{"status":true,"post":{"id":18697,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:16:11","created_at":"2018-07-08T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:16:11.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":18697,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomide ge\u00e7 kalmayal\u0131m","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde iktisadi faaliyetler yava\u015flarken, bir\u00e7ok ekonomik g\u00f6stergedeki bozulma da devam etti. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ekonomide bir an \u00f6nce gerekli politikalar\u0131 uygulayarak hem istikrar\u0131 yeniden sa\u011flamal\u0131 hem de s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in gerekli ko\u015fullar\u0131 olu\u015fturmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>

1 - Sanayi faaliyetleri <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en \u00f6nemli unsuru olan sanayi faaliyetlerini \u00f6l\u00e7en PMI verisi, haziranda 46.8 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki ivme kayb\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Bu gerileme, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde talep taraf\u0131ndaki daralmadan ve olumsuz mali piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. Hem i\u00e7 hem de d\u0131\u015f kaynaklardan al\u0131nan yeni sipari\u015flerdeki yava\u015flama ivme kayb\u0131nda etkili oldu. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00fcretim ikinci \u00e7eyrekte ivme kaybetti. Fiyat cephesinde ise d\u00f6viz kuru geli\u015fmelerinin etkisiyle artan maliyet y\u00fckleri imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn girdi maliyetlerinde y\u00fcksek oranl\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa neden oldu. Sanayi kesimi faaliyetlerinde hem ivme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor hem de mali yap\u0131lar zorlan\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

2 - \u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131nda ihracat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5 artarak 12.6 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. B\u00f6ylelikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ihracat y\u00fczde 7.4 art\u0131\u015fla 81.9 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Ancak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda aylar itibariyle ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek ba\u015flad\u0131, may\u0131s ve haziran aylar\u0131nda ise ivme kaybetti. May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 12.2 olurken, art\u0131\u015f haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5.0\u2019a kadar geriledi. Bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 haziran ay\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da ivme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mali g\u00f6stergelerdeki bozulmalar ile d\u0131\u015f talepteki yava\u015flama ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flat\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

3 - \u0130\u00e7 talepte yava\u015flama <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

May\u0131s ve haziran aylar\u0131nda perakende sat\u0131\u015flar beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 talebi de olduk\u00e7a yava\u015flad\u0131. Konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde may\u0131s ay\u0131 iyi ge\u00e7erken haziran ay\u0131nda yeniden gerileme ya\u015fand\u0131. Otomotiv sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda ise haziran ay\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. ODD verilerine g\u00f6re sat\u0131\u015flar haziran ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 39 azald\u0131. Otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, <\/span>bu zaman dilimi i\u00e7erisinde 2017 Haziran\u2019\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 37.7 d\u00fc\u015ferken, hafif ticari ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da y\u00fczde 43.9 geriledi. Bu yava\u015flama ve gerilemeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda i\u00e7 talebi yeniden hareketlendirmek i\u00e7in ekonomide ve mali g\u00f6stergelerde yeniden istikrar\u0131n tesis edilmesi gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>

4 - Enflasyon <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131 itibariyle y\u0131ll\u0131k <\/span>\u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 23.71\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak y\u00fczde 15.39 y\u00fckselirken, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon da y\u00fczde 14.6 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylece enflasyon verileri 2003\u2019e geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u00d6zellikle d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 ve maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz k\u0131l\u0131yor. T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131nda da t\u00fcm alt \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Enflasyon ile m\u00fccadelede bir an \u00f6nce \u00e7ok daha radikal tedbirler al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Aksi takdirde enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zlanarak s\u00fcrecek. <\/span><\/p>

5 - T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131 <\/span>ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda normalle\u015fme gerekiyor <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131 krediler taraf\u0131nda y\u00fczde 20\u2019leri a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olup, reel sekt\u00f6r firmalar\u0131n\u0131n mali yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkilemeye devam ediyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 kredi faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu seviyelerde reel sekt\u00f6r firmalar\u0131n\u0131n kredi kullanmas\u0131 ve i\u015f yapmas\u0131 neredeyse olanaks\u0131z hale geliyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda da de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ekonomi \u00e7ok hassas bir noktada olup olumsuz en ufak bir geli\u015fme TL faizlerde art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7\u0131yor, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda da de\u011fer kayb\u0131na neden oluyor. Bu nedenle ekonomide makro dengelerdeki ve mali g\u00f6stergelerdeki bozulmalar bir an \u00f6nce giderilerek TL faizlerde ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda normalle\u015fme sa\u011flanmal\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Son s\u00f6z<\/strong>
<\/span>Bir y\u0131ll\u0131k bir istikrar program\u0131 bir an \u00f6nce uygulan\u0131rsa hem ekonomide dengeler yeniden sa\u011flan\u0131r hem de s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/span>i\u00e7in uygun ko\u015fullar sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-gec-kalmayalim","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide ge\u00e7 kalmayal\u0131m","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":95,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":18796,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":18697,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomide ge\u00e7 kalmayal\u0131m","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde iktisadi faaliyetler yava\u015flarken, bir\u00e7ok ekonomik g\u00f6stergedeki bozulma da devam etti. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede ekonomide bir an \u00f6nce gerekli politikalar\u0131 uygulayarak hem istikrar\u0131 yeniden sa\u011flamal\u0131 hem de s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in gerekli ko\u015fullar\u0131 olu\u015fturmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/span><\/p>

1 - Sanayi faaliyetleri <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en \u00f6nemli unsuru olan sanayi faaliyetlerini \u00f6l\u00e7en PMI verisi, haziranda 46.8 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki ivme kayb\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Bu gerileme, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde talep taraf\u0131ndaki daralmadan ve olumsuz mali piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. Hem i\u00e7 hem de d\u0131\u015f kaynaklardan al\u0131nan yeni sipari\u015flerdeki yava\u015flama ivme kayb\u0131nda etkili oldu. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00fcretim ikinci \u00e7eyrekte ivme kaybetti. Fiyat cephesinde ise d\u00f6viz kuru geli\u015fmelerinin etkisiyle artan maliyet y\u00fckleri imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn girdi maliyetlerinde y\u00fcksek oranl\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa neden oldu. Sanayi kesimi faaliyetlerinde hem ivme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor hem de mali yap\u0131lar zorlan\u0131yor. <\/span><\/p>

2 - \u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131nda ihracat ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5 artarak 12.6 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. B\u00f6ylelikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ihracat y\u00fczde 7.4 art\u0131\u015fla 81.9 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Ancak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda aylar itibariyle ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek ba\u015flad\u0131, may\u0131s ve haziran aylar\u0131nda ise ivme kaybetti. May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 12.2 olurken, art\u0131\u015f haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5.0\u2019a kadar geriledi. Bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6rde ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 haziran ay\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130hracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda da ivme kayb\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Mali g\u00f6stergelerdeki bozulmalar ile d\u0131\u015f talepteki yava\u015flama ihracat performans\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flat\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

3 - \u0130\u00e7 talepte yava\u015flama <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

May\u0131s ve haziran aylar\u0131nda perakende sat\u0131\u015flar beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 talebi de olduk\u00e7a yava\u015flad\u0131. Konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde may\u0131s ay\u0131 iyi ge\u00e7erken haziran ay\u0131nda yeniden gerileme ya\u015fand\u0131. Otomotiv sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda ise haziran ay\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. ODD verilerine g\u00f6re sat\u0131\u015flar haziran ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 39 azald\u0131. Otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, <\/span>bu zaman dilimi i\u00e7erisinde 2017 Haziran\u2019\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 37.7 d\u00fc\u015ferken, hafif ticari ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da y\u00fczde 43.9 geriledi. Bu yava\u015flama ve gerilemeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda i\u00e7 talebi yeniden hareketlendirmek i\u00e7in ekonomide ve mali g\u00f6stergelerde yeniden istikrar\u0131n tesis edilmesi gerekiyor.<\/span><\/p>

4 - Enflasyon <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

Haziran ay\u0131 itibariyle y\u0131ll\u0131k <\/span>\u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 23.71\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak y\u00fczde 15.39 y\u00fckselirken, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon da y\u00fczde 14.6 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylece enflasyon verileri 2003\u2019e geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u00d6zellikle d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 ve maliyet art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz k\u0131l\u0131yor. T\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131nda da t\u00fcm alt \u00fcr\u00fcn gruplar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Enflasyon ile m\u00fccadelede bir an \u00f6nce \u00e7ok daha radikal tedbirler al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Aksi takdirde enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zlanarak s\u00fcrecek. <\/span><\/p>

5 - T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131 <\/span>ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda normalle\u015fme gerekiyor <\/span><\/strong><\/p>

T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131 krediler taraf\u0131nda y\u00fczde 20\u2019leri a\u015fm\u0131\u015f olup, reel sekt\u00f6r firmalar\u0131n\u0131n mali yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkilemeye devam ediyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 kredi faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu seviyelerde reel sekt\u00f6r firmalar\u0131n\u0131n kredi kullanmas\u0131 ve i\u015f yapmas\u0131 neredeyse olanaks\u0131z hale geliyor. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda da de\u011fer kayb\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ekonomi \u00e7ok hassas bir noktada olup olumsuz en ufak bir geli\u015fme TL faizlerde art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7\u0131yor, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda da de\u011fer kayb\u0131na neden oluyor. Bu nedenle ekonomide makro dengelerdeki ve mali g\u00f6stergelerdeki bozulmalar bir an \u00f6nce giderilerek TL faizlerde ve T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131\u2019nda normalle\u015fme sa\u011flanmal\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Son s\u00f6z<\/strong>
<\/span>Bir y\u0131ll\u0131k bir istikrar program\u0131 bir an \u00f6nce uygulan\u0131rsa hem ekonomide dengeler yeniden sa\u011flan\u0131r hem de s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/span>i\u00e7in uygun ko\u015fullar sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomide-gec-kalmayalim","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomide ge\u00e7 kalmayal\u0131m","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":95,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}