{"status":true,"post":{"id":15314,"user_id":23,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-21 09:56:03","created_at":"2016-12-04T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-21T06:56:03.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":15314,"is_featured":0,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaret istatistikleri, Ekim 2016","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck ve Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle olu\u015fturulan ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re ihracat 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda, 2015\u2019in ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3 azalarak 12 milyar 841 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 0.5 artarak 17 milyar 4 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da Ekim ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 13.2 artarak 4 milyar 164 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. Bu verilerin sonucunda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2015 Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 78.3 iken, 2016 Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 75.5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re daha iyi durumdad\u0131r. Ocak-Ekim 2015 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 69.5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 71.7 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re 2016 Ekim ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 2.5 artt\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 1.7 azald\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 0.3 azald\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 1.1 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada bizi ilgilendiren nokta ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimle toplam d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmindeki geli\u015fimdir. D\u00f6nemsel bazda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 iyi olsa da ayl\u0131k bazda bir bozulma s\u00f6z konusudur. D\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmine bakarsak 2015 Ocak-Ekim d\u00f6neminde 294 milyar USD ticaret hacmine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 2016 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde 280 milyar USD ticaret hacmine ula\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda. Yani 14 Milyar USD daralma var. Bize g\u00f6re bu \u00f6nemli bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131d\u0131r. Canl\u0131l\u0131k olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve daralma riskinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir veridir. Aman dikkat... Nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ve b\u00fct\u00e7enizi ayarlarken B plan\u0131 da yap\u0131n.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130hracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 94.1\u2019i imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden geliyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00fcretip satmak bu a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. \u0130hracat i\u00e7in \u00fcretmek zorunday\u0131z. Yoksa nakit d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde ciddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ba\u015f g\u00f6sterir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130thalata bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 86\u2019s\u0131na yak\u0131n k\u0131sm\u0131 ara ve sermaye mal\u0131. Bu veri bize \u015funu g\u00f6steriyor. Kur artt\u0131k\u00e7a maliyetler y\u00fckselecek ve maliyet enflasyonu olu\u015facak. Enflasyon y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e de faizler (nominal bazda) y\u00fckselirse \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomide bu beklenen bir sonu\u00e7tur. Bizi tedirgin eden husus ithalatta kur kaynakl\u0131 maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile ihracat\u0131n fiyatlamalarda kurun yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsizliktir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kurlardaki hareketlili\u011fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda T\u00fcrkiye ile ayn\u0131 kategoride oldu\u011fu kabul edilen G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019n\u0131n paras\u0131 ne rekor denemeler yap\u0131yor ne de agresif yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket denemeleri yap\u0131yor. Tarihi en y\u00fcksek seviyelerinden olduk\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da yatay seyirde ufak ufak dalgalan\u0131yor. Bu durumda TL \u00fczerine oynanan oyunu iyi analiz etmek ve \u00e7\u00f6zmek zorunday\u0131z. Hepimiz ayn\u0131 gemideyiz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticaret-istatistikleri-ekim-2016","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaret istatistikleri, Ekim 2016","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":92,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":23,"name":"H\u0130KMET","surname":"BAYDAR","email":"hikmet-baydar@gmail.com","slug":"hikmet-baydar","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600m8IdzrjJsMVvSMC.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-10-19T14:42:06.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:49:02.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":15413,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":15314,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaret istatistikleri, Ekim 2016","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu ile G\u00fcmr\u00fck ve Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle olu\u015fturulan ge\u00e7ici d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re ihracat 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda, 2015\u2019in ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3 azalarak 12 milyar 841 milyon dolar, ithalat y\u00fczde 0.5 artarak 17 milyar 4 milyon dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak da Ekim ay\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 13.2 artarak 4 milyar 164 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. Bu verilerin sonucunda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2015 Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 78.3 iken, 2016 Ekim ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 75.5\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ise h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re daha iyi durumdad\u0131r. Ocak-Ekim 2015 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 69.5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 71.7 oldu.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re 2016 Ekim ay\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 2.5 artt\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 1.7 azald\u0131. Takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f seriye g\u00f6re ise 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat y\u00fczde 0.3 azald\u0131, ithalat y\u00fczde 1.1 artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Burada bizi ilgilendiren nokta ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimle toplam d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmindeki geli\u015fimdir. D\u00f6nemsel bazda ihracat\u0131n ithalat\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama oran\u0131 iyi olsa da ayl\u0131k bazda bir bozulma s\u00f6z konusudur. D\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmine bakarsak 2015 Ocak-Ekim d\u00f6neminde 294 milyar USD ticaret hacmine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 2016 ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde 280 milyar USD ticaret hacmine ula\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda. Yani 14 Milyar USD daralma var. Bize g\u00f6re bu \u00f6nemli bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131d\u0131r. Canl\u0131l\u0131k olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve daralma riskinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir veridir. Aman dikkat... Nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ve b\u00fct\u00e7enizi ayarlarken B plan\u0131 da yap\u0131n.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130hracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 94.1\u2019i imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden geliyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00fcretip satmak bu a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. \u0130hracat i\u00e7in \u00fcretmek zorunday\u0131z. Yoksa nakit d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnde ciddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ba\u015f g\u00f6sterir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u0130thalata bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 86\u2019s\u0131na yak\u0131n k\u0131sm\u0131 ara ve sermaye mal\u0131. Bu veri bize \u015funu g\u00f6steriyor. Kur artt\u0131k\u00e7a maliyetler y\u00fckselecek ve maliyet enflasyonu olu\u015facak. Enflasyon y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e de faizler (nominal bazda) y\u00fckselirse \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131z. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomide bu beklenen bir sonu\u00e7tur. Bizi tedirgin eden husus ithalatta kur kaynakl\u0131 maliyet art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile ihracat\u0131n fiyatlamalarda kurun yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsizliktir. <\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Kurlardaki hareketlili\u011fe bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda T\u00fcrkiye ile ayn\u0131 kategoride oldu\u011fu kabul edilen G\u00fcney Afrika\u2019n\u0131n paras\u0131 ne rekor denemeler yap\u0131yor ne de agresif yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde hareket denemeleri yap\u0131yor. Tarihi en y\u00fcksek seviyelerinden olduk\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da yatay seyirde ufak ufak dalgalan\u0131yor. Bu durumda TL \u00fczerine oynanan oyunu iyi analiz etmek ve \u00e7\u00f6zmek zorunday\u0131z. Hepimiz ayn\u0131 gemideyiz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"dis-ticaret-istatistikleri-ekim-2016","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"D\u0131\u015f ticaret istatistikleri, Ekim 2016","meta_description":"Hikmet Baydar","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":92,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}