{"status":true,"post":{"id":42598,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2023-08-21 08:26:00","created_at":"2023-08-21T05:26:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2023-08-21T05:26:00.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":42598,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri global resesyonu destekliyor mu?","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":"Hikmet Baydar","content":"


<\/p>

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu 2023 Haziran ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret endekslerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu veriler bize ekonomiyle ilgili son derece \u00f6nemli mesajlar veriyor. Buna g\u00f6re \u00f6ncelikle ihracat birim de\u011fer endeksinde Haziran 2023 ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.6 azalma oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Bu azalman\u0131n detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, hammadde ihracat birim de\u011ferinin (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 13.6 azalmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Gerek imalat sanayinde (y\u00fczde 1.8 birim de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131), gerekse g\u0131da ve i\u00e7ecek birim de\u011ferinde (y\u00fczde 3.6) art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak gerekir.<\/span><\/p>

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*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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As\u0131l \u00f6nemli sorunun miktar endekslerinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Global ekonomilerdeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyatlamalara \u00fclkemiz ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ayak uyduramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 artan fiyat endeksinin yan\u0131nda \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015fen miktar endekslerinden g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. \u015eimdi verilere bakal\u0131m; \u0130hracat miktar endeksi Haziran ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 9.2 azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Detaylarda ise endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 11.4, ham maddelerde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 18.9 ve imalat sanayinde (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 11.4 azal\u0131rken, yak\u0131tlarda y\u00fczde 22.3 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

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G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere imalat sanayinde y\u00fczde 11.4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olup, miktar baz\u0131ndaki bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ihracat konusunda bir \u015feylerin yanl\u0131\u015f gitti\u011fini bize g\u00f6stermektedir. Burada global a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat hareketlerine ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z taraf\u0131ndan yerine koyma maliyeti baz al\u0131narak bak\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyiz. Bu nedenle de ihracatta zay\u0131flama olmaktad\u0131r. \u0130hracat miktar endeksinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyrekte bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.1 azalmas\u0131 nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye de olumsuz etkisi olabilir.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 70\u2019ten fazla olan k\u0131sm\u0131 ara mal\u0131d\u0131r. Yerli ikame \u00fcretim olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, girdi ithalat\u0131nda daralma, gelecekte \u00fcretimde de daralma olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/span><\/p>

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*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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\u0130thalat\u0131n durumuna bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; \u0130thal hammadde birim fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 27.6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi Haziran 2023 ay\u0131nda kurda da benzer oranda art\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, girdi maliyet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn enflasyonu da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesini imkans\u0131z hale getirdi. Ancak d\u00fcnyada hammadde fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Hammadde ithalat miktar endeksinde haziran ay\u0131nda 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 19.8 azalma olmas\u0131, gelecekte yava\u015flayan bir \u00fcretimle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fma ihtimalini art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u0130thal girdiyle \u00fcretim ve ihracat yapan firmalar\u0131m\u0131z mevcut maliyetleri baz alarak fiyatlama yapmalar\u0131 durumunda sat\u0131\u015f yapmakta zorlanabilirler. Bunun yerine, yerine koyma maliyetini baz alarak fiyatlama yapmalar\u0131 son derece \u00f6nemlidir. Yoksa fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle y\u00fcksek maliyetli hammadde stokuyla ba\u015f ba\u015fa kalabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"dis-ticaret-verileri-global-resesyonu-destekliyor-mu","tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1692565200oDEawsJq5ORm4h7.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1644,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":42724,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":42598,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri global resesyonu destekliyor mu?","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":"Hikmet Baydar","content":"


<\/p>

hikmetbaydar@3-goz.com<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu 2023 Haziran ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret endekslerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu veriler bize ekonomiyle ilgili son derece \u00f6nemli mesajlar veriyor. Buna g\u00f6re \u00f6ncelikle ihracat birim de\u011fer endeksinde Haziran 2023 ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1.6 azalma oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Bu azalman\u0131n detay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, hammadde ihracat birim de\u011ferinin (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 13.6 azalmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmekteyiz. Gerek imalat sanayinde (y\u00fczde 1.8 birim de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131), gerekse g\u0131da ve i\u00e7ecek birim de\u011ferinde (y\u00fczde 3.6) art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak gerekir.<\/span><\/p>

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*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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As\u0131l \u00f6nemli sorunun miktar endekslerinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Global ekonomilerdeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyatlamalara \u00fclkemiz ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ayak uyduramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 artan fiyat endeksinin yan\u0131nda \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015fen miktar endekslerinden g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. \u015eimdi verilere bakal\u0131m; \u0130hracat miktar endeksi Haziran ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 9.2 azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Detaylarda ise endeks bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re, g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek ve t\u00fct\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 11.4, ham maddelerde (yak\u0131t hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 18.9 ve imalat sanayinde (g\u0131da, i\u00e7ecek, t\u00fct\u00fcn hari\u00e7) y\u00fczde 11.4 azal\u0131rken, yak\u0131tlarda y\u00fczde 22.3 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

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G\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi \u00fczere imalat sanayinde y\u00fczde 11.4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f olup, miktar baz\u0131ndaki bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ihracat konusunda bir \u015feylerin yanl\u0131\u015f gitti\u011fini bize g\u00f6stermektedir. Burada global a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat hareketlerine ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z taraf\u0131ndan yerine koyma maliyeti baz al\u0131narak bak\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyiz. Bu nedenle de ihracatta zay\u0131flama olmaktad\u0131r. \u0130hracat miktar endeksinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyrekte bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5.1 azalmas\u0131 nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye de olumsuz etkisi olabilir.<\/span><\/p>


<\/p>

Bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 70\u2019ten fazla olan k\u0131sm\u0131 ara mal\u0131d\u0131r. Yerli ikame \u00fcretim olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, girdi ithalat\u0131nda daralma, gelecekte \u00fcretimde de daralma olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0*<\/span><\/strong><\/p>

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\u0130thalat\u0131n durumuna bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda; \u0130thal hammadde birim fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 27.6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi Haziran 2023 ay\u0131nda kurda da benzer oranda art\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, girdi maliyet d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn enflasyonu da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesini imkans\u0131z hale getirdi. Ancak d\u00fcnyada hammadde fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Hammadde ithalat miktar endeksinde haziran ay\u0131nda 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 19.8 azalma olmas\u0131, gelecekte yava\u015flayan bir \u00fcretimle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fma ihtimalini art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

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\u0130thal girdiyle \u00fcretim ve ihracat yapan firmalar\u0131m\u0131z mevcut maliyetleri baz alarak fiyatlama yapmalar\u0131 durumunda sat\u0131\u015f yapmakta zorlanabilirler. Bunun yerine, yerine koyma maliyetini baz alarak fiyatlama yapmalar\u0131 son derece \u00f6nemlidir. Yoksa fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle y\u00fcksek maliyetli hammadde stokuyla ba\u015f ba\u015fa kalabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>","slug":"dis-ticaret-verileri-global-resesyonu-destekliyor-mu","orjinalimage":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1692565200oDEawsJq5ORm4h7.webp","news_cover_min":"\/front\/uploads\/blog\/thumbnail\/1692565200oDEawsJq5ORm4h7.webp","news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":null,"meta_title":null,"meta_description":null,"meta_keywords":null,"view_count":1644,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}