{"status":true,"post":{"id":25817,"user_id":11,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 15:08:43","created_at":"2021-04-01T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T12:08:43.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":25817,"is_featured":0,"title":"Covid-19 sava\u015f\u0131nda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
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\u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ile t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte adeta bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7inden ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ya\u015f\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, \u2018tuzu kuru\u2019 bir grup ekonomistin d\u00fcnya sanki bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7inde de\u011filmi\u015f de sanki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de her \u015fey g\u00fcll\u00fck g\u00fclistanl\u0131k iken, yanl\u0131\u015f ekonomi politikas\u0131 tercihleri nedeniyle enflasyon y\u00fckselmi\u015f tavr\u0131 i\u00e7inde olmalar\u0131n\u0131 hayretler i\u00e7inde takip ediyorum. K\u00fcresel sistemin \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerinden ba\u015flayarak, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya esnaf\u0131n\u0131, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc ayakta tutman\u0131n, iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmekten kurtarman\u0131n tela\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde.<\/span>
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\u00d6NCEL\u0130K \u0130ST\u0130HDAMIN KORUNMASI<\/strong><\/span>
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\u0130stihdam\u0131n korunmas\u0131 k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte en temel \u00f6ncelik. Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019ndan (IMF) \u0130ktisadi \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Geli\u015fme Te\u015fkilat\u0131\u2019na (OECD), uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar t\u00fcm para, maliye ve direkt kontrol politikas\u0131 tedbirlerinin seferber edilmesi suretiyle reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, istihdam\u0131n, \u00fcretimin ayakta tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 hararetle \u00f6neriyor. T\u00fcm d\u00fcnya \u2018istihdam\u0131 koruma\u2019n\u0131n pe\u015findeyken, bir grup ekonomistin sanki 100 y\u0131l\u0131n en a\u011f\u0131r k\u00fcresel krizlerinden biri ya\u015fanm\u0131yormu\u015f gibi ekonomi y\u00f6netimimizi \u2018enflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u2019 noktas\u0131nda, \u2018ortodoks\u2019 yakla\u015f\u0131mlarla \u2018zihinsel abluka\u2019ya alma giri\u015fimi ne derece samimi, iyi niyetli olabilir ki?<\/span>
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SIKILA\u015eTIRILMI\u015e PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KASI<\/strong><\/span>
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\u0130ster klasik model, ister \u2018yeni\u2019 melez a\u00e7\u0131k ekonomi modeli, i\u015fsizlik ile enflasyon aras\u0131nda ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc ili\u015fkiyi tan\u0131mlayan \u2018Phillips E\u011frisi\u2019 t\u00fcm ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi ile kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda. \u2018K\u00fcresel kriz\u2019 ve \u2018sava\u015f\u2019 ortam\u0131nda, \u2018enflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sertle\u015ftirilmesi ve enflasyonun bast\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f para ve maliye politikas\u0131 tedbirleri, hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 ve kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok sert daralt\u0131r. Zaten \u2018Covid-19\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 \u2018sava\u015f\u2019 veren esnaf\u0131n ve KOB\u0130\u2019lerin iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesi anlam\u0131na gelir. Esnaf\u0131 ve KOB\u0130\u2019leri iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fckleyecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir \u2018enflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u2019 olmaz. T\u00fcrkiye zaten enflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin \u00f6nemli sacayaklar\u0131ndan biri olan \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 konusunda, \u2018Covid-19\u2019 ortam\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ba\u015far\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/span>
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Kamunun kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 en verimli ve en istihdam\u0131 destekleyici alanlarda de\u011ferlendirip, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 belirli bir seviyede korumak ve desteklemek, \u00fcretilen katma de\u011fer bir yandan \u2018istihdam\u0131n korunmas\u0131\u2019, di\u011fer yandan \u2018b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi\u2019 anlam\u0131na gelir. Bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n ortas\u0131nda, \u2018bedeli ne olursa olsun fiyat istikrar\u0131 \u00f6nceliktir\u2019 diye politika seti olu\u015fturulmaz. \u00d6ncelik, \u00fcretimi, istihdam\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ihracat\u0131 koruyarak, son 100 y\u0131l\u0131n en a\u011f\u0131r krizlerinden birinden, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini en az hasarla \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131r. Bu \u2018tarihi\u2019 sava\u015ftan \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n en temel yolu \u2018istihdam\u0131 korumak\u2019, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek ve ihracat\u0131 destekleyici bir \u2018rekabet\u00e7i kur\u2019 d\u00fczeyini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131lmakt\u0131r.<\/span>
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K\u00dcRESEL G\u00dcNDEM \u2018COV\u0130D\u2019 SONRASI \u2018YE\u015e\u0130L\u2019LENECEK<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
AB\u2019den ba\u015flayarak ve bilhassa ABD\u2019de Biden d\u00f6nemiyle birlikte g\u00f6zlenen yakla\u015f\u0131m fark\u0131yla \u2018Atlantik\u2019 cephesi, \u2018ye\u015fil gelecek\u2019 temas\u0131yla, Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00fclkelerin karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ne miktarda azaltacaklar\u0131na dair net taahh\u00fct ortaya koymalar\u0131 konusunda bas\u0131nc\u0131 giderek artacak bir bask\u0131 s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. AB ve Japonya, \u015fimdiden \u20182050 s\u0131f\u0131r karbon toplumu\u2019 hedef ve stratejilerini a\u00e7\u0131klarken, \u00c7in de \u20182060\u2019 tarihini d\u00fcnya ile payla\u015ft\u0131. Biden y\u00f6netimi de 2060\u2019a \u2018s\u0131f\u0131r karbon\u2019 temal\u0131 ulusal bir stratejiyi d\u00fcnya kamuoyu ile payla\u015fmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Bilhassa Atlantik \u0130ttifak\u0131 \u00fclkeleri, aralar\u0131nda mutabakat olu\u015fturarak, t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015f ve \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin g\u00fcndemine bu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 birlikte ta\u015f\u0131maya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye olarak, bilhassa son d\u00f6nemdeki \u2018yenilenebilir enerji\u2019 yat\u0131r\u0131m ata\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n bizi Avrupa ve d\u00fcnya s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda sayg\u0131n ve kayda de\u011fer bir basama\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 2019 ve 2020 y\u0131llar\u0131 itibariyle t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyaya \u2018karbon sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131 \u015fimdiden 2 y\u0131l arka arkaya azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 hat\u0131rlatmam\u0131z gerekiyor. 2021-2023 d\u00f6nemini, yenilebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, n\u00fckleer enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, imalat sanayindeki \u2018ye\u015fil \u00fcretim\u2019 hamleleri ve \u2018s\u0131f\u0131r karbon\u2019lu ticaret ata\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik seri ad\u0131mlarla; d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir k\u0131lmak ad\u0131na en ciddi \u00e7abay\u0131 ortaya koyan \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda geldi\u011fimizi strateji, politika ve verilerimizle en net \u015fekilde ortaya koydu\u011fumuzda, bu tablo T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki sayg\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve k\u00fcresel ticaretteki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131na da son derece \u2018pozitif\u2019 olarak yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"covid-19-savasinda-enflasyonla-mucadele","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Covid-19 sava\u015f\u0131nda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1083,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":11,"name":"KEREM","surname":"ALK\u0130N","email":"irem05@daglaroglu.com","slug":"prof-dr-kerem-alkin","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/17336916000GNrERW0ucj2Ja7.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T09:50:43.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":25916,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":25817,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"Covid-19 sava\u015f\u0131nda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":" \t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t

PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
\u2018Covid-19\u2019 k\u00fcresel vir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 ile t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte adeta bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7inden ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ya\u015f\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, \u2018tuzu kuru\u2019 bir grup ekonomistin d\u00fcnya sanki bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7inde de\u011filmi\u015f de sanki T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de her \u015fey g\u00fcll\u00fck g\u00fclistanl\u0131k iken, yanl\u0131\u015f ekonomi politikas\u0131 tercihleri nedeniyle enflasyon y\u00fckselmi\u015f tavr\u0131 i\u00e7inde olmalar\u0131n\u0131 hayretler i\u00e7inde takip ediyorum. K\u00fcresel sistemin \u00f6nde gelen \u00fclkelerinden ba\u015flayarak, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya esnaf\u0131n\u0131, reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc ayakta tutman\u0131n, iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmekten kurtarman\u0131n tela\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde.<\/span>
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\u00d6NCEL\u0130K \u0130ST\u0130HDAMIN KORUNMASI<\/strong><\/span>
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\u0130stihdam\u0131n korunmas\u0131 k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte en temel \u00f6ncelik. Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019ndan (IMF) \u0130ktisadi \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Geli\u015fme Te\u015fkilat\u0131\u2019na (OECD), uluslararas\u0131 kurumlar t\u00fcm para, maliye ve direkt kontrol politikas\u0131 tedbirlerinin seferber edilmesi suretiyle reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, istihdam\u0131n, \u00fcretimin ayakta tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 hararetle \u00f6neriyor. T\u00fcm d\u00fcnya \u2018istihdam\u0131 koruma\u2019n\u0131n pe\u015findeyken, bir grup ekonomistin sanki 100 y\u0131l\u0131n en a\u011f\u0131r k\u00fcresel krizlerinden biri ya\u015fanm\u0131yormu\u015f gibi ekonomi y\u00f6netimimizi \u2018enflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u2019 noktas\u0131nda, \u2018ortodoks\u2019 yakla\u015f\u0131mlarla \u2018zihinsel abluka\u2019ya alma giri\u015fimi ne derece samimi, iyi niyetli olabilir ki?<\/span>
<\/span>
SIKILA\u015eTIRILMI\u015e PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KASI<\/strong><\/span>
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\u0130ster klasik model, ister \u2018yeni\u2019 melez a\u00e7\u0131k ekonomi modeli, i\u015fsizlik ile enflasyon aras\u0131nda ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc ili\u015fkiyi tan\u0131mlayan \u2018Phillips E\u011frisi\u2019 t\u00fcm ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi ile kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda. \u2018K\u00fcresel kriz\u2019 ve \u2018sava\u015f\u2019 ortam\u0131nda, \u2018enflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sertle\u015ftirilmesi ve enflasyonun bast\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f para ve maliye politikas\u0131 tedbirleri, hane halk\u0131 t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 ve kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok sert daralt\u0131r. Zaten \u2018Covid-19\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 \u2018sava\u015f\u2019 veren esnaf\u0131n ve KOB\u0130\u2019lerin iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmesi anlam\u0131na gelir. Esnaf\u0131 ve KOB\u0130\u2019leri iflasa s\u00fcr\u00fckleyecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bir \u2018enflasyonla m\u00fccadele\u2019 olmaz. T\u00fcrkiye zaten enflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin \u00f6nemli sacayaklar\u0131ndan biri olan \u2018mali disiplin\u2019 konusunda, \u2018Covid-19\u2019 ortam\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ba\u015far\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/span>
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Kamunun kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 en verimli ve en istihdam\u0131 destekleyici alanlarda de\u011ferlendirip, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 belirli bir seviyede korumak ve desteklemek, \u00fcretilen katma de\u011fer bir yandan \u2018istihdam\u0131n korunmas\u0131\u2019, di\u011fer yandan \u2018b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi\u2019 anlam\u0131na gelir. Bir \u2018sava\u015f\u2019\u0131n ortas\u0131nda, \u2018bedeli ne olursa olsun fiyat istikrar\u0131 \u00f6nceliktir\u2019 diye politika seti olu\u015fturulmaz. \u00d6ncelik, \u00fcretimi, istihdam\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve ihracat\u0131 koruyarak, son 100 y\u0131l\u0131n en a\u011f\u0131r krizlerinden birinden, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini en az hasarla \u00e7\u0131karmakt\u0131r. Bu \u2018tarihi\u2019 sava\u015ftan \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n en temel yolu \u2018istihdam\u0131 korumak\u2019, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r ve kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek ve ihracat\u0131 destekleyici bir \u2018rekabet\u00e7i kur\u2019 d\u00fczeyini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131lmakt\u0131r.<\/span>
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K\u00dcRESEL G\u00dcNDEM \u2018COV\u0130D\u2019 SONRASI \u2018YE\u015e\u0130L\u2019LENECEK<\/strong><\/span>
<\/strong><\/span>
AB\u2019den ba\u015flayarak ve bilhassa ABD\u2019de Biden d\u00f6nemiyle birlikte g\u00f6zlenen yakla\u015f\u0131m fark\u0131yla \u2018Atlantik\u2019 cephesi, \u2018ye\u015fil gelecek\u2019 temas\u0131yla, Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u00fclkelerin karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ne miktarda azaltacaklar\u0131na dair net taahh\u00fct ortaya koymalar\u0131 konusunda bas\u0131nc\u0131 giderek artacak bir bask\u0131 s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. AB ve Japonya, \u015fimdiden \u20182050 s\u0131f\u0131r karbon toplumu\u2019 hedef ve stratejilerini a\u00e7\u0131klarken, \u00c7in de \u20182060\u2019 tarihini d\u00fcnya ile payla\u015ft\u0131. Biden y\u00f6netimi de 2060\u2019a \u2018s\u0131f\u0131r karbon\u2019 temal\u0131 ulusal bir stratejiyi d\u00fcnya kamuoyu ile payla\u015fmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Bilhassa Atlantik \u0130ttifak\u0131 \u00fclkeleri, aralar\u0131nda mutabakat olu\u015fturarak, t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015f ve \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin g\u00fcndemine bu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 birlikte ta\u015f\u0131maya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/span>
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T\u00fcrkiye olarak, bilhassa son d\u00f6nemdeki \u2018yenilenebilir enerji\u2019 yat\u0131r\u0131m ata\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n bizi Avrupa ve d\u00fcnya s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda sayg\u0131n ve kayda de\u011fer bir basama\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 2019 ve 2020 y\u0131llar\u0131 itibariyle t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyaya \u2018karbon sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131 \u015fimdiden 2 y\u0131l arka arkaya azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 hat\u0131rlatmam\u0131z gerekiyor. 2021-2023 d\u00f6nemini, yenilebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, n\u00fckleer enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, imalat sanayindeki \u2018ye\u015fil \u00fcretim\u2019 hamleleri ve \u2018s\u0131f\u0131r karbon\u2019lu ticaret ata\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik seri ad\u0131mlarla; d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir k\u0131lmak ad\u0131na en ciddi \u00e7abay\u0131 ortaya koyan \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda geldi\u011fimizi strateji, politika ve verilerimizle en net \u015fekilde ortaya koydu\u011fumuzda, bu tablo T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki sayg\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve k\u00fcresel ticaretteki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131na da son derece \u2018pozitif\u2019 olarak yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p> \t\t\t\t","slug":"covid-19-savasinda-enflasyonla-mucadele","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"Covid-19 sava\u015f\u0131nda enflasyonla m\u00fccadele","meta_description":"PROF. DR. KEREM ALK\u0130N","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1083,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}