{"status":true,"post":{"id":14443,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:47:27","created_at":"2016-08-14T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:47:27.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":14443,"is_featured":0,"title":"Do\u011fu ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u2018medeniyetler ve demokrasi\u2019 k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda, Berlin Duvar\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131p, kom\u00fcnist Do\u011fu Bloku da\u011f\u0131l\u0131p, en son 1991 y\u0131l\u0131 ortas\u0131nda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi par\u00e7aland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n biti\u015fi, T\u00fcrkiye gibi gelece\u011fi parlak \u00f6nde gelen geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in bir umut olmu\u015ftu. 1980\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131ndan itibaren a\u011f\u0131r siyasi ve ekonomik sorunlarla bo\u011fu\u015fmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olan Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ndeki sorunlar, onun en yak\u0131n kom\u015fusu ve NATO\u2019nun kanat \u00fclkesi olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de k\u0131smen ferahlatm\u0131\u015f ve rahmetli <\/span><span class=\"large\">8. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z \u00d6zal ile T\u00fcrkiye uzun zamandan beri ilk defa, ekonomi alan\u0131nda bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve reform s\u00fcreci ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak, \u00d6zal\u2019\u0131n vefat\u0131 artan b\u00f6l\u00fcc\u00fc ter\u00f6r ile birlikte, <\/span><span class=\"large\">1994 ekonomik krizinin de getirdi\u011fi y\u00fck, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 10 y\u0131l\u0131 en iyi \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirmemizi engelledi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">1939 ile 1950 aras\u0131nda ancak y\u00fczde 2.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilen T\u00fcrkiye, 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llardaki belirsizlik ve moralsizlik d\u00f6neminde, adeta bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f gibi ancak y\u00fczde 2.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyebildi. 2001 krizi sonras\u0131nda, \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin siyasetten \u00e7ekilip, AK Parti\u2019nin 2002 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda tek ba\u015f\u0131na iktidar olmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda reformlar h\u0131zland\u0131. Avrasya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131ran ve reformlar\u0131 ayakta alk\u0131\u015flanan ekonomisi oldu. Bu alk\u0131\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi 2004 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda \u2018Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ne tam \u00fcye aday\u0131\u2019 yapt\u0131. K\u00fcresel sistemdeki kimi akt\u00f6rler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015finden hi\u00e7 memnun kalmad\u0131lar. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fi durdurmaya y\u00f6nelik vah\u015fi hamleler ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131k.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>K\u00dcRESEL SIKLET MERKEZ\u0130 \u2018DO\u011eU\u2019YA KAYARKEN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00c7in, Hindistan, G\u00fcney Kore, Malezya, Endonezya ve T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fclkelerin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile k\u00fcresel ekonomik ve siyasi sistemde \u2018s\u0131klet merkezi\u2019 bat\u0131dan do\u011fuya kaymaya ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu d\u00f6nemde, yeniden \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 konumuna ula\u015fan Rusya Federasyonu ile g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fi ikili ili\u015fkiler, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan ile Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Putin aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok istisnai diyalog, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi b\u00f6lgesinde daha da vazge\u00e7ilmez bir konuma getiriyor; Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan, ziyaret etti\u011fi t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde, bu yeni k\u00fcresel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli isimlerinden biri olarak, o \u00fclkelerin halklar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan alk\u0131\u015flarla kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131yordu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ancak, \u00e7e\u015fitli hamleler ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ve \u2018lideri\u2019nin, b\u00f6lgesindeki konumu y\u0131prat\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki stratejik i\u015fbirli\u011fi y\u0131k\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. 15 Temmuz\u2019daki menfur darbe giri\u015fiminin, k\u00fcresel bacakl\u0131 FET\u00d6<\/span><span class=\"large\">ter\u00f6r eyleminin, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n, h\u00fck\u00fcmetimizin ve halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc kahramanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve tarihe mal olacak \u2018destans\u0131\u2019 kahramanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile bertaraf olduktan sonra, 9 A\u011fustos\u2019ta Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan ile Putin aras\u0131ndaki \u2018tarihi\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede var\u0131lan mutabakat\u0131n, ekonomik, politik, askeri ve enerji alan\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki b\u00fcy\u00fck hamlelerin neden kritik \u00f6nemde oldu\u011fu konusunda gereken ipucunu verecektir. Bu nedenle, \u2018demokrasi\u2019mize sahip \u00e7\u0131karak, reformlar\u0131m\u0131za devam ederek, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi hak etti\u011fi konuma ula\u015ft\u0131racak ad\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. \u00c7EYREK B\u00dcY\u00dcME Y\u00dcZDE 3 C\u0130VARI \u00c7IKAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimi, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.1 artt\u0131. Bu veriyi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6nceden tahmin etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131yoruz. Haziran ay\u0131 verisi de eklenince, bu y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 2.47\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f yakalam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Bu y\u00fczde 2.47\u2019lik \u00e7eyrek bazdaki sanayi \u00fcretim verisini dikkate alarak hesaplama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminimi y\u00fczde 2.1-2.8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tahmin ediyorum. Y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla da y\u00fczde 2.5. Bununla birlikte, finans kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomistleri daha iyimser bir tahmin olarak y\u00fczde 2.8 ile 3.2 aras\u0131nda tahminlere i\u015faret ediyorlar.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dogu-ile-bati-arasinda-medeniyetler-ve-demokrasi-koprusu","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Do\u011fu ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u2018medeniyetler ve demokrasi\u2019 k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":80,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":14542,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":14443,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Do\u011fu ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u2018medeniyetler ve demokrasi\u2019 k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda, Berlin Duvar\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131p, kom\u00fcnist Do\u011fu Bloku da\u011f\u0131l\u0131p, en son 1991 y\u0131l\u0131 ortas\u0131nda Sovyetler Birli\u011fi par\u00e7aland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n biti\u015fi, T\u00fcrkiye gibi gelece\u011fi parlak \u00f6nde gelen geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in bir umut olmu\u015ftu. 1980\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131ndan itibaren a\u011f\u0131r siyasi ve ekonomik sorunlarla bo\u011fu\u015fmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olan Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019ndeki sorunlar, onun en yak\u0131n kom\u015fusu ve NATO\u2019nun kanat \u00fclkesi olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de k\u0131smen ferahlatm\u0131\u015f ve rahmetli <\/span><span class=\"large\">8. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z \u00d6zal ile T\u00fcrkiye uzun zamandan beri ilk defa, ekonomi alan\u0131nda bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm ve reform s\u00fcreci ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak, \u00d6zal\u2019\u0131n vefat\u0131 artan b\u00f6l\u00fcc\u00fc ter\u00f6r ile birlikte, <\/span><span class=\"large\">1994 ekonomik krizinin de getirdi\u011fi y\u00fck, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 10 y\u0131l\u0131 en iyi \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirmemizi engelledi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span style=\"font-size: 15.6px;\">1939 ile 1950 aras\u0131nda ancak y\u00fczde 2.6 b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilen T\u00fcrkiye, 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llardaki belirsizlik ve moralsizlik d\u00f6neminde, adeta bir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f gibi ancak y\u00fczde 2.9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyebildi. 2001 krizi sonras\u0131nda, \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin siyasetten \u00e7ekilip, AK Parti\u2019nin 2002 y\u0131l\u0131 kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda tek ba\u015f\u0131na iktidar olmas\u0131 sonras\u0131nda reformlar h\u0131zland\u0131. Avrasya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131ran ve reformlar\u0131 ayakta alk\u0131\u015flanan ekonomisi oldu. Bu alk\u0131\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi 2004 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda \u2018Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019ne tam \u00fcye aday\u0131\u2019 yapt\u0131. K\u00fcresel sistemdeki kimi akt\u00f6rler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015finden hi\u00e7 memnun kalmad\u0131lar. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fi durdurmaya y\u00f6nelik vah\u015fi hamleler ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131k.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>K\u00dcRESEL SIKLET MERKEZ\u0130 \u2018DO\u011eU\u2019YA KAYARKEN<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00c7in, Hindistan, G\u00fcney Kore, Malezya, Endonezya ve T\u00fcrkiye gibi \u00fclkelerin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile k\u00fcresel ekonomik ve siyasi sistemde \u2018s\u0131klet merkezi\u2019 bat\u0131dan do\u011fuya kaymaya ba\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu d\u00f6nemde, yeniden \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 konumuna ula\u015fan Rusya Federasyonu ile g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fi ikili ili\u015fkiler, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan ile Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Putin aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok istisnai diyalog, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi b\u00f6lgesinde daha da vazge\u00e7ilmez bir konuma getiriyor; Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan, ziyaret etti\u011fi t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde, bu yeni k\u00fcresel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli isimlerinden biri olarak, o \u00fclkelerin halklar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan alk\u0131\u015flarla kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131yordu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Ancak, \u00e7e\u015fitli hamleler ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ve \u2018lideri\u2019nin, b\u00f6lgesindeki konumu y\u0131prat\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca T\u00fcrkiye ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki stratejik i\u015fbirli\u011fi y\u0131k\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. 15 Temmuz\u2019daki menfur darbe giri\u015fiminin, k\u00fcresel bacakl\u0131 FET\u00d6<\/span><span class=\"large\">ter\u00f6r eyleminin, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n, h\u00fck\u00fcmetimizin ve halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc kahramanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve tarihe mal olacak \u2018destans\u0131\u2019 kahramanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile bertaraf olduktan sonra, 9 A\u011fustos\u2019ta Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan ile Putin aras\u0131ndaki \u2018tarihi\u2019 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede var\u0131lan mutabakat\u0131n, ekonomik, politik, askeri ve enerji alan\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki b\u00fcy\u00fck hamlelerin neden kritik \u00f6nemde oldu\u011fu konusunda gereken ipucunu verecektir. Bu nedenle, \u2018demokrasi\u2019mize sahip \u00e7\u0131karak, reformlar\u0131m\u0131za devam ederek, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi hak etti\u011fi konuma ula\u015ft\u0131racak ad\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>2. \u00c7EYREK B\u00dcY\u00dcME Y\u00dcZDE 3 C\u0130VARI \u00c7IKAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Takvim etkisinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sanayi \u00fcretimi, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.1 artt\u0131. Bu veriyi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6nceden tahmin etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131yoruz. Haziran ay\u0131 verisi de eklenince, bu y\u0131l\u0131n 2. \u00e7eyre\u011finde sanayi \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 2.47\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f yakalam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Bu y\u00fczde 2.47\u2019lik \u00e7eyrek bazdaki sanayi \u00fcretim verisini dikkate alarak hesaplama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, 2. \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminimi y\u00fczde 2.1-2.8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tahmin ediyorum. Y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla da y\u00fczde 2.5. Bununla birlikte, finans kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomistleri daha iyimser bir tahmin olarak y\u00fczde 2.8 ile 3.2 aras\u0131nda tahminlere i\u015faret ediyorlar.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dogu-ile-bati-arasinda-medeniyetler-ve-demokrasi-koprusu","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Do\u011fu ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u2018medeniyetler ve demokrasi\u2019 k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc","meta_description":"Prof. Dr. Kerem Alkin","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":80,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}