{"status":true,"post":{"id":27812,"user_id":9,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 15:36:23","created_at":"2021-08-05T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T12:36:23.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":27812,"is_featured":0,"title":"Delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ekonomik toparlanma","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dclkeler, koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn neden oldu\u011fu ekonomik tahribat\u0131n yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmaya devam ediyor. Yaz aylar\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla birlikte kuzey yar\u0131m k\u00fcrede ekonomik canl\u0131l\u0131k kendini hissettirdi. Sadece imalat sanayi de\u011fil, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de ekonomik toparlanmaya e\u015flik ediyor. Bu olumlu tabloyu tersine \u00e7evirebilecek en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehlike, koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n yeni bir dalga ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi. Delta varyant\u0131, son birka\u00e7 haftad\u0131r ekonomik aktivitedeki olumlu havay\u0131 tehdit ediyor. Asya, Kuzey Amerika ve Avrupa\u2019da yaz aylar\u0131nda olmam\u0131za ra\u011fmen vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 yay\u0131lmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen a\u015f\u0131lanan n\u00fcfus i\u00e7indeki etkisinin ve hastaneye yat\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131, salg\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 yeni dalgas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri biraz olsun azalt\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere, y\u00fcksek a\u015f\u0131lanma oran\u0131 sayesinde ilave k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 tedbirlere ba\u015fvurmadan delta varyant\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131. Joe Biden\u2019\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 olan Anthony Fauci, ABD\u2019de artan vaka say\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen yeni bir kapanmaya gerek kalmadan s\u00fcrecin y\u00f6netilebilece\u011fini belirterek, a\u015f\u0131lanman\u0131n \u00f6neminin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>E\u015e\u0130TS\u0130Z TOPARLANMA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">IMF, delta tehdidine ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 6\u2019da sabit tuttu. Ancak, delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik toparlanmay\u0131 daha belirsiz ve e\u015fitsiz hale getirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Bu e\u015fitsizlik kendini geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerle geli\u015fmekte olanlar aras\u0131nda g\u00f6sterebilir. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 0.5 puan yukar\u0131 revize edilirken, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerinki 0.4 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. IMF, h\u0131zl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlama tedbirlerine olan ihtiyac\u0131 azaltaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde ekonomik gidi\u015fat\u0131n delta varyant\u0131ndan \u00e7ok fazla etkilenmeyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Delta, a\u015f\u0131ya eri\u015fimde s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fayan geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde ise bula\u015f ve \u00f6l\u00fcm oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Olas\u0131 yeni k\u0131s\u0131tlama tedbirleri de ekonomik aktiviteyi olumsuz etkileyebilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ENFLASYON VE FA\u0130Z R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerdeki enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi i\u00e7in bir ba\u015fka risk unsuru. \u015eu an veriler, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde enflasyonun ge\u00e7ici olabilece\u011fine ve \u00e7ok tehlikeli seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Ama e\u011fer delta varyant\u0131 \u00f6zellikle Asya\u2019daki tedarik zincirlerini olumsuz etkiler ve artan maliyetler geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde enflasyonu kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirirse, ba\u015fta Fed olmak \u00fczere baz\u0131 merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 erkene \u00e7ekebilir. K\u00fcresel faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesine neden olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi bask\u0131layabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sa\u011fl\u0131k ve ekonomi taraf\u0131ndaki riskleri iyi y\u00f6netmeliyiz. A\u015f\u0131lanmada \u00f6nemli bir mesafe kat ettik. Bunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmemiz gerekiyor. Bir taraftan da k\u00fcresel piyasalardaki belirsizliklerden asgari seviyede etkilenebilmek<\/span><span class=\"large\">i\u00e7in ba\u015fta enflasyon olmak \u00fczere mevcut ekonomik k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131zla kararl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde m\u00fccadele etmeliyiz. Bunlar\u0131 ba\u015farabildi\u011fimiz takdirde delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n kamu sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonomi \u00fczerine olas\u0131 etkileriyle daha kolay ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"delta-varyantinin-golgesinde-ekonomik-toparlanma","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ekonomik toparlanma","meta_description":"Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1087,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":9,"name":"NURULLAH","surname":"G\u00dcR","email":"nurullah.gur@marmara.edu.tr","slug":"prof-dr-nurullah-gur","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600zm0eg4EVw1c01iN.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":27911,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":27812,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ekonomik toparlanma","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span class=\"large\"><strong>Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr<\/strong><\/span><br><span class=\"large\"> <strong><\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00dclkeler, koronavir\u00fcs\u00fcn neden oldu\u011fu ekonomik tahribat\u0131n yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmaya devam ediyor. Yaz aylar\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla birlikte kuzey yar\u0131m k\u00fcrede ekonomik canl\u0131l\u0131k kendini hissettirdi. Sadece imalat sanayi de\u011fil, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de ekonomik toparlanmaya e\u015flik ediyor. Bu olumlu tabloyu tersine \u00e7evirebilecek en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehlike, koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n yeni bir dalga ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi. Delta varyant\u0131, son birka\u00e7 haftad\u0131r ekonomik aktivitedeki olumlu havay\u0131 tehdit ediyor. Asya, Kuzey Amerika ve Avrupa\u2019da yaz aylar\u0131nda olmam\u0131za ra\u011fmen vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f var.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 yay\u0131lmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen a\u015f\u0131lanan n\u00fcfus i\u00e7indeki etkisinin ve hastaneye yat\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131, salg\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 yeni dalgas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feleri biraz olsun azalt\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere, y\u00fcksek a\u015f\u0131lanma oran\u0131 sayesinde ilave k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 tedbirlere ba\u015fvurmadan delta varyant\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131. Joe Biden\u2019\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 olan Anthony Fauci, ABD\u2019de artan vaka say\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen yeni bir kapanmaya gerek kalmadan s\u00fcrecin y\u00f6netilebilece\u011fini belirterek, a\u015f\u0131lanman\u0131n \u00f6neminin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdi.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>E\u015e\u0130TS\u0130Z TOPARLANMA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">IMF, delta tehdidine ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 6\u2019da sabit tuttu. Ancak, delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik toparlanmay\u0131 daha belirsiz ve e\u015fitsiz hale getirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Bu e\u015fitsizlik kendini geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerle geli\u015fmekte olanlar aras\u0131nda g\u00f6sterebilir. Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 0.5 puan yukar\u0131 revize edilirken, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerinki 0.4 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. IMF, h\u0131zl\u0131 a\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlama tedbirlerine olan ihtiyac\u0131 azaltaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde ekonomik gidi\u015fat\u0131n delta varyant\u0131ndan \u00e7ok fazla etkilenmeyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Delta, a\u015f\u0131ya eri\u015fimde s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fayan geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde ise bula\u015f ve \u00f6l\u00fcm oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Olas\u0131 yeni k\u0131s\u0131tlama tedbirleri de ekonomik aktiviteyi olumsuz etkileyebilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\"><strong>ENFLASYON VE FA\u0130Z R\u0130SK\u0130<\/strong><\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerdeki enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi i\u00e7in bir ba\u015fka risk unsuru. \u015eu an veriler, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde enflasyonun ge\u00e7ici olabilece\u011fine ve \u00e7ok tehlikeli seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Ama e\u011fer delta varyant\u0131 \u00f6zellikle Asya\u2019daki tedarik zincirlerini olumsuz etkiler ve artan maliyetler geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde enflasyonu kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirirse, ba\u015fta Fed olmak \u00fczere baz\u0131 merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 erkene \u00e7ekebilir. K\u00fcresel faizlerin y\u00fckselmesi, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesine neden olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi bask\u0131layabilir.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Sa\u011fl\u0131k ve ekonomi taraf\u0131ndaki riskleri iyi y\u00f6netmeliyiz. A\u015f\u0131lanmada \u00f6nemli bir mesafe kat ettik. Bunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmemiz gerekiyor. Bir taraftan da k\u00fcresel piyasalardaki belirsizliklerden asgari seviyede etkilenebilmek<\/span><span class=\"large\">i\u00e7in ba\u015fta enflasyon olmak \u00fczere mevcut ekonomik k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131m\u0131zla kararl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde m\u00fccadele etmeliyiz. Bunlar\u0131 ba\u015farabildi\u011fimiz takdirde delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n kamu sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonomi \u00fczerine olas\u0131 etkileriyle daha kolay ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"delta-varyantinin-golgesinde-ekonomik-toparlanma","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Delta varyant\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ekonomik toparlanma","meta_description":"Do\u00e7. Dr. Nurullah G\u00fcr","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1087,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}