{"status":true,"post":{"id":13335,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:24:29","created_at":"2016-03-27T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:24:29.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":13335,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette \u00f6nemli sinyaller","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 18 Mart 2016 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Endeksleri b\u00fcltenine g\u00f6re; ihracat birim de\u011fer endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 10.6 azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 11.3, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 14, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 31 ve \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 9.2 azald\u0131. Bizi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren imalat sanayinde y\u00fczde 9.2 de\u011fer azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebebini iyi ara\u015ft\u0131rmak gerekiyor. Olay\u0131n maliyet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden mi yoksa durgunluktan m\u0131 kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iyi analiz etmek laz\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

G\u0130RD\u0130 MAL\u0130YETLER\u0130NDEK\u0130 D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Bunun i\u00e7in hemen ithalat birim de\u011fer de\u011fi\u015fimlerine bak\u0131yoruz ve orada da \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Verilere g\u00f6re; ithalat birim de\u011fer endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 17.1 azald\u0131. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 10.3, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 20.5, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 41.5 ve \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 9.5 azalma kaydetti.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00f6ylece ihracat birim de\u011ferindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn girdi maliyetlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kaynaklanabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

M\u0130KTAR ENDEKSLER\u0130NDEK\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Bizi tedirgin eden as\u0131l veri, miktar endekslerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimler. Verilere g\u00f6re; ihracat miktar endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 12.9 azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 9.4, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 10.8, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 3.4, \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 4.1 ve \u201cSITC\u2019de ba\u015fka bir yerde s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131lmayan mallar\u201dda y\u00fczde 79.5 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

K\u00c2R MARJI VE C\u0130RO<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130malat sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnleri miktar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4.1 azalma di\u011ferlerine g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalsa da fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle birlikte de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde hem k\u00e2r marj\u0131 hem de cirolarda \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu durum firmalar\u0131n nakit d\u00f6ng\u00fclerini sa\u011flamada ciddi zorluklar \u00e7ekebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span><\/p>

\u0130thalat miktar endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3.2 azalm\u0131\u015f durumda. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 11.9, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 12.9 ve \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 2.2 azal\u0131rken, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 4 artt\u0131. \u0130malat sanayi ithalat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.2 azalma daha sonraki d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in de daralman\u0131n bir sinyali olabilir.<\/span><\/p>

F\u0130RMALARA B PLANI LAZIM<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Endeks verileri bize \u015funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor olabilir: Gerek fiyat gerekse miktarlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler nedeniyle ticarette nakit d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda ciddi zorluklar olu\u015fabilir. Burada bir B plan\u0131 olmayan, emniyet subaplar\u0131 bulunmayan i\u015fletmelerin ciddi \u00f6deme s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi ihtimali artt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

Nakit ve fon ak\u0131m tablosunun ciddi bir disiplin i\u00e7erisinde \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131, \u00f6deme ve tahsilat planlamalar\u0131n\u0131n iyi yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ve en az birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6recek kadar tedbirlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131, alacak ve bor\u00e7 vade ve yap\u0131land\u0131rma raporlar\u0131na g\u00f6re bor\u00e7 ve alaca\u011f\u0131n zaman y\u00f6n\u00fcnden idaresinin daha profesyonelce yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yorgan\u0131na g\u00f6re uzatmayan so\u011fukta nereden pike bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hesab\u0131n\u0131 iyi yapmal\u0131.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticarette-onemli-sinyaller","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette \u00f6nemli sinyaller","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":94,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":13434,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":13335,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette \u00f6nemli sinyaller","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu taraf\u0131ndan 18 Mart 2016 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan D\u0131\u015f Ticaret Endeksleri b\u00fcltenine g\u00f6re; ihracat birim de\u011fer endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 10.6 azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 11.3, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 14, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 31 ve \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 9.2 azald\u0131. Bizi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren imalat sanayinde y\u00fczde 9.2 de\u011fer azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sebebini iyi ara\u015ft\u0131rmak gerekiyor. Olay\u0131n maliyet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden mi yoksa durgunluktan m\u0131 kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iyi analiz etmek laz\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>

G\u0130RD\u0130 MAL\u0130YETLER\u0130NDEK\u0130 D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Bunun i\u00e7in hemen ithalat birim de\u011fer de\u011fi\u015fimlerine bak\u0131yoruz ve orada da \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Verilere g\u00f6re; ithalat birim de\u011fer endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 17.1 azald\u0131. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 10.3, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 20.5, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 41.5 ve \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 9.5 azalma kaydetti.<\/span><\/p>

B\u00f6ylece ihracat birim de\u011ferindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn girdi maliyetlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kaynaklanabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

M\u0130KTAR ENDEKSLER\u0130NDEK\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130M<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Bizi tedirgin eden as\u0131l veri, miktar endekslerindeki de\u011fi\u015fimler. Verilere g\u00f6re; ihracat miktar endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 12.9 azalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 9.4, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 10.8, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 3.4, \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 4.1 ve \u201cSITC\u2019de ba\u015fka bir yerde s\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131r\u0131lmayan mallar\u201dda y\u00fczde 79.5 azald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

K\u00c2R MARJI VE C\u0130RO<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

\u0130malat sanayi \u00fcr\u00fcnleri miktar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4.1 azalma di\u011ferlerine g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalsa da fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle birlikte de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fimizde hem k\u00e2r marj\u0131 hem de cirolarda \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu durum firmalar\u0131n nakit d\u00f6ng\u00fclerini sa\u011flamada ciddi zorluklar \u00e7ekebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/span><\/p>

\u0130thalat miktar endeksi ocak ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3.2 azalm\u0131\u015f durumda. Endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u201cg\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcn\u201dde y\u00fczde 11.9, \u201chammaddeler\u201dde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 12.9 ve \u201cimalat (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) sanayi\u201dnde y\u00fczde 2.2 azal\u0131rken, \u201cyak\u0131tlar\u201dda y\u00fczde 4 artt\u0131. \u0130malat sanayi ithalat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2.2 azalma daha sonraki d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in de daralman\u0131n bir sinyali olabilir.<\/span><\/p>

F\u0130RMALARA B PLANI LAZIM<\/strong><\/span><\/p>

Endeks verileri bize \u015funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor olabilir: Gerek fiyat gerekse miktarlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler nedeniyle ticarette nakit d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda ciddi zorluklar olu\u015fabilir. Burada bir B plan\u0131 olmayan, emniyet subaplar\u0131 bulunmayan i\u015fletmelerin ciddi \u00f6deme s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi ihtimali artt\u0131. <\/span><\/p>

Nakit ve fon ak\u0131m tablosunun ciddi bir disiplin i\u00e7erisinde \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131, \u00f6deme ve tahsilat planlamalar\u0131n\u0131n iyi yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ve en az birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6recek kadar tedbirlerin al\u0131nmas\u0131, alacak ve bor\u00e7 vade ve yap\u0131land\u0131rma raporlar\u0131na g\u00f6re bor\u00e7 ve alaca\u011f\u0131n zaman y\u00f6n\u00fcnden idaresinin daha profesyonelce yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/p>

Son S\u00f6z:<\/strong> Aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yorgan\u0131na g\u00f6re uzatmayan so\u011fukta nereden pike bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hesab\u0131n\u0131 iyi yapmal\u0131.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticarette-onemli-sinyaller","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticarette \u00f6nemli sinyaller","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":94,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}