fiyor. <\/span><\/p>

6. YAKIN VE KOM\u015eU PAZARLARDA EKONOM\u0130LER TOPARLANIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015flar gelirleri b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin ihracat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerde ekonomilerin ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin toparlanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu ihracat pazarlar\u0131m\u0131zda i\u015fler daha iyi olacak.<\/span><\/p>

7. ANAYASA REFERANDUMUNA KADAR \u0130\u015eLERDE BEKLE-G\u00d6R D\u00d6NEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Referanduma kadar olan d\u00f6nemde iktisadi faaliyetlerde dura\u011fanl\u0131k olacak. Hane halklar\u0131 ve ekonomik akt\u00f6rler referanduma kadar olan d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda acele etmeyecek. \u00d6zellikle i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 destekler ve kampanyalar s\u00fcr\u00fckleyecek. <\/span><\/p>

8. REEL KES\u0130M\u0130N BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 TOPARLANIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda geriledi. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ko\u015fullar, belirsizlik, y\u00fcksek i\u015fsizlik ve y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenini olumsuz etkiliyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n reel kesim beklentileri ise iyile\u015fiyor. Reel kesim daha iyimser bir beklenti i\u00e7inde.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Mali piyasalar d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki geli\u015fmeleri olduk\u00e7a sakin izliyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-gelismeler-ve-beklentiler","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide geli\u015fmeler ve beklentiler","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":89,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":16154,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":16055,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomide geli\u015fmeler ve beklentiler","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

D\u00fcnyada ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulamalar\u0131 izlenirken T\u00fcrkiye de giderek referandum s\u00fcrecine giriyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede en son ekonomik geli\u015fmeleri ve de\u011ferlendirmeleri payla\u015fal\u0131m\u2026 <\/span><\/p>

1. D\u00dcNYA EKONOM\u0130S\u0130 VE T\u0130CARET\u0130NDE GEL\u0130\u015eMELER; 2017 YILI \u0130Y\u0130 BA\u015eLADI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2015 ve 2016 y\u0131llar\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flam\u0131\u015f, d\u00fcnya ticareti gerilemi\u015fti. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ticaret taraf\u0131 daha iyi ba\u015flad\u0131. \u00d6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeler daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi i\u015faret ediyor. Sanayi ve hizmet PMI\u2019lar\u0131 son y\u0131llar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131. D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinde de ihracat sipari\u015fleri ve konteyner \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 art\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

2. ABD VE D\u00dcNYA TRUMP POL\u0130T\u0130KALARINI END\u0130\u015eE \u0130LE \u0130ZL\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

ABD\u2019de yeni y\u00f6netimin politikalar\u0131 hem ABD\u2019de hem de d\u00fcnyada endi\u015fe ile izleniyor. Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6zellikle d\u0131\u015f politika ve ticaret politikalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olu\u015fturabilecek. Vergi reformu da merakla bekleniyor. Bununla birlikte ABD\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi halen korunuyor. Ancak vergi reformu beklentileri kar\u015f\u0131lamazsa s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olabilir.<\/span><\/p>

3. ABD MERKEZ BANKASI FED MART AYINDA FA\u0130Z ARTIRAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Trump politikalar\u0131 ve riskleri bir yana ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in izledi\u011fi g\u00f6stergelerdeki geli\u015fmeler faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131yor. \u0130stihdam, konut ve in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, perakende sat\u0131\u015flar, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon verilerindeki ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeler Fed hedeflerine ula\u015f\u0131yor. Bu nedenle Fed mart ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rabilecek. Faiz art\u0131\u015f beklentisi ile dolar di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc konumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>

4. AVRUPA B\u0130RL\u0130\u011e\u0130 KR\u0130T\u0130K B\u0130R MART AYI GE\u00c7\u0130RECEK<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Avrupa Birli\u011fi kurulu\u015funun 60. y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 kutlayaca\u011f\u0131 24 Mart tarihinde Roma\u2019da h\u00fck\u00fcmetler aras\u0131 zirvede bir araya gelecek. Zirvede AB\u2019nin gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin haz\u0131rlanan \u201cWhite Paper\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Ayn\u0131 zamanda B\u00fcy\u00fck Britanya\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f y\u00f6ntemi de sunulacak. Mart ay\u0131nda Hollanda\u2019da yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da Birlik i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olacak. 23 Nisan Fransa se\u00e7imleri de b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede AB, gelece\u011fini \u015fekillendirece\u011fi \u00f6nemli bir aya giriyor. <\/span><\/p>

5. GEL\u0130\u015eEN \u00dcLKELER \u00dcZER\u0130NDE K\u00dcRESEL MAL\u0130 BASKILAR AZALDI <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2015 ve 2016 y\u0131llar\u0131nda geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler \u00fczerinde k\u00fcresel mali piyasalardan yo\u011fun bir bask\u0131 ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve para birimlerinde de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131 olu\u015fmu\u015ftu. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler i\u00e7inde \u00f6zellikle enerji ve emtia ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in beklentiler iyile\u015fiyor. <\/span><\/p>

6. YAKIN VE KOM\u015eU PAZARLARDA EKONOM\u0130LER TOPARLANIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Petrol ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015flar gelirleri b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin ihracat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerde ekonomilerin ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin toparlanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda yak\u0131n ve kom\u015fu ihracat pazarlar\u0131m\u0131zda i\u015fler daha iyi olacak.<\/span><\/p>

7. ANAYASA REFERANDUMUNA KADAR \u0130\u015eLERDE BEKLE-G\u00d6R D\u00d6NEM\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Referanduma kadar olan d\u00f6nemde iktisadi faaliyetlerde dura\u011fanl\u0131k olacak. Hane halklar\u0131 ve ekonomik akt\u00f6rler referanduma kadar olan d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda acele etmeyecek. \u00d6zellikle i\u00e7 piyasay\u0131 destekler ve kampanyalar s\u00fcr\u00fckleyecek. <\/span><\/p>

8. REEL KES\u0130M\u0130N BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130 TOPARLANIYOR<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni yeni y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda geriledi. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ko\u015fullar, belirsizlik, y\u00fcksek i\u015fsizlik ve y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenini olumsuz etkiliyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n reel kesim beklentileri ise iyile\u015fiyor. Reel kesim daha iyimser bir beklenti i\u00e7inde.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Mali piyasalar d\u00fcnya ve T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki geli\u015fmeleri olduk\u00e7a sakin izliyor.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-gelismeler-ve-beklentiler","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide geli\u015fmeler ve beklentiler","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":89,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}