{"status":true,"post":{"id":20614,"user_id":2,"status":1,"type":1,"orde":null,"notification_type":3,"static_post":0,"published_at":"2022-10-24 13:53:49","created_at":"2019-07-11T21:00:00.000000Z","updated_at":"2022-10-24T10:53:49.000000Z","edited_at":"2024-12-17 22:35:21","source_id":null,"post_id":20614,"is_featured":0,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019in tatl\u0131 belas\u0131: Dev ulusal tasarruflar","slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"category_id":73,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Bitmez ve bitmeyecek ABD-\u00c7in \u00e7eki\u015fmesini bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131p, bu yaz\u0131da \u00c7in\u2019in dev ulusal tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131 ele alal\u0131m. Tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan bir \u00fclkenin \u00e7ocuklar\u0131 olarak bizler i\u00e7in tuhafsa da \u00c7in fazla tasarruftan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 \u00e7eken bir \u00fclke.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in\u2019in ulusal tasarruf oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 50\u2019ler dolaylar\u0131nda geziniyor; oran 2008\u2019de y\u00fczde 52 ile tepe yapt\u0131ktan sonra, \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n da etkisiyle g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde y\u00fczde 46 dolaylar\u0131na inmi\u015f bulunuyor. Yani \u00c7inliler \u00fcrettiklerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcketiyorlar, \u00fcretimin geri kalan yar\u0131s\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131l\u0131yor ve ufak bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 yoluyla di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin kullan\u0131m\u0131na sunuluyor. T\u00fcrkiye ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rsak, T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in yeni hesaplama y\u00f6ntemi ile epey y\u00fckselmi\u015fse de oran y\u00fczde 25 dolay\u0131nda bulunuyor; bu da \u00fclkenin yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaya yetmedi\u011finden kronik d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunuyoruz. Bu durum, \u00fcretti\u011fimizden fazla yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketim yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z anlam\u0131na geldi\u011finden, bir d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131yla d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi zorunlu olarak dengeye geldi\u011finde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme, bu durumda harcamalar\u0131 te\u015fvik edip hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yokmu\u015f gibi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rsak da enflasyon ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeydeki ulusal tasarruflar\u0131, \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck boyutlu yat\u0131r\u0131mlarla altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en iyileri aras\u0131na sokmas\u0131n\u0131, bilim ve teknoloji alan\u0131nda at\u0131l\u0131mlar yapmas\u0131n\u0131, ku\u015fak ve yol gibi giri\u015fimlerle d\u00fcnyadaki konumunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Ama \u00f6te yandan bu d\u00fczeydeki tasarruflar bir dert ve \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi uzun zamand\u0131r tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u00e7aba harc\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tasarrufun dert olmas\u0131 t\u00fcketimin tersi olmas\u0131ndan, y\u00fcksek tasarrufun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck t\u00fcketim talebi anlam\u0131na gelmesinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini, bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fen \u00fclke i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu gibi yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma kapasitesi de\u011fil, talep k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor; \u00c7in ekonomisi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine talep ne h\u0131zda artarsa o h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcyebiliyor. \u00dclkenin \u00fcretti\u011fi mal ve hizmetlerin \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u00e7in i\u00e7eride kullan\u0131lsa da 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019ler dolay\u0131nda artan ihracat h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyen \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir talep kayna\u011f\u0131 idi. K\u00fcresel krizle beraber ihracat \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini destekleyen bir etken olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ihracata dayand\u0131rman\u0131n risklerinin fark\u0131na 1997 Asya Krizi\u2019nde varm\u0131\u015f, 2000\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimin toplam talep i\u00e7indeki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmaya, yani tasarruflar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine y\u00f6nelik politikalar uygulanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde ortalama \u00fccretler pek k\u0131m\u0131ldamazken \u00c7in\u2019de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yasalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi ve istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde enflasyonun \u00fczerinde asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fi ile ortalama \u00fccretlerin h\u0131zla artmas\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu nedenleydi. 2000\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131nda \u00fclke insanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn nerdeyse hi\u00e7bir sosyal g\u00fcvencesi yokken, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde d\u00fczeyi \u00e7ok yeterli olmasa da n\u00fcfusun neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131n sosyal g\u00fcvence kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00f6yle. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi insanlar\u0131n cebine para girsin ve bunu gelecek ile kayg\u0131lar\u0131 olmadan harcas\u0131nlar istiyor. Bir miktar azalsa da \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olan tasarruf oran\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticarette a\u00e7\u0131k vermesi, d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na girmesini nerdeyse olanaks\u0131z k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den farkl\u0131 olarak \u00c7in t\u00fcketimi pompalayarak ekonomiyi canland\u0131rabiliyor. Bunun bizim gibi \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in yarar\u0131 da dev ve giderek b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131 pazar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"cinin-tatli-belasi-dev-ulusal-tasarruflar","tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in\u2019in tatl\u0131 belas\u0131: Dev ulusal tasarruflar","meta_description":"Fatih OKTAY","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"view_count":1111,"cropped_1200x675":null,"user":{"id":2,"name":"FAT\u0130H","surname":"OKTAY","email":"ozansoy.tuna@akay.com","slug":"fatih-oktay","avatar":"\/front\/uploads\/avatar\/1733691600qSRn7kb3ZZVHU3t.webp","status":1,"role":1,"email_verified_at":null,"orde":null,"created_at":"2022-09-15T09:39:41.000000Z","updated_at":"2024-12-18T14:51:22.000000Z","seo_title":null,"seo_description":null},"translations":[{"id":20713,"is_featured":0,"is_amp":0,"is_ads":0,"ads_link":null,"post_id":20614,"locale":"tr","category_id":73,"title":"\u00c7in\u2019in tatl\u0131 belas\u0131: Dev ulusal tasarruflar","home_title":null,"sub_title":null,"slider_title":null,"slider_title_2":null,"slider_spot_title":null,"slider_spot_title_2":null,"subtitleuse":0,"description":null,"content":"  \t\t\t\t\t  \t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"large\">Bitmez ve bitmeyecek ABD-\u00c7in \u00e7eki\u015fmesini bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131p, bu yaz\u0131da \u00c7in\u2019in dev ulusal tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131 ele alal\u0131m. Tasarruf a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan bir \u00fclkenin \u00e7ocuklar\u0131 olarak bizler i\u00e7in tuhafsa da \u00c7in fazla tasarruftan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 \u00e7eken bir \u00fclke.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in\u2019in ulusal tasarruf oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 50\u2019ler dolaylar\u0131nda geziniyor; oran 2008\u2019de y\u00fczde 52 ile tepe yapt\u0131ktan sonra, \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminin \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n da etkisiyle g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde y\u00fczde 46 dolaylar\u0131na inmi\u015f bulunuyor. Yani \u00c7inliler \u00fcrettiklerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcketiyorlar, \u00fcretimin geri kalan yar\u0131s\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131l\u0131yor ve ufak bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 yoluyla di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin kullan\u0131m\u0131na sunuluyor. T\u00fcrkiye ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rsak, T\u00dc\u0130K\u2019in yeni hesaplama y\u00f6ntemi ile epey y\u00fckselmi\u015fse de oran y\u00fczde 25 dolay\u0131nda bulunuyor; bu da \u00fclkenin yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamaya yetmedi\u011finden kronik d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunuyoruz. Bu durum, \u00fcretti\u011fimizden fazla yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketim yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z anlam\u0131na geldi\u011finden, bir d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131yla d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi zorunlu olarak dengeye geldi\u011finde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme, bu durumda harcamalar\u0131 te\u015fvik edip hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yokmu\u015f gibi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rsak da enflasyon ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oluyor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">\u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeydeki ulusal tasarruflar\u0131, \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck boyutlu yat\u0131r\u0131mlarla altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en iyileri aras\u0131na sokmas\u0131n\u0131, bilim ve teknoloji alan\u0131nda at\u0131l\u0131mlar yapmas\u0131n\u0131, ku\u015fak ve yol gibi giri\u015fimlerle d\u00fcnyadaki konumunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Ama \u00f6te yandan bu d\u00fczeydeki tasarruflar bir dert ve \u00fclke y\u00f6netimi uzun zamand\u0131r tasarruf oran\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u00e7aba harc\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>  <p><span class=\"large\">Tasarrufun dert olmas\u0131 t\u00fcketimin tersi olmas\u0131ndan, y\u00fcksek tasarrufun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck t\u00fcketim talebi anlam\u0131na gelmesinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini, bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fen \u00fclke i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu gibi yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma kapasitesi de\u011fil, talep k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor; \u00c7in ekonomisi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine talep ne h\u0131zda artarsa o h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcyebiliyor. \u00dclkenin \u00fcretti\u011fi mal ve hizmetlerin \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m i\u00e7in i\u00e7eride kullan\u0131lsa da 2008 k\u00fcresel krizi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 20\u2019ler dolay\u0131nda artan ihracat h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyen \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir talep kayna\u011f\u0131 idi. K\u00fcresel krizle beraber ihracat \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini destekleyen bir etken olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ihracata dayand\u0131rman\u0131n risklerinin fark\u0131na 1997 Asya Krizi\u2019nde varm\u0131\u015f, 2000\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayarak i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimin toplam talep i\u00e7indeki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmaya, yani tasarruflar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine y\u00f6nelik politikalar uygulanmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde ortalama \u00fccretler pek k\u0131m\u0131ldamazken \u00c7in\u2019de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yasalar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi ve istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde enflasyonun \u00fczerinde asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fi ile ortalama \u00fccretlerin h\u0131zla artmas\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu nedenleydi. 2000\u2019lerin ortalar\u0131nda \u00fclke insanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn nerdeyse hi\u00e7bir sosyal g\u00fcvencesi yokken, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde d\u00fczeyi \u00e7ok yeterli olmasa da n\u00fcfusun neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131n sosyal g\u00fcvence kapsam\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u00f6yle. \u00dclke y\u00f6netimi insanlar\u0131n cebine para girsin ve bunu gelecek ile kayg\u0131lar\u0131 olmadan harcas\u0131nlar istiyor. Bir miktar azalsa da \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olan tasarruf oran\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticarette a\u00e7\u0131k vermesi, d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na girmesini nerdeyse olanaks\u0131z k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den farkl\u0131 olarak \u00c7in t\u00fcketimi pompalayarak ekonomiyi canland\u0131rabiliyor. Bunun bizim gibi \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in yarar\u0131 da dev ve giderek b\u00fcy\u00fcyen bir t\u00fcketim mallar\u0131 pazar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>  \t\t\t\t","slug":"cinin-tatli-belasi-dev-ulusal-tasarruflar","orjinalimage":null,"news_cover_min":null,"news_cover":null,"news_video_min":null,"news_video":null,"cropped_638x552":null,"cropped_310x208":null,"cropped_416x247":null,"cropped_197x247":null,"cropped_416x600":null,"cropped_1200x675":null,"tags":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","meta_title":"\u00c7in\u2019in tatl\u0131 belas\u0131: Dev ulusal tasarruflar","meta_description":"Fatih OKTAY","meta_keywords":"K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131","view_count":1111,"yt":0,"ytid":"","ytimage":null,"imgdate":"2000-01-01 00:00:00","cuff_cover":null,"cropped_358x214":null,"cropped_842x474":null}]}}