{"status":true,"post":{"id":15569,"user_id":10,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:59:15","created_at":"2017-01-01T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:59:15.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":15569,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2017 beklentileri","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

Bir y\u0131l\u0131 daha geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131na giriyoruz. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki beklentilerimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da payla\u015f\u0131yorum.<\/span><\/p>

  1. ABD\u2019de ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imini Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n kazanmas\u0131 ile birlikte ABD politikalar\u0131 ve d\u00fcnya siyasetinde \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fiklikler bekleniyor.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  2. Trump ile birlikte ABD\u2019de kamu harcamalar\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 artacak, imalat sanayi desteklenecek ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlanarak y\u00fczde 2.5-3 aras\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacak. Enflasyon da daha h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselecek.<\/span><\/li>
  3. ABD\u2019de daha y\u00fcksek faizler bekleniyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda en az iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  4. D\u0131\u015f politikada Trump ile birlikte ABD, AB ile mesafeli, \u00c7in ile rekabet i\u00e7inde, Rusya ile daha yak\u0131n, \u0130ran ile ise s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7inde olabilecek. ABD, Suriye ve Irak\u2019ta \u0130\u015e\u0130D ile m\u00fccadeleyi art\u0131racak, toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fcklerini koruyarak sek\u00fcler y\u00f6netimleri destekleyecek.<\/span><\/li>
  5. Trump\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaretteki korumac\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleri hayata ge\u00e7erse d\u00fcnya ticaretinde korumac\u0131l\u0131k e\u011filimleri artabilecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  6. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 2.7, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 1.9 ve geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 4.5 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/li>
  7. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda siyasi g\u00fcndem olduk\u00e7a yo\u011fun olacak. Hollanda, Fransa ve Almanya\u2019da se\u00e7imler yap\u0131lacak. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f stat\u00fcs\u00fc belirlenecek. AB, mart ay\u0131 Roma Zirvesi\u2019nde gelece\u011fini \u015fekillendirecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  8. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 geni\u015fletici para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. Buna ra\u011fmen Brexit etkisi ile ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme bir miktar yava\u015flayacak. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde y\u00fczde 1.5, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde ise y\u00fczde 1.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekleniyor.<\/span><\/li>
  9. D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinin 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda miktar baz\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi, de\u011fer baz\u0131nda da y\u00fczde 4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek yeniden 16.5 trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  10. ABD Dolar\u0131 di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalacak ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 daha de\u011fer kazanacak. Euro\/dolar paritesi y\u0131l ortalamas\u0131 1.05, y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru 1\u2019e yakla\u015facak.<\/span><\/li>
  11. \u00c7in yeni ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline ge\u00e7i\u015fte, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 6-6.5 aras\u0131nda tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in para birimi yuan\u2019da yeni bir deval\u00fcasyon olabilecek. Dolar-yuan 7\u2019yi a\u015fabilecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  12. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 OPEC \u00fcyelerinin \u00fcretim arz\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131 karar\u0131 almas\u0131 sonucu 50 dolar \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda varil petrol fiyatlar\u0131 55-60 dolar aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki toparlanma petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkeleri olumlu etkileyecek.<\/span><\/li>
  13. Emtia fiyatlar\u0131 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD ekonomisindeki daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ile toparlanmakta olup, yeni y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 5-10 aras\u0131nda daha artabilecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
  14. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler iki gruba ayr\u0131lacak. Petrol ve emtia ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 daha iyi bir y\u0131l ge\u00e7irecek. Enerji-emtia ithal eden, d\u0131\u015f borcu ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00fclkeler olumsuz etkilenecek.<\/span><\/li> <\/ol>

    Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Herkesin yeni y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 kutlarken, 2017\u2019nin iyi bir y\u0131l olmas\u0131n\u0131 temenni ediyorum.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dunya-ekonomisi-2017-beklentileri","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2017 beklentileri","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":151,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":10,"name":"CAN","surname":"G\u00dcRLESEL","email":"durmaz.umran@superposta.com","slug":"dr-can-gurlesel","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916008P5QTYWdQ2pLpLn.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:00.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":15668,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":15569,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2017 beklentileri","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

    Bir y\u0131l\u0131 daha geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131na giriyoruz. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki beklentilerimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da payla\u015f\u0131yorum.<\/span><\/p>

    1. ABD\u2019de ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imini Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n kazanmas\u0131 ile birlikte ABD politikalar\u0131 ve d\u00fcnya siyasetinde \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fiklikler bekleniyor.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    2. Trump ile birlikte ABD\u2019de kamu harcamalar\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 artacak, imalat sanayi desteklenecek ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131zlanarak y\u00fczde 2.5-3 aras\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kacak. Enflasyon da daha h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselecek.<\/span><\/li>
    3. ABD\u2019de daha y\u00fcksek faizler bekleniyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda en az iki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    4. D\u0131\u015f politikada Trump ile birlikte ABD, AB ile mesafeli, \u00c7in ile rekabet i\u00e7inde, Rusya ile daha yak\u0131n, \u0130ran ile ise s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7inde olabilecek. ABD, Suriye ve Irak\u2019ta \u0130\u015e\u0130D ile m\u00fccadeleyi art\u0131racak, toprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fcklerini koruyarak sek\u00fcler y\u00f6netimleri destekleyecek.<\/span><\/li>
    5. Trump\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaretteki korumac\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleri hayata ge\u00e7erse d\u00fcnya ticaretinde korumac\u0131l\u0131k e\u011filimleri artabilecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    6. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 2.7, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 1.9 ve geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 4.5 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/li>
    7. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda siyasi g\u00fcndem olduk\u00e7a yo\u011fun olacak. Hollanda, Fransa ve Almanya\u2019da se\u00e7imler yap\u0131lacak. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f stat\u00fcs\u00fc belirlenecek. AB, mart ay\u0131 Roma Zirvesi\u2019nde gelece\u011fini \u015fekillendirecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    8. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 geni\u015fletici para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek. Buna ra\u011fmen Brexit etkisi ile ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme bir miktar yava\u015flayacak. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde y\u00fczde 1.5, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde ise y\u00fczde 1.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekleniyor.<\/span><\/li>
    9. D\u00fcnya mal ticaretinin 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda miktar baz\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi, de\u011fer baz\u0131nda da y\u00fczde 4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek yeniden 16.5 trilyon dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    10. ABD Dolar\u0131 di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalacak ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 daha de\u011fer kazanacak. Euro\/dolar paritesi y\u0131l ortalamas\u0131 1.05, y\u0131lsonuna do\u011fru 1\u2019e yakla\u015facak.<\/span><\/li>
    11. \u00c7in yeni ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline ge\u00e7i\u015fte, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 6-6.5 aras\u0131nda tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in para birimi yuan\u2019da yeni bir deval\u00fcasyon olabilecek. Dolar-yuan 7\u2019yi a\u015fabilecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    12. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 OPEC \u00fcyelerinin \u00fcretim arz\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131 karar\u0131 almas\u0131 sonucu 50 dolar \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda varil petrol fiyatlar\u0131 55-60 dolar aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki toparlanma petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkeleri olumlu etkileyecek.<\/span><\/li>
    13. Emtia fiyatlar\u0131 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD ekonomisindeki daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ile toparlanmakta olup, yeni y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 5-10 aras\u0131nda daha artabilecek.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>
    14. Geli\u015fen \u00fclkeler iki gruba ayr\u0131lacak. Petrol ve emtia ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 daha iyi bir y\u0131l ge\u00e7irecek. Enerji-emtia ithal eden, d\u0131\u015f borcu ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00fclkeler olumsuz etkilenecek.<\/span><\/li> <\/ol>

      Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Herkesin yeni y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 kutlarken, 2017\u2019nin iyi bir y\u0131l olmas\u0131n\u0131 temenni ediyorum.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dunya-ekonomisi-2017-beklentileri","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2017 beklentileri","meta_description":"Dr. Can G\u00fcrlesel","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":151,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}