{"status":true,"post":{"id":15630,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:59:47","created_at":"2017-01-08T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:59:47.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":15630,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette son durum","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck ve Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle olu\u015fturulan ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re, ihracat 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda, 2015\u2019in ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 9.7 artarak 12 milyar 817 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 6 artarak 16 milyar 931 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 4.1 azalarak 4 milyar 113 milyon dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2015 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 73.1 iken, 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 75.7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re, 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 0.9, ithalat y\u00fczde 4.6 azald\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 6.7, ithalat y\u00fczde 2.4 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Verilere ilk bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131 Kas\u0131m 2015 ay\u0131ndan Kas\u0131m 2016 ay\u0131na ihracat ve ithalatta art\u0131\u015flar olmas\u0131, d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok az da olsa d\u00fc\u015fmesi olumlu veriler olarak g\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcze \u00e7arp\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Biz b\u00fcltenlerin ba\u015f\u0131nda belirtilen ve bolca okudu\u011funuz bu rakamlar\u0131 k\u0131saca yorumlad\u0131ktan sonra Ocak-Kas\u0131m d\u00f6nemini bir inceleyelim:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00d6ncelikli konumuz bu kadar kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen (Bu d\u00f6nemde kur sepeti 2.45\u2019ten 3.08\u2019lere y\u00fckselmi\u015fti, ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem 2016\u2019da kur hep daha y\u00fcksekti) 11 ayl\u0131k toplam ihracat 2015 d\u00f6neminin alt\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015f. K\u0131sacas\u0131 kur y\u00fckseli\u015fi ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flar hipotezinin do\u011fru olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 2015 ilk 11 ay\u0131nda 132.088 milyon USD ihracat rakam\u0131na ra\u011fmen 2016 ilk 11 ay\u0131nda sadece 129.793 milyon USD ihracat rakam\u0131 yakalanabilmi\u015f. K\u0131saca k\u00fcm\u00fclatif bazda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130thalata bir bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, benzer durumu ancak daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olarak orada da g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2015\u2019ten daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ithalat. Bunun iki sebebi olabilir. Birincisi ithal ikame \u00fcretimlere ge\u00e7ilmesidir. Ancak b\u00f6yle bir geli\u015fim birden olu\u015fmaz, yava\u015f yava\u015f etkili olur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc fiyat tutturulmas\u0131, piyasa analizler, yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin i\u015flemesi gerekiyor. Di\u011fer se\u00e7enek de i\u00e7 talepteki daralma. \u0130thalat\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcretimi destekleyici mahiyette oldu\u011fundan i\u00e7 talep daralmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ithalatta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha sert olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olabilir. Bu y\u00fczden 2015 11 ay\u0131nda 189.242 milyon USD olan ithalat 2016 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde 180.196 milyon USD\u2019na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f. K\u0131sacas\u0131 9 milyar dolar a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 yap\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f. Toplam ticaret hacmi de 11 milyar dolardan fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sonu\u00e7 olarak 2 TL\u2019den 3.50 TL\u2019ye gelen USD, 2.85 TL\u2019den 3.37 TL\u2019ye gelen Euro\u2019ya ra\u011fmen ihracatta istenilen art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flayamam\u0131\u015f\u0131z gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Global daralma ile birlikte i\u00e7 piyasadaki durgunluk olu\u015ftu\u011fu takdirde y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerin profesyonel bir \u015fekilde elden ge\u00e7irilip mevcut ekonomik konjonkt\u00fcre uygun hale getirilmesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Bu konuda do\u011fru ad\u0131m\u0131 atamayanlar\u0131 zor g\u00fcnler bekleyebilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticarette-son-durum","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette son durum","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":145,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":15729,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":15630,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette son durum","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck ve Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle olu\u015fturulan ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re, ihracat 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda, 2015\u2019in ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 9.7 artarak 12 milyar 817 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 6 artarak 16 milyar 931 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 4.1 azalarak 4 milyar 113 milyon dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130hracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2015 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 73.1 iken, 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 75.7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re, 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 0.9, ithalat y\u00fczde 4.6 azald\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 6.7, ithalat y\u00fczde 2.4 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Verilere ilk bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131 Kas\u0131m 2015 ay\u0131ndan Kas\u0131m 2016 ay\u0131na ihracat ve ithalatta art\u0131\u015flar olmas\u0131, d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok az da olsa d\u00fc\u015fmesi olumlu veriler olarak g\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcze \u00e7arp\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Biz b\u00fcltenlerin ba\u015f\u0131nda belirtilen ve bolca okudu\u011funuz bu rakamlar\u0131 k\u0131saca yorumlad\u0131ktan sonra Ocak-Kas\u0131m d\u00f6nemini bir inceleyelim:<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00d6ncelikli konumuz bu kadar kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen (Bu d\u00f6nemde kur sepeti 2.45\u2019ten 3.08\u2019lere y\u00fckselmi\u015fti, ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem 2016\u2019da kur hep daha y\u00fcksekti) 11 ayl\u0131k toplam ihracat 2015 d\u00f6neminin alt\u0131nda kalm\u0131\u015f. K\u0131sacas\u0131 kur y\u00fckseli\u015fi ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flar hipotezinin do\u011fru olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. 2015 ilk 11 ay\u0131nda 132.088 milyon USD ihracat rakam\u0131na ra\u011fmen 2016 ilk 11 ay\u0131nda sadece 129.793 milyon USD ihracat rakam\u0131 yakalanabilmi\u015f. K\u0131saca k\u00fcm\u00fclatif bazda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130thalata bir bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, benzer durumu ancak daha k\u00f6t\u00fc olarak orada da g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2015\u2019ten daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ithalat. Bunun iki sebebi olabilir. Birincisi ithal ikame \u00fcretimlere ge\u00e7ilmesidir. Ancak b\u00f6yle bir geli\u015fim birden olu\u015fmaz, yava\u015f yava\u015f etkili olur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc fiyat tutturulmas\u0131, piyasa analizler, yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gibi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin i\u015flemesi gerekiyor. Di\u011fer se\u00e7enek de i\u00e7 talepteki daralma. \u0130thalat\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcretimi destekleyici mahiyette oldu\u011fundan i\u00e7 talep daralmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ithalatta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha sert olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olabilir. Bu y\u00fczden 2015 11 ay\u0131nda 189.242 milyon USD olan ithalat 2016 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde 180.196 milyon USD\u2019na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f. K\u0131sacas\u0131 9 milyar dolar a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ara mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131 yap\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f. Toplam ticaret hacmi de 11 milyar dolardan fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015f.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sonu\u00e7 olarak 2 TL\u2019den 3.50 TL\u2019ye gelen USD, 2.85 TL\u2019den 3.37 TL\u2019ye gelen Euro\u2019ya ra\u011fmen ihracatta istenilen art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flayamam\u0131\u015f\u0131z gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Global daralma ile birlikte i\u00e7 piyasadaki durgunluk olu\u015ftu\u011fu takdirde y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerin profesyonel bir \u015fekilde elden ge\u00e7irilip mevcut ekonomik konjonkt\u00fcre uygun hale getirilmesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. Bu konuda do\u011fru ad\u0131m\u0131 atamayanlar\u0131 zor g\u00fcnler bekleyebilir.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticarette-son-durum","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette son durum","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":145,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}