{"status":true,"post":{"id":13453,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:28:39","created_at":"2016-04-10T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:28:39.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":13453,"is_featured":0,"title":"Ekonomi satranc\u0131nda hangi hamleler yap\u0131l\u0131yor?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Hat\u0131rlarsan\u0131z ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131m\u0131zda faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in gerekli ko\u015fullar\u0131 teker teker saym\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Enflasyon, nominal yani sizlerin bankalardan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z faizlerin y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli sebeplerinden. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyon olu\u015fumunun ana nedenlerinden biri, kur sepetinin y\u00fckselmesiydi. Emtia ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri bu nedenle hissedemedik. Bu konu yurt i\u00e7erisinde benzin, mazot satan yabanc\u0131 petrol \u015firketlerine yar\u0131yor. Onlar\u0131n elde ettikleri nakdi d\u00f6vizde nas\u0131l kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n incelenmesi gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmi\u015ftik. Her g\u00fcn ciddi nakit girdileri var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kur yukarda kald\u0131k\u00e7a pompa fiyatlar\u0131 da yukar\u0131da kal\u0131yor ve bizler de d\u00fcnyadakinin aksine petrol\u00fc \u00e7ok pahal\u0131 al\u0131yoruz. Buna maliyet enflasyonu deniyor ve bizim de ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bu t\u00fcr bir enflasyon.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne d\u00f6vizde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flanmas\u0131 da hemen enflasyona yans\u0131d\u0131. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00dcFE Ocak 2016\u2019da y\u00fczde 9.58, \u015eubat 2016\u2019da y\u00fczde 8.78 ve Mart 2016\u2019da da y\u00fczde 7.46 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Kurlar gev\u015fedik\u00e7e enflasyon da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ciddi kur d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yak\u0131nda benzin ve mazot gibi petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde de indirim getirirse enflasyon y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ciddi d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>CANLILIK BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enflasyon yaz\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi nominal yani sizlerin bankadan sordu\u011funuz faizleri belirleyen en \u00f6nemli etkenlerden biridir. O da d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Art\u0131k \u00f6nce tahvil faizlerinde, sonra da (alternatif getiri d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in) kredi faizlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6rebiliriz. Burada kritik olan konu ekonomide canl\u0131l\u0131k beklentisi olmas\u0131 ve verilen kredinin geri d\u00f6nmeme riskinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Aksi halde kredi faizleri d\u00fc\u015fmemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Burada T\u00fcrkiye olarak bizlerin dikkat etmesi gereken en \u00f6nemli konu, radikal ve sert hareketlerden ka\u00e7\u0131nmakt\u0131r. Son s\u00f6z: \u015eirketinizin hak ve varl\u0131klar\u0131 taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 belirler\u2026 <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bilmedi\u011finiz gelece\u011fe taahh\u00fctte bulunurken ya evdeki hesap \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131ya uymazsa sorusunu hep sorun. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>RATING KURULU\u015eLARININ \u2018R\u0130SK\u2019 VURGUSU<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu S&amp;P, G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Global beklentiler de h\u00e2l\u00e2 pek olumlu de\u011fil. \u00c7in\u2019den gelebilecek bir kriz korkusu h\u00e2l\u00e2 devam ediyor. Di\u011fer yandan IMF, Rusya i\u00e7in ekonomide daralma beklentisinin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu arada Rusya petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi i\u00e7in elinden geleni yapabilir. Bunun da en kolay yolu ter\u00f6rizm ve petrol b\u00f6lgelerinde karga\u015fad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticisi ve sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerden birisidir. Moody\u2019s\u2019e gelince; \u201cT\u00fcrk bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc yava\u015flayan ekonomi, artan fonlama maliyeti nedeniyle negatif\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yaparak bo\u015f durmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha g\u00f6sterdi. Bunlar hep risk art\u0131\u015f\u0131na vurgular ve faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmemesi i\u00e7in \u00e7abalar olmas\u0131n sak\u0131n?<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomi-satrancinda-hangi-hamleler-yapiliyor","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomi satranc\u0131nda hangi hamleler yap\u0131l\u0131yor?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":116,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":13552,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":13453,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Ekonomi satranc\u0131nda hangi hamleler yap\u0131l\u0131yor?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Hat\u0131rlarsan\u0131z ge\u00e7en yaz\u0131m\u0131zda faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in gerekli ko\u015fullar\u0131 teker teker saym\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Enflasyon, nominal yani sizlerin bankalardan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z faizlerin y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli sebeplerinden. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyon olu\u015fumunun ana nedenlerinden biri, kur sepetinin y\u00fckselmesiydi. Emtia ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri bu nedenle hissedemedik. Bu konu yurt i\u00e7erisinde benzin, mazot satan yabanc\u0131 petrol \u015firketlerine yar\u0131yor. Onlar\u0131n elde ettikleri nakdi d\u00f6vizde nas\u0131l kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n incelenmesi gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmi\u015ftik. Her g\u00fcn ciddi nakit girdileri var. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kur yukarda kald\u0131k\u00e7a pompa fiyatlar\u0131 da yukar\u0131da kal\u0131yor ve bizler de d\u00fcnyadakinin aksine petrol\u00fc \u00e7ok pahal\u0131 al\u0131yoruz. Buna maliyet enflasyonu deniyor ve bizim de ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bu t\u00fcr bir enflasyon.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne d\u00f6vizde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flanmas\u0131 da hemen enflasyona yans\u0131d\u0131. 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131nda enflasyon d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00dcFE Ocak 2016\u2019da y\u00fczde 9.58, \u015eubat 2016\u2019da y\u00fczde 8.78 ve Mart 2016\u2019da da y\u00fczde 7.46 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Kurlar gev\u015fedik\u00e7e enflasyon da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Ciddi kur d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yak\u0131nda benzin ve mazot gibi petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde de indirim getirirse enflasyon y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ciddi d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>CANLILIK BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Enflasyon yaz\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda da belirtti\u011fimiz gibi nominal yani sizlerin bankadan sordu\u011funuz faizleri belirleyen en \u00f6nemli etkenlerden biridir. O da d\u00fc\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Art\u0131k \u00f6nce tahvil faizlerinde, sonra da (alternatif getiri d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in) kredi faizlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6rebiliriz. Burada kritik olan konu ekonomide canl\u0131l\u0131k beklentisi olmas\u0131 ve verilen kredinin geri d\u00f6nmeme riskinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutulmas\u0131d\u0131r. Aksi halde kredi faizleri d\u00fc\u015fmemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r. Burada T\u00fcrkiye olarak bizlerin dikkat etmesi gereken en \u00f6nemli konu, radikal ve sert hareketlerden ka\u00e7\u0131nmakt\u0131r. Son s\u00f6z: \u015eirketinizin hak ve varl\u0131klar\u0131 taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 belirler\u2026 <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bilmedi\u011finiz gelece\u011fe taahh\u00fctte bulunurken ya evdeki hesap \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131ya uymazsa sorusunu hep sorun. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>RATING KURULU\u015eLARININ \u2018R\u0130SK\u2019 VURGUSU<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu S&amp;P, G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Global beklentiler de h\u00e2l\u00e2 pek olumlu de\u011fil. \u00c7in\u2019den gelebilecek bir kriz korkusu h\u00e2l\u00e2 devam ediyor. Di\u011fer yandan IMF, Rusya i\u00e7in ekonomide daralma beklentisinin artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu arada Rusya petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi i\u00e7in elinden geleni yapabilir. Bunun da en kolay yolu ter\u00f6rizm ve petrol b\u00f6lgelerinde karga\u015fad\u0131r. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticisi ve sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerden birisidir. Moody\u2019s\u2019e gelince; \u201cT\u00fcrk bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc yava\u015flayan ekonomi, artan fonlama maliyeti nedeniyle negatif\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 yaparak bo\u015f durmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha g\u00f6sterdi. Bunlar hep risk art\u0131\u015f\u0131na vurgular ve faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmemesi i\u00e7in \u00e7abalar olmas\u0131n sak\u0131n?<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"ekonomi-satrancinda-hangi-hamleler-yapiliyor","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Ekonomi satranc\u0131nda hangi hamleler yap\u0131l\u0131yor?","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":116,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}