{"status":true,"post":{"id":19097,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:26:52","created_at":"2018-10-07T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:26:52.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":19097,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaretten gelen sinyaller","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 28 Eyl\u00fcl 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc A\u011fustos 2018 ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re; ihracat 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.5 azalarak 12 milyar 383 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 22.7 azalarak 14 milyar 805 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130thalattaki azalman\u0131n fazla olmas\u0131 nedeniyle a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 59 azalarak 2 milyar 422 milyon dolara geriledi. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 ise 2017 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 69.1 iken, 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 83.6\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi. Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re, 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 2.2 artt\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 8 azald\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 4.8 artt\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 10.6 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EN FAZLA \u0130HRACAT ALMANYA\u2019YA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130hracat\u0131n yap\u0131s\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; AB \u00fclkelerine yap\u0131lan ihracat, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131nayn\u0131ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.4 azalarak 5 milyar 619 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. AB\u2019nin ihracattaki pay\u0131 2017 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45.3 iken, 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45.4 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">En fazla ihracat yap\u0131lan \u00fclkeler s\u0131ras\u0131yla Almanya, \u0130ngiltere, Irak ve ABD\u2019dir. K\u0131sacas\u0131 bu \u00fclkeler mal al\u0131mda sorun \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rsa d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengemiz bozulur. \u0130thalatta lider Rusya ve akabinde \u00c7in geliyor. Almanya ise 3. s\u0131rada.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KAPAS\u0130TE ORANLARI AZALAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada kritik olan ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda oran y\u00fczde 83.6\u2019ya kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015f. Yani ihracat neredeyse ithalat\u0131 yakalayacak noktada. Bu durum ticaret i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu seviyeleri g\u00f6steriyor. Bu oran a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bakarsak her \u015fey \u00e7ok iyi gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnebilir. Ancak ithalattaki daralma genellikle ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131l\u0131yor olmas\u0131 nedeniyle i\u00e7 piyasa i\u00e7in ciddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na da geliyor. \u0130thalattaki daralma ithal ikame \u00fcretimle alakal\u0131 ise \u00e7ok iyi; ancak bunun k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede olmas\u0131 \u00e7ok zor. Gelecekte kapasite oranlar\u0131nda azalma s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerinde ticaret i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z azald\u0131 sinyali d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6remiyoruz. \u0130\u00e7 piyasada daralma sinyalleri bizleri tedirgin ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YURT DI\u015eI BOR\u00c7 \u00d6DEMELER\u0130 \u00d6NEML\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00f6vizin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu bu d\u00f6nemlerde d\u00f6vizin seviyesini belirleyen ana unsur ticaret hacmi de\u011fildir. \u0130lk sebep siyasi dala\u015fmalarla olu\u015fturulan ma\u015fa fonlarla yap\u0131lan manip\u00fclasyonlar ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 \u00f6demeleridir. Kamu, \u00f6zel bor\u00e7 \u00f6demeleri ayn\u0131 mebla\u011fda ve fazlas\u0131 girdi yoksa d\u00f6vizi yukar\u0131 iter. Bu durumda \u00f6zellikle yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7 \u00f6demelerine iyi bak\u0131lmas\u0131 laz\u0131m. Kurdan as\u0131l zararlar o zaman olu\u015fuyor ve maliyete giriyor. Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7lar \u00e7evrilemezse, mevcut borcun \u00fczerinde bor\u00e7lan\u0131l\u0131rsa, ne d\u00f6viz d\u00fc\u015febilir ne de faizler.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticaretten-gelen-sinyaller","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaretten gelen sinyaller","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":127,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":19196,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":19097,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaretten gelen sinyaller","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu, 28 Eyl\u00fcl 2018 g\u00fcn\u00fc A\u011fustos 2018 ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu verilere g\u00f6re; ihracat 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.5 azalarak 12 milyar 383 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 22.7 azalarak 14 milyar 805 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130thalattaki azalman\u0131n fazla olmas\u0131 nedeniyle a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 59 azalarak 2 milyar 422 milyon dolara geriledi. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 ise 2017 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 69.1 iken, 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 83.6\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi. Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re, 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 2.2 artt\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 8 azald\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 4.8 artt\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 10.6 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>EN FAZLA \u0130HRACAT ALMANYA\u2019YA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130hracat\u0131n yap\u0131s\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; AB \u00fclkelerine yap\u0131lan ihracat, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131nayn\u0131ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 6.4 azalarak 5 milyar 619 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. AB\u2019nin ihracattaki pay\u0131 2017 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45.3 iken, 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 45.4 oldu. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">En fazla ihracat yap\u0131lan \u00fclkeler s\u0131ras\u0131yla Almanya, \u0130ngiltere, Irak ve ABD\u2019dir. K\u0131sacas\u0131 bu \u00fclkeler mal al\u0131mda sorun \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rsa d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengemiz bozulur. \u0130thalatta lider Rusya ve akabinde \u00c7in geliyor. Almanya ise 3. s\u0131rada.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>KAPAS\u0130TE ORANLARI AZALAB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada kritik olan ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131d\u0131r. <\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> 2018 A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda oran y\u00fczde 83.6\u2019ya kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015f. Yani ihracat neredeyse ithalat\u0131 yakalayacak noktada. Bu durum ticaret i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu seviyeleri g\u00f6steriyor. Bu oran a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bakarsak her \u015fey \u00e7ok iyi gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnebilir. Ancak ithalattaki daralma genellikle ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131l\u0131yor olmas\u0131 nedeniyle i\u00e7 piyasa i\u00e7in ciddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na da geliyor. \u0130thalattaki daralma ithal ikame \u00fcretimle alakal\u0131 ise \u00e7ok iyi; ancak bunun k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede olmas\u0131 \u00e7ok zor. Gelecekte kapasite oranlar\u0131nda azalma s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerinde ticaret i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z azald\u0131 sinyali d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6remiyoruz. \u0130\u00e7 piyasada daralma sinyalleri bizleri tedirgin ediyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>YURT DI\u015eI BOR\u00c7 \u00d6DEMELER\u0130 \u00d6NEML\u0130 <\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">D\u00f6vizin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu bu d\u00f6nemlerde d\u00f6vizin seviyesini belirleyen ana unsur ticaret hacmi de\u011fildir. \u0130lk sebep siyasi dala\u015fmalarla olu\u015fturulan ma\u015fa fonlarla yap\u0131lan manip\u00fclasyonlar ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 \u00f6demeleridir. Kamu, \u00f6zel bor\u00e7 \u00f6demeleri ayn\u0131 mebla\u011fda ve fazlas\u0131 girdi yoksa d\u00f6vizi yukar\u0131 iter. Bu durumda \u00f6zellikle yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7 \u00f6demelerine iyi bak\u0131lmas\u0131 laz\u0131m. Kurdan as\u0131l zararlar o zaman olu\u015fuyor ve maliyete giriyor. Yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 bor\u00e7lar \u00e7evrilemezse, mevcut borcun \u00fczerinde bor\u00e7lan\u0131l\u0131rsa, ne d\u00f6viz d\u00fc\u015febilir ne de faizler.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticaretten-gelen-sinyaller","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaretten gelen sinyaller","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":127,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}