{"status":true,"post":{"id":12488,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:16:59","created_at":"2015-08-03T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:16:59.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":12488,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yo\u011fun siyaset, ter\u00f6r ve s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi askeri harekatlar g\u00fcndemi i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeleri ka\u00e7\u0131rmayal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

1. 2015 y<\/strong>\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2.6\u2019ya indi<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, temmuz ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde yeni yay\u0131nlad\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00fcncelleme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcler.<\/span><\/p>

IMF, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde y\u00fczde 2.9 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 2.6\u2019ya indirdi.<\/span><\/p>

Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2.4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 2.1\u2019e, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 4.3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 4.2\u2019ye geriledi. \u00d6zellikle petrol ve emtia ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

2. <\/strong>Fed faizleri eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda art\u0131racak<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisini \u015fekillendiren \u00f6nemli unsurlardan biri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131'n\u0131n (Fed) faiz politikas\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde k\u00f6t\u00fc hava ko\u015fullar\u0131 ile ekonominin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi sonucu Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6telemek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Bununla birlikte Fed mevcut ikinci \u00e7eyrek verileri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u015flamaya olduk\u00e7a yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Fed, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 2016 ve 2017 y\u0131llar\u0131nda da kademeli olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/span><\/p>

Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomide giderek daha \u00e7ok hissedilen yeni mali ko\u015fullar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu ko\u015fullardan en \u00e7ok d\u0131\u015f kaynak ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek T\u00fcrkiye gibi geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler olumsuz etkileniyor. Bu etkilet ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00f6viz rezervleri en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemi\u015f bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

3. Emtia fiyatlar<\/strong>\u0131nda gerileme Fed ile h\u0131zland\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi ile dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda gerilemeye yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucu emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme h\u0131zland\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6zellikle metal fiyatlar\u0131 ile alt\u0131n ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere k\u0131ymetli maden fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme daha \u00e7ok hissediliyor.<\/span><\/p>

4. AB<\/strong> Yunanistan sorununu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcyor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yunanistan ile AB, IMF ve kredit\u00f6rler aras\u0131nda yeni bir yard\u0131m ve bor\u00e7 program\u0131 uygulanmas\u0131 konusunda uzla\u015fma sa\u011fland\u0131. Yunanistan parlamentosunun 15 reform kanununu kabul etmesi ve uygulanmaya ge\u00e7ilmesi halinde yeni yard\u0131m ve bor\u00e7 anla\u015fmas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek.<\/span><\/p>

Bir bor\u00e7 silmeyi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeyen bu anla\u015fma ile Yunanistan\u2019a ilave 85 milyar Euro kaynak aktar\u0131lacak. Yeni anla\u015fma ile Yunanistan\u2019da ekonomide yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve bor\u00e7lar\u0131n geri \u00f6denebilirli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yunanistan sorununun bir iflas veya Euro\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ile sonu\u00e7lanmamas\u0131 AB'deki iyile\u015fmeyi destekleyecek. AB\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve iyile\u015fme T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in de \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

5. <\/strong>\u0130ran ile anla\u015fma sa\u011fland\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

N\u00fckleer enerji faaliyetlerini d\u00fcnyaya kapal\u0131 olarak y\u00fcr\u00fctmesi nedeniyle uygulanmaya ba\u015flanan ambargo ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olarak \u0130ran ile P5+1 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen m\u00fczakereler anla\u015fma ile sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Anla\u015fma ile \u0130ran n\u00fckleer enerji faaliyetlerini (uranyum zenginle\u015ftirme faaliyetlerini) azaltacak, geli\u015fimini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131racak ve bir takvime yayacak, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan ambargo ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kald\u0131r\u0131lacak.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130ran ile var\u0131lan anla\u015fma uyar\u0131nca uygulanan ambargo ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar en erken 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren kalkmaya ba\u015flayacak. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda dondurulmu\u015f mal ve nakit varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 100 milyar dolara yak\u0131nd\u0131r. \u0130ran\u2019a kapsaml\u0131 bir ticaret ambargosu uygulan\u0131yor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131na s\u0131n\u0131rlama bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

Yine \u0130ran\u2019a kapsaml\u0131 bir silah ambargosu uygulan\u0131yor. \u0130ran uluslararas\u0131 bankac\u0131l\u0131k ile \u00f6demeler sisteminin d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130ran ile i\u015f yapan petro-kimya, finansman, otomotiv ve enerji \u015firketlerine yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar uygulan\u0131yor. Anla\u015fma ile birlikte \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan silah ambargosu hari\u00e7 di\u011fer t\u00fcm yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ve ambargolar kademeli olarak kald\u0131r\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

6. <\/strong>\u0130ran ile ticaret ve ortakl\u0131klar geni\u015fleyecek<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130ran ile d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 aras\u0131nda ticaret ve ortakl\u0131klar h\u0131zla geni\u015fleyecek. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ambargosunun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ile petrol ve do\u011falgaz ihracat\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 gelirleri artacak. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle petrol ihracat\u0131 50.7 milyar dolar, toplam ithalat\u0131 ise 55.66 milyar dolard\u0131r. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ile birlikte ithalat\u0131 da artacak. T\u00fcm \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda \u0130ran pazar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rekabet olu\u015facak.<\/span><\/p>

Son s\u00f6z;<\/strong> i\u00e7eride siyasi ve toplumsal istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flayarak d\u00fcnyadaki geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 ve proaktif olal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dunya-ekonomisinde-onemli-gelismeler","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler","meta_description":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yo\u011fun siyaset, ter\u00f6r ve s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi askeri harekatlar g\u00fcndemi i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeleri ka\u00e7\u0131rmayal\u0131m.","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1074,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":12587,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":12488,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yo\u011fun siyaset, ter\u00f6r ve s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi askeri harekatlar g\u00fcndemi i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeleri ka\u00e7\u0131rmayal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

1. 2015 y<\/strong>\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2.6\u2019ya indi<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, temmuz ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde yeni yay\u0131nlad\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00fcncelleme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcler.<\/span><\/p>

IMF, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde y\u00fczde 2.9 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 2.6\u2019ya indirdi.<\/span><\/p>

Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 2.4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 2.1\u2019e, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 4.3\u2019ten y\u00fczde 4.2\u2019ye geriledi. \u00d6zellikle petrol ve emtia ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme zay\u0131fl\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

2. <\/strong>Fed faizleri eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda art\u0131racak<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisini \u015fekillendiren \u00f6nemli unsurlardan biri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131'n\u0131n (Fed) faiz politikas\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde k\u00f6t\u00fc hava ko\u015fullar\u0131 ile ekonominin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi sonucu Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6telemek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Bununla birlikte Fed mevcut ikinci \u00e7eyrek verileri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u015flamaya olduk\u00e7a yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Fed, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 2016 ve 2017 y\u0131llar\u0131nda da kademeli olarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/span><\/p>

Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomide giderek daha \u00e7ok hissedilen yeni mali ko\u015fullar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Bu ko\u015fullardan en \u00e7ok d\u0131\u015f kaynak ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek T\u00fcrkiye gibi geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler olumsuz etkileniyor. Bu etkilet ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00f6viz rezervleri en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemi\u015f bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

3. Emtia fiyatlar<\/strong>\u0131nda gerileme Fed ile h\u0131zland\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi ile dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda gerilemeye yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonucu emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme h\u0131zland\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

\u00d6zellikle metal fiyatlar\u0131 ile alt\u0131n ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere k\u0131ymetli maden fiyatlar\u0131nda gerileme daha \u00e7ok hissediliyor.<\/span><\/p>

4. AB<\/strong> Yunanistan sorununu \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcyor<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Yunanistan ile AB, IMF ve kredit\u00f6rler aras\u0131nda yeni bir yard\u0131m ve bor\u00e7 program\u0131 uygulanmas\u0131 konusunda uzla\u015fma sa\u011fland\u0131. Yunanistan parlamentosunun 15 reform kanununu kabul etmesi ve uygulanmaya ge\u00e7ilmesi halinde yeni yard\u0131m ve bor\u00e7 anla\u015fmas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek.<\/span><\/p>

Bir bor\u00e7 silmeyi \u00f6ng\u00f6rmeyen bu anla\u015fma ile Yunanistan\u2019a ilave 85 milyar Euro kaynak aktar\u0131lacak. Yeni anla\u015fma ile Yunanistan\u2019da ekonomide yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve bor\u00e7lar\u0131n geri \u00f6denebilirli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yunanistan sorununun bir iflas veya Euro\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ile sonu\u00e7lanmamas\u0131 AB'deki iyile\u015fmeyi destekleyecek. AB\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve iyile\u015fme T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in de \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

5. <\/strong>\u0130ran ile anla\u015fma sa\u011fland\u0131 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>

N\u00fckleer enerji faaliyetlerini d\u00fcnyaya kapal\u0131 olarak y\u00fcr\u00fctmesi nedeniyle uygulanmaya ba\u015flanan ambargo ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olarak \u0130ran ile P5+1 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen m\u00fczakereler anla\u015fma ile sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Anla\u015fma ile \u0130ran n\u00fckleer enerji faaliyetlerini (uranyum zenginle\u015ftirme faaliyetlerini) azaltacak, geli\u015fimini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131racak ve bir takvime yayacak, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan ambargo ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kald\u0131r\u0131lacak.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130ran ile var\u0131lan anla\u015fma uyar\u0131nca uygulanan ambargo ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar en erken 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren kalkmaya ba\u015flayacak. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda dondurulmu\u015f mal ve nakit varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 100 milyar dolara yak\u0131nd\u0131r. \u0130ran\u2019a kapsaml\u0131 bir ticaret ambargosu uygulan\u0131yor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131na s\u0131n\u0131rlama bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>

Yine \u0130ran\u2019a kapsaml\u0131 bir silah ambargosu uygulan\u0131yor. \u0130ran uluslararas\u0131 bankac\u0131l\u0131k ile \u00f6demeler sisteminin d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130ran ile i\u015f yapan petro-kimya, finansman, otomotiv ve enerji \u015firketlerine yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar uygulan\u0131yor. Anla\u015fma ile birlikte \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan silah ambargosu hari\u00e7 di\u011fer t\u00fcm yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ve ambargolar kademeli olarak kald\u0131r\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

6. <\/strong>\u0130ran ile ticaret ve ortakl\u0131klar geni\u015fleyecek<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130ran ile d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131 aras\u0131nda ticaret ve ortakl\u0131klar h\u0131zla geni\u015fleyecek. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ambargosunun kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ile petrol ve do\u011falgaz ihracat\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 gelirleri artacak. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle petrol ihracat\u0131 50.7 milyar dolar, toplam ithalat\u0131 ise 55.66 milyar dolard\u0131r. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ihracat\u0131 ile birlikte ithalat\u0131 da artacak. T\u00fcm \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda \u0130ran pazar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rekabet olu\u015facak.<\/span><\/p>

Son s\u00f6z;<\/strong> i\u00e7eride siyasi ve toplumsal istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flayarak d\u00fcnyadaki geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 ve proaktif olal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dunya-ekonomisinde-onemli-gelismeler","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler","meta_description":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yo\u011fun siyaset, ter\u00f6r ve s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi askeri harekatlar g\u00fcndemi i\u00e7inde d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeleri ka\u00e7\u0131rmayal\u0131m.","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1074,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}